Saturday 3/12/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

At the Gate - Saturday
By Mike Dempsey

We have a big day on tap on Saturday that includes a pair of Road to the Kentucky Derby points races along with the $1 million Santa Anita Handicap (G1).

Derby hopefuls will line up in the $400,000 San Felipe (G2) and the $350,000 Tampa Bay Derby, with 50-20-10-5 points up for grabs toward entry into the Kentucky Derby (G1).

The San Felipe has scratched down to six, but one of the early favorites for the Run for the Roses will be in action. Mor Spirit, winner of the Robert B. Lewis (G3) in his last start is currently the fourth choice in early Derby betting at 10-1 is the 2-1 morning line favorite.

The Tampa Bay Derby marks the three-year-old debut of Brody’s Cause, who is the 5-2 morning line favorite. The colt was third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) in his last outing and is currently listed at 15-1 for the Kentucky Derby, sixth in the betting despite not having raced since last October.

The Big Cap is missing California Chrome and Hoppertunity who are Dubai bound, but drew a solid field including Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) runner up Effinex and the up and coming Donworth, who was a close up third in the San Antonio (G2) in his first start off a layoff.


Here is today’s opener from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:

GP Race 1 Clm $6,250N2L (12:35 ET)
#9 Hy Land Warrior 6-1
#8 Mansion House 5-2
#2 Ebreeq 10-1
#5 Dave Hoeght 4-1

Analysis: Hy Land Warrior prompted the early pace and weakened to finish fifth last out at this level over good ground. The gelding was claimed out of the race again, this time going to the Walder barn that is 26% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim. He comes back as a gelding here and the extra ground her will suit. He was a game second at this distance two back at this level.

Mansion House stalked thee early pace, came with a four wide move, drifted outward and finished up with some interest late, checking in third and beaten 2 1/4 lengths as the beaten favorite. The five-year-old makes his third start off the long layoff and drops into an easier spot here for the Kenneally barn.

Wagering
WIN: #9 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 8,9 / 2,5,8,9
TRI: 8,9 / 2,5,8,9 / 1,2,5,8,9

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:

GP Race 11 The Captiva Island Hcp (5:35 ET)
#4 Forest Funds 10-1
#3 Jewel of a Cat 8-5
#2 Katie's Kiss 9-5
#5 Miss Matzoball 8-1

Analysis: Forest Funds is going to get overlooked on the tote here and offers decent value over the two chalks. The mare made a good late rally to get up and beat $62,500 optional claimers (non-winners of two other than or a race on turf in six months). The mare is perfect in three trips over the turf here and has landed in the exacta in 8 of 10 starts overall on turf. She looks capable of moving forward off her last outing and can sit close or come from out of it.

Jewel of a Cat was bumped coming out of the gate, dueled for the early lead and weakened to finish third last out in the Ladies Turf Sprint. She won the Windy Key three back over the grass here in a game effort. She owns solid early and mid pace numbers and her numbers fit well in this spot.

Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 5-1 or better.
EX: 3,4 / 2,3,4,5
TRI: 3,4 / 2,3,4,5 / 2,3,4,5,7

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Tampa Bay Downs:

Tam Race 11 The Tampa Bay Derby G2 (5:24 ET)
#2 Rafting 6-1
#10 Awesome Banner 8-1
#8 Brody's Cause 5-2
#7 Destin 9-2

Analysis: Rafting exits a runner up finish in the Sam F. Davis (G3) last out where he was bumped coming out of the gate, tracked the early pace while three wide and was unable to get to the winner Destin late, beaten 2 ¼ lengths for the top spot. The colt made his stakes debut two back in a smart win in the Smooth Air at Gulfstream Park West. The Graham Motion trainee looks to be heading in the right direction and should get a good tracking trip behind what could be a sharp pace. Five of the last 10 winners of this race exited the Davis. He makes his second start off a 2 ½ month break and the 6-1 morning line looks fair enough.

Awesome Banner won the Hutcheson (G3) and Swale (G2) but failed in his first try around two turns in a fifth place finish in the Fountain of Youth (G2). He set the early fractions and faded badly in the stretch. The fact that his trainer Stanley Gold elects to bring him back here instead of cutting back to one turn has me figuring this guy may be worth another look here. The abundance of early speed in here may scare off some bettors and this colt is going to go off at a generous price. Gallardo picks up the call and he is having a big meeting, hitting at a 27% clip and running away with the jockey title at Tampa Bay Downs.

Brody’s Cause is making his first start since running third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) last fall at Keeneland. Last year’s winner of this race was Carpe Diem, who was making his first start since running second in the Juvenile. The colt is the lone Grade 1 winner in the field, taking the Breeders’ Futurity (G1) in the mud two back at Keeneland. The colt has been working sharply at Gulfstream Park and got in a morning drill here on March 6. The Dale Romans barn is on the light side with layoff types, hitting at a 6% clip with runners coming back off a 61-180-day layoff. There is a lot of talk about how much early speed is in here and that bodes well for this colt is the speed duel develops. However, his price is likely going to be on the light side and he is going to have to work out a good trip off a 4 ½ month break.

Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 2,10 / 2,7,8,10
TRI: 2,10 / 2,7,8,10 / 2,4,7,8,10

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Santa Anita:

SA Race 7 The San Felipe G2 (3:04 PT)
#7 Exaggerator 5-2
#3 Mor Spirit 2-1
#2 Danzing Candy 7-2
#1 Uncle Lino 8-1

Analysis: Exaggerator stretches back out to two turns after a game effort in a runner up finish to Nyquist in the San Vicente (G2) last out. The stretch out is no problem for this guy, who won the Delta Jackpot (G3) going three turns and was a good runner up to Brody's Cause in the Breeders' Futurity (G1) last fall at Keeneland. The colt should get the jump on our second choice and that may make the difference her in this short field.

Mor Spirit won the Robert B. Lewis (G3) last out in his three-year-old debut and is now one of the top Derby contenders, the third choice behind Mohaymen and Nyquist in some racebooks. The $650,000 purchase landed in the exacta in all four starts last year including a win in the Los Alamitos Futurity (G1). He owns a slid pace profile throughout with the edge in late pace numbers. He may actually be better with more ground than this, and I am hoping our top pick offers a bit more value for the top spot.

Wagering


WIN: #7 to win at 9-5 or better.
EX: 3,7 / 2,3,7
TRI: no play

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Aqueduct
R2: #5 Visionary Ruler 8-1
R3: #3 Hey Bro 10-1
R6: #1 Whatstotalkabout 12-1
R8: #3 Always Sunshine 10-1
R9: #8 Gentrify 8-1

Good luck today!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 3/12 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 2,3,4/2,5,6/6/1,4,8/1,2,3,5 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 1,4,8/1,2,3,5/1.2.8/1 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 1/4,5,6/1,2,4/3,4,7 = $27

MEET STATS: 288 - 898 / $1494.90 BEST BETS: 46 - 83 / $162.90

SPOT PLAYS: 20 - 84 / $208.00

Best Bet: REGALLY READY (7th)

Spot Play: DONTBRUISECARRIE (5th)


Race 1

(4) SHADES OF BAY made a sustained move to the front last week when he came under immediate pressure and held on okay, considering. In this short field he could get a much better trip on or near the lead. (2) MOHAWK WARRIOR rode perfect cover to victory last week and he hasn't missed the board all year so far. He can win from a variety of trips and is ever dangerous. (3) RAFA put in a big first-over bid last week but he continues to appear headstrong often during his miles. He is capable but needs to relax more during his miles.

Race 2

(2) ADVERSITY drops to a level where he should be prominent and Filion will likely give him a more aggressive steer here; top call. (6) POWER MOVE also takes a class plunge and he was a good 2nd when last in this class. (5) PRETTY BOY continues to race well for Johnson and isn't out of this.

Race 3

(6) NICKLE BAG didn't race last week only because there was no Preferred class. He shoots for 6 straight here and will be tough to beat again. (5) EVENIN OF PLEASURE is a new face on the scene making his first start of 2016. He has the class and speed to contend immediately. (3) MACH PRIDE has really stepped up his game the past two starts and is one to consider for the exotics at what should be a good price.

Race 4

(1) RISE UP NOW missed a check last week which enables him to face his easiest company yet here. I would think he will leave much better this time and start his move earlier. (8) PROVEN DESIRE showed good speed both early and late last week and he is one of few that appear to want to leave here which should make him a dangerous rival. (4) COOL ROCK continues to close well from far back and likely takes another minor share here.

