** For What It's Worth **
Ole Miss and Texas A&M
Play ON a team that is showing positive signs with a coach in his 3rd year. Some coaching changes do bring about immediate results but that is the exception, not the rule. Many times, a college coach will hit his stride in his 3rd year, especially if the coach has done well recruiting. By year three, his own recruits will be playing first string and the team is well adjusted to all the new systems and techniques that the new coach has implemented. Teams that are not being hyped in a coach's 3rd year despite improvement from year one to year two, should provide tremendous line value.
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Florida
Play AGAINST a team with a short term head coach that is on the "hot seat", unless he's beloved and respected by his players. If a coach hasn't turned a program around in the usual 3-year "honeymoon" period and is under fire, the added pressure is not likely to help. He probably worked hard and gave it his best effort since his arrival. If that hasn't been enough, it is not likely to get better. The coach may take drastic measures like firing and hiring new assistants, bringing in new offensive or defensive schemes, and throwing young untested players onto the field...but these are usually signs of desperation. Additionally, unless the team reveres the coach, there is no reason for them to work harder in practice and hustle more in games to save his job. In fact, it gives them an excuse to underperform, since the coach will get the blame and not them.
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.......:>(........:discuss: