sell! sell! sell!

[tiznow]

If your too poor to take care of yourself than chances are you need some help in basic life decisions such as what to eat

Obviously none of this will happen due to the processed food lobby.. Walmart and all the processed food companies profit huge!! Off the food stampers

 

[PatsFan1283]

Yeah it would never happen. Probably is a great idea though.

Health is wealth and a lot of those people would be way better off.

http://www.slate.com/articles/busin...e_be_allowed_to_buy_junk_food_with_their.html

Guess anti-hunger groups is a big obstacle.

 

[eek.]

EU and brexit

The "out" camp will probably win, mass immigration is pissing people off bigtime over here and the elite keep using the EU as an excuse to do whatever they like with society.

This referendum is actually 25 years late, the Maastrict treaty back around 1993 was when everything changed, the elite have waited for 25 years worth of old duffers from WW2 to die off before calling this referendum, but Europe just has too much baggage, immigration and the euro have sunk their chances IMO, Turkey is trying to join up too so that's another huge wave of warm bodies looking for broad sunlit uplands

All the oldies like me are in the no camp(about 80% no), we grew up with the world war generations and know both sides of the coin, in AND out.

Most youngsters have only known IN and are afraid of OUT, but at least 50% of them don't bother voting on polling day

It's gonna get bitchy, but most people have made their minds up by now, some Elitist twat said today that Brexit would be the end of Western Political Civilisation... sigh.

 

[tiznow]

I'll believe it when I see it as this past decade has taught me the status quoers get their way nearly every single time once the dust settles

 

[tiznow]

[h=1]Brexit vote is about the supremacy of Parliament and nothing else: Why I am voting to leave the EU[/h]

• 
  [*=right]
  AMBROSE EVANS-PRITCHARD​
  

13 JUNE 2016 • 9:13AM

• 
  [*=center]
  
  [*=center]

At heart, the Brexit vote is about the supremacy of Parliament. All else is noise CREDIT: ALAMY



With sadness and tortured by doubts, I will cast my vote as an ordinary citizen for withdrawal from the European Union.
Let there be no illusion about the trauma of Brexit. Anybody who claims that Britain can lightly disengage after 43 years enmeshed in EU affairs is a charlatan or a dreamer, or has little contact with the realities of global finance and geopolitics.
Stripped of distractions, it comes down to an elemental choice: whether to restore the full self-government of this nation, or to continue living under a higher supranational regime, ruled by a European Council that we do not elect in any meaningful sense, and that the British people can never remove, even when it persists in error.
For some of us - and we do not take our cue from the Leave campaign - it has nothing to do with payments into the EU budget. Whatever the sum, it is economically trivial, worth unfettered access to a giant market.

​

Today's EU is a deformed halfway house that nobody ever wanted





We are deciding whether to be guided by a Commission with quasi-executive powers that operates more like the priesthood of the 13th Century papacy than a modern civil service; and whether to submit to a European Court of Justice (ECJ) that claims sweeping supremacy, with no right of appeal.
It is whether you think the nation states of Europe are the only authentic fora of democracy, be it in this country, Sweden, the Netherlands, or France - where Nicholas Sarkozy has launched his presidential bid with an invocation of King Clovis and 1,500 years of Frankish unity.

PM: Leave campaign 'telling complete untruths to British people'Play!02:01​

My Europhile Greek friend Yanis Varoufakis and I both agree on one central point, that today's EU is a deformed halfway house that nobody ever wanted. His solution is a great leap forward towards a United States of Europe with a genuine parliament holding an elected president to account. Though even he doubts his dream. "There is a virtue in heroic failure" he said.



The Project bleeds the lifeblood of the national institutions, but fails to replace them with anything lovable





I do not think this is remotely possible, or would be desirable if it were, but it is not on offer anyway. Six years into the eurozone crisis and there is no a flicker of fiscal union: no eurobonds, no Hamiltonian redemption fund, no pooling of debt, and no budget transfers. The banking union belies its name. Germany and the creditor states have dug in their heels.
Where we concur is that the EU as constructed is not only corrosive but ultimately dangerous, and that is the phase we have now reached as governing authority crumbles across Europe.
The Project bleeds the lifeblood of the national institutions, but fails to replace them with anything lovable or legitimate at a European level. It draws away charisma, and destroys it. This is how democracies die.
"They are slowly drained of what makes them democratic, by a gradual process of internal decay and mounting indifference, until one suddenly notices that they have become something different, like the republican constitutions of Athens or Rome, or the Italian city-states of the Renaissance," says Lord Sumption of our Supreme Court.

Democracies deny internally by a slow process of constitutional erosion, like the City state of Athens


It is a quarter century since I co-wrote the leader for this newspaper on the Maastricht summit. We warned that Europe's elites were embarking on a reckless experiment, piling Mount Pelion upon Mount Ossa with a vandal's disregard for the cohesion of their ancient polities.
We reluctantly supported John Major's strategy of compromise, hoping that later events would "check the extremists and put the EC on a sane and realistic path."
This did not happen, as Europe's Donald Tusk confessed two weeks ago, rebuking the elites for seeking a “utopia without nation states" and over-reaching on every front.
“Obsessed with the idea of instant and total integration, we failed to notice that the citizens of Europe do not share our Euro-enthusiasm,” he said.
If there were more Tusks at the helm, one might still give the EU Project the benefit of the doubt. Hard experience - and five years at the coal face in Brussels - tells me others would seize triumphantly on a British decision to remain, deeming it submission from fear. They would pocket the vote. Besides, too much has happened that cannot be forgiven.

EU referendum - video guide to the In and Out campaignsPlay!01:36​

The EU crossed a fatal line when it smuggled through the Treaty of Lisbon, by executive cabal, after the text had already been rejected by French and Dutch voters in its earlier guise. It is one thing to advance the Project by stealth and the Monnet method, it is another to call a plebiscite and then to override the outcome.
Need I remind readers that our own government gave a "cast iron guarantee" to hold a referendum, but retreated claiming that Lisbon was tidying up exercise? It was no such thing. As we warned then, it created a European supreme court with jurisdiction over all areas of EU policy, with a legally-binding Charter of Fundamental Rights that opens the door to anything.
Need I add too, that Britain's opt-out from the Charter under Protocol 30 - described as "absolutely clear" by Tony Blair on the floor of the Commons - has since been swept aside by the ECJ.
It is heartening that our judges have begun to resist Europe's imperial court, threatening to defy any decision that clashes with the Magna Carta, the Bill of Rights, or the core texts of our inherited constitution. But this raises as many questions as it answers.






Nobody has ever been held to account for the design faults and hubris of the euro, or for the monetary and fiscal contraction that turned recession into depression, and led to levels of youth unemployment across a large arc of Europe that nobody would have thought possible or tolerable in a modern civilized society. The only people that are ever blamed are the victims.
There has been no truth and reconciliation commission for the greatest economic crime of modern times. We do not know who exactly was responsible for anything because power was exercised through a shadowy interplay of elites in Berlin, Frankfurt, Brussels, and Paris, and still is. Everything is deniable. All slips through the crack of oversight.
Nor have those in charge learned the lessons of EMU failure. The burden of adjustment still falls on South, without offsetting expansion in the North. It is a formula for deflation and hysteresis. That way lies yet another Lost Decade.
Has there ever been a proper airing of how the elected leaders of Greece and Italy were forced out of power and replaced by EU technocrats, perhaps not by coups d'etat in a strict legal sense but certainly by skulduggery?
On what authority did the European Central Bank write secret letters to the leaders of Spain and Italy in 2011 ordering detailed changes to labour and social law, and fiscal policy, holding a gun to their head on bond purchases?
What is so striking about these episodes is not that EU officials took such drastic decisions in the white heat of crisis, but that it was allowed to pass so easily. The EU's missionary press corps turned a blind eye. The European Parliament closed ranks, the reflex of a nomenklatura.
While you could say that the euro is nothing to do with us, it obviously goes to the character of the EU: how it exercises power, and how far it will go in extremis.