Race 5

(1) DONTBRUISECARRIE had plenty of pace to offer last week but was on dead cover when the two that beat her were slipping off the pylons after enjoying much better trips. She can take this at a square price. (2) SPORTS EXPERT beat easier in her season debut but the early and late speed she displayed there makes her a contender vs. these. (3) POPGOESTHEWEASEL was motoring late last week but was also covered up on the inside the entire way saving energy for that one late burst. She could be overbet off that mile.

Race 6

(8) JUSTCALLMERONALD has won vs. this type of company from an outer post before and Auciello may have his issues straightened out based on the March 3rd qualifier; slight nod. (2) LADY DYNAMITE made two moves last time in a decent effort. She should be prominent throughout here. (1) O NARUTAC PERFETTO is hit-and-miss as to whether he will stay trotting or not but if he does, he should be right there at the wire. Take a look at him in the post parade.

Race 7

(1) REGALLY READY jogged when last in this class and should be a tough customer here. (3) AINSLEYNOELLE was a gritty winner vs. easier last week and has to be considered off that mile. (5) D GS PESQUERO kept coming late but couldn't get by the one above at the wire. She seems more likely for a minor award here.

Race 8

(4) MACHAL JORDAN has been too far back in his last two starts. With this shorter field, he is likely to be closer earlier and could register a minor upset. (5) VELOCITY DRIVEN is another that was too far back but was roaring up late and fell a couple of strides late. The short field should help him, too. (6) AVATARTIST put big fractions up then held on despite getting very tired nearing the wire. He is a threat again, especially if he can steal another second 1/4 breather.

Race 9

(1) ULTIMATE BEACHBOY got free too late last week. He is one of the best in here and should get a more aggressive steer from Jamieson here. (2) IDOLE DUHARAS is as sharp as they come and should enjoy another good following trip here. (4) WAZZUP WAZZUP is a big threat at this level; include him in your late Pick 4 tickets.

Race 10

(3) AKOYA should last much longer here dropping into a conditioned claimer and might be a nice price. (7) YOURE ME HERO blew away lesser last week and will likely be heavily bet despite the step up. (4) BIEBER HANOVER faced much better recently and has a big shot vs. these. (6) READ THE PROPOSAL is a good one for the bottom of tris, supers and High-5's. (5) SHIPPEN OUT is another that is most likely to finish 4th or 5th.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Meadowlands: Saturday 3/12 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF HARNESS

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 111 - 395 / $646.90 (-$143.10) BEST BETS: 15 - 29 / $62.90 (+$4.90)

Best Bet: INVICTUS HANOVER (9th)

Spot Play: VERDAD (8th)


Race 1

(1) ART HISTORY takes a giant step forward, but is rewarded with a cozy inside post to held showcase his early speed. With a couple of these coming back from layoffs, he can take charge at a price. (5) K-LEES SHAKENBAKE is always a threat to storm past the field in the lane. If he is feeling right tonight, a win is very possible. (2) JACKSRLUCKYTOO is sharp and owns a stellar 26-35 career in-the-money record.

Race 2

(3) BETTOR MEMORIES continues to improve and had no shot for first last time after chasing slow fractions. (2) MAAJAACKKOBE was done in by a tough trip a week ago and could make more noise from the inside post. (8) ROCKET J has hinted at some ability and could be an upset player. (6) HONEY I’M HOME got away with soft fractions last time. I’m betting against at a somewhat short price.

Race 3

(2) EIGHT TEN EOM should be able to make the front and get away with soft fractions in this spot. At worst he’ll sit the pocket and have a big chance. (1) DUKES UP comes in from Freehold with good form and might just push away hard enough to sit a garden trip. (3) PIECE OF THE ROCK had things his way last week but ends up with some early speed to his inside this time. (7) EARLY STORM moves into a new barn and picks up Campbell; worth a look.

Race 4

(4) GOOD CITATIONS couldn’t rally into a slow pace at Monticello on Tuesday, but it seems like most of the horses this barn has been bringing in usually race well. In a field with little form, he seems as good as any. (9) PENN TURBO TED is one of the rare horses in this race that I actually remember winning at the Big M. He has the early speed to overcome the bad draw. (2) YOU BET YOUR GLASS has hit a new low. Will he wake up tonight? Good question!

