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MLB

Saturday’s games

National League

Cardinals @ Marlins
Garcia is 1-1, 5.02 in his last four starts; under is 8-6-1 in his last 15. Cardinals are 6-3 in his road starts.

Rea makes his Miami debut here; he was 0-2, 5.74 in his last three starts for San Diego. Over is 9-4 in his last 13 starts.

Cardinals won six of last seven road games; five of their last seven games went over. Miami is 4-6 in its last ten games; their last three games went over.

Rockies @ Mets
De la Rosa is 2-2, 3.34 in his last five road starts (over 9-5). Colorado is 4-5 when he starts on the road.

Colon is 3-1, 5.86 in his last five starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Mets are 5-4 in his home starts.

Colorado won eight of its last nine games; under is 10-2-2 in their last 14 games. Mets lost seven of last eight home games; under is 8-2-1 in last eleven games at Citi Field.

Phillies @ Braves
Hellickson is 3-1, 2.37 in his last six starts; his last seven stayed under. Phillies are 5-4 in his road starts.

Teheran is 1-1, 2.21 in his last six starts; under is 11-3 in his last 14. Braves are somehow 1-10 in his home starts.

Phillies lost five of last seven games; under is 10-5 in their last 15 games. Atlanta is 5-9 in its last 14 games; seven of last 11 games at Turner Field went over the total.

Pirates @ Brewers
Taillon is 1-0, 3.00 in his last three starts; four of his last five starts went over.

Anderson is 1-4, 8.75 in his last six starts; over is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Milwaukee is 4-5 in his home starts.

Pirates lost four of last five road games (over 4-1 in last five overall). Brewers won five of last seven games; under is 9-4-1 in last 14 games at Miller Park.

Diamondbacks @ Dodgers
Shipley allowed six runs in 5.1 IP (101 PT) in his first MLB start.

Kazmir is 4-0, 3.81 in his last five starts; seven of his last nine went over. Dodgers won five of his last six home starts.

Arizona lost eight of last 11 games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six. Dodgers won four of last five games; under is 13-4 in their last 17 home games.

Nationals @ Giants
Lopez allowed six runs in 4.2 IP (108 PT) in his MLB debut.

Peavy is 1-3, 7.11 in his last five starts; six of his last eight stayed under. Giants won five of his last six home starts.

Nationals are 9-5 in last 14 games; six of last seven Washington road games stayed under. San Francisco lost 11 of last 13 games, six of last seven Giant home games stayed under the total.

Reds @ Padres
DeSclafani is 5-0, 3.40 in his last six starts (under 3-1-2). Reds are 3-2 in his road starts.

Friedrich is 0-4, 8.87 in his last five starts (over 10-3). San Diego is 3-2 when he starts at home.

Reds won eight of last 11 games; three of their last five went over. San Diego lost eight of last 11 games; three of their last five went over. Padres waved white flag yesterday by trading two starting pitchers to Miami.

American League

Orioles @ Blue Jays
Gallardo is 0-1, 4.88 in his last five starts; seven of his last nine stayed under. Baltimore is 3-4 in his road starts.

Happ is 7-0, 2.98 in his last eight starts; over is 5-3-1 in his last nine. Blue Jays are 9-1 in his home starts.

Orioles lost last four games, 16 of their last 17 games stayed under the total. Toronto won four of its last five games; its last three went over.

Bronx @ Rays
Eovaldi is 2-0, 2.25 in his last two starts; three of his last four stayed under. New York lost his last four road starts.

Smyly is 0-4, 8.10 in his last five starts; over is 11-3 in his last 14. Tampa Bay is 2-6 in his home starts.

New York won seven of last 11 games (under 10-1). Tampa Bay lost four of last six games (under 6-0).

A’s @ Indians
Overton is 1-1, 8.40 in his three starts (over 2-1).

Tomlin is 1-2, 6.38 in his last three starts; three of his last four stayed under. Cleveland is 6-2 in his home starts.

A’s won five of last seven games; seven of their last ten games stayed under. Cleveland lost four of last six games (under 5-1).

