Saturday 1/9/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL Wild Card Weekend Injury Report
By The Sports Xchange

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS at HOUSTON TEXANS on Saturday
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
--Out: C Mitch Morse (concussion)
--Questionable: S Husain Abdullah (concussion, not injury related), LB Dee Ford (concussion, wrist), LB Tamba Hali (thumb, knee)
--Probable: G Jeff Allen (ankle), WR Chris Conley (thumb), LB Justin Houston (knee), TE Travis Kelce (groin), WR Jeremy Maclin (hip), T Jah Reid (knee), RB Spencer Ware (rib)
HOUSTON TEXANS
--Questionable: LB Jadeveon Clowney (foot)
--Probable: RB Alfred Blue (calf), CB A.J. Bouye (knee), LB Max Bullough (shoulder), S Quintin Demps (shoulder), TE Ryan Griffin (Achilles), WR DeAndre Hopkins (hand), CB Kareem Jackson (ankle), CB Kevin Johnson (foot, wrist), C Ben Jones (knee), P Shane Lechler (left hamstring), LB Whitney Mercilus (back), T Derek Newton (elbow, shoulder), RB Chris Polk (knee), WR Cecil Shorts (hamstring), LB John Simon (chest), G Xavier Su'a-Filo (calf), WR Nate Washington (hip), DE J.J. Watt (groin, hand)

PITTSBURGH STEELERS at CINCINNATI BENGALS on Saturday night
PITTSBURGH STEELERS
--Out: RB DeAngelo Williams (foot)
--Probable: S Will Allen (not injury related), WR Martavis Bryant (neck), CB William Gay (not injury related), LB James Harrison (not injury related), TE Heath Miller (not injury related), LB Vince Williams (illness)
CINCINNATI BENGALS
--Out: QB Andy Dalton (right thumb), TE Ryan Hewitt (knee), DT Brandon Thompson (knee)
--Probable: CB Leon Hall (concussion, back)

GREEN BAY PACKERS at WASHINGTON REDSKINS on Sunday
GREEN BAY PACKERS
--Doubtful: CB Sam Shields (concussion)
--Questionable: T David Bakhtiari (ankle), LB Jay Elliott (quadriceps), DE Datone Jones (neck), TE Justin Perillo (hamstring)
--Probable: T Bryan Bulaga (ankle), DT Mike Daniels (hamstring), DT Letroy Guion (foot), RB Eddie Lacy (rib), G T.J. Lang (neck), C Corey Linsley (ankle), LB Clay Matthews (ankle), LB Andy Mulumba (knee), LB Mike Neal (hip), LB Nick Perry (shoulder), CB Damarious Randall (groin), G Josh Sitton (back), G Lane Taylor (knee)
WASHINGTON REDSKINS
--Questionable: CB Quinton Dunbar (quadriceps), S Dashon Goldson (shoulder, rib), RB Matt Jones (hip), LB Perry Riley (foot)
--Probable: DE Jason Hatcher (neck, knee), WR DeSean Jackson (knee), S Jeron Johnson (chest), CB Dashaun Phillips (neck), RB Chris Thompson (toe), T Trent Williams (knee)

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS at MINNESOTA VIKINGS on Sunday
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
--Out: TE Luke Willson (concussion), RB Marshawn Lynch (abdomen)
--Probable: DE Michael Bennett (toe), S Kam Chancellor (pelvis), DT Jordan Hill (toe), CB Jeremy Lane (oblique), WR Tyler Lockett (hip), T Russell Okung (calf), G J.R. Sweezy (concussion)
MINNESOTA VIKINGS
--Out: DT Kenrick Ellis (ankle)
--Probable: DE Everson Griffen (shoulder), DT Linval Joseph (foot), RB Adrian Peterson (back), WR Adam Thielen (shoulder, back.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL notebook: Bengals rule out QB Dalton vs. Steelers
By The Sports Xchange

