Absolutely wonderful information Hairy. GL
How did you end up in the Wild Card round Hairy. You never updated your results for the weekend.
Dang your entire season bankroll rests on 1 game. Are you chasing last weeks losses?
Chiefs Best Bets for AFC Divisional Round
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Team Total Under in their last 9 games at home
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 9 games at home
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games
- The Kansas City Chiefs have scored first in their last 5 games at home
Handicapping information Copied and Pasted>>> Taken from Internet Sports Media. Bleacher Report, Inc., USA Today Sports Media Group, Pro Football Weekly's & NFL Weather.com, Football Stats and History, and other sources connected with NFL Sports. * *****Stats taken from Power Ratings Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power, B&Rs Expert Consensus Rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders ~[Cleveland OH] Jerry Nyles NFL Capper, Mike Stewart NFL Capper, Sports Analyst Robert Vinaltti, Harry Danerian NFL Capper, Harold Johnson NFL Analyst, Kyle Davis NFL Capper, Sam Trever NFL Capper, Steve Davis NFL Analyst, Sal Siciliano ,NFL Capper, Harvey DeCarlo NFL Capper Bobby Lancer NFL Analyst Handicapper, There Exclusive Ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL Compliments From Harry Danerian ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~
Article by Bobby Lancer NFL Analyst Handicapper
with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders ~[Cleveland OH]
Kansas City Chiefs offense behind the arm of quarterback Patrick Mahomes will attack a below par secondary for Jacksonville that allowed an average of 238.5 yards per game passing. In their opening postseason victory over Los Angeles, Jacksonville gave up 273 yards passing to Justin Herbert. Kansas City Quarterback Mahomes threw for just one interception over the final four games of the regular season, while finishing the regular season with 12 interceptions but an NFL leading 41 touchdown passes.
These stats make a difference!!!! Jags' defense struggles against the pass (fifth-worst in the NFL) and will take on the top passing offense in the league. The Jaguars average 23.8 points (10th) and 357.4 total yards (10th) per game, including 124.5 rushing yards (14th) and 232.9 passing yards (10th). The Chiefs can also rely on Mahomes to make it happen when it matters. KC scored the most red zone touchdowns (50) and boasts the top conversion rate (43%) on third and 10-plus yards this season. Jacksonville has failed
d to cover the spread in six of its last seven head-to-head against Kansas City.
Kansas City has covered the spread in six of its last eight postseason games played at home. Weather could play a factor in Saturday's game as snow or a mix of rain and snow is expected along with the temperature getting colder as the game wears on. These factors favor Kansas City as the Chiefs are more accustomed to playing in foul weather. Jacksonville has pass rushers, but the Chiefs will do enough to protect Mahomes, giving the gunslinger the necessary time to pick apart a poor Jags pass defense. The Chiefs should win, but they can’t let Jacksonville hang around. On the other hand, if Jacksonville starts out anywhere remotely close to how they did against the Chargers, they’ll be in for a long game.
It is hard to bet against Mahomes, who continuously elevates his game and his teammates around this time of the year. If the Chiefs can take care of business, they will be third team in NFL history to reach five straight conference championship games.
Article by Bobby Lancer NFL Analyst Handicapper
with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders ~[Cleveland OH]
Kansas City Chiefs offense behind the arm of quarterback Patrick Mahomes will attack a below par secondary for Jacksonville that allowed an average of 238.5 yards per game passing. In their opening postseason victory over Los Angeles, Jacksonville gave up 273 yards passing to Justin Herbert. Kansas City Quarterback Mahomes threw for just one interception over the final four games of the regular season, while finishing the regular season with 12 interceptions but an NFL leading 41 touchdown passes.
These stats make a difference!!!! Jags' defense struggles against the pass (fifth-worst in the NFL) and will take on the top passing offense in the league. The Jaguars average 23.8 points (10th) and 357.4 total yards (10th) per game, including 124.5 rushing yards (14th) and 232.9 passing yards (10th). The Chiefs can also rely on Mahomes to make it happen when it matters. KC scored the most red zone touchdowns (50) and boasts the top conversion rate (43%) on third and 10-plus yards this season. Jacksonville has failed
d to cover the spread in six of its last seven head-to-head against Kansas City.
Kansas City has covered the spread in six of its last eight postseason games played at home. Weather could play a factor in Saturday's game as snow or a mix of rain and snow is expected along with the temperature getting colder as the game wears on. These factors favor Kansas City as the Chiefs are more accustomed to playing in foul weather. Jacksonville has pass rushers, but the Chiefs will do enough to protect Mahomes, giving the gunslinger the necessary time to pick apart a poor Jags pass defense. The Chiefs should win, but they can’t let Jacksonville hang around. On the other hand, if Jacksonville starts out anywhere remotely close to how they did against the Chargers, they’ll be in for a long game.
