You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
Saturday 10/28/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.
- Thread starter Pesos
- Start date
Rick Needham at Belmont Park
RACE #7 - BELMONT PARK - 3:43 PM EASTERN POST
The Athenia Stakes
8½ FURLONGS TURF GRADE III FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $200,000.00 PURSE
#7 OFF LIMITS
#5 TIME AND MOTION
#3 MY IMPRESSION
#12 DECKED OUT
F. Y. I. folks ... The Ahhenia is named in honor of Hal Price Headley's winner of the 1946 Ladies Handicap. Here in the 40th renewal of this stakes test, #7 OFF LIMITS, nd Irish bred entry, entry, has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of her last five starts, winning three times in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Joel Rosario and Trainer Chad Brown send her to the post for the first of 4 stake races on the Belmont Card today ... they've hit the board with 65% of more than 160 entries saddled as a team to date. #5 TIME AND MOTION, a 6-1 shot, has produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in her last five starts, hitting the board in a pair.
RACE #7 - BELMONT PARK - 3:43 PM EASTERN POST
The Athenia Stakes
8½ FURLONGS TURF GRADE III FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $200,000.00 PURSE
#7 OFF LIMITS
#5 TIME AND MOTION
#3 MY IMPRESSION
#12 DECKED OUT
F. Y. I. folks ... The Ahhenia is named in honor of Hal Price Headley's winner of the 1946 Ladies Handicap. Here in the 40th renewal of this stakes test, #7 OFF LIMITS, nd Irish bred entry, entry, has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of her last five starts, winning three times in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Joel Rosario and Trainer Chad Brown send her to the post for the first of 4 stake races on the Belmont Card today ... they've hit the board with 65% of more than 160 entries saddled as a team to date. #5 TIME AND MOTION, a 6-1 shot, has produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in her last five starts, hitting the board in a pair.
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Century Downs - Race #8 - Post: 4:16pm - Maiden Claiming - 3.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 39
Rating: 3
#3 WOODBRIDGE MISS (ML=5/2)
#1 OCEAN OF MOTION (ML=4/1)
WOODBRIDGE MISS - This filly is in top form right now. Ran second last time out and comes back promptly. It looks like Whitehall had to be more familiar with this filly on Oct 9th when riding her for the initial time. Back aloft again today. This filly's last fig is good enough to score here, I'll play her back again this time out. Should do well in this field. Weight shift of -5 from October 9th race at Century Downs. OCEAN OF MOTION - That last effort must not have been too hard on this filly for her to be able to race again so quickly. This mount could be tough today, especially since Balgobin rode last time around the track and now should be plenty familiar with this one. Always beware of the longer priced animal when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 L'ORANGE (ML=2/1), #7 ABILENE G. (ML=5/1), #2 AT FOGARTY'S COVE (ML=6/1),
L'ORANGE - Last performed on August 4th at Hastings Park, finishing ninth. Unlikely to improve off of that outing in today's race. This runner ran a quite unimpressive speed figure last time out. She shouldn't improve and will probably get beat in today's event running that fig. ABILENE G. - Don't think that this filly has value at 5/1 today.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - WOODBRIDGE MISS - My statistics say it usually takes a pony a couple of races after a layoff to get back into racing shape. That's just what we have here, so I have high expectations for this horse.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #3 WOODBRIDGE MISS to win if you can get odds of 9/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Bar
Century Downs - Race #8 - Post: 4:16pm - Maiden Claiming - 3.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 39
Rating: 3
#3 WOODBRIDGE MISS (ML=5/2)
#1 OCEAN OF MOTION (ML=4/1)
WOODBRIDGE MISS - This filly is in top form right now. Ran second last time out and comes back promptly. It looks like Whitehall had to be more familiar with this filly on Oct 9th when riding her for the initial time. Back aloft again today. This filly's last fig is good enough to score here, I'll play her back again this time out. Should do well in this field. Weight shift of -5 from October 9th race at Century Downs. OCEAN OF MOTION - That last effort must not have been too hard on this filly for her to be able to race again so quickly. This mount could be tough today, especially since Balgobin rode last time around the track and now should be plenty familiar with this one. Always beware of the longer priced animal when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 L'ORANGE (ML=2/1), #7 ABILENE G. (ML=5/1), #2 AT FOGARTY'S COVE (ML=6/1),
L'ORANGE - Last performed on August 4th at Hastings Park, finishing ninth. Unlikely to improve off of that outing in today's race. This runner ran a quite unimpressive speed figure last time out. She shouldn't improve and will probably get beat in today's event running that fig. ABILENE G. - Don't think that this filly has value at 5/1 today.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - WOODBRIDGE MISS - My statistics say it usually takes a pony a couple of races after a layoff to get back into racing shape. That's just what we have here, so I have high expectations for this horse.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #3 WOODBRIDGE MISS to win if you can get odds of 9/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs
Evangeline Downs - Race 6
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
Claiming $3,500 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $3,500 • Post: 7:40P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * HAULIN SHINEY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. TOSTADO CARTEL: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. THREE R ZOOMIN: Horse's avera ge winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). TOWN TIGER: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MS ROBROGAS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackM aster Power Rating.