While head coach Marvin Lewis remained rather coy on the subject during the week, the Cincinnati Bengals made it official on Friday that quarterback Andy Dalton will be inactive for Saturday night's AFC wild-card playoff game against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Dalton, who fractured his right thumb making a tackle following an interception against the Steelers on Dec. 13, had his cast removed earlier this week. He did participate in practice and worked on gripping the football but did not make any throws.
In addition to Dalton, H-back Ryan Hewitt was declared out with a knee injury. Jake Fisher is expected to make his second straight start in Hewitt's place.
Lewis said earlier this week that Cincinnati has been preparing all along with AJ McCarron as the starting quarterback. The former University of Alabama star will make his fourth straight start. McCarron has yet to throw an interception in three prior starts.
McCarron has passed for 832 yards and six touchdowns while filling in for Dalton as the Bengals went 2-1 in the final three games.

---The Detroit Lions plan to hire New England Patriots director of pro scouting Bob Quinn as their general manager, multiple media outlets reported.
Quinn will fill a job that became vacant when the Lions fired team president Tom Lewand and general manager Martin Mayhew on November 5, after the team began the season 1-7.
Sheldon White was promoted to interim GM for the remainder of the 2015 season, but Quinn will take over after contract details are ironed out, according to reports.
Quinn, 39, has worked for the Patriots the past 16 years, and he has been their director of pro personnel since 2012.

---Steelers running back DeAngelo Williams was officially ruled out against the Bengals because of an injury to his right foot.
The Steelers made the decision after Friday's brief workout. Williams, who did not practice all week, had been considered unlikely since suffering the injury in last Sunday's regular-season finale against the Cleveland Browns.
Williams hopes to return to next week in the divisional round if the Steelers beat the Bengals.
That leaves the Steelers, who already have Le'Veon Bell on injured reserve, down to Fitzgerald Toussaint and Jordan Todman at running back against the Bengals.
Williams finished the regular season with 907 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns on 200 carries. He injured his foot and ankle in the first half of the 28-12 win against the Browns.
Toussaint, who will get the start, replaced Williams in the game and ran for 24 yards on 12 carries. Toussaint has never started an NFL game.

---Houston Texans linebacker Jadeveon Clowney was listed as questionable with a foot injury for Saturday's AFC wild-card game against the Kansas City Chiefs.
Clowney missed the regular-season finale against the Jacksonville Jaguars due to the ailing left foot. He has been spotted limping on the foot this entire week.
Clowney didn't participate in Friday's walkthrough -- an indicator that he is in jeopardy of missing the game.
Defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel said earlier in the week that Clowney's snaps will be limited if he plays.

---Chiefs standout linebacker Justin Houston is expected back from a knee injury when the team visits Houston.
Houston was a full practice participant all week and the Chiefs listed him as probable on Friday's injury report. Houston hasn't play since suffering a sprained MCL against the Buffalo Bills on Nov. 29.
Coach Andy Reid witnessed improvement during the week as the 2014 All-Pro attempts to make an impact against the Texans.
Houston led the NFL with 22 sacks last season. He had 7.5 in 11 games this season before the injury.
Kansas City center Mitch Morse has been ruled out with a concussion.
Linebacker Tamba Hali (thumb, knee) was listed as questionable and tight end Travis Kelce (groin) and receiver Jeremy Maclin (hip) are both probable.

---Green Bay Packers cornerback Sam Shields was listed as doubtful for Sunday's NFC wild-card against the Washington Redskins due to the concussion he suffered on Dec. 13.
Shields missed the final three regular-season games due to the injury and the team was hopeful he would be back for its first playoff game. But he remains in the NFL concussion protocol and needs to clear that first.
Shields was making progress a week ago and even practiced twice before he was ruled out of the regular-season finale against the Minnesota Vikings.
The Packers are hoping to learn Saturday whether or not left tackle David Bakhtiari (ankle) can play. He is listed as questionable.
Also listed as questionable are linebacker Jayrone Elliott (quadriceps), defensive end Datone Jones (neck) and tight end Justin Perillo (hamstring).