...the accession of thirteen new countries since 2004...has changed the chemistry of the EU beyond recognition





You can certainly argue from realpolitik that monetary union is so flawed it will lurch from crisis to crisis until it ruptures, in the next global downturn or the one after that, and will therefore compel the European elites to abandon their grand plans, so why not bide our time. But this is to rely on conjecture.
You can equally argue that the high watermark of EU integration has passed: the Project is in irreversible decay. We are a long way from the triumphalism of the millennium, when the EU was replicating the structures of the US federal government, with an EU intelligence cell and military staff in Brussels led by nine generals, and plans for a Euro-army of 100,000 troops, 400 aircraft and 100 ships to project global power.
You can argue too that the accession of thirteen new countries since 2004 - mostly from Eastern Europe - has changed the chemistry of the EU beyond recognition, making it ever less plausible to think of a centralized, close-knit, political union. Yet retreat is not the declared position of the Five Presidents' Report, the chief blueprint for where they want the EU Project to go. Far from it.
In any case, even if we do not go forward, we may not go backwards either. By design it is almost impossible to repeal the 170,000 pages of the Acquis. Jean Monnet constructed the EU in such way that conquered ground can never be ceded back, as if were the battleground of Verdun.
We are trapped in a 'bad equilibrium', leaving us in permanent friction with Brussels. It is like walking forever with a stone in your shoe.
But if we opt to leave, let us not delude ourselves. Personally, I think the economics of Brexit are neutral, and possibly a net plus over 20 years if executed with skill. But it is nothing more than an anthropological guess, just as the Treasury is guessing with its cherry-picked variables.
We are compelled to make our choice at a treacherous moment, when our current account deficit has reached 7pc of GDP, the worst in peace-time since records began in 1772 under George III.
We require constant inflows of foreign capital to keep the game going, and are therefore vulnerable to a sterling crisis if foreigners lose confidence.

We have the worst current account deficit since the reign of George III


I am willing to take the calculated risk that our floating currency would act as a benign shock absorber - as devaluation did in 1931, 1992, and 2008 - but it could be a very rough ride. As Standard & Poor's warned this week, debts of UK-based entities due over the next 12 months amount to 755pc of external receipts, the highest of 131 rated sovereign states. Does it matter? We may find out.
The Leave campaign has offered no convincing plan for our future trading ties or the viability of the City. It has ruled out a fall-back to the European Economic Area,the "Norwegian" model that would preserve - if secured - access to the EU customs union and preserve the "passporting" rights of the City.
The EEA would be a temporary haven while we sorted out our global trading ties, the first step of a gradual extraction. The Leavers have not embraced this safe exit - or rather, less dangerous exit - because it would mean abandoning all else that they have pledged so promiscuously, chiefly the instant control of EU migrant flows.
By this fourberie they have muddied the water, conflating constitutional issues and with the politics of immigration. We risk a Parliamentary crisis and shrieks of betrayal if the Commons - discerning the national will - imposes the EEA option on a post-Brexit government, as it may have to do.
We leave Ireland in the lurch, at risk of an economic shock that it did nothing to provoke. Those Leavers who chatter cavalierly of resiling from the (non-EU) European Convention of Human Rights should be aware that the Good Friday peace accords are anchored in that document, and if they do not understand why it matters that just 12pc of Ulster Catholics support Brexit, they are not listening to Sinn Fein.
However unfair it may seem, the whole Western world deems Brexit to be an act of strategic vandalism at a time when Pax Americana is cracking and the liberal democracies are under civilizational threat.
Without rehearsing well-known risks, we have a Jihadi cauldron across much of the Levant and North Africa; Vladimir Putin's Russia has ripped up the post-War rule book and is testing Nato every day in the Baltics; China's construction of airfields along international shipping routes off the Philippines is leading to a superpower showdown with the US.
The Leave campaign was caught off guard when Barack Obama swept into London to make it the US view brutally clear, followed by Japan's Shinzo Abe, and a troop of world leaders. You do not unpick the web of interlocking global ties lightly.
One hopes that Brexiteers now understand what they face, and therefore what they must do to uphold British credibility if they win. We must be an even better ally. But by the same token, the people of this country have every right to take this one chance to issue their verdict on four decades of EU conduct.

