Talk to me about Texas A&M and the 9-3 record you have them coming in at this year. I'd love to know the explanation on how they better last year's record losing 3 first round draft picks and losing the best player in the school's history, the best WR in the school's history and possibly the best OL'man in the school's history? On top of that they've lost 3 starters to a defense that's already shaky at best, no? Thanks for posting and good luck this year.
i like your East prediction. I dont see why so many folks think Florida is gonna rebound. They are what they are. If you look back to their 11-2 season in Muschamps first year, they were life and death to beat Mizzou (14-7) and needed a block punt return to beat ULL. I like Mizzou in the east. I do disagree with Bama in the west. I don't think they have a QB yet, and their OL has not been as good as advertised the last couple of years. McCarron got hit a lot last year and I don't think it gets better this year because the new QB will need time to read defenses. Oh by the way, it's a first time starter at QB. I don't think the talent on defense is as good either as spread teams have moved the ball against them and they need to address the secondary coverage issues. I'm leaning Auburn just because they have a QB coming back and no one was able to stop them offensively once they got rolling. They also get Ole Miss, So Carolina and LSU at home. I dont think the Bama game will matter.
Thanks for the writeup. My .02 cents.
Thanks for the writeup. My .02 cents.
Thanks for asking. I have found that trying to go through the schedule and trying to predict exactly what teams a team will beat and who they will lose two is a losing formula. That's what everyone does and casinos rake it in on them. Without giving things away, the record predictions are formed from information pulled from the previous season and what historically has happened for ALL college teams the following year based on previous season's results. I know, sounds kind of gray but it has withstood the test of time for many years. There's a natural progression for teams from one season to the next. Only on a small number of occasions do teams greatly deviate from a certain range of improvement or regression. I sound like a math teacher don't I?
The easy thing to do is predict the total collapse of Texas A&M post Johnny Manziel. Many thought Baylor would head back to their sub .500 days once RGIII left. Texas A&M's defensive problems had quite a bit to do with the way their offense played. More plays on offense means more plays on the field for your defense. Don't be so quick to write them off because Manziel's gone. Sumlin has a strong history as a head coach and you never know if there's another Manziel in the shadows. Nobody knew him before he lit it up at College Station.
Thanks for your feedback, it was great. I think Florida is more the 11-2 season than the 8-4 season. A close win should not be written off. Close wins a lot of times show a team's character more than blowouts do. Muschamp's teams feature defense and ball control on offense. One can not write off 21 key injuries for Florida in 2013. That would dump any team on their head let alone a team playing in the SEC. By the end of the season, Florida's offense will be a much improved and they will have much needed balance between their offensive and defensive units. Bama despite they new QB, still is a program and a machine. Until that machine shows significant wear and team in their moving parts, it's difficult to predict worthy pull back in performance. I think the entire focus of SEC defensive coordinators was Auburn and that's going to slow down what they do this year. Auburn truly caught people by surprise in 2013. Will be tough to do that again this season.