Race 5

(1) SOMESIZESOMESTYLE has been having his trouble from outside posts at Yonkers. I like him better on the big track and expect to see a solid showing. (4) PANSFORMATIVE hasn’t put in a bad effort in some time; one to beat. (8) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE seems to have found his form again and could be tough if the trip works out.

Race 6

(8) BAKIN ON THE BEACH faced some traffic and finished with pace a week ago. He drops in class tonight but should still provide value against a solid group. (5) SOUTHWIND INDY is another class-dropper capable of stepping up. (9) THAT’S MY OPINION has done his best work against NW5100 types and he did finish up with some pace a week ago.

Race 7

(2) CHEYENNE SEEBER had traffic trouble two starts back and couldn’t handle a very sharp winner last time. This guy is ready to score and the class break should make the difference. (3) MCARDLES LIGHTNING is another getting class relief in the field. Along with moving in from outside posts, this guy should be live. (6) ROCKIN WIZARD adds Tetrick and has proven capable in the past. (1) MR CENSI has some form if the trip works out.

Race 8

(2) VERDAD was stuck with outside posts in his first starts of 2016. Veteran pacer is sharper than you may think and primed for a big effort. (1) LAST DRAGON is back at the level of his win two starts back. (3) DUNE DUDE fits right in as one of seven horses dropping in class in race 8. He is also getting post relief after a long trip from post 9.

Race 9

(1) INVICTUS HANOVER might appear to be staying in the same class, but this race looks like a big step down in terms of talent. High percentage Russo barn should have him ready. (4) HAVE NOT READ IT comes with a long list of angles: drops; moves inside; second start on Lasix; second start after a three-week break. (8) ETHAN HANOVER has been up in company lately and is a candidate to awaken for a decent barn.

Race 10

(2) LEGENDS LUCK finds a field lacking early speed and should be able to use his zip to sit a fine trip. (3) PRINCE PINANG has missed more than a month and comes off what looks like a dull qualifier. Upon closer inspection, he was facing some top foes that morning and has displayed the ability to win on a bigger track. (4) SOME MAJOR BEACH is another with the potential to fire off the gate. (1) WOODMERE ULTIMATE is consistent and should be used underneath.

Race 11

(7) ROCKEYED OPTIMIST didn’t look quite as good last week as he appeared two starts back. That said, whether he leaves or waits off cover, this race looks to shape up nicely for him. (5) DOVUTO HANOVER may need to gut it out uncovered to win this Open Handicap; not an impossible task. (4) SUNSHINE BLUE CHIP seems destined to be sitting first or second, but I’d need 5-1 or better to consider him.

Race 12

The horses in this race are formless and you really are looking at a crapshoot. I’ll try (3) STORMIN RUSTLER on the angles of an improved post, drop in company and back class. (4) TWINCREEKS JESSE hasn’t done much lately except a third-place finish a few starts back, but have you seen the rest of this field? (7) MAGICAL TELF N hasn’t won a race in years and looks playable; enough said.

Race 13

(3) PIERCE should be the first to the front and has enough speed to string out the field to secure at least a pocket trip. (7) MAJOR WAR has been stuck in some fast miles lately. While I loath to pick this horse, he really does seem to be in a winning spot. (6) BOOGIEWOOGIEBRIAN finally gets away from post 10; should be leaving. (9) ROYAL OUTLOOK seems capable of getting involved if the trip goes his way.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Saturday 3/12 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 68 - 213 / $386.50

BEST BETS: 7 - 18 / $26.00

Best Bet: LET’S DRINK ON IT (3rd)

Spot Play: ROLAND N ROCK (6th)


Race 1

(8) GOLD ROCKS has been in good form out of town, now ships in and joins the 'powerhouse' Milici barn; post eight may be no problem if this one is revved up. (5) MC RUSTY usually races as well as he draws but this one can kick home nicely off a good setup. (2) LUNAR TIDE N is one of a handful of recent Vallee imports who could show more tonight with the improved post.

Race 2

(1) FIERY LUSTRE N is up in class off a game win, draws best in a questionable field and keeps Bartlett. (3) SHARK FANTASY debuts for Banca off the claim, always a potent angle. (5) DEMOCRACY N hasn't done much off the 40K claim but the veteran does find a softer spot tonight.

