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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, July 22

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ST LOUIS (47 - 49) at CHICAGO CUBS (49 - 46) - 4:05 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 47-49 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 17-23 (-11.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LESTER is 93-38 (+34.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 69-58 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 30-23 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WAINWRIGHT is 34-18 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 87-53 (+26.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 45-20 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 80-49 (+21.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 49-46 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 355-296 (-79.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 880-808 (-160.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 20-23 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 410-374 (-86.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 21-23 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 33-40 (-25.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 803-763 (-161.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 236-198 (-51.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 6-4 (+1.4 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 14-9 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.308.
His team's record is 21-12 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 14-16. (-3.3 units)

JON LESTER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LESTER is 5-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 1.044.
His team's record is 8-7 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-10. (-7.5 units)

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SAN DIEGO (42 - 54) at SAN FRANCISCO (37 - 61) - 4:05 PM
LUIS PERDOMO (R) vs. MATT MOORE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 45-83 (-29.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 34-32 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 23-18 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-61 (-27.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-47 (-18.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 22-26 (-15.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-27 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-11 (-9.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-26 (-12.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-24 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-43 (-23.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-14 (-12.3 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-36 (-13.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-29 (-23.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-30 (-23.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MOORE is 5-14 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 8-3 (+7.7 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.7 Units)

LUIS PERDOMO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
PERDOMO is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.209.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

MATT MOORE vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

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MILWAUKEE (52 - 47) at PHILADELPHIA (33 - 61) - 7:05 PM
BRENT SUTER (L) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 46-51 (+17.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 427-425 (+46.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
HELLICKSON is 27-24 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HELLICKSON is 16-11 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 52-47 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 24-23 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 33-28 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 40-38 (+7.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-61 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-25 (-17.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-40 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 (+0.5 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

BRENT SUTER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
HELLICKSON is 3-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

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MIAMI (43 - 51) at CINCINNATI (40 - 56) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS O'GRADY (L) vs. ROBERT STEPHENSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 92-110 (-25.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 18-5 (+13.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 11 to 11.5 since 1997.
MIAMI is 46-40 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 395-362 (-84.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CHRIS O'GRADY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

ROBERT STEPHENSON vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

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PITTSBURGH (49 - 48) at COLORADO (56 - 42) - 8:10 PM
CHAD KUHL (R) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 96-110 (-24.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 56-42 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 21-16 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 26-15 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 11-4 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
PITTSBURGH is 35-28 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 23-17 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 235-307 (-78.9 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

CHAD KUHL vs. COLORADO since 1997
KUHL is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

GERMAN MARQUEZ vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
MARQUEZ is 1-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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WASHINGTON (57 - 38) at ARIZONA (56 - 40) - 8:10 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. ANTHONY BANDA (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-2 (+0.8 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

TANNER ROARK vs. ARIZONA since 1997
ROARK is 1-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.56 and a WHIP of 1.055.
His team's record is 2-3 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.5 units)

ANTHONY BANDA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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ATLANTA (47 - 48) at LA DODGERS (66 - 31) - 9:10 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. RICH HILL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEHERAN is 9-24 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 28-7 (+17.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 47-48 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 54-51 (+21.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 21-23 (+20.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 24-23 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 28-24 (+18.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 22-19 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 45-42 (+29.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 56-58 (+14.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 54-68 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 25-25 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TEHERAN is 7-2 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 182-139 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-0 (+4.1 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
TEHERAN is 0-6 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 6.47 and a WHIP of 1.513.
His team's record is 0-7 (-7.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.6 units)

RICH HILL vs. ATLANTA since 1997
HILL is 3-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 0.979.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

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HOUSTON (64 - 32) at BALTIMORE (46 - 50) - 7:05 PM
COLLIN MCHUGH (R) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 247-296 (-73.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 134-124 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 68-50 (+16.1 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 29-20 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 22-13 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 96-85 (+10.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TILLMAN is 27-16 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 63-39 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 21-10 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 79-59 (+25.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 46-36 (+15.9 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 58-42 (+31.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 64-32 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 20-5 (+15.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
HOUSTON is 34-11 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 45-24 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 49-19 (+24.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 24-9 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 20-6 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MCHUGH is 43-24 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

COLLIN MCHUGH vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MCHUGH is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 6.18 and a WHIP of 1.627.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. HOUSTON since 1997
TILLMAN is 2-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.89 and a WHIP of 1.327.
His team's record is 2-4 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+3.9 units)

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TEXAS (46 - 50) at TAMPA BAY (51 - 46) - 7:10 PM
ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. CHRIS ARCHER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 51-45 (+5.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 39-28 (+10.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 26-18 (+8.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 141-120 (+25.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 77-61 (+25.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 110-107 (+34.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 47-42 (+16.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 27-14 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 102-84 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 108-90 (+20.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 80-60 (+20.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 15-12 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARCHER is 22-31 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARCHER is 9-18 (-11.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 (+0.3 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

ANDREW CASHNER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS ARCHER vs. TEXAS since 1997
ARCHER is 1-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.30 and a WHIP of 1.346.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.8 units)

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DETROIT (44 - 51) at MINNESOTA (48 - 47) - 7:10 PM
JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. KYLE GIBSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 328-417 (-93.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 29-40 (-11.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 17-25 (-11.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MINNESOTA is 48-47 (+4.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 31-22 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
GIBSON is 27-14 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 33-52 (-20.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 22-30 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 3-11 (-9.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season.
MINNESOTA is 20-40 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-24 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 58-92 (-25.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-2 (+2.7 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 3-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.56 and a WHIP of 1.169.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

KYLE GIBSON vs. DETROIT since 1997
GIBSON is 4-7 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.88 and a WHIP of 1.585.
His team's record is 4-8 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.3 units)

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TORONTO (44 - 52) at CLEVELAND (49 - 45) - 7:10 PM
MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. DANNY SALAZAR (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 44-52 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 53-59 (-20.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-17 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 24-36 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 6-13 (-11.8 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
STROMAN is 12-16 (-12.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 77-43 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 49-45 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 22-24 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 29-32 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 31-27 (-14.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 25-24 (-14.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-27 (-23.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SALAZAR is 1-6 (-9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

MARCUS STROMAN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
STROMAN is 1-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 1-3 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.6 units)

DANNY SALAZAR vs. TORONTO since 1997
SALAZAR is 2-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.220.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (38 - 55) at KANSAS CITY (48 - 47) - 7:15 PM
MIKE PELFREY (R) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 48-47 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 75-57 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 39-24 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 36-31 (+9.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 26-22 (+7.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
VARGAS is 13-5 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
VARGAS is 13-3 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VARGAS is 18-6 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 25-26 (-24.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 5-3 (+2.6 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

MIKE PELFREY vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
PELFREY is 1-5 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.20 and a WHIP of 1.869.
His team's record is 3-6 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.8 units)

JASON VARGAS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
VARGAS is 2-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.20 and a WHIP of 1.472.
His team's record is 4-6 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-3. (+3.9 units)

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BOSTON (55 - 43) at LA ANGELS (47 - 51) - 9:05 PM
DAVID PRICE (L) vs. JC RAMIREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 25-28 (-10.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA ANGELS are 217-170 (+38.3 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 28-22 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 2-2 (+1.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

DAVID PRICE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
PRICE is 5-6 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.251.
His team's record is 7-7 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-5. (+3.5 units)

JC RAMIREZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
RAMIREZ is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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NY YANKEES (50 - 45) at SEATTLE (48 - 50) - 9:10 PM
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. ARIEL MIRANDA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 12-23 (-12.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
NY YANKEES are 7-16 (-10.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TANAKA is 29-13 (+13.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TANAKA is 17-2 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 69-84 (-23.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 107-106 (-30.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 251-246 (-54.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
SEATTLE is 125-144 (-56.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 617-570 (-99.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
TANAKA is 5-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.95 and a WHIP of 0.811.
His team's record is 5-0 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-5. (-5.6 units)

ARIEL MIRANDA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (43 - 53) at NY METS (44 - 50) - 7:10 PM
SEAN MANAEA (L) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 180-240 (-51.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 41-62 (-20.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 2-9 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
OAKLAND is 55-91 (-32.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 73-100 (-30.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MANAEA is 0-8 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 11-5 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
NY METS are 44-50 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 24-27 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 12-16 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

SEAN MANAEA vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

ZACK WHEELER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
WHEELER is 1-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 9.39 and a WHIP of 1.956.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

UFC on FOX 25 Picks & Predictions
By T. Wilkinson

Kelvin Gastelum is favored against Chris Weidman in the main event of UFC on FOX 25 on Saturday night in New York. Gastelum is 13-2-1 in his career, while Weidman is 13-3. This bout is one of four on the main card, which can be seen on FOX. There are nine preliminary bouts, with four on FOX and five on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the event with a focus on the main card, UFC odds and UFC picks.

UFC on FOX 25 takes place on Saturday, July 22 at the Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum in Uniondale, New York featuring Chris Weidman vs. Kelvin Gastelum. There are four fights on the main card on FOX, and nine on the preliminary card, with four on FOX and five on UFC Fight Pass.

Kelvin Gastelum -191 vs. Chris Weidman (rounds 2.5 over -160)

Bettors have been backing the favorite in this fight, as Gastelum is nearly a 2-1 choice. Weidman has lost his last three fights after he was at the top of the middleweight division in 2013. Can Weidman finally get a win and prove he is still a title contender?

Gastelum will not be an easy opponent for Weidman, as Gastelum has looked really good at middleweight with wins over Tim Kennedy and Vitor Belfort, although the win over Belfort was turned into a no contest.

UFC Picks

When the odds on this fight first came out I thought that Gastelum was the way to go, as the odds were near a pick. I am not nearly as excited about taking him as nearly a 2-1 favorite. I am tempted to take the plus money on Weidman and I will also play the rounds to go over.

Dennis Bermudez -200 vs. Darren Elkins

Bermudez is 16-6 in his career, including 9-4 in the UFC, while Elkins is 22-5, including 12-4 in the UFC. Bermudez will have the edge in crowd support in Long Island. These two look to be even on the mat, while Bermudez has the edge in striking. I will lay the price and take Bermudez to get the win.

Gian Villante -180 vs. Patrick Cummins

Cummins is 9-4 in his career, including 5-4 in the UFC, while Villante is 15-8 in his career, including 5-5 in the UFC. Villante will have the edge in crowd support fighting in Long Island. Villante has the edge in striking, while Cummins should have the edge on the mat. Bettors have been taking Villante in this contest but I am not so sure, as I think the fight is a complete toss-up. I will take the plus money with Cummins.

Jimmie Rivera -200 vs. Thomas Almeida

Rivera is 20-1 in his career, including 4-0 in the UFC, while Almeida is 21-1, including 5-1 in the UFC. Rivera will have the edge in crowd support and he is a 2-1 favorite. This should be an entertaining fight that goes the way of Rivera.

Preliminary Card (FOX)

Lyman Good -200 vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Eryk Anders -120 vs. Rafael Natal

Ryan LaFlare -195 vs. Alex Oliveira

Chase Sherman -237 vs. Damian Grabowski

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

Jeremy Kennedy -240 vs. Kyle Bochniak

Brian Kelleher -215 vs. Marlon Vera

Timothy Johnson -215 vs. Junior Albini

Shane Burgos -367 vs. Godofredo Pepey

Chris Wade -285 vs. Frankie Perez

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

UFC on Fox 25 Best Bets
By Brian Edwards

The Octagon will land in Long Island on Saturday night at Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum for UFC on FOX 25: Weidman vs. Gastelum.

This is a 13-fight card that will start at 4:00 p.m. Eastern with five early preliminary fights on UFC Fight Pass.

Then at 6:00 p.m. Eastern, four Prelim fights will be aired on FOX. The main card will begin at 8:00 p.m. ET. and feature local legend and former middleweight champ Chris Weidman, who will take on Kelvin Gastelum.

As of Friday, most betting shops had the 25-year-old Gastelum installed as a -170 favorite, leaving Weidman at +145 on the comeback (risk $100 to win $145). The best available price on Gastelum was at 5Dimes.eu (-160). The best underdog odds on Weidman were also at 5Dimes (+150). Most spots had the total at 2.5 rounds (‘over’ -160, ‘under’ +130).

Weidman (13-3 MMA, 9-3 UFC) has lost three consecutive fights since starting his career with 13 straight wins. Weidman burst on the scene in 2011 with three straight wins, including a pair of submissions, to begin his UFC tenure. After dusting Demian Maia and Mark Munoz, Weidman earned a title shot against the long-time 185-pound kingpin, Anderson ‘The Spider’ Silva.

Silva and Weidman met at UFC 162 on July 6 of 2013 at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. As Silva did his clown act early in the second round, Weidman caught him with a left hook that put him to sleep and ended his illustrious reign atop the division. Then in the rematch at UFC 168, Weidman hurt Silva badly in the opening round, but the Brazilian was able to survive. But early in the second stanza, Silva threw a leg kick that Weidman expertly checked, resulting in a grotesque broken leg for Silva that ended the contest.

Weidman successfully defended his strap twice more, beating former champions Lyoto Machida (unanimous decision) and Vitor Belfort (first-round knockout). Then in the third round of his showdown against Luke Rockhold at UFC 194 on Dec. 12 of 2015, Weidman threw a spinning wheel kick that missed.

Rockhold capitalized on the mistake and scored a quick takedown. From there, he advanced into the mount position and peppered Weidman with ground-and-pound punishment. Rockhold nearly earned the finish before the bell saved Weidman. Nevertheless, he was hurt badly and it didn’t take long for Rockhold to finish the job via KO at the 3:12 mark of Round 4.

Since then, Weidman has lost two more fights. First, at UFC 205 at MSG in NYC, Yoel Romero caught Weidman with a flying-knee KO early in the third round. Then at UFC 210, Weidman lost to Gegard Mousasi by a controversial second-round TKO (knees). The fight was halted by referee Dan Miragliatta for what he thought were illegal knees from Mousasi. After looking at instant replay, Miragaliatta determined the knees were legal and the doctor declared Weidman unable to continue. His appeal of the result failed.

Gastelum (13-2-1 MMA, 8-2-1 UFC) won The Ultimate Fighter 17 Middleweight Tournament to earn his spot on the roster, defeating Uriah Hall by split decision in April of 2013. He decided to drop down to welterweight and ripped off four consecutive wins. However, Gastelum missed weight for the second time in his fifth fight at 170 pounds, and then lost to current champ Tyron Woodley by split decision.

Gastelum moved up to middleweight and bounced back with a second-round TKO win over Nate Marquardt. Next, he went back down to welterweight and dropped a split decision to Neil Magny in what was deemed Fight of the Night. At UFC 200 last summer, Gastelum bested former welterweight champ Johny Hendricks via unanimous decision. He followed up that win with a third-round KO triumph over Tim Kennedy before going down to Brazil and capturing a first-round KO scalp of Vitor Belfort.

The win over Belfort was adjusted to a no-contest, however, after Gastelum tested positive for marijuana. A short suspension prevented him from facing Silva earlier this summer, but the promotion quickly booked him to face Weidman in this road spot.

Prediction: Yes, Weidman has lost three in a row but those defeats came against a trio of savages in Rockhold, Romero and Mousasi. Gastelum has “unofficially” won three fights in a row, but let’s examine those victories. He won an extremely close decision over a slumping Hendricks one day after 'Big Rigg' missed weight following a difficult cut. Gastelum then took out Tim Kennedy, who was fighting for the first time in 27 months and subsequently retired. Then he faced Belfort, a legit legend in the sport but one that’s been over the hill for several years now and hasn’t looked the same since the TRT ban. The thinking here is that there’s indeed a second wind left in Weidman’s career. Who knows how the Rockhold fight turns out if not for the ill-advised wheel kick that turned the scrap in Rockhold’s favor? Most felt that Weidman was ahead on the scorecards before Romero’s flying knee connected perfectly. I had Weidman winning Round 1 against Mousasi, although I do think the fight was going to go Mousasi’s way after he took over in the second round prior to the aforementioned controversy. We get Weidman, the Long Island native, in a home underdog situation here with 'The All-American' in desperation mode. No disrespect to Gastelum, but this is a big step up in class for him. On the flip side, it’s a step down in competition for Weidman, who I believe will find a way to victory with his wrestling serving as the catalyst. Let’s go with three units on Weidman for the +150 payout.

In the co-main event, 10th-ranked featherweight Dennis Bermudez will square off against 12th-ranked Darren Elkins. As of Friday, most spots had Bermudez listed as a -200 ‘chalk’ over Elkins, the +170 underdog (risk $100 to win $170). The total was 2.5 rounds (‘over’ -265, ‘under’ +220).

Like Weidman, Bermudez (16-6 MMA, 9-4 UFC) is at home here. He fights out of Long Island and is a New York native. ‘The Menace’ is a 30-year-old wrestler who is in bounce-back mode after suffering a first-round KO loss to The Korean Zombie in Houston over Super Bowl weekend.

Bermudez was the TUF 14 runner-up who bounced back from that defeat against Diego Brandao to win seven straight fights. In the process, he bagged four fight-night bonuses and earned notable scalps of current champ Max Holloway (split decision) and veteran Clay Guida (second-round submission). Bermudez appeared to be on the cusp of a title shot until Ricard Lamas submitted him midway through the opening round of their UFC 180 showdown.

Bermudez took a second straight loss at UFC 189 when Jeremy Stephens caught him with a flying knee and subsequent punches early in the third round. He responded with back-to-back victories over Tatsuya Kawajiri and Rony Jason before being KO’d by TKZ.

Elkins (22-5 MMA, 12-4 UFC) is seeking his fifth consecutive win after pulling off what was probably the best comeback victory of 2017 to date. Elkins was taking a beating from Mirsad Bektic at UFC 209 in March before somehow landing several punches and a head kick to put his opponent away. Elkins, who owns notable wins over Duane Ludwig, Brandao, Hatsu Hioki and Chas Kelly, hasn’t tasted defeat in nearly three years.

Prediction: I think Bermudez wins but the price is too expensive for my taste. I’ll pass.

In a light-heavyweight bout, Gian Villante (15-8 MMA, 5-5 UFC) will take on Patrick Cummins, who is 9-4 overall and 5-4 in the UFC. Villante is a 31-year-old who, like his good friend Weidman, wrestled at nearby Hofstra. He also played football at Hofstra and was considered an NFL prospect before opting to put his sole focus into mixed martial arts.

Villante’s best wins have come over Corey Anderson, Sean O’Connell and Anthony Perosh. He is trying to get back in the win column after being knocked out by Shogun Rua in March.

Cummins, a 36-year-old product of Kings MMA, wrestled at Penn State in college. He joined the UFC when he accepted a main-event fight against Daniel Cormier on less than two weeks notice at UFC 170.

Prediction: Cummins’s four UFC defeats have come against Cormier, Ovince St. Preux, Glover Teixeira and Little Nog. We should note that the losses to Glover and Little Nog came on the road in Brazil. OSP and Glover have both fought for the title at 205 pounds, Cormier is the current champ and Little Nog is an MMA legend. In other words, there’s no shame in his setbacks. Cummins is off a majority decision win over Jan Blachowicz at UFC 210 in April. I like Cummins as a +145 underdog for one unit.

The main card’s lid-lifter will feature a pair of bantamweights in Jimmie Rivera and Thomas Almeida. As of Friday, most spots had Rivera (20-1 MMA, 4-0 UFC) installed as a -200 favorite while Almeida was the +160 ‘dog. The total was 1.5 rounds (‘over’ -210, ‘under’ +165).

Rivera has four knockouts and a pair of submissions to his credit. He took his lone loss when he was just 19 years of age and fighting for only the second time professionally in 2008.

Almeida (21-1 MMA, 5-1 UFC) took his only career loss in May of ’16 to current champ Cody Garbrandt. The 25-year-old Brazilian bounced back last November with a second-round KO win over Albert Morales.

Prediction: I’ll go with one unit on Almeida for the +175 return (5Dimes).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Spot Plays For Saturday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Arlington (5th) Spectacular Road, 7-2
(7th) Quick Study, 3-1

Belterra Park (2nd) Brixton, 8-1
(5th) Discreetly Firm, 3-1

Canterbury (6th) Heart of the Run, 8-1
(7th) Super Silent, 10-1

Charles Town (2nd) Eagles Zone, 3-1
(8th) Prince Artie, 10-1

Del Mar (1st) True Ranger, 7-2
(10th) Icy Street, 8-1

Delaware Park (4th) Cousin Stephen, 10-1
(7th) Gala’s Bank, 7-2

Ellis Park (3rd) Benny Special, 5-1
(7th) Fred’stwirlincandy, 10-1

Emerald Downs (5th) Lehigh, 7-2
(8th) Queets, 9-2

Evangeline Downs (2nd) Big Risque, 3-1
(3rd) Tricky Slew, 8-1

Finger Lakes (1st) Chief Assignment, 5-1
(7th) Pat On the Back, 9-2

Gulfstream Park (1st) Sum Roar, 4-1
(8th) Vigas, 7-2

Hastings (3rd) Astarte, 7-2
(6th) Oh So Quick, 7-2

Indiana Grand (4th) Peyton’s Pass, 7-2
(5th) Mr. Creative, 3-1

Laurel (1st) Mini Donation, 6-1
(3rd) Chocomount, 9-2

Lone Star Park (3rd) O Sole Mio, 6-1
(7th) Valid Bride, 9-2

Louisiana Downs (1st) They Call Me Seb, 7-2
(6th) Ristan, 6-1

Monmouth Park (3rd) Nseventeen, 9-2
(8th) Egyptian Rose, 7-2

Parx Racing (1st) Natalie La Rose, 7-2
(3rd) Jeanjeannie, 6-1

Penn National (4th) She’z So Groovy, 6-1
(6th) Against the Odds, 10-1

Prairie Meadows (8th) No Holds Barred, 6-1
(9th) Blue Key Rosie, 9-2

Sacramento (4th) Crystal Cutie, 3-1
(7th) Southern Royalty, 9-2

Saratoga (2nd) Tipsy Kitten, 9-2
(3rd) Pete Marwick, 6-1

Thistledown (2nd) Mey’s Flash, 7-2
(3rd) Mygirlfriday, 6-1

Woodbine (4th) Will She, 3-1
(5th) Hampstead Heath, 6-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Meadows Tulsa

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 11 - Maiden - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $11300 Class Rating: 73

QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 KB PAPA 3/1

# 4 UNAPPEASABLE 8/1

# 2 CAPTAIN GOLD DIGGER 7/2

I like KB PAPA here. Don't overlook this colt in your bets - very dangerous with Delgado aboard. Will almost certainly come out strong - I have liked the way this colt has moved sharply to the front end recently. Ran a sharp last race. UNAPPEASABLE - Some respectable figs have been posted by this trainer's horses running at this distance and surface. Had one of the most respectable speed figures of this group of horses in this race in her last race. CAPTAIN GOLD DIGGER - Should best this field here, showing very good figs of late. Looks to have a very good class edge based on the most recent company kept.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Assiniboia Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 90

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 22 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 SECRET WISHES 5/1

# 1 CAPORETTO 5/2

# 5 PAPA SMITTY 4/1

SECRET WISHES looks decent to best this field. Reason to like this gelding as he has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last month. With Morales aboard him, this gelding ought to be able to break out early here. Posted a decent speed rating last time out. CAPORETTO - Has a strong shot in this contest if you like back class. Has very good speed figures and has to be considered for a wager for this event. PAPA SMITTY - Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. Should be given a shot - I like the figs from the last contest.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


Arlington - Race #7 - Post: 7:50pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $11,500 Class Rating: 79

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 BETRUETOYOURSCHOOL (ML=5/2)
#5 TAM (ML=7/2)
#3 SULLYVIN'S G G (ML=9/2)


BETRUETOYOURSCHOOL - I like to wager on this angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a solid race within the last month. This speedball is cutting back in distance today. Should enhance her winning probability. Wired the field on Jul 7th at Arlington. Quite possible she can do it again in this field. A repeat of that most recent effort on Jul 7th where she recorded a speed fig of 91 looks strong enough to triumph in this affair. TAM - Perez and Domenosky partnered together are a railbird's friend. This horse ran well at Arlington on May 29th. Bounced in the last race, but should rebound today with a sharp effort. SULLYVIN'S G G - I seem to always make money betting Mason horses on the turf. That barn has a solid win pct for this distance/surface. Have to make this filly a win candidate; she comes off a good race on July 3rd. EPS (earnings per start) is something that I think can be an important handicapping aspect. This horse is ranked at the top of the list in this field. Three consecutive improved speed figs (13-54-72) make this thoroughbred a strong contender. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 QUICK STUDY (ML=3/1), #6 HENRY'S SONG (ML=4/1), #1 SHE'S PRETTY CUTE (ML=5/1),

QUICK STUDY - Awfully hard to bet on this vulnerable equine when she hasn't been showing any signs of life lately. HENRY'S SONG - This mount will probably need at least one more race after the lackluster showing following the very long layoff. This mare hasn't had any recent good results in sprint races. Difficult to bet on her in this contest. SHE'S PRETTY CUTE - This mare hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two outings. Today's affair is 5 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance race in the last couple of months. Not the best of signs.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - BETRUETOYOURSCHOOL - Posting a better speed rating each of her last couple of races. This filly is a prime candidate to win today.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #8 BETRUETOYOURSCHOOL to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Prairie Meadows - Race #7 - Post: 3:44pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 91