Remain invokes Edmund Burke, but he should really be the pin-up philosopher of the Brexiteers


To those American friends who ask why we cavil at compromises with Europe when we "pool sovereignty" - an inaccurate term - with scores of bodies from NATO to the United Nations, the answer is that the EU is not remotely comparable in scale, ideology, or intent to anything else on this planet.
Remainers invoke Edmund Burke and the doctrine of settled practice, but settled is the one thing the EU has not been in its irrepressible itch for treaties and its accretion of power, and Burke is a double-edged sword.
He backed the American Revolution, not to create something dangerously daring and new, but rather to restore lost liberties and self-government, the settled practice of an earlier age. Americans of all people should understand why a nation may wish to assert its independence.
This is my decision. It may go against my own interest, since I hope to live out part of my remaining years in France - though countless Britons lived there contentedly in 19th Century before we ever had such a thing as the European Union, and no doubt will continue to do so long after it is gone.
I urge nobody to follow my example. It ill behoves anyone over 50 to exhort an outcome too vehemently. Let the youth decide. It is they who must live with the consequences.

 

[eek.]

I want out of europolitics bigtime.
The realpolitik situation of the EU is a coalition of German allies which goes back 1 to 200 years.
Germany is even still paying pensions to people who helped push the Jews onto trains.
WW2 collaborators from places like Belgium fled to places like Francos Spain in 1945 and holed up until the post WW2 storm blew over. Adolf granted collaborators in the occupied countries German citizenship in 1940-41, and on the back of this the current German Government is STILL paying out pensions to these Nazi collaborators and they refuse to name the people who are on this list

I want bog all to do with EU politics

 

[eek.]

I urge nobody to follow my example. It ill behoves anyone over 50 to exhort an outcome too vehemently. Let the youth decide.
It is they who must live with the consequences.

In the case of the EU referendum I am most definitely not in favour of appeasement, I'm more of a "We shall never surrender!" bloke.

At the end of the day the EU can take us back later on if they want us, they're taking pretty much any old crappy country who wants to join up nowadays anyway.

 

[eek.]

The biggest fear for the IN camp is if we leave and people see that we do ok, like Switzerland and Norway for example.

Once we've spent a decade or two outside the EU then people can make a real decision as to what they would prefer.

At the moment anyone under 40 aint got a clue

 

[eek.]

Could be a good month for gold folks, the system is getting jumpy

-----------------------------------------------------------------
German 10-year bond yield turns negative

Yields on German 10-year government bonds have turned negative for the first time.

The move is proof of investors' nervousness about the slowing global economy and the potential for turbulence if the UK leaves the EU.

German sovereign bonds - IOUs issued by the Bundesbank - are regarded as some of the safest investments in the world.

The negative yield shows investors are prepared to accept a guaranteed loss just to keep their money safe.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-36526008

 

[tiznow]

Lol beat me to it just came to post that 10 year German bund went negative..

 

[tiznow]

The western worlds creepy crawly March towards Japanese style deflation continues..