Race 3

(1) LET'S DRINK ON IT went a big effort last week in a solid acclimating mile and he looks tons the best from this spot. (3) ONE THROUGH TEN should be aggressively handled early looking for a pocket ride. (2) HEEZ ORL BLACK N is tough to endorse on top but he'll be close up throughout.

Race 4

(2) SANTANNA ONE gets much-needed post relief tonight, is a proven entity at this level and was Sears' choice. (1) CAUTION SIGNS lands back inside where he was a winner two back. (4) RURAL ART has been very sharp in his last three and is impossible to ignore.

Race 5

(3) KIWI IDEAL N was very good in his seasonal debut two back, then couldn't sustain a two-move eight-hole effort last week; he can get it done with tonight's post relief. (1) MADIBA MAGIC N drops, draws best and beat better four back. (5) THIRTY TWO RED needed last week's race and could have more to offer.

Race 6

(4) ROLAND N ROCK qualified superbly with Lasix added, beating Foiled Again and Mach It So in the process; four-year-old can go down the road tonight. (3) BIT OF A LEGEND has looked super since arriving in the U.S. and he'll be much closer to the pace tonight; big threat. (5) BAD BOY MATT didn't fire in his two local Open efforts but last week's win versus lesser was very good.

Race 7

(2) CYCLONE KIWI N blasted down the road last week from an outside post but couldn't hold off two sharp rivals late; he's back with Bartlett tonight and from an inside post. (4) BULLET BOB was very good two back, toured the track last week. He can be more involved tonight. (1) JENERAL PATTON is up in class looking for two straight and he draws best again.

Race 8

(6) DYNAMIC YOUTH likely needed last week's start at The Meadowlands; Open winner from last season should be ready to show more tonight. (1) CHANCELLORCULLEN N blew away a weaker field last week, draws best and adds Dube. (7) ROCK ICON jogged at this level two back before coming up empty in last week's Open.

Race 9

(5) BETTOREVER went evenly last week while having no real chance in his first start since last September; Bamond trainee showed big ability as a four-year-old and could be ready to tackle these tonight. (1) FORTY FIVE RED drops in class and can carry his speed a long way from this spot. (3) REGGIANO doesn't look all that great but he can save ground and spice up the exotics.

Race 10

(3) ARQUE HANOVER returns locally for his 2016 debut and he had his moments here last season in some stakes events; note he's now in the Milici barn, who seems to have finally found the key to success, clicking at almost 30%. (6) MATTAMERICAN ships from The Meadows and is another barn-change bonanza (Andrew Harris) that must be respected. (1) REUBEN BROGDEN N is up in class off a solid score and he draws best.

Race 11

(1) A BETTOR HAT was okay two back from an inside post versus better and had a tough time getting involved last week. It can be all systems go tonight from the rail. (3) LIFE UP FRONT is a legit high-conditioned veteran who clearly needed last week's start; he should be tighter tonight. (7) ALBERTO CONTADOR N is in the same boat as Life Up Front but the outside post may seal his fate; use underneath.

Race 12

(1) MACHS BEACH BOY banked almost $250K last year and that wasn't by accident. After a poor start to his 2016 campaign the veteran looked better last week and from this spot Lachance should be prominent throughout. (8) SAPPHIRE CITY ripped out from the pocket and beat a nice rival last out. Millionaire gets to stay at the same level but now he's stuck in post eight; it's a total guess as to his intentions tonight. (2) SAM'S ESCAPE just missed last week and lands in a similar spot.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (3rd) Hectors Pride, 8-1
(7th) Pin and Win, 6-1

