4 Unit Play. #501. Take L.A. Clippers +8 over Atlanta Hawks (Saturday @ 7pm est). To help secure our 7th straight winning week, we are going to ride the L.A. Clippers at home against my Baby Hawks. Look, I am a big fan of the Hawks so I do follow my team - but I also know, that in a total of 199, getting 8 points is a beautiful thing. In particular, when I think my dog has a 40% chance of winning this game SU. So, I have this game as a potential 62% chance of covering according to my spreadsheets and formulas, so I will gladly take the L.A. Clippers here. For starters, Atlanta beat this team by 17 points earlier this year on the road when the Clippers were banged up. So, the Clippers have revenge. The Clippers are also healthy right now with the return of Davis and Randolph. There is a reason why Coach Dunleavy had these two fellas return in the Memphis to get their feet wet prior to them facing the more capable Hawks on the road. And, did the two stars get their feet wet or what? They routed the Grizzlies by around 20 points scoring over 120 points in the process. Do note, the Hawks come back very nicely against the Bobcats and manage to cover by having a monster third quarter. So, I like the fact the Hawks return home off of a win as compared to a SU loss. I look for this game to be very competitive and the Clippers when healthy, can go up against anybody in this league with the likes of Baron Davis, Z. Randolph, Al Thornton and Eric Gordon. The Clippers bench is also rock solid - why? Well, considering that this team has to play often with injuries, the bench automatically sees more minutes, gains valuable experience and have more confidence when they see such minutes coming off the bench when the starters are healthy. If you remember, I rode the Clippers hard with the return of Randolph as they were able to cover against some of the better teams in the league and the situation now is no different. Let's ride the wave from L.A. as the Clips have a shot at winning SU but more likely lose by about 3-4 points here as the Hawks come back from a deficit to reclaim the game SU - but more importantly, we cash the spread.
4 Unit Play. #582. Take UCONN -16.5 over Michigan (Saturday @ 6pm est). Let's go 6-0 on the week in College Ball. I know we have hit 4 straight College Dogs Outright, but today we're going to lay the wood on a favorite. I'm not the one to necessarily lay the wood on favorites, in fact, the last time I did was when Illinois crushed Indiana in 5* selection which brought our Big Ten 5* Selections to a perfect lifetime 9-0 and our 5* selections to 30-7 Lifetime as well. UCONN is rolling and I believe Michigan is going to have a let down after their win against Penn State at home. Remember, Michigan is the same team that went on the road to lose by 18 to Purdue, the same team to lose by 18 to Ohio State on the road, the same team to lose by 15 to Penn State and 15 to Illinois. Why in the world can this team not lose by 17 to the #1 team in the country in Uconn? What has Michigan done on the road this year after all? Yes, this team beat Duke - but that was at home. Yes, this team beat NW - but that was at home. On the highway, this team has gotten crushed for the most part. Plus, what was the point total in these road contests? This team put up 49 points at Purdue, 54 points at Ohio State, 58 at Penn State, 58 at Ohio State and 51 points at Illinois. If this team thinks that point total is going to be enough to be competitive or get inside this number today, I think they need to reconsider. UCONN is the type of team that puts up 75+ points at home and there is no reason why they don't want to lay the hammer down on "Michigan" - a school with plenty of name recognition and who has an outside shot at going to the Dance. I look for UCONN, the same team that beat Louisville on the road by 17, Providence at home by 33, Depaul on the road by 21 and Rutgers at home by 21 to get the job done here as they likely win by 20+ when all is said and done. The Wolverines are 0-4 ATS as Underdogs and UCONN is a solid 5-0 ATS on Saturday games and of course, this is a night game so the crowd will be rocking and wanting a show which the #1 team in the land will provide.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.