---Seattle running back Marshawn Lynch was listed as questionable and is expected to play for the first time since Nov. 15 when the Seahawks face the Minnesota Vikings in Sunday's wild-card game.
Lynch has been sidelined after surgery on his abdomen and has been a full practice participant all week. He missed the final seven regular-season games due to the injury.
The Seahawks will be without tight end Luke Willson, who is still dealing with a concussion suffered on Dec. 27.

---Veteran safety Dashon Goldson is still healing from a fractured rib and is one four players the Washington Redskins labeled as questionable for Sunday's NFC wild-card game against the Green Bay Packers.
Also listed as questionable are running back Matt Jones (hip pointer), linebacker Perry Riley Jr. (foot) and cornerback Quinton Dunbar (quadriceps).

---Vikings defensive tackle Linval Joseph is expected back from a foot ailment and is listed as probable against the Seahawks.
Joseph has missed four of the past five games. He played against the New York Giants on Dec. 27 but then missed the regular-season finale against the Green Bay Packers.
Standout running back Adrian Peterson (back) is also listed as probable after being a full participant in Friday's practice. Peterson told reporters on Thursday that he would be "ready to roll on Sunday."
Defensive end Everson Griffen (shoulder) also is listed as probable. Defensive tackle Kenrick Ellis (ankle) will miss the contest.

---The San Diego Chargers extended the contract of coach Mike McCoy for one season through the 2017 campaign, the club announced.
McCoy suffered through a 4-12 season in his third year at the helm and there was speculation he might not be retained. The Chargers lost 10 of their final 12 games and went 0-6 against their AFC West rivals.
That didn't deter general manager Tom Telesco, who remembered the 9-7 records in each of McCoy's first two seasons. McCoy is 26-22 overall with the Chargers.
McCoy oversaw a housecleaning after the season as six coaches were fired, including offensive coordinator Frank Reich.
San Diego has missed the playoffs in five of the past six seasons.

---Atlanta Falcons owner Arthur Blank put out a statement to end the speculation about the status of general manager Thomas Dimitroff.
Blank announced he would keep Dimitroff after the Falcons finished the season 8-8 in head coach Dan Quinn's first season. The Falcons have just one playoff win in five appearances since Dimitroff became general manager in 2008.
Blank also said assistant general manager Scott Pioli will remain to assist Dimitroff.
The Falcons started off 5-0 this season, before dropping seven of their next eight games. They had a six-game losing streak that essentially knocked them out of the playoff race. The Falcons missed the playoffs for the third consecutive season.

---Redskins receiver DeSean Jackson believes the firing of his former coach Chip Kelly by the Philadelphia Eagles was simply "karma."
The Eagles fired Kelly with one week remaining in the regular season. He had a 26-21 record, including 6-9 in 2015, in three seasons with the Eagles after signing a five-year, $32.5 million contract to leave the University of Oregon in 2013.
"I'm a firm believer that bad karma comes back on you," Jackson told Robert Klemko of TheMMQB.com in an article published Friday.
Jackson was released by the Eagles after six seasons in Kelly's first year. Jackson signed with the Redskins and said this past offseason that he felt the Eagles ran a "smear campaign" against him.
Jackson, 29, is preparing for Sunday's NFC wild-card game against the Packers. He has 30 catches for 528 yards and four touchdowns in 10 games this season.

---Chip Kelly interviewed with the San Francisco 49ers about their head coaching vacancy, CSNBayArea.com reported Thursday night.
The 49ers fired Jim Tomsula on Sunday after he posted a 5-11 record in his lone season on the job.
The Eagles fired Kelly with one week remaining in the season.

---Texans defensive end J.J. Watt and Vikings running back Adrian Peterson were unanimous selections on the 2015 Associated Press All-Pro Team.
The AP panel of 50 media members who regularly cover the league made Watt and Peterson as the only players to be named on every All-Pro ballot.
Watt led the league with 17.5 sacks in addition to having 50 quarterback hits and 29 tackles for losses.
Peterson, who missed most of the 2014 season after being suspended for abusing his son, won the NFL rushing title with 1,485 yards.
Oakland Raiders defensive end and outside linebacker Khalil Mack made All-Pro history. His versatility earned him selection at two positions. The second-year player drew enough support to make the squad in both spots.

