EvenTheSpread (7/3)
<!-- ParagraphTitleStart -->July 3rd <!-- ParagraphTitleEnd -->
<!-- ParagraphBodyStart -->Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+170)
Red Sox have won 2 of 3, 4 of 6 and 8 of 11.
Red Sox are 10-0 when playing with a day off.
Red Sox are 25-10 in home games.
Red Sox are 12-3 in Wakefield's starts, 7-0 at home, winning 5 straight.
The Bottom Line: The Red Sox Run Line should not be this high. Having not lost one of Wakefield's starts at home, the Red Sox are worth the play here at -1.5 (+170).
Bet 2 units to win 3.40 units
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
Dodgers are 28-11 vs. NL West.
Dodgers are 2-1 in Kuroda's road starts.
Kuroda is 3-0 (team is 4-0) vs. SD.
The Bottom Line: With the return of Manny and the pitching of Kuroda, the Dodgers are worth the play of -1.5 (+115).
Bet 2 units to win 2.30 units.
<!-- ParagraphTitleStart -->July 3rd <!-- ParagraphTitleEnd -->
<!-- ParagraphBodyStart -->Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+170)
Red Sox have won 2 of 3, 4 of 6 and 8 of 11.
Red Sox are 10-0 when playing with a day off.
Red Sox are 25-10 in home games.
Red Sox are 12-3 in Wakefield's starts, 7-0 at home, winning 5 straight.
The Bottom Line: The Red Sox Run Line should not be this high. Having not lost one of Wakefield's starts at home, the Red Sox are worth the play here at -1.5 (+170).
Bet 2 units to win 3.40 units
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
Dodgers are 28-11 vs. NL West.
Dodgers are 2-1 in Kuroda's road starts.
Kuroda is 3-0 (team is 4-0) vs. SD.
The Bottom Line: With the return of Manny and the pitching of Kuroda, the Dodgers are worth the play of -1.5 (+115).
Bet 2 units to win 2.30 units.
CLE -- Line is pretty high, I may still take it, Oakland is horrible
STL -- CIN has won 5 of 7, STL is 2-5 in Carp's road starts, staying off.
ATL -- Kill LHP, Lowe is bad lately, Olsen is horrible always,, probably
taking.
CHC -- After today's showing the team can either be discouraged or motivated, they have only lost 1 game started by Lilly at Wrigley and are going for the 4 game series win.
LAA -- After today's late inning outburst, and Saunders being undefeated vs. BAL, taking unless something changes.
SF -- A gift line at -110, still being underrated despite having 2nd best record in NL.
LAD -- Billingsley is pitching bad lately, but is good vs. SD (3-0 this year), a bit of a toss up here, on the fence, leaning towards betting. SD has not won a series at home since sweeping their homestand in may, 9-0.
5 for Sunday
Atlanta Braves -150
Braves have won 5 of 6.
Braves are 17-12 vs. LHP, batting avg. is .276 vs. LHP.
Braves are 16-11 vs. NL East.
Braves are 8-4 on Sunday.
Lowe is 5-2 (team is 6-2) vs. WSH with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.040.
Nationals have not won back to back home games vs. NL team since April.
Nationals are 1-7 in Olsen's starts, 0-2 on road.
Olsen is 2-5 (team is 4-7) vs. ATL with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.646.
The Bottom Line: The Nationals are horrible. Braves are worth the play at -150.
Bet 3 units to win 2 units.
Chicago Cubs -165
Cubs have won 3 of 4 and 4 of 6.
Cubs are 10-6 in Lilly's starts, 6-1 at home.
Cubs are 23-17 vs. MIL over the past 3 seasons.
Brewers have lost 3 of 4.
Brewers are 6-10 as a road underdog of +125 to +175.
The Bottom Line: After being crushed by the Brewers yesterday, the Cubs look to win the 4 game series today. Expect the Cubs to be motivated by yesterday's loss, making them worth the play of -165.
Bet 3.30 units to win 2 units.
Los Angeles Angels -175
Angels have won 8 of 11.
Angels are 9-7 in Saunders' starts, 5-3 at home.
Saunders' home ERA is 2.95.
Saunders is 5-0 vs. BAL (team is 6-0), including 1-0 this year.
Orioles have lost 3 of 4, 5 of 7 and 8 of 12.
Orioles are 3-9 on Sunday this year, 15-47 over the past 3 years.
Orioles are 6-15 in day games this year, 33-75 over the past 3 years.
The Bottom Line: With the way the Angels erupted late last night, and the way Saunders pitches against the Orioles, as well as the stats given above, the Angels are worth the play at -175.
Bet 5.75 units to win 3 units.
San Francisco Giants -110
Giants have won 5 of 7.
Giants are 26-12.
Giants are 9-3 on Sunday.
Giants are 16-12 in day games.
Giants are 10-6 in Johnson's starts, 6-2 at home, winning 4 straight and 6 of 7.
Johnson is 4-1 vs. HOU (team is 6-1) with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.106.
Astros have lost 2 straight, 3 of 5, and 4 of 7.
Astros are 7-9 in Oswalt's starts.
Oswalt is 4-5 (team is 5-7) vs. SF.
The Bottom Line: This line is a gift. The Giants are still being underrated despite having the 2nd best record in the NL. The Giants are much worth the play of -110.
Bet 3.30 units to win 3 units.
Los Angeles Dodgers -165
Dodgers have won 2 of 3 and 3 of 5.
Dodgers are 29-12 vs. Division.
Dodgers are 11-6 in Billingsley's starts, 5-3 on road.
Billingsley's road ERA is 2.85.
Billingsley is 7-3 (team is 8-4) vs. SD with an ERA of 2.78.
Billingsley is 3-0 vs. SD this year, 18.2 IP, 7 ER.
Padres have lost 3 of 4 and 4 of 6.
Padres have not won a home series since sweeping a homestand in mid-May.
The Bottom Line: Although Billingsley has been pitching unlike himself lately, he should get the job done here. The Dodgers are worth the play at -165.
Bet 2.30 units to win 2 units.
Atlanta Braves -150
Braves have won 5 of 6.
Braves are 17-12 vs. LHP, batting avg. is .276 vs. LHP.
Braves are 16-11 vs. NL East.
Braves are 8-4 on Sunday.
Lowe is 5-2 (team is 6-2) vs. WSH with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.040.
Nationals have not won back to back home games vs. NL team since April.
Nationals are 1-7 in Olsen's starts, 0-2 on road.
Olsen is 2-5 (team is 4-7) vs. ATL with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.646.
The Bottom Line: The Nationals are horrible. Braves are worth the play at -150.
Bet 3 units to win 2 units.
Chicago Cubs -165
Cubs have won 3 of 4 and 4 of 6.
Cubs are 10-6 in Lilly's starts, 6-1 at home.
Cubs are 23-17 vs. MIL over the past 3 seasons.
Brewers have lost 3 of 4.
Brewers are 6-10 as a road underdog of +125 to +175.
The Bottom Line: After being crushed by the Brewers yesterday, the Cubs look to win the 4 game series today. Expect the Cubs to be motivated by yesterday's loss, making them worth the play of -165.
Bet 3.30 units to win 2 units.
Los Angeles Angels -175
Angels have won 8 of 11.
Angels are 9-7 in Saunders' starts, 5-3 at home.
Saunders' home ERA is 2.95.
Saunders is 5-0 vs. BAL (team is 6-0), including 1-0 this year.
Orioles have lost 3 of 4, 5 of 7 and 8 of 12.
Orioles are 3-9 on Sunday this year, 15-47 over the past 3 years.
Orioles are 6-15 in day games this year, 33-75 over the past 3 years.
The Bottom Line: With the way the Angels erupted late last night, and the way Saunders pitches against the Orioles, as well as the stats given above, the Angels are worth the play at -175.
Bet 5.75 units to win 3 units.
San Francisco Giants -110
Giants have won 5 of 7.
Giants are 26-12.
Giants are 9-3 on Sunday.
Giants are 16-12 in day games.
Giants are 10-6 in Johnson's starts, 6-2 at home, winning 4 straight and 6 of 7.
Johnson is 4-1 vs. HOU (team is 6-1) with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.106.
Astros have lost 2 straight, 3 of 5, and 4 of 7.
Astros are 7-9 in Oswalt's starts.
Oswalt is 4-5 (team is 5-7) vs. SF.
The Bottom Line: This line is a gift. The Giants are still being underrated despite having the 2nd best record in the NL. The Giants are much worth the play of -110.
Bet 3.30 units to win 3 units.
Los Angeles Dodgers -165
Dodgers have won 2 of 3 and 3 of 5.
Dodgers are 29-12 vs. Division.
Dodgers are 11-6 in Billingsley's starts, 5-3 on road.
Billingsley's road ERA is 2.85.
Billingsley is 7-3 (team is 8-4) vs. SD with an ERA of 2.78.
Billingsley is 3-0 vs. SD this year, 18.2 IP, 7 ER.
Padres have lost 3 of 4 and 4 of 6.
Padres have not won a home series since sweeping a homestand in mid-May.
The Bottom Line: Although Billingsley has been pitching unlike himself lately, he should get the job done here. The Dodgers are worth the play at -165.
Bet 2.30 units to win 2 units.