Astros @ Tigers
Fiers is 4-1, 4.50 in his last seven starts; Astros scored 53 runs in the seven games. Four of his last five starts went over total.
Astros are 2-5 in his road starts.

Verlander is 3-0, 2.14 in his last five starts; under is 10-2 in his last 12. Detroit is 5-3 in his last eight home starts.

Astros lost three of last four games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine. Detroit won its last four games; under is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Royals @ Rangers
Kennedy is 0-4, 6.67 in his last five starts; his last three stayed under. Royals are 3-7 when he starts on the road.

Perez is 0-3, 12.05 in his last four starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight home starts. Texas won his last six home starts.

Kansas City lost eight of last nine games; under is 12-4-1 in their last 17 road games. Texas won five of last seven games; over is 10-4 in last 13 Texas home games.

White Sox @ Twins
Gonzalez is 1-1, 3.16 in his last four starts; under is 6-4 in his last ten. Chicago lost his last three road starts.

Milone is 3-1, 5.57 in his last four starts (over 5-5). Minnesota won all three of his home starts.

Chicago is 4-6 in its last ten games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten road games. Minnesota lost three of last five games; under is 6-1-1 in Twins’ last eight home games.

Red Sox @ Angels
Pomeranz is 0-1, 7.00 in his first two starts for Boston (over 1-1).

Santiago is 5-0, 1.78 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under. Angels are 6-3 in his home starts.

Red Sox lost six of last eight games; last six Boston road games stayed under total. Angels won seven of last eight home games; over is 13-6 in Halos’ last 19 home games.

Interleague

Mariners @ Cubs
Miley is 0-6, 5.13 in his last six starts; his last four stayed under the total. Seattle lost his last three road starts.

Arrieta is 0-2, 5.55 in his last four starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six. Chicago lost four of his last five home starts.

Seattle lost three of their last four games; four of their last five went over. Cubs won six of last nine games, under is 10-2-2 in Cubs’ last 14 games.

Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:

StL-Mia– Garcia 10-10; Rea 0-0/10-8
Col-NY– De la Rosa 6-8; Colon 13-7 (8-2 last 10)
Phil-Atl– Hellickson 11-10; Teheran 5-15
Pitt-Mil– Taillon 5-2; Anderson 7-12
Az-LA– Shipley 0-1; Kazmir 12-8 (6-0 last 6)
Wsh-SF– Lopez 0-1; Peavy 10-10
Cin-SD– DeSclafani 7-2; Friedrich 6-7 (1-4 last 5)

Balt-Tor– Gallardo 8-4; Happ 15-5 (8-0 last 8)
NY-TB– Eovaldi 10-8; Smyly 6-13 (0-6 last 6)
A’s-Clev– Overton 2-1; Tomlin 14-4
Hst-Det– Fiers 11-7; Verlander 12-9
KC-Tex– Kennedy 11-9 (0-5 last 5); Perez 11-10
Chi-Min– Gonzalez 7-8; Milone 5-5
Bos-LAA– Pomeranz 1-1/9-8; Santiago 15-6 (6-0 last 6)

Sea-Cubs– Miley 9-9 (0-6 last 6); Arrieta 13-7 (0-4 last 4)

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:

StL-Mia– Garcia 7-20; Rea 0-0/9-18
Col-NY– De la Rosa 6-14; Colon 6-19
Phil-Atl– Hellickson 6-21; Teheran 4-20
Pitt-Mil– Taillon 2-7; Anderson 7-19
Az-LA– Shipley 1-1; Kazmir 11-20 (6 of last 9)
Wsh-SF– Lopez 1-1; Peavy 4-20
Cin-SD– DeSclafani 5-9; Friedrich 5-13

Balt-Tor– Gallardo 6-12; Happ 5-20
NY-TB– Eovaldi 4-18; Smyly 6-19
A’s-Clev– Overton 1-3; Tomlin 8-18
Hst-Det– Fiers 3-18; Verlander 8-21
KC-Tex– Kennedy 8-20 (5 of last 7); Perez 8-21
Chi-Min– Gonzalez 6-15; Milone 0-10
Bos-LAA– Pomeranz 3-19; Santiago 8-21 (0 of last 8)

Sea-Cubs– Miley 7-18; Arrieta 3-20

Umpires
Wsh-SF– Under is 8-4-1 in last 13 Fairchild games.
Phil-Atl– Seven of last eight Rackley games went over.
StL-Mia– Over is 7-2-1 in last ten BWelke games.
Pitt-Mil– Over is 7-4 in last eleven Foster games.
Col-NY– Over is 10-3-1 in last 14 Porter games.
Cin-SD– Over is 5-3 in last eight Gibson games.
Az-LA– Ten of last eleven Miller games went over.