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 MATCHLOCK (ML=7/2)
#6 CLONE (ML=8/1)


MATCHLOCK - Last out, this one was in a race at Prairie Meadows in a race with an Equibase class figure of 99. Dropping drastically in class figure this time out puts him in a solid position right here. This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Laviolette gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing. This gelding is very familiar with the winner's circle at Prairie Meadows. I expect a repeat effort right here. CLONE - Birzer rode this entrant for the initial time last time out and comes right back this time.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 INDY AWESOME (ML=9/5), #2 WHISPER TO CURLIN (ML=6/1), #1 OH MY GRAVY (ML=8/1),

INDY AWESOME - Hasn't been on the Prairie Meadows oval in the last few weeks. Cause for some concern. WHISPER TO CURLIN - When checking today's class figure, he will have to notch a much better speed figure than last out to vie in this dirt route. OH MY GRAVY - This gelding hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two races.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 MATCHLOCK to win at post-time odds of 3/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
7 with 6 with [4,5,8] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Saratoga

RACE #10 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 5:48 PM EASTERN POST
The Diana Stakes
9.0 FURLONGS TURF GRADE I FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $500,000.00 PURSE

#3 LADY ELI
#6 DICKINSON
#2 ANTONOE
#4 QUIDURA

For your information folks ... The Diana is named for the Roman mythological goddess of the hunt, who had the power to talk to and control animals. Here in the 80th running of this Grade I stakes test, #3 LADY ELI is the overall speed leader in this field racing at 9.0 furlongs on the turf, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of her last five outings, winning twice in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Irad Ortiz has been in her irons on 11 previous occasions, never missing the board, winning 8 times, and is back this afternoon here at "The Spa" for his 12 ride. #6 DICKINSON, a 9-2 shot, has produced "POWER RUNS" in each of her last five outings, hitting the board in four of those efforts, including back-to-back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in her 2nd through her 4th races back.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DIAMOND TRENDS

The Dodgers are 17-0 since Apr 30, 2014 as a 140+ favorite coming off a game as a home favorite in which they lost by 5+ runs.


TOP SDQL OU TREND:

-- The Royals are 10-0-1 OU (1.86 ppg) since May 28, 2017 past the first game of a series after their bullpen went at least one inning last game and did not allow a run.

TOP SDQL STARTER TREND:

-- The Orioles are 11-0 since Jul 31, 2012 when Chris Tillman starts after he gave up 4+ walks in a win in his last start.

TOP SDQL CHOICE TREND:

-- The Twins are 0-11 RUN LINE AGAINST since May 17, 2015 when Kyle Gibson starts at home when they lost as an away dog in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Daily Line Drive: Saturday's picks, betting odds and analysis


Double-Play Picks

Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles (+105, 11)

If there has been one thing holding back fans and pundits alike, from saying the Astros will win the American League, it’s the health of their starting rotation. But the staff gets a boost Saturday as Collin McHugh makes his season debut for the Astros in Game 2 of their three-game weekend set in Baltimore versus the Orioles.

McHugh has missed all of the 2017 campaign, with what the team called an “elbow impingement” in his throwing arm. McHugh is 43-26 with a 3.71 and a 1.249 WHIP since becoming a full-time starter for the Astros back in 2014.

He will be a welcome addition to a rotation that has used nine starters this season and has been missing ace Dallas Keuchel since early June.

The Orioles meanwhile counter with Chris Tillman. The right-hander is coming off a strong start, but his season overall has been a disappointment. Tillman is 1-5 with a 7.20 ERA and a WHIP of 2.018.

Tillman will have his hands full with arguably the deepest lineup in the Bigs, which ranks first in almost every major offensive category, including runs per game (5.9), team average (.290), OPS (.856) and home runs (158).

The Astros also have the best road record in the MLB at 34-11 and are far and away the most profitable road team at $2160 (based on $100 wagers). What makes those numbers more impressive is that they are 34-11 against the runline on the road.

Expect the Astros bats to jump all over Tillman and while they are a great runline bet, the moneyline present too much value today.

