JM Sports
Game: (969) Baltimore Orioles at (970) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: Jul 31 2021 6:10 PM EDT
Play Rating: D units
Play: Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-165) J Means (LHP), M Manning (RHP) Must StartD unit Detroit Tigers (+1.5 ; -165) over Baltimore Orioles (Means/Manning)-
I debated on making this play a straight up underdog pick but with the line and taking the 1.5 runs was an even bigger cushion. Detroit is 11-3 @ H off a L, and that loss was a struggle, they led exactly 0 innings (7-2 off a game where they didn’t lead an inning), the biggest lead of that game was -4 (when they trail by more then 3 they are 7-1 to follow) but their bullpen didn’t allow a run, and when the Tigers use more then 3 arms out of the pen w/o allowing a run they are 7-0. For the Tigers going against Means and being at home gives them the edge, @ home Detroit is 8-1 vs. a team w/ an away winning percentage under 40% and they are 16-8 vs. LHP (including 9-2 at home). Baltimore just continues to struggle on the other hand, with their LHP on the mound in Means, both are attempting to turn things around, in the L7 starts Means is 0-3 with a 4.91 ERA. Even though they are going up against a pitcher that does not look to have stellar numbers, but Manning is 2-0 (team is 3-0) in his home starts, and even though his ERA is over 4 that may not help Baltimore much. The Orioles are 0-8 on the road vs. a SP w/ an ERA > 5.00 (3-13 A vs. SP w/ ERA > 4.00), alongside a record of 6-20 on the road in the L25 vs. RHP, and 5-21 in the L26 non-divisional games. Baltimore managed to squeak one out Friday, but off a 1 run W, the Orioles are 2-5 and the Tigers are still over 55% @ H, and when Baltimore is on the road vs. a team with a winning percentage at home over 55%, they are just 4-14.
Game: (969) Baltimore Orioles at (970) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: Jul 31 2021 6:10 PM EDT
Play Rating: D units
Play: Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-165) J Means (LHP), M Manning (RHP) Must StartD unit Detroit Tigers (+1.5 ; -165) over Baltimore Orioles (Means/Manning)-
I debated on making this play a straight up underdog pick but with the line and taking the 1.5 runs was an even bigger cushion. Detroit is 11-3 @ H off a L, and that loss was a struggle, they led exactly 0 innings (7-2 off a game where they didn’t lead an inning), the biggest lead of that game was -4 (when they trail by more then 3 they are 7-1 to follow) but their bullpen didn’t allow a run, and when the Tigers use more then 3 arms out of the pen w/o allowing a run they are 7-0. For the Tigers going against Means and being at home gives them the edge, @ home Detroit is 8-1 vs. a team w/ an away winning percentage under 40% and they are 16-8 vs. LHP (including 9-2 at home). Baltimore just continues to struggle on the other hand, with their LHP on the mound in Means, both are attempting to turn things around, in the L7 starts Means is 0-3 with a 4.91 ERA. Even though they are going up against a pitcher that does not look to have stellar numbers, but Manning is 2-0 (team is 3-0) in his home starts, and even though his ERA is over 4 that may not help Baltimore much. The Orioles are 0-8 on the road vs. a SP w/ an ERA > 5.00 (3-13 A vs. SP w/ ERA > 4.00), alongside a record of 6-20 on the road in the L25 vs. RHP, and 5-21 in the L26 non-divisional games. Baltimore managed to squeak one out Friday, but off a 1 run W, the Orioles are 2-5 and the Tigers are still over 55% @ H, and when Baltimore is on the road vs. a team with a winning percentage at home over 55%, they are just 4-14.
Pickswise Sports
MLB C* Plays 122-80 (60.4%)
MLB C* Best Bet - Oakland Athletics -143
B* Plays
Astros +105
Red Sox +105
White Sox/Indians Under 9
MLS Soccer Best Bets C*
Seattle to Win and Score Over 1.5 goals [-116]
New England Win or Draw [-147]
Austin/Colorado Under 2.5 goals [-120]
MLB C* Plays 122-80 (60.4%)
MLB C* Best Bet - Oakland Athletics -143
B* Plays
Astros +105
Red Sox +105
White Sox/Indians Under 9
MLS Soccer Best Bets C*
Seattle to Win and Score Over 1.5 goals [-116]
New England Win or Draw [-147]
Austin/Colorado Under 2.5 goals [-120]
Micah Roberts
SEATTLE @ TEXAS | 07/31 | 7:05 PM EDT
SEATTLE -130
ANALYSIS: The Mariners have that last AL wild card in sight, only 2.5 games back, and know they have to win games against bad teams like the Rangers. This bet is mostly against Texas' Taylor Hearn making just his third start this season; the first two were Rangers losses. New Seattle starter Tyler Anderson had a decent season with the Pirates who went 9-9 in his starts. He’ll give up a few, but I’m expecting the Mariners to jump all over Hearn. Seattle to win.
OAKLAND @ L.A. ANGELS | 07/31 | 4:05 PM EDT
OAKLAND -145
ANALYSIS: The A’s have some momentum back after winning three straight to make us forget about the four-game losing streak that began last weekend. They’ve shut out the Angels the last two nights and have another strong arm going today with Cole Irvin, who handled the Angels well in his last start against them. Oakland has won seven of his last nine starts. A’s to win.
SEATTLE @ TEXAS | 07/31 | 7:05 PM EDT
SEATTLE -130
ANALYSIS: The Mariners have that last AL wild card in sight, only 2.5 games back, and know they have to win games against bad teams like the Rangers. This bet is mostly against Texas' Taylor Hearn making just his third start this season; the first two were Rangers losses. New Seattle starter Tyler Anderson had a decent season with the Pirates who went 9-9 in his starts. He’ll give up a few, but I’m expecting the Mariners to jump all over Hearn. Seattle to win.
OAKLAND @ L.A. ANGELS | 07/31 | 4:05 PM EDT
OAKLAND -145
ANALYSIS: The A’s have some momentum back after winning three straight to make us forget about the four-game losing streak that began last weekend. They’ve shut out the Angels the last two nights and have another strong arm going today with Cole Irvin, who handled the Angels well in his last start against them. Oakland has won seven of his last nine starts. A’s to win.
4:05 PM EST
Rotation #975
Astros -105 over Giants
Greinke/Wood
Both pitchers are having good seasons and both teams are 1st in their divisions. The Giants are a great story as they were not expected to be this good. I do think we will see them fade a little bit down the stretch. The weather will be very humid with winds blowing out. This park doesn’t give hitters much of an advantage, but the Astros have been crushing left handed pitching this year and I believe that will be the difference in this game as they will get to Alex Wood early with big hits. Take the Astros.