Charles Town (5th) Sing the Spirit, 3-1
(6th) San Gennaro, 8-1

Delta Downs (2nd) Cheer for Gold, 7-2
(6th) Dixie Brees, 9-2


Fair Grounds (1st) Not Mizzen a Beat, 7-2
(5th) Danny T, 5-1


Golden Gate Fields (1st) Spud Spivens, 3-1
(9th) Elle Woods Too, 7-2


Gulfstream Park (3rd) Private Journal, 8-1
(6th) Resourceful, 5-1


Hawthorne (2nd) Lady Scruffy, 3-1
(6th) Atomic, 8-1


Laurel Park (2nd) Hill Shadow, 7-2
(5th) Two Term Leader, 7-2


Mahoning Valley (5th) Buckeye Brown, 3-1
(7th) Bill Nack, 9-2


Oaklawn Park (2nd) Gablo, 5-1
(5th) It's All Up to You, 4-1


Parx (6th) Freedom for D L T, 9-2
(8th) Sweet Little Lies, 5-1


Penn National (3rd) Galanthus, 3-1
(5th) Gansett Bay, 3-1


Santa Anita (7th) Danzing Candy, 4-1
(10th) Donworth, 3-1


Sunland Park (6th) Golden Celestial, 4-1
(9th) Buoyance, 6-1


Tampa Bay Downs (5th) Dudette, 4-1
(6th) Ruffolo, 6-1


Turf Paradise (3rd) Shoot the Loop, 3-1
(8th) Simply in Awe, 9-2


Turfway Park (3rd) Miz Knightly, 6-1
(5th) Tiz a Dixie Dancer, 5-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Saturday, March 12, 2016, NBA.

Miami is No. 2 in the NBA and tops in the East in points allowed while Toronto is No. 6 in the league in points allowed. The Under is 27-11-1 in the Heat's last 39 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Toronto is 4-0 under the total at home vs. a team with a winning road record.

Play Miami/Toronto Under the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Roz Wins

Roz's Saturday, March 12, 2016, Free NHL Pick:

Colorado has a winning road record and plenty of motivation. Semyon Varlamov stopped 37 shots, Nathan MacKinnon scored his 21st goal and the Colorado Avalanche beat Anaheim 3-0 on Wednesday night. The Avalanche are 11-5 in their last 16 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. They face a last-place Winnipeg team with a losing record both home and away. The Jets are 1-6 in their last 7 overall and the Avalanche are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play Colorado.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Saturday

71 CAPITALS @ 72 SHARKS 10:35 PM

Take: 71 Washington Capitals -110

The Washington Capitals are running away with the race for the Presidents’ Cup awarded to the team with the best regular season record. A big part of why that’s the case has been the ability of this team to respond to defeat. The Caps have been nearly perfect playing off a game in which they failed to come away with two points. They’ll try to maintain that excellence tonight at San Jose.

This is the finish of a challenging three-game California swing for the Capitals. They actually warmed up for the long trip west by winning in overtime at Boston. That was followed by a dramatic shootout win at Anaheim. Then came the Wednesday game at Staples against the LA Kings. That looked like a rare blowout loss for the Caps, as they fell behind 3-0 by the midway part of the first period. But Washington roared back with three third period goals and managed to steal one point before bowing to the Kings in overtime.

Now the Caps wrap up the trip with a stop in San Jose. I don’t think the visitors will have any problem getting motivated for this game. The Capitals absorbed their worst loss of the entire season way back in just the second game of the long campaign. That was at home to the Sharks and San Jose had it all its way that night, rolling to a 5-0 win.

So I see this as a pretty nice little spot. The Capitals are off the overtime loss, with a revenge motive, and they’re facing a Sharks team that for whatever reason has been sensational on the road and pretty lousy at home. There’s certainly no problem with the price as it’s a virtual pick ’em game. I’ll be happy to send in a bet on the Washington side at that number.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp NBA Pick, Saturday, March 12, 2016 8:35 PM EST

(713) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS (714) SAN ANTONIO SPURS

Take: UNDER THE TOTAL

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Saturday, March 12, 2016 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Spurs from the Alamodome in San Antonio. Oklahoma City can play defense, No. 9 in the NBA in field goal shooting defense, 9-4 under the total playing on no days rest. San Antonio prefers a slow pace, tops in points allowed in the NBA, No. 1 in field goal shooting defense. They've allowed under 100 points in 8 of the last 9 games, on a 7-2 run under the total. And the Under is 5-1 in the Spurs last 6 vs. the Western Conference. Play Oklahoma City/San Antonio Under the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Red Dog Sports

Southampton vs Stoke City

Bonus Play Draw +216

I think we see a draw when these two play on Saturday in England. Nice value at +216.

Stoke 1

Southampton 1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Stephen Nover

Pistons vs 76ers

Bonus Play Detroit Pistons

Both teams played last night. The 76ers halted a 13-game losing streak beating the lowly Nets at home.. The Pistons were blown out on the road by the Hornets, the hottest team in the NBA.

