Art Aronson
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves
1* Bonus Play Atlanta Braves -159
The Braves have dominated the Diamondbacks this season and I see no reason why that won’t continue here. Arizona will start Mike Bolsinger (1-4, 4.53 ERA) who will try to stop the streaking Braves. Bolsinger is 1-3 with a 4.98 ERA in four road starts this season. The Braves respond with veteran Aaron Harang (7-6, 3.92 ERA) who was able to bounce back with a strong start his last time out after a string of forgettable ones. Harang held the Phillies to two runs over seven innings and now has won three of his last four starts. The Braves are rolling in all facets during an eight game win skein and I expect they get a ninth here vs. an Arizona team that has been struggling all season. "We're trying everything we can to turn around things, but it's not happening," D-Backs third baseman Martin Prado said. At Turner Field, the Diamondbacks have dropped four straight and 10 of 11 while scoring 1.91 runs per game. They've also lost four of five overall with two runs or fewer in each defeat. Meanwhile, NL East-leading Atlanta has won 10 of 11 and is ten games over .500 for the first time since April 29th. And remember, the Braves are 24-18 at home this season. I think the price is worth laying here with the edge in pitching and home field advantage.
AAA Sports
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves
1* Bonus Play Atlanta Braves -159
The Braves have dominated the Diamondbacks this season and I see no reason why that won’t continue here. Arizona will start Mike Bolsinger (1-4, 4.53 ERA) who will try to stop the streaking Braves. Bolsinger is 1-3 with a 4.98 ERA in four road starts this season. The Braves respond with veteran Aaron Harang (7-6, 3.92 ERA) who was able to bounce back with a strong start his last time out after a string of forgettable ones. Harang held the Phillies to two runs over seven innings and now has won three of his last four starts. The Braves are rolling in all facets during an eight game win skein and I expect they get a ninth here vs. an Arizona team that has been struggling all season. "We're trying everything we can to turn around things, but it's not happening," D-Backs third baseman Martin Prado said. At Turner Field, the Diamondbacks have dropped four straight and 10 of 11 while scoring 1.91 runs per game. They've also lost four of five overall with two runs or fewer in each defeat. Meanwhile, NL East-leading Atlanta has won 10 of 11 and is ten games over .500 for the first time since April 29th. And remember, the Braves are 24-18 at home this season. I think the price is worth laying here with the edge in pitching and home field advantage.
AAA Sports
Marc Lawrence
MLB
Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
Edges - Mariners: Hernandez 25 strikeouts and 3 walks last three starts, and 8-1 last nine team starts during June, and 5-0 day team start this season. White Sox: 1-12 on Saturdays this season. With the White Sox just 3-7 versus A.L. West opponents behind Jose Quintana the last two seasons, look for Hernandez to improve to 3-0 against the A.L. Central this season here today. We recommend a 1-unit play on Seattle.
MLB
Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
Edges - Mariners: Hernandez 25 strikeouts and 3 walks last three starts, and 8-1 last nine team starts during June, and 5-0 day team start this season. White Sox: 1-12 on Saturdays this season. With the White Sox just 3-7 versus A.L. West opponents behind Jose Quintana the last two seasons, look for Hernandez to improve to 3-0 against the A.L. Central this season here today. We recommend a 1-unit play on Seattle.
Jimmy Boyd
MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks +145
The Diamondbacks are showing great value as a big dog against the Braves. Surprisingly Arizona has played some of it's best baseball towards the end of a long road trip. The Diamondbacks are 11-5 in their last 16 road games after playing 4 or more consecutive road games.
The other big key here is that the Diamondbacks have the edge on the mound. Arizona will be starting Mike Bolsinger, who has really came on strong here of late. Bolsinger has a 2.70 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his last 3 starts. As for Atlanta's Aaron Harang, he comes in with a 6.00 ERA and 2.056 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Harang also has an ugly 3-9 record over 15 career starts against the Diamondbacks.
Arizona is 4-1 in their last 5 games games against a starter with a WHIP worse than 1.30, while Atlanta is just 1-4 in their last 5 home games when listed as a favorite of -110 to -150.
MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks +145
The Diamondbacks are showing great value as a big dog against the Braves. Surprisingly Arizona has played some of it's best baseball towards the end of a long road trip. The Diamondbacks are 11-5 in their last 16 road games after playing 4 or more consecutive road games.
The other big key here is that the Diamondbacks have the edge on the mound. Arizona will be starting Mike Bolsinger, who has really came on strong here of late. Bolsinger has a 2.70 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his last 3 starts. As for Atlanta's Aaron Harang, he comes in with a 6.00 ERA and 2.056 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Harang also has an ugly 3-9 record over 15 career starts against the Diamondbacks.
Arizona is 4-1 in their last 5 games games against a starter with a WHIP worse than 1.30, while Atlanta is just 1-4 in their last 5 home games when listed as a favorite of -110 to -150.