---The Miami Dolphins signed German Football League wide receiver Tyler Davis to a reserve/future contract that will give him a place on their 90-man offseason roster.
Davis joins the Dolphins from the Kiel Baltic Hurricanes of the German Football League, where he starred as a two-way player, earning the league's Most Valuable Player award in 2015. He recorded 94 receptions for 1,733 yards and 24 touchdowns as a wide receiver and totaled six interceptions as a defensive back in 2015.
Davis played collegiately at Missouri Valley, an NAIA school in Marshall, Mo.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

At the Gate - Saturday
By Mike Dempsey

It’s January and things are usually quiet this month in horse racing, but we have a pretty exciting day on tap on Saturday that includes the return of 2014 Horse of the Year California Chrome.

The Art Sherman trainee has been on the sidelines since running second in the Dubai World Cup (G1) last March. Minor injuries knocked him out of a race at Royal Ascot, then the Arlington Million (G1) and then he missed out on the Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) which would have been quite a showdown with Triple Crown winner American Pharoah.

The “Chromies” have not has much to get excited about as the 2014 Kentucky Derby (G1) and Preakness Stakes (G1) winner took a backseat to American Pharoah. However, with the Triple Crown winner headed to the breeding shed, California Chrome has the chance of regaining the spotlight in the handicap division.

It starts in today’s $200,000 San Pasqual (G2) at Santa Anita. The race will be his first since last march and will serve as a prep for a return to Dubai. The ultimate goal is the Breeders’ Cup Classic.

The colt has been working sharply in the mornings and looks like it is all systems go. However, he is 4-5 on the morning line and looks like an underlay.

He faces a couple of Grade 1 winners in Hoppertunity and Hard Aces, and either look capable of beating the champ with their best.

Hoppertunity tends to land for minor shares, having not won since taking last year’s San Pasqual. But he seldom runs a bad race and was a solid second in the Clark Handicap (G1) in his last start, a race he won in 2014.

Hard Aces won the Gold Cup at Santa Anita (G1) in June, but has lost three in a row, checking in sixth in the Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) in his last outing.

In addition to the San Pasqual a field of nine go to the post with Derby points on the line in the $100,000 Sham (G3). Three of the nine are coming off turf, making it a tricky race.

Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (G1) runner up La Verdad is in action today, the even money favorite in the $100,000 Interborough at Aqueduct.

We have a trio of good stakes at Gulfstream Park as well. The $150,00 Marshua’s River (G3) gets things kicked off. Also on the card are the $150,000 Hal’s Hope (G3) which serves as a prep for the Donn Handicap (G1) later in the meeting, and a field of 11 go in the $200,000 Ft. Lauderdale (G2) on turf.


Here is today’s opener from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:

GP Race 1 Clm $16,000 (12:05 ET)
#1 Scoria 10-1
#5 Concert Stage 5-1
#4 Forall the Marbles 4-1
#3 Powerful Instinct 3-1

Analysis: Scoria was outrun in the early going and made a mild late run to finish sixth last out at this level, beaten 2 1/2 lengths for the top spot. The winner was Lighthouse Sound, who came back to beat $16,000 foes at Tampa Bay Downs in his next start on Dec. 30. He makes his third start of his current form cycle for the Cibelli barn that got off to a slow start at the meeting but picked up another win on yesterday's card.

Concert Stage faded to finish seventh last out against $16,000 starter optional claimers going a mile here. He owns back numbers good enough to win here and last October was beaten just a neck here versus Alw-1 foes. He is an 11-time winner on turf and looks like a good fit at this level.

Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 1,5 / 1,3,4,5
TRI: 1,5 / 1,3,4,5 / 1,3,4,5,12

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:

GP Race 10 The Ft. Lauderdale G2 (4:35 ET)
#1 Lochte 3-1
#8 Takeover Target 5-1
#11 Heart to Heart 6-1
#7 War Correspondent 4-1

Analysis: Lochte coming in here having won his last three starts, taking the Tropical Turf 'Cap (G3) last out at Gulfstream Park West. The gelding has won five of his nine trips over the turf here Three straight triple digit Beyers and Castellano takes the call for the Vitali barn. He looks very imposing in this spot.