It is hard to bet against Mahomes, who continuously elevates his game and his teammates around this time of the year. If the Chiefs can take care of business, they will be third team in NFL history to reach five straight conference championship games.
I just like say thank all 2000+ members and visitors looking at my treads that I post!!! I might say my winning record says it all!! I would have to venture to say that maybe 1500 + people that are guests not members. Also personal friends that are not members but guests. They could care less about the reply's and comments by members. They are more interested in my write ups and my analysis and with DVANX 25 group and there analysis. They might agree with my picks and bets or they might not? ~Its there call not mine~. My Strategy based on Bob Martins money management I do not bet same amount on each game. When I pick game to bet buying hook or full point I automatedly press money line bet with the point spread bet with a hedge. Depending on If the line happens to be a plus, I look at the plus money if its enough to cover the point spread or more I bet but not press. How much you bet on game is your business not mine. How much I bet is my business also. Its all about winning!!!! This formula I use with models is heavily Depending on DVANX 25 group and there analysis which I relate to you, I am also a member. Thank You Harry Danerian[ HarryTheHat ] !!!!!! Lets Just Win!!!
My opinion with my game selection all comes down to "value" or "false value" and I make that determination. My betting system is heavily dependent on statistics, requiring some data gathering and assumption building regarding future performance. My analysis with information using three Power ratings with a comparison factoring in home team edges. Trying to analyze a clear idea what teams are inflated with the point spread. Looking at stats from many different media sources with the point spreads compared to all three power ratings. I also use my analysis based on his model that factors in defense and offense statistics including points scored, points given up, win-loss record, and strength of games played and remaining. It indicates who is actually the better teams irrespective of record. There many games close on the weekly card which is no play for me .... From there I decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the games I pick, of early public betting trends and the situational trends & money lines in matchup.
My opinion with my game selection all comes down to "value" or "false value" and I make that determination. My betting system is heavily dependent on statistics, requiring some data gathering and assumption building regarding future performance. My analysis with information using three Power ratings with a comparison factoring in home team edges. Trying to analyze a clear idea what teams are inflated with the point spread. Looking at stats from many different media sources with the point spreads compared to all three power ratings. I also use my analysis based on his model that factors in defense and offense statistics including points scored, points given up, win-loss record, and strength of games played and remaining. It indicates who is actually the better teams irrespective of record. There many games close on the weekly card which is no play for me .... From there I decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the games I pick, of early public betting trends and the situational trends & money lines in matchup.
*What's your record. I've never seen you post a record.
*What was your record including units won/lost last week, Wild Card Round.
Thank you sir GL
Different look compared to DVANX 25 group. This also has great information>> https://twitter.com/fboutsiders ~ Tweets Tweets!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I guess questions aren't answered in this thread. ?
I'll just do it myself since it won't be posted and I'm curious. Since he doesn't post amounts or units I'll base it off of "to win $100" on each including presses.
A couple of the same teasers were listed on Saturday and Sunday. I only counted those losses once.
POSTED THREAD ON Saturday 2-5, -$355
*SF 1/H -$300 to win $100 LOSS
*SF -450 3x press, $1350 to win $300 WIN
*7 pt teaser Jax +9 1/2/SF -3, -$140 to win $100 WIN
*7 pt teaser Buff -6, SF -3, - $140 to win $100 LOSS
*7 pt teaser Buff -6, Jax +9 1/2, SF -3 $100 to win $120 LOSS
*Austin Ekeler Over 45.5 Rushing Yards - $115 to win $100 LOSS
*My Same -Game Parlay for Chargers vs. Jaguars consists of the following legs: $100 to win $550 LOSS
Los Angeles Chargers -2.5 (-115)
Austin Ekeler Anytime TD (-155)
Justin Herbert Over 229.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Trevor Lawrence Over 224.5 Passing Yards (-180)
POSTED THREAD ON Sunday 1-3, +$190
*Min -2 1/2 (bought hook) - $130 to win $100 LOSS
*Cin -$450 6x press $2700 to win $600 WIN
*7 pt teaser Minn +4, Cin -1 1/2, -$140 to win $100 LOSS
*7 pt teaser Buff -6 1/2, Cin -1 1/2, -$140 to win $100 LOSS
POSTED THREAD ON Monday 0-1, -$100
*7 pt teaser TB +10, Over 38 $140 to win $100 LOSS
OVERALL 3-9, -$445
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Stop trolling the guy
I
Is this where you learned money mgmt ?
