At the Gate - Saturday
By Mike Dempsey
We head into the last weekend of the spring meeting at Keeneland, which concludes next Friday. Then will head back to New York to handicap the Belmont Park spring meeting and of course the Kentucky Oaks and Derby cards from Churchill Downs.
Mark Casse has the lead in the trainer’s race with seven winners from 37 starters. He has one starter on today card. Mike Maker has six winners from his 24 starters and can make up some ground today, sending out runners in four races this afternoon.
Todd Pletcher and Wesley Ward each have five winners and still have a shot of taking the training title over the next week. They each have starters in one race this afternoon.
Chad Brown is having a very tough meeting, and we have backed a few of his runners. He is just 1 for 19 with seven runner up finishes.
The jockey title looks as if it will go down to the final day of the meeting next Friday. Luis Saez and Javier Castellano each of 13 winners at the meet. Corey Lanerie is next, booting home 10 winners.
Saturday’s feature is the $250,000 Elkhorn (G2) which drew a solid field of turf marathoners who will go 1 ½ miles.
Kaigun is the 5-2 morning line favorite and is coming off a game win in the Pan American (G2) last out at Churchill Downs over good ground. Keeneland got some rain on Friday but the weather looks good for Saturday and we likely will have firm ground.
Here is today’s opener from Keeneland to get the day off to a good start:
KEE Race 1 Alw $16,000s (1:05 ET)
#5 Steel Cut 1-1
#4 Vanilla Score 6-1
#6 Fiddlelina 10-1
#2 Spoonfulofsugar 9-2
Analysis: Steel Cut just missed in the restricted Gold Coast at Delta Downs in a tough beat after beating $40,000 optional claimers two back at Oaklawn Park. He is well spotted here dropping into this starter allowance and he owns a solid pace profile throughout. He will be very tough if he runs back to his last three figs but his price is going to be short.
Vanilla Score goes poly to dirt here, beating Alw-1 optional claimers two back and running second at the same level last out. He does have a win on dirt but his numbers don't stack up to our top pick. Still looks better than the rest of this group.
Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 7-5 or better.
EX: 4,5 / 2,4,5,6
TRI: 4,5 / 2,4,5,6 / 1,2,4,5,6
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Keeneland:
KEE Race 9 The Elkhorn G2 (5:30 ET)
#7 Kaigun 5-2
#1 Da Big Hoss 7-2
#6 Twilight Eclipse 3-1
#2 Up With the Birds 3-1
Analysis: Kaigun made a good late rally and battle on gamely to the wire to prevail by a head talking the Pan American (G2) last out at Gulfstream Park. The win snapped a nine race losing streak but he was in the mix in most of his trips including four straight runner up finishers before picking up his victory last out. He comes in here sharp and can handle any type of ground. The turf was listed as good yesterday but should be closer to firm today.
Da Big Hoss tracked the early pace and weakened to finish fifth last out in the Mac Diarmida (G2) last out at Gulfstream Park where our top pick landed second. He won the John Connally (G3) two back at Sam Houston going 1 1/2 miles. This guy has been a terrific claim, taken for $50,000 last June at Churchill Downs by the Maker barn.
Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 2-1 or better.
EX: 1,7 / 1,2,6,7
TRI: 1,7 / 1,2,6,7 / 1,2,6,7,8
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Keeneland
R1: #6 Fiddlelina 10-1
R2: #7 Harlan’s Howling 8-1
R3: #2 Squeeze 8-1
R3: #3 Boo 8-1
R4: #6 Sherwood Drive 10-1
R5: #2 Private Client 10-1
R7: #1 Dingdingdingding 10-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
We head into the last weekend of the spring meeting at Keeneland, which concludes next Friday. Then will head back to New York to handicap the Belmont Park spring meeting and of course the Kentucky Oaks and Derby cards from Churchill Downs.
Mark Casse has the lead in the trainer’s race with seven winners from 37 starters. He has one starter on today card. Mike Maker has six winners from his 24 starters and can make up some ground today, sending out runners in four races this afternoon.
Todd Pletcher and Wesley Ward each have five winners and still have a shot of taking the training title over the next week. They each have starters in one race this afternoon.
Chad Brown is having a very tough meeting, and we have backed a few of his runners. He is just 1 for 19 with seven runner up finishes.
The jockey title looks as if it will go down to the final day of the meeting next Friday. Luis Saez and Javier Castellano each of 13 winners at the meet. Corey Lanerie is next, booting home 10 winners.
Saturday’s feature is the $250,000 Elkhorn (G2) which drew a solid field of turf marathoners who will go 1 ½ miles.
Kaigun is the 5-2 morning line favorite and is coming off a game win in the Pan American (G2) last out at Churchill Downs over good ground. Keeneland got some rain on Friday but the weather looks good for Saturday and we likely will have firm ground.
Here is today’s opener from Keeneland to get the day off to a good start:
KEE Race 1 Alw $16,000s (1:05 ET)
#5 Steel Cut 1-1
#4 Vanilla Score 6-1
#6 Fiddlelina 10-1
#2 Spoonfulofsugar 9-2
Analysis: Steel Cut just missed in the restricted Gold Coast at Delta Downs in a tough beat after beating $40,000 optional claimers two back at Oaklawn Park. He is well spotted here dropping into this starter allowance and he owns a solid pace profile throughout. He will be very tough if he runs back to his last three figs but his price is going to be short.
Vanilla Score goes poly to dirt here, beating Alw-1 optional claimers two back and running second at the same level last out. He does have a win on dirt but his numbers don't stack up to our top pick. Still looks better than the rest of this group.
Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 7-5 or better.
EX: 4,5 / 2,4,5,6
TRI: 4,5 / 2,4,5,6 / 1,2,4,5,6
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Keeneland:
KEE Race 9 The Elkhorn G2 (5:30 ET)
#7 Kaigun 5-2
#1 Da Big Hoss 7-2
#6 Twilight Eclipse 3-1
#2 Up With the Birds 3-1
Analysis: Kaigun made a good late rally and battle on gamely to the wire to prevail by a head talking the Pan American (G2) last out at Gulfstream Park. The win snapped a nine race losing streak but he was in the mix in most of his trips including four straight runner up finishers before picking up his victory last out. He comes in here sharp and can handle any type of ground. The turf was listed as good yesterday but should be closer to firm today.
Da Big Hoss tracked the early pace and weakened to finish fifth last out in the Mac Diarmida (G2) last out at Gulfstream Park where our top pick landed second. He won the John Connally (G3) two back at Sam Houston going 1 1/2 miles. This guy has been a terrific claim, taken for $50,000 last June at Churchill Downs by the Maker barn.
Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 2-1 or better.
EX: 1,7 / 1,2,6,7
TRI: 1,7 / 1,2,6,7 / 1,2,6,7,8
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Keeneland
R1: #6 Fiddlelina 10-1
R2: #7 Harlan’s Howling 8-1
R3: #2 Squeeze 8-1
R3: #3 Boo 8-1
R4: #6 Sherwood Drive 10-1
R5: #2 Private Client 10-1
R7: #1 Dingdingdingding 10-1
Good luck today!