--------

[h=1]Tumbling yields mean ECB has just months left for German bond buys[/h]* Bank estimates show ECB could hit limits by September
* Half of eligible German debt now out of QE basket
* Analysts say ECB will need to raise issue ceiling
* Technical parameters of QE can be modified - ECB source
By Dhara Ranasinghe
LONDON, June 14 (Reuters) - A slide in German bond yields into negative territory means the European Central Bank risks running out of German debt to buy for its asset-purchase programme within months unless it eases its own restrictions on purchases.
These rules bar the ECB from buying bonds yielding less than its deposit rate of -0.40 percent, putting around half of the eligible 800 billion euros of German bonds on its shopping list out of reach.
The central bank may have to consider scrapping the minimum yield limit or dropping a rule that prevents it from holding more than a third of any bond issue.
Such steps would ease pressure on the $1.74 trillion euro bond-buying programme, which is due to run until March 2017. Many analysts expect the scheme to be extended because inflation, which it was designed to kickstart, remains low.
The ECB is already running into its bond-buying limits in smaller countries such as Portugal but the scarcity of eligible bonds is becoming more pressing in Germany -- the euro zone's biggest economy, where most purchases are made.
German bonds with maturities out to five years have yields below the deposit rate, and jitters about next week's UK referendum on European Union membership on Tuesday pushed the benchmark 10-year Bund yield below zero for the first time. That means investors now pay to lend money to Germany's government for a full decade.
Jefferies International predicts the ECB could run out of German bonds to buy in its chosen two- to 30-year pool in three months; Danske estimates it could hit limits by October; and Citi said problems would occur in the fourth quarter.
These calculations are based on current yield levels. If yields rise, the pool of available bonds increases.
"By the time we get to Q4, unless something changes, it's hard to see where the German Bund purchases are going to come from," said Jamie Searle, rates strategist at Citi in London.
TIME FOR CHANGE?
The quantitative easing programme, launched in March 2015, is restricted by rules designed to reduce its risks: as well as the yield, maturity and bond issue limits, the ECB can only buy bonds in proportion to each country's contribution to the ECB's capital, the so-called capital key.
"I don't see any need for such changes now and I believe there is sufficient supply for the current programme but we will make changes if we have to," said one member of the ECB's governing council, who asked not to be named. "This is all quite technical and doesn't impact the design of the programme."
He said the first obvious step could be to raise the issue limit for bonds that do not carry a collective action clause. The ECB raised this limit to 33 percent from 25 percent in September 2015. The ECB declined to comment.
Frederik Ducrozet, senior economist at Swiss wealth manager Pictet, said that increasing the limit further from 33 percent to 50 percent could buy the ECB an additional 12 months of German bond purchases.
"Since it is very likely that the ECB extends QE beyond March 2017, they will need to change the rules again, possibly as soon as September," he said.
Because of specific bond issue limits, Jefferies International estimates the ECB may have as little as three months' worth of German bonds to buy for QE at the current monthly rate of 19.6 billion euros.
Its calculations are based on expected bond issuance in the euro zone this year less the bonds that would be ineligible for purchase.
Because of a scarcity of bonds from smaller countries, the ECB bought more German, French and Italian government bonds in May than its rules dictate.
It began buying corporate bonds last week, which could help ease pressure on government bond purchases, alongside purchases of municipal and agency debt launched earlier this year. Municipal bond purchases are primarily geared towards Germany.
"Maybe the pace of (government bond) buying slows down because of corporate bond buying," said Marchel Alexandrovich, senior European economist at Jefferies.
"But say they buy 15 billion euros instead of 19 billion a month, that only extends the available pool of German bonds by 1-1/2 months and if yields go lower and more bonds are swept below minus 0.40 percent, the job becomes much tougher." (Additional reporting by Balazs Koranyi in Frankfurt, Jamie McGeever and John Geddie in London; Editing by Nigel Stephenson and Alison Williams)

 

[tiznow]

