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Saturday 10/07/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
- Thread starter Pesos
- Start date
Rick Needham at Belmont Park
RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 4:13 PM EASTERN POST
The Champagne Stakes
8.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE I TWO YEAR OLDS STAKES $500,000.00 PURSE
#8 AVEENUU MALCAINU
#11 HAZIT
#3 STRONGER
#9 HONORABLE TREASURE
Here in the 146th running of The Champagne, #8 AVEENU MALCAINU, a 6-1 shot, is undefeated in a two race career to date, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his last start. Jockey Luis Saez and Trainer Jeremiah Englehart send him to the post for this Grade I test ... they've hit the board with 53% of their entries saddled as a team to date, with their 25% win rate producing a +90% return on investment in the process. #11 HAZIT, a 4-1 shot, comes off a maiden-breaking, "POWER RUN WIN" in his "first asking."
RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 4:13 PM EASTERN POST
The Champagne Stakes
8.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE I TWO YEAR OLDS STAKES $500,000.00 PURSE
#8 AVEENUU MALCAINU
#11 HAZIT
#3 STRONGER
#9 HONORABLE TREASURE
Here in the 146th running of The Champagne, #8 AVEENU MALCAINU, a 6-1 shot, is undefeated in a two race career to date, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his last start. Jockey Luis Saez and Trainer Jeremiah Englehart send him to the post for this Grade I test ... they've hit the board with 53% of their entries saddled as a team to date, with their 25% win rate producing a +90% return on investment in the process. #11 HAZIT, a 4-1 shot, comes off a maiden-breaking, "POWER RUN WIN" in his "first asking."
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belterra Park
Belterra Park - Race 6
Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
Stakes • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 89 • Purse: $150,000 • Post: 4:08P
JUVENILE S. - FOR TWO YEAR OLDS, REGISTERED OHIO BREDS. $50 TO NOMINATE. $525 TO ENTER $975 ADDITIONAL TO START. PURSE TO BE DIVIDED 60% TO THE WINNER; 20% TO SECOND; 10% TO THIRD; 5% TO FOURTH; 3% TO FIFTH; 2% TO SIXTH. WEIGHTS: COLTS AND GELDINGS, 120 LBS.; FILLIES, 117 LBS. STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. AT SCRATCH TIME THE FIELD WILL BE LIMITED TO FOURTEEN (14) HORSES. PREFERENCE DETERMINED BY MONEY EARNED. TROPHY PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER, TRAINER AND JOCKEY. NOMINATIONS CLOSED ON SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 23 WITH 17 NOMINATIONS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * AWAKEN: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DARK VADER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TIZ A RUSH: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
8
AWAKEN
5/2
7/2
12
DARK VADER
5/1
6/1
2
TIZ A RUSH
8/1
8/1
Belterra Park - Race 6
Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
Stakes • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 89 • Purse: $150,000 • Post: 4:08P
JUVENILE S. - FOR TWO YEAR OLDS, REGISTERED OHIO BREDS. $50 TO NOMINATE. $525 TO ENTER $975 ADDITIONAL TO START. PURSE TO BE DIVIDED 60% TO THE WINNER; 20% TO SECOND; 10% TO THIRD; 5% TO FOURTH; 3% TO FIFTH; 2% TO SIXTH. WEIGHTS: COLTS AND GELDINGS, 120 LBS.; FILLIES, 117 LBS. STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. AT SCRATCH TIME THE FIELD WILL BE LIMITED TO FOURTEEN (14) HORSES. PREFERENCE DETERMINED BY MONEY EARNED. TROPHY PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER, TRAINER AND JOCKEY. NOMINATIONS CLOSED ON SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 23 WITH 17 NOMINATIONS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * AWAKEN: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DARK VADER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TIZ A RUSH: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
8
AWAKEN
5/2
7/2
12
DARK VADER
5/1
6/1
2
TIZ A RUSH
8/1
8/1
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park West
Gulfstream Park West - Race 5