MLB
Short Sheet
Saturday, July 5
Miami at St Louis, 2:15 ET
Heaney: MIAMI 13-32 against NL Central opponents
Miller: ST LOUIS 28-8 in home games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less
Philadelphia at Pittsburgh, 4:05 ET
Buchanan: PHILADELPHIA 53-70 in day games
Volquez: PITTSBURGH 21-11 after having won 2 of their last 3 games
Chicago at Washington, 4:05 ET
Villanueva: CHICAGO CUBS 11-6 in road games in July games
Gonzalez: WASHINGTON 23-33 against NL Central opponents
Milwaukee at Cincinnati, 4:10 ET
Garza: 10-2 OVER as an underdog of +100 to +150
Bailey: 8-1 OVER against division opponents
LA Dodgers at Colorado, 4:10 ET
Haren: 26-33 TSR after a win
De LA Rosa: 8-1 TSR at home when the money line is +125 to -125
Arizona at Atlanta, 4:10 ET
Bolsinger: ARIZONA 34-48 against NL East opponents
Harang: ATLANTA 21-6 after 5 or more consecutive wins
San Francisco at San Diego, 7:15 ET
Hudson: 100-54 in day games
Despaigne: SAN DIEGO 4-15 off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog
NY Yankees at Minnesota, 2:10 ET
Phelps: NY YANKEES 21-14 in road games in day games
Pino: MINNESOTA 44-77 in home games after a loss
Seattle at Chicago White Sox, 2:10 ET
Hernandez: 21-7 UNDER as a road favorite of -125 to -150
Quintana: 31-17 UNDER in all games
Tampa Bay at Detroit, 4:05 ET
Archer: TAMPA BAY 22-42 as an underdog
Sanchez: DETROIT 19-8 OVER in home games against AL East opponents
Kansas City at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Guthrie: 16-7 TSR against division opponents
House: CLEVELAND 13-4 OVER after a loss by 4 runs or more
Baltimore at Boston, 7:15 ET
Jimenez: BALTIMORE 19-13 as a road underdog of +125 to +150
Lackey: BOSTON 31-16 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -150
Toronto at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Buehrle: TORONTO 22-12 OVER after 2 or more consecutive road games
Kazmir: OAKLAND 20-12 OVER after 2 or more consecutive home games
Houston at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Feldman: HOUSTON 20-62 as a road underdog of +150 to +200
Santiago: LA ANGELS 20-5 as a favorite of -150 or more
Texas at NY Mets, 7:15 ET
Lewis: 30-26 TSR as an underdog
Colon: 18-26 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -150
Baltimore at Boston, 1:05 ET
Gonzalez:BALTIMORE 21-16 as a road underdog of +125 to +175
Lester: BOSTON 21-29 in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses
Short Sheet
Saturday, July 5
Miami at St Louis, 2:15 ET
Heaney: MIAMI 13-32 against NL Central opponents
Miller: ST LOUIS 28-8 in home games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less
Philadelphia at Pittsburgh, 4:05 ET
Buchanan: PHILADELPHIA 53-70 in day games
Volquez: PITTSBURGH 21-11 after having won 2 of their last 3 games
Chicago at Washington, 4:05 ET
Villanueva: CHICAGO CUBS 11-6 in road games in July games
Gonzalez: WASHINGTON 23-33 against NL Central opponents
Milwaukee at Cincinnati, 4:10 ET
Garza: 10-2 OVER as an underdog of +100 to +150
Bailey: 8-1 OVER against division opponents
LA Dodgers at Colorado, 4:10 ET
Haren: 26-33 TSR after a win
De LA Rosa: 8-1 TSR at home when the money line is +125 to -125
Arizona at Atlanta, 4:10 ET
Bolsinger: ARIZONA 34-48 against NL East opponents
Harang: ATLANTA 21-6 after 5 or more consecutive wins
San Francisco at San Diego, 7:15 ET
Hudson: 100-54 in day games
Despaigne: SAN DIEGO 4-15 off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog
NY Yankees at Minnesota, 2:10 ET
Phelps: NY YANKEES 21-14 in road games in day games
Pino: MINNESOTA 44-77 in home games after a loss
Seattle at Chicago White Sox, 2:10 ET
Hernandez: 21-7 UNDER as a road favorite of -125 to -150
Quintana: 31-17 UNDER in all games
Tampa Bay at Detroit, 4:05 ET
Archer: TAMPA BAY 22-42 as an underdog
Sanchez: DETROIT 19-8 OVER in home games against AL East opponents
Kansas City at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Guthrie: 16-7 TSR against division opponents
House: CLEVELAND 13-4 OVER after a loss by 4 runs or more
Baltimore at Boston, 7:15 ET
Jimenez: BALTIMORE 19-13 as a road underdog of +125 to +150
Lackey: BOSTON 31-16 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -150
Toronto at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Buehrle: TORONTO 22-12 OVER after 2 or more consecutive road games
Kazmir: OAKLAND 20-12 OVER after 2 or more consecutive home games
Houston at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Feldman: HOUSTON 20-62 as a road underdog of +150 to +200
Santiago: LA ANGELS 20-5 as a favorite of -150 or more
Texas at NY Mets, 7:15 ET
Lewis: 30-26 TSR as an underdog
Colon: 18-26 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -150
Baltimore at Boston, 1:05 ET
Gonzalez:BALTIMORE 21-16 as a road underdog of +125 to +175
Lester: BOSTON 21-29 in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses
