LOL….you taking the California Baptists again? Didn’t you learn your lesson?
yeah i am glutton for punishment i guess but this should be a good situation for them. gotta have a short memory with these teams.
Another total I spotted that is off by about 10 much like Tulane total is Xavier. Winthrop is avg 84 pts last 5 and xavier 80. Xavier ranks 61 out of 362 in possessions per game and is netting 75 per game, meanwhile Winthrop is low 200's but was running a much faster pace earlier in year and does run a faster pace on the road as well as against teams like Xavier. As such, I have this game into the mid to high 160's.
Winthrop/Xavier Over 154 (Top play)
UNCG/Marshall Over 155
Ole Miss-3
Interesting stat UK gets points in the 1st 6 seconds on shot clock! Less pass more shots!! UK Over 38 points in 1st Half..... no problem if shots are dropping. No time here to look at all the teams you cover but... Did watch Good part of Ohio St/UCLA.. not impressed with either.
I dont have alot of outs..my lines are not the same as many that are put out...but my question is should we not play the game if my line is worse? Do we buy some points? I ask pirate what should a bettor do..as a professional i need some advice on what is the way to handle...thanks for your advice,
yes do what you feel comfortable with and if you can get within a point for minimal juice I'd take it. Esp totals as top plays, sometimes they clear by 10-20 points or more like tulane over today. NCAA lines are very tight so if you're betting a massive amount per game then it's wise to get the best line buy buying the hook or to the original line without it being over -125-130ish. Hope that helps bud!
sorry, I hate that. Xavier and winthrop just couldnt score tonight and slowed it down, atypical of any xavier game i've watched. ughh
Late night games, really like SD...Too many points. played them to a 12 point loss last year and this year they are better while Irvine has not been. Irvine off 3 losses. SD also played Air force to a 1 point loss recently and have shown signs of coming on this year. This feels more like a 5-10 point game at best...
South Dakota+16 (Top play)
Howard-3-105
NC State/Tennesee Over 149
thanks man, i try to when i have time but i am in and out a lot, and have kids running around, ADD fires up and i end up distracted when i try to put everything together. i have my excel sheet on the other screen will just try to paste that more often.
Howard above is a top play, forgot to put that.
Going to be visiting family around DC in afternoon so will be here a bit in early AM then out so getting thses in early
For Sunday:
Kansas State-5-115
North Dakota State+4
Montana+3
Missouri ML-120
Stony Brook-3-115
Auburn-8
Pepperdine/Louisville Over 145
Not the best day today as we had last few days and most of this past week since last Friday, with some wild results, lost the Baptists from Cali again by 1 point thanks to BS at the end, WVU best player breaks his wrist and they go down easily, Indiana State falls apart up big, and then wins by 2 missing even a push by 2. Bad read on SD late, terrible game for them. This is NCAA "silly season" between exams and conference play so things do go upside down some at times.
Did win 6 top plays at least to keep it close to even so far with a few pending. Sorry to anyone who tailed and lost today.
keep forgetting, top plays above for tomorrow are the first 4 (K State, NDSU, Montana, Missouri). still looking at a few more and may have some before i leave in AM
Did win 6 top plays at least to keep it close to even so far with a few pending. Sorry to anyone who tailed and lost today.
keep forgetting, top plays above for tomorrow are the first 4 (K State, NDSU, Montana, Missouri). still looking at a few more and may have some before i leave in AM
i hear ya my kids mom, my 1st wife had a 2nd stroke, she is on life support, may have to be in a nursing home, fed thru a tube or she might die, if that happens ill be flying back, its a shame, she has MS and has had 2 strokes this one really did it to her, nothing worse then being helpless to someone, have all the money in the world and ya cant fix some problems ..... i know your dealing with a lot too as always wishing ya the best brother
thank you Nolan! Appreciate it. Hope you are well and one day I'll get back to DR and we'll have some cerveza! 
adding:
McNeese State-6-115
Oral Roberts+8-105
From above:
Kansas State-5-115
North Dakota State+4
Montana+3
Missouri ML-120
Stony Brook-3-115
Auburn-8
Pepperdine/Louisville Over 145
Top plays: McNeese St, Kansas State, NDSU, Montana, Missouri
adding:
McNeese State-6-115
Oral Roberts+8-105
From above:
Kansas State-5-115
North Dakota State+4
Montana+3
Missouri ML-120
Stony Brook-3-115
Auburn-8
Pepperdine/Louisville Over 145
Top plays: McNeese St, Kansas State, NDSU, Montana, Missouri