[h=1]Why Bookies Are Still Pretty Sure Brexit Isn’t Going to Happen[/h]While polls show the U.K.’s Brexit vote poised on a knife’s edge, bookies remain fairly confident the nation will stay in the European Union.
Brexit Watch: The pound, the polls, and the probability of Brexit, all in one place
Most of the biggest betting firms and exchanges in the U.K., Ireland and beyond place a 60 percent or better chance on David Cameron averting a so-called Brexit. That’s even after five polls published this week showed the “Leave” side ahead, with the latest survey giving it as much as a 7 percentage-point lead over “Remain.”
“Pollsters ask people what they feel on a particular day; we are predicting what they will actually do on June 23,” said Jamie McKittrick, head of sports trading at Ladbrokes Plc. “Historically, we have seen a late swing to the status quo, especially among the undecideds.”
Analysts at firms like Danske Bank A/S and Investec Plc now routinely include gambling odds in client notes, with betting markets viewed as offering clues to the direction of political events. In March, for example, Paddy Power Betfair Plc, Ireland’s largest bookmaker, paid out 120,000 euros ($135,000) on Donald Trump winning the U.S. Republican presidential nomination, months before he won enough delegates to become the presumptive nominee.
[h=3]Probable Future[/h]“Betting doesn’t tell what the future will be,” said Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams, director of the betting research unit at England’s Nottingham Business School. “It tells us what the probable future will be.”
As recently as last month, oddsmakers were placing a 20 percent chance on the possibility of the U.K. leaving the EU. While bookmakers like Ladbrokes this week slashed the odds on a Brexit, for now, they still make the U.K. staying in the EU the most likely outcome. That’s a pattern apparent across most betting firms and exchanges.
“The EU referendum market has exploded into life in the past week with an average of 1 million pounds traded every day, ” said Naomi Totten of Betfair, which also places a 60 percent probability on the U.K. opting to stay inside the EU. “Brexit has been backed heavily in the past 24 hours, although Remain is still clinging to favoritism.”
In a Bank of America Merrill Lynch fund managers’ survey, two-thirds of the respondents said they think Brexit is unlikely.
[h=3]The Undecided[/h]The key reason for bookies’ confidence is a tendency for undecided voters to swing back to the incumbent as voting day approaches. In the final weeks of the 1995 campaign on Quebec’s independence, polls showed separatists gaining the lead, before a last-minute shift saw them defeated. Similarly, late polls in Scotland in 2014 put independence campaigners ahead, before voters ultimately opted to remain with the U.K.
“This time, we expect a significant majority of the 12-15 percent who still haven’t made their minds up to break for the Remain side,” said McKittrick.
Most high rollers appear to agree. Some 73 percent of all the money wagered on the contest at Ladbrokes has gone to the “Remain side,” even though 67 percent of all bets have been for “Leave.”
Bookies aren’t always right. Last year, Paddy Power said it was left “red-faced” after paying out early to gamblers who incorrectly bet that Greek voters would back an austerity referendum. In this vote, bookmakers are scrambling not to get caught out. William Hill Plc said on Tuesday that ‘Brexit’ could take over as favorite by the weekend, should the campaign maintain its recent momentum.
“The odds tell us there’s about a 60 percent or so of ‘Remain’ winning, which translates, allowing for favorite-longshot bias, to about a 2 in 3 chance,” said Vaughan Williams. “If there was 1 in 3 chance of getting knocked down while crossing the road or your airplane falling out of the air, you’d be nervous.”

 

[eek.]

The bookie angle is always interesting but I recall Mitt Romneys odds being seriously skewed by a single huge bet when he was up against Obama
At the end of the day it's the cash liabilities which dictate the odds

Did anyone have a wedge on Trump? There's some weird political stuff going on just now.

 

[tiznow]

Fed backed into a corner... nothing they can do at this point but sit on their hands and watch shit hit the fan... As the western world goes Japanese..

market heads for red late on a day the fed gives the market what it wants as always... Uh oh..

 

[PatsFan1283]

http://www.bloomberg.com/topics/federal-reserve

Pretty good interview about rates having nowhere to go after the next recession.

 

[eek.]

Pretty good interview about rates having nowhere to go after the next recession.

That's not really true...
They can raise rates, if they want.

I've lived through it in the UK, 15% mortgage rates, mass unemployment, social disorder, etc

The question is: Does anyone have the balls to do it anymore? Maggie Thatcher did.

 

[eek.]

Go Trump !

 

[eek.]