Blt-Tor– Six of last eight Reynolds games stayed under.
NY-TB– Underdogs won nine of last ten Blaser games.
Chi-Min– Under is 8-4 in last twelve Wolf games.
A’s-Clev– Last four HGibson games stayed under.
Hst-Det– Underdogs are 9-6 in last 15 Hamari games.
KC-Tex– Last three Conroy games stayed under.
Bos-LA– Home side won eight of last ten West games.

Sea-Chi– Six of last nine LBarrett games went over.
 
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Saturday’s six-pack

— Padres traded two of their starting pitchers (Cashner/Rea) to the Marlins in a 7-player deal.

— Kirk Cousins scored twice as many fantasy points as Andrew Luck last year.

— There have been 707 triple plays in the big leagues, but last night was the first 3-3-5 one.

— Rory McIlroy, Dustin Johnson both missed the cut at the PGA.

— Patriots won their last seven games with the Colts, scoring 40.7 ppg- they scored 31+ in all seven.

— Most interesting college football team this year? Illinois, with Lovie Smith at the helm. He’s never been a college coach.
 
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Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Saturday, July 30, 2016 7:10 PM

(909) COLORADO ROCKIES (DELAROSA) VS (910) NY METS (COLON)

Play OVER the total.
 
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Roz Wins

Roz's Saturday, July 30, 2016, Free Pick: 8:40 PM

(911) CINCINNATI REDS (DESCLAFANI) VS (912) SAN DIEGO (FRIEDRCH)

Play San Diego
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Saturday

REDS (DeSclafani) at PADRES (Friedrich) 8:40 PM

Take: PADRES +120

At first glance, it probably seems easy to back the Reds here. Anthony DeSclafani still hasn’t lost a decision, and he’s had several good outings for Cincinnati. On the flip side, Christian Friedrich has not been effective for San Diego and he’s really not a guy who generates much confidence.

But all that is in the betting line, which as always is weighted heavily based on the starting pitchers. That’s where I think we garner some value here. The fact remains Cincinnati is an awful road team. They’re 17-33 away from home, and even with a good starting pitcher on the hill, I find it really tough to justify a team that inept on the road laying this much chalk.

It’s also worth noting that the Reds have not produced a whole lot of offense when facing southpaws on the road, so maybe we can get a handful of okay frames out of Friedrich tonight.

No matter how you slice it, this is the worst team in baseball in net runs (-137 for this season) spotting what I feel is an overly generous price on the road, and I’m comfortable with fading the Reds here. I’ll gulp with Friedrich and will back the Padres.
 
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Saturday, July 30, 2016

Your Bonus Play for Saturday, July 30, 2016 is in the baseball contest between the Boston Red Sox and the Angels in Anaheim. Boston has the top offense in baseball in runs, on base percentage and slugging. The Over is 23-10-1 against a losing record, as well as 23-8 over versus the AL West. They are not a great road team because of suspect pitching and Drew Pomeranz has not been impressive with his new team, allowing 12 hits and 7 runs in 9 innings. Hector Santiago goes for LA with a 4.28 ERA, walking 51 in 115+ innings. He has a 5.82 ERA at home and the over is 9-4 when he starts. LA is home with an offense that is picking up and the Over is 18-7-2 in the Angels last 27 during game 3 of a series.

Play the Red Sox/Angels Over the total.
 
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Red Dog Sports

Joinville vs Oeste

Bonus Play Draw in the Saturday match between Joinville and Oeste, which takes place in South America.

The total is set at 2 so they are expecting a low score.

Oeste 1

Joinville 1
 

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