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $.50 Bet 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $1 Super Hi 5 / $.20 Rainbow 6 (Races 5-10)
Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 79 • Purse: $40,000 • Post: 3:27P
FOR STATE BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SOLD ON SALSA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Goo d Race within the last 30 days. R TRUE TALENT: A first time starter with a trainer that has a return on investment with first time starters of at least +50 (minimum 10 starts). QUICKLUCKYCOCO: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. KAYLIE'S GIRL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
3
SOLD ON SALSA
5/2
4/1
7
R TRUE TALENT
4/1
6/1
1
QUICKLUCKYCOCO
10/1
7/1
5
KAYLIE'S GIRL
10/1
9/1
Gulfstream Park West - Race 5
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $.50 Bet 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $1 Super Hi 5 / $.20 Rainbow 6 (Races 5-10)
Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 79 • Purse: $40,000 • Post: 3:27P
FOR STATE BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SOLD ON SALSA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Goo d Race within the last 30 days. R TRUE TALENT: A first time starter with a trainer that has a return on investment with first time starters of at least +50 (minimum 10 starts). QUICKLUCKYCOCO: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. KAYLIE'S GIRL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
3
SOLD ON SALSA
5/2
4/1
7
R TRUE TALENT
4/1
6/1
1
QUICKLUCKYCOCO
10/1
7/1
5
KAYLIE'S GIRL
10/1
9/1
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Hawthorne - Race #2 - Post: 3:38pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 53
Rating: 4
#10 CALLMEWHATEVER (ML=4/1)
#6 J P'S GIA (ML=9/2)
CALLMEWHATEVER - The return on investment when Perez and Rodriguez get together is terrific. Rodriguez drops this one in today for only her 2nd contest. Should do better than last out. I always like to see a filly getting Lasix for the 2nd time. This one fits the bill. J P'S GIA - The Sep 2nd affair at Arlington was at a class level of (64). Dropping down in class ranks a significant amount, so she should be in a good position. This mount could be tough in this race, especially since Lopez rode last time around the track and now should be plenty familiar with this one. It is my opinion that fillys run better the 2nd time they get Lasix. Boyce puts this filly on it for the second time today, so give this one a look.
Vulnerable Contenders: #8 TAKE WING (ML=5/1), #7 WELL MAID (ML=6/1), #12 BEARING SECRETS (ML=6/1),
TAKE WING - This runner didn't do too much last time out finishing tenth. Can't expect any improvement in today's race. WELL MAID - Doesn't look to be in a comfortable spot this time. BEARING SECRETS - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance affairs lately. Not probable to see her doing it this time around either. Earned a mediocre speed figure last race out in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race on September 22nd. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that rating.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #10 CALLMEWHATEVER on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
10 with 6 with [7,11,12] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Bar
Hawthorne - Race #2 - Post: 3:38pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 53
Rating: 4
#10 CALLMEWHATEVER (ML=4/1)
#6 J P'S GIA (ML=9/2)
CALLMEWHATEVER - The return on investment when Perez and Rodriguez get together is terrific. Rodriguez drops this one in today for only her 2nd contest. Should do better than last out. I always like to see a filly getting Lasix for the 2nd time. This one fits the bill. J P'S GIA - The Sep 2nd affair at Arlington was at a class level of (64). Dropping down in class ranks a significant amount, so she should be in a good position. This mount could be tough in this race, especially since Lopez rode last time around the track and now should be plenty familiar with this one. It is my opinion that fillys run better the 2nd time they get Lasix. Boyce puts this filly on it for the second time today, so give this one a look.
