I dont think we have anyone trading currencies here, but if so, realize the short usd trade has become very crowded and markets dont go one direction day after day for long periods of time.
A short term dollar bounce would not at all surprise me the next couple weeks.
Booked a small profit with xlf trade.
Its Monday and the time change has me feeling tired this morning.
:aktion033
VT are you planning on moving for the country at some point?
I dont think people who know diss you just because, its how certain few can misinterpret the data you present.
The currency is the country in essence, if you lose faith in the currency the country will die
I have no idea if this is a shot or not?
I love this country, that's why I'm sad about the direction of our underlying economy and the policy makers in particular....You are astute to realize a currency is a good guage of a country.
What I'll say is so far the people on the bearish inflationary side of the fence in here have been correct. Plain and simple, we were discussing this when the Euro was 1.33(not even using a currency basket) in August and now it is 1.45. That's a whole 3 months when you have also seen gold go from the low 600's to over 800. These things simply haven't happened in the past....Plus, seeing oil at 95 dollars after it was under 70 back then simply put shows that inflation is rampant. These are enormous moves in a short period of time. How can the other crew claim victory? B/c our GDP went up? Which begs the question of why you would cut rates at a 3.9% growth clip? Or why you would bail out every homeowner who took a poor ARM loan and penalize those who took a fixed. This is not about being pessimistic, its about being realistic. I haven't been negative on the market long term until a few years ago....End of the day, I hope I am wrong. Why that makes me, or Tiz, or Woof a negative person I am not quite clear on.
I have no idea if this is a shot or not?
I love this country, that's why I'm sad about the direction of our underlying economy and the policy makers in particular....You are astute to realize a currency is a good guage of a country.
What I'll say is so far the people on the bearish inflationary side of the fence in here have been correct. Plain and simple, we were discussing this when the Euro was 1.33(not even using a currency basket) in August and now it is 1.45. That's a whole 3 months when you have also seen gold go from the low 600's to over 800. These things simply haven't happened in the past....Plus, seeing oil at 95 dollars after it was under 70 back then simply put shows that inflation is rampant. These are enormous moves in a short period of time. How can the other crew claim victory? B/c our GDP went up? Which begs the question of why you would cut rates at a 3.9% growth clip? Or why you would bail out every homeowner who took a poor ARM loan and penalize those who took a fixed. This is not about being pessimistic, its about being realistic. I haven't been negative on the market long term until a few years ago....End of the day, I hope I am wrong. Why that makes me, or Tiz, or Woof a negative person I am not quite clear on.
Rate cuts were proactive not reactive (looking foward-not backward) and the reason you are made out to look like the 'bad guys' so to speak it that you seem to take solice in the unfortunate circumstances that have arisen,even as you guys claim to be cleaning up.Go figure.
We all can win.
I think Ive asked this before-where do you guys think this ends when the bottom falls out?