Pick: Astros -127

New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners (+130, 8.5)

Aaron Judge’s mammoth home run aside, the Yankees offense has been inconsistent for the month of July but has done enough to take the first two games of their series against the Mariners in Seattle.

Game 3 of the four-game set goes Saturday night at Safeco Field with Masahiro Tanaka toeing the rubber for the Yankees, while the Mariners counter with Ariel Miranda.

The Yankees have been scoring just 3.6 runs per game in the month of July, that’s down almost two full runs from their season average of 5.3 per game. The inconsistent offense has resulted in the Under cashing in the Yankees last eight road games and in 10 of their last 11 games overall.

Miranda is the man who has to deal with that lineup Saturday night. The 28-year-old Cuban southpaw has come into his own in his first full season in the big leagues, especially at home. Miranda is 3-2 with a 3.23 ERA and a 0.946 WHIP, while allowing opponents to hit just .190 in nine starts at Safeco Field.

Tanaka, on the other hand, has been the model of inconsistency this season. He is 7-9 with a 5.33 ERA and a 1.350 WHIP. The Japanese right-hander has been better of late however, throwing four quality starts in his last five outings, pitching to a 3.00 ERA and a 1.030 WHIP.

Tanaka has also loved pitching against the Mariners over the course of his career, going 5-0 with a 1.95 ERA and a 0.811 WHIP, while racking up 38 punch outs to just four walks.

The Under is also 4-0 in the Mariners last four games and 8-2 in their last 10 games overall.

Pick: Under 8.5

Yesterday's Picks: 1-1
Season To Date: 94-82-8


Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: David Price, Boston Red Sox (5-2, 3.39 ERA, $+65)

David Price got off to a rough start in his Red Sox tenure, 2016 was disappointing for the lefty and injuries hindered his start this season, but he has turned things around.

Price has been dominating in his last three starts, owning a very impressive .90 ERA, 1.10 WHIP. The sexiest stat is 22 strikeouts and only four walks. This is what Boston wanted when they handed Price a seven-year, $217 million contract.

Price and the Red Sox are +122 road chalk against the Los Angeles Angels.

Slumping: Mike Pelfrey, Chicago White Sox (3-7, 4.64 ERA, $-97)

Mike Pelfrey has been predictively mediocre this season and maybe that is being kind, but we here at Covers are nice guys. The cringe-worthy stat with the White Sox right-hander is that he only has two quality starts in his seventeen trips to the rubber in 2017.

In his last five appearances, he has thrown a total of 18 innings, allowed 16 runs, six home runs, walked 12, and struck out a measly 13 batters.

Pelfrey and the White Sox are +171 road dogs against Jason Vargas and the Kansas City Royals.

Saturday's Top Trends

* Cubs are 22-5 in John Lester's last 27 starts vs. a team with a losing record. -152 vs. Cardinals.

* Pirates are 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in Colorado. +120 @ Colorado.

* Mariners are 2-11 in their last 13 home games. +125 vs. Yankees.

* Under is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Total: 11.

* Tigers are 2-9 in Zimmermann's last 11 road starts. -118 @ Minnesota.

Weather To Keep An Eye On

Rains and thunderstorms will likely be an issue today at Citizens Bank Park where the Phillies will welcome the Milwaukee Brewers. There is a 70 percent chance of rain at first pitch and the remainder of the night is a mix of 40-60 percent.

There is also a chance of thunderstorms developing in Cincinnati for tonight's game between the Red and Marlins. It’s looking fine early but as the night goes on the threat of rain grows as high as 70 percent. Same thing in Queens, where the Mets are hosting Athletics, but it might not affect the game as things aren’t forecasted to get messy until late in the evening.

There isn't much in the way of wind across Major League Baseball on today, so we'll just take our daily look at AT&T Park in San Francisco. Where a hitter's wind is blowing out to straight center 10-15 miles per hour. The total is currently at 8.5

Ump Of The Day

Not great news for the visiting Texas Rangers, Chad Whitson is behind the plate tonight in Tampa and he seems to love seeing the home team fans go happy. In his 16 appearances calling balls and strikes this season the home team has won 14 games. That has resulted in a league leading $1168 home team money total.

Also worth noting that the Over has cashed in 11 of his 16 (68.8 percent) appearances behind the dish and in six of his last seven.

The Rays are -183 home chalk today and the total is currently sitting at 8.5.