Takeover Target won the Hill Prince (G3) last out over soft footing and won the Hall of Fame (G2) two back at the Spa. The Chad Brown trainee has won four of his seven career starts and now returns off a three-month break. The barn is 29% winners (with a +ROI) with runners coming back off a +90-day layoff.

Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 1,8 / 1,7,8,11
TRI: 1,8 / 1,7,8,11 / 1,6,7,8,11

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Santa Anita:

SA Race 8 The San Pasqual G2 (4:00 PT)
#5 Hoppertunity 5-2
#4 California Chrome 4-5
#6 Hard Aces 8-1
#8 Imperative 6-1

Analysis: Hoppertunity has lost eight in a row since taking this race last year, but seldom runs bad and is coming off a solid runner up finish in the Clark 'Cap (G1) at Churchill Downs in his last outing behind Effinex, who showed his runner up finish in the Breeders' Cup Classic (G1) may not have been a fluke. The Baffert trainee has the recency edge over California Chrome who is coming back off some minor injuries and a long layoff. The five-year-old has landed in the exacta in 6 of 8 trips over the main track here.

California Chrome makes his much anticipated return, his first start since a runner up finish in the Dubai World Cup (G1), which is his next target this year. His works have been solid and he runs well here, taking the Santa Anita Derby (G1) last year. Just tough to take less than even money facing some pretty tough runners in here.

Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 4,5 / 4,5,6,8
TRI: 4,5 / 4,5,6,8 / 3,4,5,6,8

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Aqueduct
R2: #1 Mello Groove 12-1
R3: #3 Willet 12-1
R4: #8 Madame Maybry 12-1
R4: #7 Chasin Outlaws 10-1
R6: #11 Caelifera 15-1
R7: #2 Midnight Trace 12-1
R8: #10 Altar Boy 8-1
R9: #5 Lotsa Heat 15-1

Good luck today!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Post: 6:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 74 - Purse:$3200 - FILLIES & MARES NON WINNERS $1500 IN LAST 5 STARTS THAT ARE N/W $25,000 IN 2015-16. NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER NORTHFIELD


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 1 FOREVER LA NIGH 3/2


# 4 CAVEAT CREEK 5/2


# 6 INXPRESSIBLEBEAUTY 7/1


After thorough analysis by the handicapping group, FOREVER LA NIGH comes out as the top selection. Her 76 avg has this mare among the finest TrackMaster Speed Ratings today. Seems to have a very nice class edge based on the starters she has faced. Had one of the most competitive TrackMaster Speed Ratings of the field of starters in her last race. A good idea to use in your wagers. CAVEAT CREEK - Worth careful consideration here based on the numbers in the speed rating department alone. She has really good class statistics, averaging 78. Should be considered for a bet in this race. INXPRESSIBLEBEAUTY - Hard to put finger on it, but give the nod to her in this race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Post: 9:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 95 - Purse:$20000 - NON-WINNERS OF $25,000 IN LAST 5 STARTS


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 2 CASIMIR JITTERBUG 5/2


# 4 STATESMAN N 3/1


# 5 PASS THEM BY N 4/1


After thorough analysis by the panel of smart guys, CASIMIR JITTERBUG comes out as the top choice. He has been going to post well and the speed ratings are among the most favorable in the pack. Good for a win bet just off the great prior class figures. Have to like this race horse. Talk about a dynamic duo, Sears and Osullivan have some of the best driver-handler stats at the track. STATESMAN N - Should be considered in this event if only for the very good TrackMaster Speed Rating recorded in the most recent race. Driver/trainer are no strangers to the winners circle and should have this gelding breaking away from the field. PASS THEM BY N - His 97 avg has this gelding among the most solid TrackMaster SRs here. Is a substantial win contender given the 94 speed rating from his most recent contest.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Stakes - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $200000 Class Rating: 112