Vulnerable Contenders: #8 TAKE WING (ML=5/1), #7 WELL MAID (ML=6/1), #12 BEARING SECRETS (ML=6/1),
TAKE WING - This runner didn't do too much last time out finishing tenth. Can't expect any improvement in today's race. WELL MAID - Doesn't look to be in a comfortable spot this time. BEARING SECRETS - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance affairs lately. Not probable to see her doing it this time around either. Earned a mediocre speed figure last race out in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race on September 22nd. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that rating.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #10 CALLMEWHATEVER on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
10 with 6 with [7,11,12] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Meadowlands - Race #3 - Post: 8:00pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 95
Rating: 4
#5 MIDNIGHT NOTES (ML=7/2)
#14 OUR EMERALD FOREST (IRE) (ML=6/1)
MIDNIGHT NOTES - Using this jockey/conditioner combination is a good choice. OUR EMERALD FOREST (IRE) - Ran a lackluster race at Parx Racing last time out. Racing on a fast track puts this gelding at the top of my contenders list. When a horse drops at least 5 lbs (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but this should help.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MONTCLAIR (IRE) (ML=9/5), #7 MONTAUK MAN (ML=6/1), #2 CHEDDAR CHUB (ML=8/1),
MONTCLAIR (IRE) - This runner hasn't been close at the finish line recently. MONTAUK MAN - This gelding notched a speed figure in his last race which probably isn't good enough in today's event. CHEDDAR CHUB - This equine hasn't been close in either of his last couple of outings.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #5 MIDNIGHT NOTES on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,14]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Bar
Meadowlands - Race #3 - Post: 8:00pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 95
Rating: 4
#5 MIDNIGHT NOTES (ML=7/2)
#14 OUR EMERALD FOREST (IRE) (ML=6/1)
MIDNIGHT NOTES - Using this jockey/conditioner combination is a good choice. OUR EMERALD FOREST (IRE) - Ran a lackluster race at Parx Racing last time out. Racing on a fast track puts this gelding at the top of my contenders list. When a horse drops at least 5 lbs (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but this should help.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MONTCLAIR (IRE) (ML=9/5), #7 MONTAUK MAN (ML=6/1), #2 CHEDDAR CHUB (ML=8/1),
MONTCLAIR (IRE) - This runner hasn't been close at the finish line recently. MONTAUK MAN - This gelding notched a speed figure in his last race which probably isn't good enough in today's event. CHEDDAR CHUB - This equine hasn't been close in either of his last couple of outings.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #5 MIDNIGHT NOTES on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,14]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
The Walker Group at Retama Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $10500 Class Rating: 61
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 119 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 3 STORMY SPECIAL 5/2
# 9 BILLIARDS 9/2
# 10 HOLDMYGOLDBACK 6/1
I lean toward STORMY SPECIAL here. Looks strong against this group and will probably be one of the early speedsters. Seems to have a very good class edge based on the latest company kept. With Valdezjiminez getting the mount, watch out for this equine. BILLIARDS - Ought to be given a shot based on the quite good Equibase speed fig garnered in the last contest. Strong jockey with handler numbers make this horse a strong pick. HOLDMYGOLDBACK - Guerra has solid numbers that point to this gelding to be a strong contender.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $10500 Class Rating: 61
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 119 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 3 STORMY SPECIAL 5/2
# 9 BILLIARDS 9/2
# 10 HOLDMYGOLDBACK 6/1
I lean toward STORMY SPECIAL here. Looks strong against this group and will probably be one of the early speedsters. Seems to have a very good class edge based on the latest company kept. With Valdezjiminez getting the mount, watch out for this equine. BILLIARDS - Ought to be given a shot based on the quite good Equibase speed fig garnered in the last contest. Strong jockey with handler numbers make this horse a strong pick. HOLDMYGOLDBACK - Guerra has solid numbers that point to this gelding to be a strong contender.
The Walker Group at Remington Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - Allowance - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $36300 Class Rating: 101
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, TRIAL OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 7 PATERNAL PRIDE 1/1
# 4 HEAT FLASH 3/1
# 11 WEST ROAD 30/1
I back PATERNAL PRIDE here. Is difficult not to examine based on Equibase speed figs which have been competitive - 92 avg - of late. Could best this group based on the speed figure - 105 - of his last race. He has decent class ratings, averaging 100, and has to be given consideration in this race. HEAT FLASH - Has to be given consideration against this group displaying quite good figs as of late and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 89 under similar conditions. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this pony look formidable in this contest.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - Allowance - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $36300 Class Rating: 101
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, TRIAL OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 7 PATERNAL PRIDE 1/1
# 4 HEAT FLASH 3/1
# 11 WEST ROAD 30/1
I back PATERNAL PRIDE here. Is difficult not to examine based on Equibase speed figs which have been competitive - 92 avg - of late. Could best this group based on the speed figure - 105 - of his last race. He has decent class ratings, averaging 100, and has to be given consideration in this race. HEAT FLASH - Has to be given consideration against this group displaying quite good figs as of late and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 89 under similar conditions. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this pony look formidable in this contest.