Yet another intellectual liberal middle class wanker just isn't doing it for millions of citizens

 

[tiznow]

Poll out today said public dislike of trump up to 70% lmao... As I've said all along it all just one big ruse to get Hillary in White House .. Trump on other side pretty much only way post Obama as she is also at a record dislike for a presidential candidate..

absolutely no chance they allow trump to be in White House when the coming shit hits the fan comes.. As the minorities/have nots and those most likey to lash out in desperation and riot will have more reason to do so with him in office...

Will be interesting to see if righty establishment types can conjure up a coup against trump at the convention ha..
-----------

The overall figures are brutal for Trump: 70% of Americans now view the GOP presumptive nominee as unfavorable, compared to 29% favorable.
While much has been said regarding the unfavorables of both remaining candidates, it is clear according to these new figures that one is far more disliked than the other. Hillary Clinton boasts a 55% unfavorable rating according to the same poll, which WaPo points out is, “a new high” for the former Secretary.
-------------

5 reasons why GOP is worried about the 'Trump effect'

Washington (CNN)The GOP has a serious case of the June jitters.

The cause?
A presumptive presidential nominee whose standing with key voting blocs -- and in key battleground states -- is in decline and who has failed to deliver on frequent promises to follow a somewhat more traditional campaign course.
The worries were deepening even before the Orlando nightclub tragedy and have grown more profound since, as veteran Republican officials in Washington and around the country talk not only about Donald Trump's recent troubles as a candidate but the potential, in their view, for a damaging "Trump effect" on other Republican candidates.
A couple of important caveats: it is June -- the election is more than 140 days away and every candidate has bad stretches -- plus many of the complaints about Trump and his team come from people who were skeptical of Trump from day one.
Still, the jitters are real -- as are the reasons for them. Here are five reasons for the GOP angst:
Pre-Orlando: Clear signs the judge attacks were taking a toll

As last week came to a close, before the Orlando mass murder took over the news, Republicans involved in key Senate races were sounding the alarm about the impact of Trump's attacks on the federal judge overseeing the Trump University fraud case. GOP strategists and GOP allies working the Senate races in New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Wisconsin all reported a drop in Trump's standing. In Ohio, according to a well-placed GOP source, Trump fell from a statistical dead heat with Hillary Clinton to minus 10 points.
Each of those Senate races has its unique dynamics, and some of the incumbents are more vulnerable than others. So far, though, the strategists say there is no automatic "Trump effect," meaning the incumbents do not necessarily drop when trump does.
But they are worried nonetheless, readily conceding that if Trump loses their state by more than 3 to 5 five points it will be difficult for the incumbent not to get swept away. A second seasoned GOP insider tells CNN that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, in a brief conversation with Trump last weekend, made the point that Trump's trajectory had a direct connection to Senate GOP hopes of protecting their majority.
The $$ conversation is not going Trump's way at the moment

Some Republicans are actually quite happy about this: Top allies of McConnell and House Speaker Paul Ryan have made clear their priority is protecting the congressional majorities, and that they have little faith any money sent Trump's way will be spent on anything other than helping Trump. 2012 GOP nominee Mitt Romney is also in the "Never Trump" camp and has made clear to his deep fundraising network he thinks it best that money be directed to those who are focusing on House and Senate races.
Not that Trump isn't making some inroads. At a big fundraising meeting in New York last week, there were mixed opinions. Several GOP donors left impressed and were more open to the unorthodox style of the party's presumptive nominee. Others bemoaned a lack of discipline and airing worries that Trump and his team grossly underestimate the amount of resources they will need to be competitive.
Several participants said it was made clear at the meeting that it will take time to raise significant resources for Trump and Republican National Committee joint efforts, and that a short-term infusion from the candidate himself would be helpful. But there was no commitment, and many of those on hand barely made it outside of the Four Seasons meeting before chatting among themselves about their bets that Trump, for all his worth on paper, is not awash in liquid assets.
Team Clinton looks deeper -- and gets begrudging credit from GOP strategists