SAN PASQUAL S. - GRADE 2 FOR FOUR-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $100 EACH TO ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION, CLOSED THURSDAY, DECEMBER 31, 2015 WITH 17 OR BY SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATION OF $4,000 AT TIME OF ENTRY. $3,000 ADDITIONAL TO START, WITH $200,000 GUARANTEED OF WHICH $120,000 TO THE WINNER, $40,000 TO SECOND, $24,000 TO THIRD, $12,000 TO


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 2 BLINGO 20/1


# 8 IMPERATIVE 6/1


# 4 CALIFORNIA CHROME 4/5


My choice in this race is BLINGO especially at such a decent 20/1. Shirreffs has this gelding running well and is a quite good selection based on the very strong Equibase Speed Figures recorded in route races lately. With a decent 107 speed figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this race. IMPERATIVE - As of late Gutierrez has been sizzling which may give the edge to this gelding. He has very good class ratings, averaging 117, and has to be given a chance for this event. CALIFORNIA CHROME - Looks decent for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid numbers in dirt route races lately. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this horse.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9600 Class Rating: 77

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 29, 2015 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. FOUR YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 6 ITZ A SAINT 3/1


# 10 ANOTHER DOLLAR 8/1


# 4 LADY SHAZZAM 5/1


I've got to go with ITZ A SAINT. She has been running well and the speed figures are among the best in this group of animals. Ought to be considered - I like the figs from the last outing. The average Equibase class figure of 73 makes this entrant tough to beat. ANOTHER DOLLAR - Has very strong Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses - worth a look. Has a strong record at the distance and surface, which makes me have to support this mare. LADY SHAZZAM - Has performed soundly as of late in route races, posting a nifty 70 avg Equibase Speed Figure. She has been running solidly recently while recording solid Equibase Speed Figures.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turfway Park - Race #6 - Post: 8:40pm - Maiden Special - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,500 Class Rating: 81

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 NELSON'S EL CAMINO (ML=5/2)
#1 ROJO MOJO (ML=6/1)


NELSON'S EL CAMINO - The way this event sets up this gelding will be in perfect position when they enter the stretch run. The 82 latest race speed figure looks mighty good in black and white. ROJO MOJO - My handicapping 'sense' tells me to be on the alert for this entrant in this clash

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 HARLAN'S HOWLING (ML=2/1), #4 CALLANS CANDY (ML=5/2), #5 BLAZING SAINT (ML=8/1),

HARLAN'S HOWLING - Can't play this morning-line favorite off the extended vacation. In any event of 6 1/2 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been sharp in short distance contests recently. CALLANS CANDY - Tough to like the downward moving flow (81/68/17) of Equibase speed figs. Just cannot wager on this horse. Didn't show me anything positive last time around the track or on October 20th. BLAZING SAINT - No value on this entrant at the probable odds of 8/1.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #6 NELSON'S EL CAMINO to win if you can get odds of 9/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #5 - Post: 8:56pm - SO - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,500 Class Rating: 78

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 MAMA ZEE (ML=8/1)
#3 LET'S PLAY TWO (ML=9/2)
#9 JUST A TRICK (ML=7/2)
#4 GATOR GONE WILD (ML=6/1)


MAMA ZEE - Likes to go to the lead and the fact that today is a shorter distance should be beneficial. Mare took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. I am keen on that recent effort on December 19th at Parx Racing where she ran first. Last raced at Parx Racing carrying 6 pounds more. The lower weight in this race should serve her well. LET'S PLAY TWO - This mare is in nice form. Ran first on Dec 18th. This horse probably isn't going to sit off the pace. She should bust out of the gate and be one of the first to hit that tight turn. Watch for her down the lane. JUST A TRICK - When a trainer works a campaigner at a distance equal to or longer than today's race, the horse should be fit. I usually like playing sprint horses who are 3-4 races into a return. GATOR GONE WILD - A winning percent like 30 is outstanding for any jock/trainer duet.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 KILLIN THEM SOFTLY (ML=5/2), #10 UNTAMED DIXIE (ML=8/1),

