Marc Lawrence
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TCU vs. BYU
7:30 EST
A big Mountain West Conference clash kicks off at LaVell Edwards Stadium in Provo Saturday evening when BYU hosts TCU. Last year the Cougars opened the season 6-0 and appeared ready to become a BCS bowl crasher when they invaded Fort Worth to take on the Horned Frogs. After the dust settled, TCU killed those dreams with a 32-7 loss. As a result revenge rears its head today, a role in which BYU has excelled, going 10-2 SU and 12-0 ATS as a dog of less than 10 points when playing with conference revenge dating back to 1980. In addition, Cougars head coach Bronco Mendenhall is 2-0 SU and ATS in this roles with BYU. He is also 23-4 SU at home, including 15-2 in conference play with only one loss by more than one point. On the flip side, TCU coach Gary Patterson has developed a black-and-white home/road dichotomy, going 22-8 ATS in home game but only 12-20-1 ATS away in conference play. In fact, in his college head coaching career, Patterson is 0-5 SU and ATS as a visitor when facing an opponent with a win percentage of more than .800. The clincher is this system from our powerful database. It tells us to: Play On any college home pick or dog off a victory with a win percentage greater than .750 from Game Six out versus an opponent off an ATS win of 9 or more points who won it's last game by less than 50 points, if the home dog won 6 or more regular season games last year. That because these home teams are 14-0-1 ATS in this roles since 1980. Stay at home with the Cougars in their perfect payback mode here tonight. We recommend a 4-unit play on BYU.
Paid and confirmed.
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