School In.....a Course In Money Management 101...

[SportSavant]

another game that comes to mind is Green Bay Houston.... You probably have this game in your records as a Push, but again, the astute line shopper could have won here aswell:

Selection Price <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1:City><st1lace>Green Bay</st1lace></st1:City> at <st1:City><st1lace>Houston</st1lace></st1:City><o></o>

<st1:City><st1lace>Houston</st1lace></st1:City> +3.5 2.00 Win <o></o>

Bet Type Straight bet on above selection <o></o>

Bet Price 2.00 <o></o>

Bet Amount $500.00 <o></o>

Bet Payout $1,000.00 <o></o>

Time Placed November 21 <st1:time Hour="18" Minute="49">18:49</st1:time>

Anway, all of this to simply say, that giving out advice to gamblers, that they should still bet on a game despite the line having moved from 2.5 to 4.5 across such a key number such as 3.... is incorrect advice, as you say in your thread..... Live to fight another day....

 

[SportSavant]

IMPORTANT PARAGRAPH FROM OLDMANTED'S MONEY MANAGEMENT ARTICLE:

We will start with the bankroll. For simplicity, I will assume that posters make an assignment that 1 unit equals $100. The 1 unit should equal 1% of the bankroll. Therefore, a player at this level should be starting with a bankroll of $10,000. My example will use these as the basis. I will also use a varying wagering style wherein a player will rate his wagers from 1 to 5 units or 1% to 5% respectively. Futhermore, the amount of the wager will vary as the bankroll varies. Thus, as it increases, so does the wager and as it decreases so does the wager but with one guideline. The unit value stays constant until the bankroll increases or decreases in 20% increments. Thus, 1 unit remains at $100 until the bankroll reaches $12,000 or $8,000. This allows for a period of relatively consistent levels for a longer period of time until the bankroll is significantly changed either up or down.

 

[ACE-ACE]

sport savant

i still have it at 29 out of 192 game..its base on sat line......yes you are right if the line move up 2-3 point ....i did not factor that in.....

week 13.....3 game the points matter.....sf lost to stl by 10......the line was 10.5
sd by 3....it hit the nummber
pit win by 1....line was -3

week12 ....2 games the point matter...pit won by 9....the line was 10
atl won by 3.....the line was 10

week 11....2 games the point matter...min won by 3....line was 7.5
sea won by 7....line was -10

week 10....1 game the point matter....gb won by 3.....the line was 4

week 9.....1 game the point matter...ind won by 3....the line was6

week 8.... 2 game the point matter...phi won by 5....the line was 7.5
set won by 6....the line was 8

week 7..... 2 game the points matter..phi won by 3....the line was7
ne won by 6....the line was 7
that 13 game that the points matter.....try to find more week7-week13???

week1-6......there was 16 games that the point matter

29 in total......the only way that it can matter is ...if the fav give up points and dont cover...........

if the team that getting the point win out right....they just win

in week 7-13....if you were to buy a hook or two.....it would have been less.........

week 13 stl game the line was 10.5......if you buy 1 point hook.......the fav would not of loss....

 

[ACE-ACE]

sport savant

I WENT TO EVERY GAME + THE TWO YOU FOUND FOR ME....

EVERY LINE OF THE 192 GAME...

LINE MOVEMENT....PLUS IF YOU BUT A HOOK DOES THE LINE MATTER VS THE GAME.......

I HAD IT AT 29...PLUS THE TWO YOU FOUND....PLUS THE 2 I FOUND....THAT MAKES A TOTAL OF 33 OUT OF 192.....IF YOU GET THE LINE IN ALL THE DIFF WAYS (LINE MOVEMENT& HOOKS)......

I KNOW YOU THINK IT MIGHT BE MORE.....BUT IT NOT......

THANK YOU FOR GETTING ME ON TRACK....

 

[ACE-ACE]

Risking Your Balance

A PLAYER RISK 110 0N A SATURDAY NIGHT GAME WHICH HE WINS.HIS BALANCE IS NOW 210 AND HE RISKS IT ALL SUNDAY IPM GAME.....WHICH HE ALSO WIN,HIS BALANCE JUST OVER $400 FEELING LUCKY,HE PUTS THE WHOLE AMOUNT ON THE 4PM GAME AND WINS AGAIN ,HIS BALANCE A INCREDIBLE $765 IN LESS THAN A DAY.....HE DECIDES TO RISKS IT ALL ON THE SUNDAY NIGHT GAME WHICH HE LOSES.....

NOW LOST $110 DESPITE GOING 3-1 .....WAGERING $110 FOR EACH OF THE FOUR GAMES WOULD HAVE YIELDED A PROFIT OF $190.......

REMEMBER......BOOKS HAVE A 50/50 CHANCE OF WIPING YOU OUT WHEN YOU PUT ALL YOUR ACTION ON ANY ONE GAME AND THOSE ODD WILL CATCH UP WITH YOU EVENTUALLY....

 

[SportSavant]

awesome information

33 of 192 = 17%

ace, do you have the numbers of how many games of the 192 did the dog win straight up so far this year?

 

[ACE-ACE]

awesome information

33 of 192 = 17%

ace, do you have the numbers of how many games of the 192 did the dog win straight up so far this year?

dog winning straight up 70 of 192 =36%

 

[CodeRed]

This is some great stuff...... Thanks guys had to look in the mirror was up over 7000 and now down 300. Head is back on straight and looking to play smart. Ending on the plus side for the year will be nice, but what a great lesson I learned. Ace going to jump on your back..... GL to all

 

[SportSavant]

seriously?

so in other words the dog has either won straight up or covered the point spread in 103 of 192 games this year? Am I reading that right?

I could have sworn there were way more favorites winning & covering this year than dogs winning or covering... amazing

 

[ACE-ACE]

seriously?

so in other words the dog has either won straight up or covered the point spread in 103 of 192 games this year? Am I reading that right?

I could have sworn there were way more favorites winning & covering this year than dogs winning or covering... amazing

i was off a few......

this is hard to do .....its all about where i got the line at...as we talk before....you had cin at 5.5 vs pitt........i put the line down at +4.5....

the point matter is at 33 games......
(I) GOT THE DOGS COVERING 96 GAMES AND THE FAV 96 GAMES
THAT MAKES 67 GAME THE DOG WON OUT RIGHT......

THE THING THAT GOT ME OFF IS THE "POINTS THAT MATTER"
I HAD IT AT 29 OUT OF 192......

"ITS ALL WHERE YOU PUT YOUR ENDING LINE"

4 GAME THIS YEAR COULD GO BOTH WAYS

POINT THAT MATTER...........29......OR.....33
DOG WIN OUT RIGHT..........67......OR.....67
.............................TOTAL..96......OR.....100

ITS NOT 70...I.WAS OFF ON THAT....

SO HOW DO WE SAID IT?