KILLIN THEM SOFTLY - This pony hasn't been on the track since December 11th. Not even any workouts. UNTAMED DIXIE - The sixth place finish position in the last event was not that great. Improbable that the speed rating she recorded on December 11th will be enough in this event.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #2 MAMA ZEE on the win end if we get at least 4/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,3] Box [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #3 - AQUEDUCT - 1:20 PM EASTERN POST


The Interborough Stakes

6.0 FURLONGS WINTERIZED INNER DIRT TRACK FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE

#5 LA VERDAD
#7 DANCING HOUSE
#4 ROOM FOR ME
#3 WILLET

Here in the 95th running of this stakes race which been run at the old Jamaica Race Course, Belmont Park, and more recently, here at "The Big-A," #5 LA VERDAD, a 14 time winner in her career to date sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, is the overall speed leader in this field, takes a class drop (-4), and has been a "POWER RUN PERFORMER" in each of her last five outings, hitting the board in four of those "adventures," including a trio of "POWER RUN WINS" being embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Jose Ortiz has been in her irons on a whopping 22 previous occasions, hitting the board in 17 of those races, winning 14 times, and is back this afternoon for his 23rd ride, gunning for a 15th win. #7 DANCING HOUSE, an 8-1 shot, has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in five straight starts, winning three times.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hawthorne Harness: Saturday 1/9 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Best Bet: REX PASSUS (1st)

Spot Play: ROCKIN THE HOUSE (6th)


Race 1

(2) REX PASSUS comes into the race off a nice effort against better. (8) DELIGHT FASHION seems to be a bit of a head case at times but does own a good brush. (7) SOUTHWIND SCORPION has tailed off in his last two but had been sharp prior and can hit the ticket with a bounce back effort.

Race 2

(6) LK'S NANCY LEE has burned a lot of cash in her career at this level. The filly pacer is better than her record indicates. (7) FRENCH MAID mare put in a disappointing effort in her most recent outing. The pacer still has some upside and finds a field full of question marks. (1) BURRY ME INTHESAND lightly raced 3-year-old was starting to come around some before being put up for the year. The filly gets the best post off a decent qualifier.

Race 3

(8) MAKE IT WORK veteran pacer is as game as they come and is back in where he can win; fires early. (3) B R FLYING DALI went a big effort on the off track last out. The pacer finds another suspect group; threat. (2) MULTIPLE CHOICE thirteen-year-old ships in from out east and made the most money in the field last year.

Race 4

(3) BRING THE RAIN doesn't win often but should offer good value facing weaker. (4) OFFICIALLY YOURS pacer is very inconsistent from week to week. His best effort puts him in the mix. (10) SMOKE RINGS hasn't won a race in quite some time but gets sent out for capable connections.

Race 5

(1) DONTGETBYME has had terrible trips in his last four races. That should change with the rail. (5) HRUBYS N LUCK gets sent out for one of the top stables in the country; threat. (4) LOVEDANCINWITHYOU comes off a big win but is probably best used underneath.

Race 6

(1) ROCKIN THE HOUSE gets sent out for a capable barn with the best post. The pacer looks to offer a big price and can upset with a trouble-free trip. (8) ICE SCRAPER has burned cash in five straight, however the pacer finds a much weaker field; fires early. (5) STONEBRIDGE LYRIC should be sharper second start back off the layoff.

Race 7

In a very tough race to gauge, (6) VANCE BAYAMA has been knocking on the door and will offer a big price. (1) ONTARIO SUCCESS will take heavy action off some big miles. The ship in could have taken something out of the pacer; short price. (2) SHADY CITY made a good chunk of change last year and comes into the race off a big mile at Yonkers.

Race 8

(3) FEELNLIKEAROCKSTAR four-year-old has been racing gamely and is the horse to beat with a similar effort to his last two races. (9) MY BUDDY NINKSTER pacer is very fast and just needs a good setup to hit the ticket. (1) VALIENTE STRIDE should be in line for a ground saving trip up close before shaking loose late; use underneath.

