Saturday 4/18/09 service plays chatter /comps/ requests & gm strategy...

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James Patrick

Rockets vs. Trailblazers

Game #1 in Western Conference action pits the Rockets at the Rose Garden as hosts of Portland. This series has gone Over the Total in 4 straight meetings and the Blazers are Over the Total in 6 of 8 ATS as both a home favorite and in home games. Big Game James Patrick's complimentary selection in NBA Playoff Opening Round action is #Houston-Portland Over the Total.
 
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Craig Trapp

Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs
Play: Over 185.5

It's back, NBA Playoffs!! Can anyone stop the Cavs or Lakers? We are about to find out about all of these questions and so many more!!

Today we look at a once proud champion and a billionair owners toy team. Texas twosome here and we have the free winning total today. Lets take a look at the records and trends in this matchup!!

Records

Dallas Mavericks 50-32 overall 40-42 ATS

San Antonio Spurs 54-28 overall 40-40-2 ATS

Total Betting Trends

-Over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 playoff games as an underdog.

-Under is 12-4 in Mavericks last 16 road games.

-Over is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 home games.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Antonio.

SA Spurs are not the once proud defensive team they used to be. In fact this is the first time in the last 5 years that they let teams shoot over 45% from the field. If that is not enough they don't have Ginobli and now have to play a much worse defender. SA can score with most teams but can't lock teams down. Dallas is not a defensive team and they can't win playing half court they must push the ball. High scoring game here easy cover on the total. SCORE DAL 101 - SA 99
 
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Alex Smart

Houston Astros -126

The Houston Astros host the Cincinnati Reds in the second game of this 3 game series this Saturday night in Minute Maid Park. A hair raising comeback led the Cincinnati Reds to victory in their series opener in Houston on Friday night .Now with redemption on their agenda the Astros will come out here primed to perform. Who better to take their frustrations out on than Reds starting pitcher Aaron Harang who in two starts against Houston last year went 0-2 along with a ugly looking 9.00 ERA. During his career the Reds righty has proven he does not like facing Astors hitters as is evident by allowing 23 home runs in 19 starts. Final notes & Key Trends: Reds are 2-10 in Harangs last 12 road starts. Houston is 10-3 L/13 as home chalk. Play on the Houston Astros
 
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Vegas Experts

Houston Rockets at Portland Trail Blazers

While it's true that the Blazers are inexperienced, it's also true that they are an incredible home team. They finished the regular season 34-7 SU at the Rose Garden and maybe even more impressive is that they covered 26 of those games. Home team won all three head-to-head meetings this season. Portland is a perfect 8-0 ATS this season when coming off a home win by 20 or more points and a perfect 9-0 ATS if they allowed 85 points or less in their previous game.

Play on: Portland
 
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Game Time Sports Advisors

Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
Play: New York Mets

This is about as heavy a fave as we will lay, and this is a low Santana number. Youngster Gallardo is not yet proven. Still, the Mets are 11-2 in his last 13 starts, and 6-1 last 7 home starts. Santana will do his part giving up 2 runs, and the Mets offense should be able to muster some runs here. And if they don't look for Santana to start his whining like he usually does after a loss pointing fingers.
 
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Carlo Campanella

Cleveland Indians at NY Yankees

After the slow start, Cleveland has finally woke up and started to play some baseball in New York. They spoiled the Yankees home opener in the new stadium by shelling NEw York, 10-2. In the second meeting New York struggled to hold on to a 6-5 victory and now enter game 3 on Saturday on the wrong side of a Pitching MisMatch. The Yankees start Wang on the mound, who;s already been shelled for 15 Earned Runs in just 4.7 Innings Pitched this season! Cleveland has beaten Wang in 2 of his last 3 starts against them, so we're calling for Cleveland to pull the upset in the third game of this 4 game series.

Play on: Cleveland
 
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Tony George

Detroit Pistons vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Play: Cleveland -12

Cannot doubt the Cavs with Garnett out for Boston as the front runner in the East here. They have won the last 3 times against Detroit and in their last meeting the Cavs won by 6 shooting 38% from the floor overall, getting outrebounded by 10, and shot 20% from beyond the arc and STILL WON! That rarely happens, it just shows the distance between these 2 teams. Rarely do I lay double digits in an NBA game in the playoffs, even for a Bonus Play, but the Cavs are clearly the better team in every aspect of stat handicapping. The Pistons dropped their last 3 games, and 6 out of their last 10 and come into a strong home court for Cavs limping at best. The favorite in this series is a solid 8-1 ATS the last 9 times, and I sniff a blowout here in Cleveland Saturday!
 

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If anyone can find or has Ice Crushers hockey can you post them again today. Thanks they were 0-4 yesterday. Thanks
 

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Anybody getting Redd today? He had a horrible day yesterday. Usually when he has a losing day he backs it up with a winning day.
 

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printman19 is getting Redd today. He says he's going to fade him...we'll wait and see if he lives up to his word
 

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Yup, I am getting Redd peeps, will have it shortly, I will post, I'm fading him for a week and seeing how it goes, it could blow up in my face too, we will see. That's why its called gambling. @)
 

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Hummmmmm,...wonder what happened
 

Say Hello To My Little Friend, Steve Puppet!
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Al DeMarco has a pick on the Cardinals-Cubs game.
 

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