Look for the Pistons to bounce back in big fashion today. Detroit has covered the past five times when playing with zero rest. The 76ers are 3-7 ATS the past 10 times they've played without rest and are 4-10 ATS following one of their rare victories.
Detroit is battling for a playoff spot. Fiery Stan Van Gundy isn't going to have his team take the 76ers, losers of 56 of 65 games, lightly especially being on the road. The Pistons had been playing well prior to meeting up with the Hornets, winners of six in a row. Detroit was 6-2 going into last night and coming off a 20-point home victory against the Trail Blazers and a six-point road win versus the Mavericks.
The Pistons improved themselves prior to the trade deadline picking up Tobias Harris and Marcus Morris. Reggie Jackson gives the Pistons a point guard edge here against the 76ers and they have a big advantage in the middle with All-Star Andre Drummond, who should be fired up after an off-game against the Hornets in which he encountered foul trouble. Detroit also has a huge edge in bench strength as forward Anthony Tolliver and guard Stanley Johnson returned from injuries last night.
Those two aren't aren't exactly All-Stars, but the 76ers have one of the weakest benches in the league and lost three players in last night's win against Brooklyn further depleting their lack of depth. Already without leading scorer center Jahlil Okafor for the season, the 76ers lost both of their starting forwards, Robert Covington and Jerami Grant - on a single play. Covington, the 76ers' third-leading scorer, suffered a possible neck injury leaving the game by ambulance. Grant was being evaluated for a concussion. Backup forward Richaun Holmes was hurt, too, exiting with a strained right Achilles.
So not only are the 76ers in a rare letdown spot, but their focus and concentration have to be compromised, too, worried about the health of Covington and Grant. Unless they play at least a high "B" game, the 76ers can't compete with a playoff-caliber team such as the Pistons. I see the 76ers being flat while the Pistons take care of business. (Editor's note: Sizzling Stephen Nover is a monster 71-38 on his last 109 NBA premium and Bonus Plays for 65 percent! Stephen has his NBA Game of the Month going today in addition to this free selection.)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer

Connecticut vs Temple

Bonus Play Connecticut

I'm recommending a play on UConn minus the points on Saturday. The Huskies had to play four OT periods to get by Cincinnati last night, while the Owls cruised passed South Florida, 79-62. Public perception will say Temple is fresh and UConn is worn out. But I believe perception has been baked into the opening number. UConn lost both regular season meetings, falling 55-53 on a last-second shot in the first meeting, then blowing a 54-42 lead with just over five minutes to go, getting outscored 21-4 down the stretch in a 63-58 loss on February 11. In fact, UConn scored two points on two FTs and no FGs over the final 5:11. But the Huskies were a 10-point favorite at home and a 5-point favorite on the road. Both teams have played well on the defensive end away from home this season, but UConn is a little better in the categories that matter to me the most, including allowing just 20.5 made FGs per contest on 37.4% shooting. Temple ranks 315th in the nation, making just 40.7% of their FGA, while the Huskies have nailed nearly 46% of their shots. Despite the 4-OT game last night, I suspect UConn's adrenaline and youth to carry them in this one. Last night's game reminded me of the 2009 UConn-Syracuse clash in the old Big East. Syracuse beat the Huskies 127-117 in 6 OT's. Many played against the Orange the next day, but Jim Boeheim's "tired" team beat West Virginia 74-69, outright as a 6 1/2 point underdog. I expect the "tired" UConn Huskies to win and cover here. I'm recommending a play on Connecticut minus the points. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Pelicans vs Bucks

Play - Milwaukee Bucks

Edges - Bucks: 10-1 versus non-rested opponents this season; and 4-1 ATS home with 14-point loss revenge in this series. Pelicans: 6-15 ATS versus non-conference opponents this season. With the Bucks looking to avenge a 17-point loads at New Orleans earlier this season, we recommend a 1* play on Milwaukee as the Pelicans fall to 4-8 ATS on Saturdays this season while the Bucks improve to 7-4 ATS on Saturdays this season. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[iwmore]

JR Tip? TIA

 

[iwmore]

OVER/UNDER hotline? TIA

Thank's ,CPAW