Saturday Service Play Thread 09/11/2021

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Let's go Brandon!
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NCAA Sharp Action

3:30 p.m. ET: Texas A&M (1-0, ranked 5th) at Colorado (1-0)

Both of these non-conference opponents are coming off impressive Week 1 victories. Texas A&M destroyed Kent State 41-10, covering as 29.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Colorado took down Northern Colorado 35-7, although the Buffs failed to cover as 37.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Texas A&M listed as a 17-point road favorite. The public sees an easy blowout win and cover with a ranked, Top 5 Aggies squad. However, despite this lopsided betting we've seen the line remain at -17. Normally, if one side is getting overwhelming support the line will be adjusted in their favor, with oddsmakers moving the number further toward the popular side in order to entice betting on the opponent so they can mitigate their risk. However, this line has never crept up to -18 or -19 despite the heavy Aggies support. This signals a sharp line freeze on the Buffs at home, with pros leaning toward grabbing the points. Colorado has value as a double-digit unranked home contrarian dog against a ranked opponent.


4:30 p.m. ET: Iowa (1-0, ranked 10th) at Iowa State (1-0, ranked 9th)

This in-state grudge match between undefeated Top 10 teams is shaping up to be one of the biggest "Pros vs Joes" matchups of Saturday's Week 2 slate. The public perception of these teams is vastly different. Iowa is coming off an impressive 34-6 win over Indiana, easily covering as 3.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Iowa State barely edged Northern Iowa 16-10, failing to cover as 28.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Iowa State listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. The public is rushing to the window to grab the points with Iowa, who looked far better in their season opener. However, despite a majority of bettors backing Iowa, we've seen this line move further to Iowa State (-3.5 to -4.5). This signals sharp "Fade the Trendy Dog" reverse line movement on the Cyclones, with pros buying low on Iowa State at home to win and cover. Iowa State is a rare contrarian favorite in a heavily bet game. When two ranked teams go head-to-head, the favorite is roughly 55% ATS over the past decade. We've also seen some over money show up, raising the total from 44.5 to 46.


7 p.m. ET: NC State (1-0) at Mississippi State (1-0)

This primetime showdown is one of the most lopsided games of the day, which creates notable value for contrarian minded bettors. NC State just destroyed South Florida 45-0, easily covering as 20-point home favorites. On the flip side, Mississippi State barely edged Louisiana Tech 35-34, failing to cover as 20.5-point home favorites. In other words, one team cruised while the other barely staved off a terrible upset loss. This line opened with NC State listed as a 2.5-point road favorite. The public can't believe the line is so low and are hammering the Wolfpack to cover the short spread. However, we've seen this line fall from -2 to -1, which indicates wiseguy action backing Mississippi State at home (+ 2 to + 1). The Bulldogs combine two key elements for data-driven bettors: contrarian in a heavily bet game and sharp reverse line movement in their favor.


10:15 p.m. ET: Utah (1-0, ranked 21st) at BYU (1-0)

This in-state rivalry commonly referred to as The Holy War is the most heavily bet late game on Saturday night. Utah enters ranked 21st, having just beaten Weber State 40-17 but failing to cover as 29.5-point home favorites. Similarly, BYU edged Arizona 24-16 but failed to cover as 13.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Utah listed as a 7-point road favorite. The public is always biased toward ranked opponents over unranked opponents and this game is no exception. However, despite lopsided public support favoring Utah, this line hasn't budged off -7. In fact, it's even dipped down to 6.5 at times. This signals a sharp line freeze and slight reverse line movement liability on BYU as a home dog getting a key number. BYU has buy-low value as an unranked home dog vs a ranked opponent. The Cougars are also a top contrarian play in a heavily bet late game.
 
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Northcoast College Late Phone:
4H South Alabama (-14) Bowling Green 4pm ESPN Plus
4H Kentucky (-5.5) Missouri 7:30pm SEC Network
3H UAB (+23.5) Georgia 3:30pm ESPN2
3H TCU (-11.5) California 3:30pm ESPNU
3H Nebraska (-14) Buffalo 3:30pm Big Ten Network

Northcoast STAR RATED TOTALS PLAYS:
4H Under 46.5 San Diego St/Arizona 10pm Pac-12 Network
3H Under 57 Pittsburgh/Tennessee Noon ESPN
3H Under 46 Iowa/Iowa St 4:30pm ABC

Northcoast STAR RATED Small College PLAYS:
3H Kent St (-19) VMI 11:30am (*****early kickoff!!!*****)
3H Southern Miss (-23) Grambling St 7pm
 

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Adam Trigger
Nebraska -13.5
Troy +4

Al Demarco
North Carolina State

Barrett Sallee
Texas Under 56
Texas -7
South Alabama -14
Oregon +14.5
Ball State +22.5

Bob Balfe
Iowa State -4.5
Pittsburgh -3.5
Oregon/Ohio State Over 64
Pittsburgh/Tennessee Over 55.5

Bob Sports Bet
Ball State +22.5
Pittsburgh -3.5

Bryan Leonard
E Wyoming -6

Bryan Powers
J Wyoming

Chris Jordan
BYU/Utah Under

Dave Cokin
South Carolina +2
Wisconsin -25.5

Dave
Essler
Michigan Under 49.5

Doc's Sports
G North State -1
E Kentucky -5
C TCU -11
C Pittsburgh -3

Doug Upstone
E Kentucky -5
D South Carolina -2
C Arkansas +7
C North Carolina State -1.5

Emory Hunt
Notre Dame -16.5
North State -2.5
Liberty -4.5

Goodfella
B Oregon/Ohio State Over 63

Gus Augustine
Syracuse

Harry
Bondi
D Liberty
C Colorado
C Iowa State
C Utah

Indian Cowboy
C Pittsburgh -3
C Iowa State -4
C Washington +7

IQ Sports
E Pittsburgh -3
E Iowa State -4
D Georgia Southern Over 48.5
D New Mexico State Over 55.5
D Georgia State Over 66