3
HAULIN SHINEY
5/1
5/1
2
TOSTADO CARTEL
4/1
6/1
5
TOWN TIGER
3/1
8/1
4
THREE R ZOOMIN
6/1
8/1
9
MS ROBROGAS
5/1
9/1
Evangeline Downs - Race 6
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
Claiming $3,500 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $3,500 • Post: 7:40P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * HAULIN SHINEY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. TOSTADO CARTEL: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. THREE R ZOOMIN: Horse's avera ge winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). TOWN TIGER: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MS ROBROGAS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackM aster Power Rating.
3
HAULIN SHINEY
5/1
5/1
2
TOSTADO CARTEL
4/1
6/1
5
TOWN TIGER
3/1
8/1
4
THREE R ZOOMIN
6/1
8/1
9
MS ROBROGAS
5/1
9/1
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Golden Gate Fields - Race #9 - Post: 5:04pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 87
Rating: 3
#9 SWISS SCRIPT (ML=6/1)
#3 FOREST WILDFLOWER (ML=8/1)
#5 SHE'LL GET'ER DONE (ML=20/1)
#10 GRAPE JUICE (ML=20/1)
#2 GOLIATH'S GIRL (ML=3/1)
SWISS SCRIPT - No need to look any further. This pony has my dough. Way too much pace. This rider and handler have a profitable return on investment when they team up. Have to make this filly a solid contender; she comes off a solid effort on October 5th. FOREST WILDFLOWER - Really have to believe this magnificent animal is going to be really close near the finish line. SHE'LL GET'ER DONE - I think this filly should run back to her winning race from June 17th, when she won a $12,500 Claiming race. GRAPE JUICE - Have to make this mare a serious competitor; she comes off a sharp race on Oct 9th. GOLIATH'S GIRL - 'King Jerry' drops her down to this class. You don't need too much more handicapping data to believe this animal should be one of the top contenders at this level. This campaigner coming off a nice contest in the last 30 days is a strong challenger in my humble opinion. This filly has been posting some excellent workout times. Changes tracks from last out at Oak Tree at Pleasanton to here. Multiple wins at multiple race tracks tell me this animal likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 PASSIONATE EMOTION (ML=7/2), #4 IRISH LUCK (ML=5/1), #7 CINZIA (ML=8/1),
PASSIONATE EMOTION - Won't be easy for this mount to beat this group off of that last speed figure. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put her on the questionable contenders list. IRISH LUCK - The third place result in the last event was not that great. CINZIA - Not probable that the speed figure she recorded on Sep 22nd will be good enough in this race.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #9 SWISS SCRIPT on top if we're getting at least 6/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,9] with [3,5,9] with [2,3,5,9,10] with [2,3,5,9,10] Total Cost: $24
SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
[3,5,9] with [2,3,5,9,10] with [2,3,5,9,10] with [2,3,5,9,10] with [2,3,5,9,10] Total Cost: $72
Bar
Golden Gate Fields - Race #9 - Post: 5:04pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 87
Rating: 3
#9 SWISS SCRIPT (ML=6/1)
#3 FOREST WILDFLOWER (ML=8/1)
#5 SHE'LL GET'ER DONE (ML=20/1)
#10 GRAPE JUICE (ML=20/1)
#2 GOLIATH'S GIRL (ML=3/1)
SWISS SCRIPT - No need to look any further. This pony has my dough. Way too much pace. This rider and handler have a profitable return on investment when they team up. Have to make this filly a solid contender; she comes off a solid effort on October 5th. FOREST WILDFLOWER - Really have to believe this magnificent animal is going to be really close near the finish line. SHE'LL GET'ER DONE - I think this filly should run back to her winning race from June 17th, when she won a $12,500 Claiming race. GRAPE JUICE - Have to make this mare a serious competitor; she comes off a sharp race on Oct 9th. GOLIATH'S GIRL - 'King Jerry' drops her down to this class. You don't need too much more handicapping data to believe this animal should be one of the top contenders at this level. This campaigner coming off a nice contest in the last 30 days is a strong challenger in my humble opinion. This filly has been posting some excellent workout times. Changes tracks from last out at Oak Tree at Pleasanton to here. Multiple wins at multiple race tracks tell me this animal likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 PASSIONATE EMOTION (ML=7/2), #4 IRISH LUCK (ML=5/1), #7 CINZIA (ML=8/1),
PASSIONATE EMOTION - Won't be easy for this mount to beat this group off of that last speed figure. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put her on the questionable contenders list. IRISH LUCK - The third place result in the last event was not that great. CINZIA - Not probable that the speed figure she recorded on Sep 22nd will be good enough in this race.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #9 SWISS SCRIPT on top if we're getting at least 6/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,9] with [3,5,9] with [2,3,5,9,10] with [2,3,5,9,10] Total Cost: $24
SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
[3,5,9] with [2,3,5,9,10] with [2,3,5,9,10] with [2,3,5,9,10] with [2,3,5,9,10] Total Cost: $72
The Walker Group at Keeneland
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 9.0f on the Turf. Purse: $65000 Class Rating: 82
