BIG AL's 94% (16-1 ATS) NCAA CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR -- Saturday
At 8 pm, our WAC Conference Game of the Year is on the San Jose St Spartans minus the points over Idaho. Last week, the Vandals won their third straight game (all upset wins), and it was also the fifth straight ATS win for them (including four outright upsets). Overall, it's Idaho's best start since it went 4-1 to start the 1994 season. But it's extremely hard for underdogs to keep pulling upset wins, and I expect Idaho to come back down to earth in San Jose on Saturday night. Consider that teams off three straight upsets are 1-16 ATS since 1980 vs. .500 (or worse teams) when priced from -24 to +10 points. The Spartans have won each of the past four meetings vs. the Vandals, and were 14.5-point ROAD favorites last season. Now, with Idaho having so much success against the spread in 2009, we get San Jose as a small home favorite. The Spartans also have a "rest" advantage as they had last week off, while Idaho played at home vs. Colorado State. San Jose falls into a 111-47 ATS system of mine that plays on certain rested home teams vs. conference foes, and the Spartans also fall into 83-26, 31-3 and 46-16 ATS systems. Lay the points with San Jose. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my top play on Saturday: It's my 5* College Football Game of the Month, and I'm 40-14 on my last 54 College Football 5* plays.
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