Most Republican strategists are privately offering begrudging praise of the Clinton campaign of late, suggesting Clinton and her team -- as well as their allies -- have learned some key lessons from the GOP primary season. These strategists note how the Clinton campaign is taking Trump seriously from day one, something most of his primary opponents did not.
As examples, they cite the aggressive debates with Trump every news cycle -- and on virtually every platform. Plus, it is not lost on Republicans that Clinton is getting help from a deep Democratic bench: President Barack Obama and Michelle Obama, former President Bill Clinton, Vice President Joe Biden, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and, soon most believe, primary rival Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.
In contrast, seemingly every day senior Republicans are making clear they disagree with Trump on one issue or another, or simply refusing to answer questions about him. Trump says he doesn't think he needs a traditional surrogate operation, just as he argues he doesn't need a traditional fundraising apparatus. But most GOP strategists not aligned with Trump take issue, noting the advantage Clinton will have sending Democratic Party stalwarts into key battleground states.
Trump's Orlando response adds to the focus and discipline worries

Complaints about a lack of focus and discipline from Trump are hardly new and even many of those who make these complaints concede his approach was quite successful in the GOP primaries. But the attacks on the judge brought these worries to a near panic level, and Trump's response to the Orlando massacre have only reinforced them.
Trump's broadbrush criticisms of Muslimsis one source of worry. As is his suggestion that Obama somehow seems sympathetic to those who attack Americans.
Most Republicans believe a strong case can be made: that Obama should have pressed more forcefully to leave a residual U.S. troop presence in Iraq; that his calling ISIS the "JV" at one point proves he was slow to understand the threat, and that Clinton's record on issues related to Syria and Libya offer opportunities to question her performance and judgment.
"But our candidate for president prefers innuendo and conspiracy theories," a Republican senator told CNN in a conversation Wednesday.
How deep is this worry? It was no accident that McConnell last week said publicly he preferred Trump stick to a script because it is clear he isn't well prepared on the issues. That senior Republicans now are forced to take issue with Trump's characterizations of Obama annoys them to no end. Again, Trump shrugs this off and says his critics are establishment Republicans and part of the problem. Those outside of Team Trump see chaos when it comes to trying to communicate a consistent Republican message in the fall.
The numbers don't lie and they do invite coup plotting

A new Bloomberg poll suggests a 12-point Hillary Clinton lead nationally.
Plus, the new ABC News/Washington Post survey shows seven in 10 Americans view Trump unfavorably.
Those and other numbers are behind talk inside Washington that Trump is losing the election even before he officially claims the GOP nomination.
Those numbers are also cited in the flurry of emails among those somehow hoping to block Trump from the trophy presentation in Cleveland. "Stop Trump" failed in the primaries. "Never Trump" could not find a credible conservative third-party challenger. Now "Dump Trump" forces are dreaming of a Cleveland convention coup.
Dont bet on it; these forces have a lousy track record so far, plus running unopposed at the end of the primary season gave Trump a whopping delegate lead. But talk of a coup does reinforce the notion of GOP chaos at a time the Democrats are coming together.
So is it possible the race is baked? Meaning that Trump's negatives are already too overwhelming to change things and win.
Don't bet on that either.
The clamoring for change and something different is off the charts, and Trump continues to lead Clinton significantly when voters are asked which candidate is more likely to shake things up in Washington.
Plus, she has high negatives, too, plus an ongoing federal investigation of the private email server she used while leading the State Department.
The GOP jitters are real, and for good reason.
But it is June. And a cycle where if we have learned anything, it should be to expect the unexpected.

 

[tiznow]

Gold busting through 1300 futures diving a bit.. Fed powerless and backed into a corner... Think the time has finally come after 7 years of zirp madness..

Still 4 1/2 long months left till election if England votes for brexit (I'll believe it when I see it) gonna be really tough to keep this boat afloat till Hillary gets in... Market crash before nov pretty much only hope for trump.. And even then I kinda doubt it as voters will have to want to let a guy with a short fuse take the reigns as shit is hitting the fan.. Most will likely want the "security" of an establishment stooge..