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. IN THE EVENT THAT THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF IT WILL BE CONTESTED AT ONE MILE AND ONE-EIGHTH ON THE MAIN TRACK.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 14 TRUE LOYALTY 5/2
# 1 BULLET BANDIT 15/1
# 15 HEZA KITTEN 3/1
TRUE LOYALTY is the top wager in this race. Divito has a strong 15 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Lanerie has a win percentage of 16 over the last 30 days. This colt is a solid contender based on his earnings per start in turf route contests. BULLET BANDIT - Will likely be one of the front-runners of the group going into the halfway point of the race. HEZA KITTEN - The Equibase Speed Fig of 75 from his last affair looks very good in here. The average class figure of 75 makes this one difficult to beat.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 9.0f on the Turf. Purse: $65000 Class Rating: 82
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. IN THE EVENT THAT THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF IT WILL BE CONTESTED AT ONE MILE AND ONE-EIGHTH ON THE MAIN TRACK.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 14 TRUE LOYALTY 5/2
# 1 BULLET BANDIT 15/1
# 15 HEZA KITTEN 3/1
TRUE LOYALTY is the top wager in this race. Divito has a strong 15 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Lanerie has a win percentage of 16 over the last 30 days. This colt is a solid contender based on his earnings per start in turf route contests. BULLET BANDIT - Will likely be one of the front-runners of the group going into the halfway point of the race. HEZA KITTEN - The Equibase Speed Fig of 75 from his last affair looks very good in here. The average class figure of 75 makes this one difficult to beat.
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 2
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager) $1 Pick Three
Claiming $5,000 • 4 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $12,500 • Post: 6:28P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 28 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (MAIDEN RACES AND RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. VERY THANKFUL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * VERY THANKFUL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BACK STREET CAT: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. FREAKY MONIQEE: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
VERY THANKFUL
7/2
3/1
4
BACK STREET CAT
2/1
5/1
1
FREAKY MONIQEE
3/1
8/1
Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 2
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager) $1 Pick Three
Claiming $5,000 • 4 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $12,500 • Post: 6:28P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 28 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (MAIDEN RACES AND RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. VERY THANKFUL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * VERY THANKFUL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BACK STREET CAT: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. FREAKY MONIQEE: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
VERY THANKFUL
7/2
3/1
4
BACK STREET CAT
2/1
5/1
1
FREAKY MONIQEE
3/1
8/1
The Walker Group at Meadowlands
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 77
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $14,000 1 LB.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 13 TAP THE PISTOL 4/1
# 8 DUE TIME 10/1
# 4 SHIDOSHI 7/2
My selection in here is TAP THE PISTOL. Martin has this gelding running well and is a very good selection based on the competitive speed figs posted in route races lately. Has strong Equibase speed figs and has to be considered for a wager in this race. DUE TIME - In fine fettle, and coming back soon again this time around. SHIDOSHI - Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of competitive win percentage - 18 percent - at this distance & surface. Ran a solid last race.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 77
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $14,000 1 LB.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 13 TAP THE PISTOL 4/1
# 8 DUE TIME 10/1
# 4 SHIDOSHI 7/2
My selection in here is TAP THE PISTOL. Martin has this gelding running well and is a very good selection based on the competitive speed figs posted in route races lately. Has strong Equibase speed figs and has to be considered for a wager in this race. DUE TIME - In fine fettle, and coming back soon again this time around. SHIDOSHI - Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of competitive win percentage - 18 percent - at this distance & surface. Ran a solid last race.
Valuline at Parx Racing
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Parx Racing, Race 1 (Saturday October 28, 2017)
TILDEATH DO USPART
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
PRX-1 7f DIRT Six Horses
"A" CLM 12,500 3YUP $20,000
P# dd ex p3 t s ML WP TVL
1 TILDEATH DO USPART 7/5 42% 7/5 Strong Favorite icon
4 DYNASIR 2/1 29% 5/2
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Parx Racing, Race 1 (Saturday October 28, 2017)
TILDEATH DO USPART
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
PRX-1 7f DIRT Six Horses
"A" CLM 12,500 3YUP $20,000
P# dd ex p3 t s ML WP TVL
1 TILDEATH DO USPART 7/5 42% 7/5 Strong Favorite icon
4 DYNASIR 2/1 29% 5/2