Jack Brayman
Florida Atlantic

Jack Jones
Rutgers
Georgia Southern
UAB

Jason Sharpe
G Pitt -3
E Western Kentucky +6
D Navy +6
D North Carolina State -1.5
C South Carolina -1.5
C Wisconsin -26

Jeff Hochman
Arkansas +7

JM Sports
D
Northern Illinois +7
C
Iowa +4.5
B
Rutgers -130

Jimmy Moore
G Iowa +4.5

Joe Gavazzi
E SouthCarolina -2
D Liberty -4
D Kentucky -5

Josh Pate
Oregon Over 63.5
Vanderbilt +7
Texas State +1.5
Oklahoma State -13

King Creole
C Tulsa/Oklahoma State Under 51

Kirby Maxwell
Ball State

Kyle Akins
Pittsburgh Under 56.5
Rutgers Under 52.5
Minnesota -17.5

Lee Sterling
Kentucky
Wyoming
Texas
Miami
Texas State
Iowa State

Marc Lawrence
Washington (data play)

Marco D'Angelo
D Washington +6.5
C Illinois +10.5
C Wisconsin -26
C UNLV/Arizona Under 54.5

Matt Rivers
Utah

Matt Severance
South Carolina +2
Michigan -6
Ohio State -14
Rutgers -2.5
Memphis -5.5
Air Force -5.5
UAB Under 46


Micah Roberts
Buffalo +13.5
Memphis -5
South Carolina pk
San Diego State +110

Mike Tierney
Utah -7
Sooth Alabama -14
Temple -6.5
Air Force -6
Oregon +14.5
Miami Ohio +18

Mitchell Newman
California

Northcoast
Army/Western Kentucky Over 52 (Top Opp)

Paul Stone
Pittsburgh -3
Air Force -6
California/TCU Under 48

PickersMx
La Barba Pickers
Minnesota -19

Pointwise Phones
D Michigan
D Liberty
C Rice
C Army
C Iowa
C Minnesota
B Pittsburgh
B Syracuse
B Navy
B New Mexico State
B Purdue

Pure Lock
J SMU -22

Rob Veno
E Buffalo/Nebraska Over 54.5
D Middle Tennessee/Virginia Tech Over 54.5

Rocky Atkinson
Liberty

Scott Delaney
Notre Dame

Scott Richenbach
Michigan

Scott Spreitzer
F Texas -7
D Pittsburgh -3
C Notre Dame Over 55.5
C Ball State +23
B San Diego +2

Sean Higgs
Rice

Sean Murphy
J Purdue

Sharpside
Ohio State -14
Utah -7

Stephen Nover
UAB

Steve Budin
Texas

Teddy Covers
E Washington +6.5

Tom Fornelli
Ohio State Under 63.5
Navy Under 40.5
Iowa +4.5
Texas -7
Michigan Under 48.5
San Diego State +2

Tom Stryker
Oregon State
Wisconsin
D Toledo/Notre Dame Over 55.5

Tommy Brunson
North Carolina State

Trace Adams
Colorado

Vernon Croy
D Iowa/Iowa State Under 46

Wiseguy Team
Wyoming/Northern Illinois Under 44
South Florida +28.5
Oregon +14.5
Tennessee +4
Toledo +17


Wunderdog
Purdue -34
 

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Shakerthe scam

that is goodfella's Bonus Play which u forgot to mention it's not wise to post a Bonus Play then beg for the big plays from other Cappers U GOY Essler and nover so why don't u get goodfella's big play I believe it's on the Iowa/Iowa st game
 

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PickersMx
Lady Pickers B00 Dimes
Wisconsin-25

La Barba A00 Dimes
Minnesota-18

Mushu A00 Dimes
USC -17

Special Pick GE Dimes
Over 64 OSU&Oregon

Free Pick D0 Dimes
OSU -14
 

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H&H Sports
Back by 2:45 p.m.

CFB
Triple Dime - Notre Dame -16.5
Double Dime - Ohio State/Oregon Over 64
Dime - Pittsburgh/Tennessee Under 56.5
 
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[FONT=&quot]2021 College Football Watch & Win Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Oregon/Ohio State over 63 1/2
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot][FONT=&quot][/FONT][/FONT]
Early College Football Bonus Winners
Pittsburgh/Tennessee under 56 1/2
South Carolina/East Carolina under 56 1/2
Tulsa/Oklahoma State over 51
Florida/South Florida under 58 1/2

Sept's College Football on FOX Super Total of the Month!!!!!
Texas A&M/Colorado over 50 1/2

Mid-Day College Football Bonus Winners
Air Force/Navy over 40 1/2
California/TCU over 47
UAB/Georgia over 44
Iowa/Iowa State under 46 1/2


2021 College Football Primetime Super Total of the Year!!!!!

Texas/Arkansas over 56 1/2

Late College Football Bonus Winners
NC State/Mississippi State over 55 1/2
Washington/Michigan over 48 1/2
Utah/BYU over 49
Stanford/USC under 53 1/2
 

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Does anyone have the red sheet plays? I can’t see the link in the newsletters thread
 

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Insidersports 5 unit play?
Insider Sports Report

5* Toledo/Notre Dame OVER 55.5 (NCAAF)
Range: 54 to 58

3* South Carolina -2 over East Carolina (NCAAF) (ALREADY STARTED)
Range: -.5 to -4.5

3* Florida/South Florida UNDER 58.5 (NCAAF)
Range: 60 to 56

3* Liberty -4 over Troy (NCAAF)
Range: -2 to -6
 

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