OK going to go with South Dakota st-3 @ Denver, this one i am going with defense here, and offense, as SD st can score, but they also play much better defense, and i do not think Denver will get way up there like normal, i mean SD st can too, but when you look at it, both teams are shooting the 3 the same, and on shooting the 2 SD st shoots at 54% and holds teams to 47% while Denver shoots it at 48% and holds teams to 53%, SD st shoots 47.6% and holds teams to 41%, Denver is shooting 45% and holds teams to 48% , those are some big differences in defense right there, i like south dakota st to get this win on the road today by about 6 , they are 3-1 ats away this year and the OVER is looking like a play but i think SD st could keep this under, they avg 73 on the road and give up 70, Denver at home is avg over 90 but giving up like 83 points, i think SD st wins this like 80-74 or if its a shootout 90-82
SD st-3
also S.Illinois at home vs Drake, this is a tough call here, but i am going with S.Illinois at home +3, the reason i like S.Illinois so much is because of the total they put on this game, you have Drake who is averaging 78 a game, 80 a game the last 3 games, and 75 a game on the road, and S ILLinois is averaging 74 giving up 64, last 3 they are avg 73 and 65 and at home they avg 77 and 61 and the total is just 136.5 so they are expecting a 70-66 type of game and they fits right into a S.Illinois style of game at home, they could win this maybe 72-67 , both these teams can score but for some reason they have this total low so that to me makes me think S.Illinois is the play here at +3
S.Illinois +3