Race 9

(10) GREAT ARTIST comes into the race off a layoff but gets sent out for top connections. (9) SAINT WILLIAM A has been facing much tougher out east and now drops in for a tag; threat. (5) MYSTICAL WALTER will look to make it three straight; fires early.

Race 10

(5) PREEMPTIVE BID had to need his last start off a long layoff and raced well. The pacer should be sharper in his second start back. (9) LUCKY CRUSADER fits in with this bunch nicely and always offers value. (2) SUNSET DREAMER well bred 5-year-old is much better than what his money made for last year reflects; threat.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 1/9 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5:3,6,8/2,4,6/3,4/3,4,10/1,6,8,9 = $43.20

EARLY PICK 4: 3,4,10/1,6,8,9/8/2,4,7 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 4,7,8/5,7,9/1,2,3/2,3 = $54

MEET STATS: 180 - 543 / $978.30 BEST BETS: 28 - 49 / $98.20

SPOT PLAYS: 15 - 49 / $167.60

Best Bet: WINE PHOTO (6th)

Spot Play: STORMONT KATE (3rd)


Race 1

(8) TORTOLA SUNRISE won three back in this class then had a couple of rough trips. The trainer hands the lines to the leading driver here which makes this gelding a top contender. (6) PETTY HANOVER parlayed a nice following trip into a win last week and could get a similar scenario here. (3) WARAWEE PROTON has won three of his last five out of town and merits consideration bringing that good form to the big circuit.

Race 2

(4) PRESCOTTS HOPE adds Lasix after falling just short in his past two tries at this level; top call. (6) RISE UP NOW was a bit flat after missing three weeks but returns in 7 days here and should go better. (2) NIRVANA SEELSTER is always a threat from close range but more likely to get a smaller share here.

Race 3

(4) STORMONT KATE has been cutting some swift fractions and tiring lately but with the drop in class she could get a breather or two here and take these all the way. (3) MR LOVER faces mostly easier, draws inside and gets Filion back which should make him a contender here. (1) DRAGIN THE WAGON built up a solid record at the B tracks last year and can share here.

Race 4

(10) THE ROCK takes a substantial class drop here and Henry should be sending him, even from out there. (4) LEGION OF BOOM is better than his two lines off the layoff show and he should wake up with a better effort here. (3) SENIOR MARKET continues to race well and will pop at a square price one of these weeks.

Race 5

(1) NAT A VIRGIN was sent first up last week and provided cover for the winner. She should be able to work out a covered trip starting from the rail here and the price will be better this week. (6) BETIT TO GETIT couldn't threaten a classy winner last time and drops back into more suitable company here. (8) MS MAC N CHEESE also drops from the top class and must be considered.

Race 6

(8) WINE PHOTO demolished similar Monday night and is right back in off the claim here looking for more. He's the one they have to catch. (1) UTOPIA stayed in then closed a gap on the choice late. He can be closer if moved earlier. (5) R CHOOCHOO CHARLIE adds trotting hopples which could make a big difference.

Race 7

(2) BROOKDALE SHADOW takes a substantial class drop and should be prominent throughout here. (7) ST LADS PENNY LANE scored a huge upset last time but when she is in sharp form she can string a few good ones together; using. (8) KISS ME OR NOT also class drops and should be dangerous from close range.

Race 8

(4) VEGAS ROCKS put in a solid first-over mile last week now faces easier; logical contender. (8) STAR COVER is razor sharp and might offer a square price here; using. (7) BRINGHOME THEBLUE is another in great form to consider in a contentious dash.

Race 9

(5) UF BETTORS HANOVER started up to late last week but had lots of pace late in his mile. He can take these with a more aggressive steer. (7) VITAL SIGN has maintained excellent form for several weeks and has to be considered. (9) MAC RAIDER gets McNair back which could mean he is blasting early here.

Race 10

(2) AVATARTIST does his best work on the lead and with two tighteners and a drop in class here he may be headed there tonight. (1) BILBO HANOVER fits this class and was an unlucky loser vs. similar two back. He's the one to beat. (3) GRIN FOR MONEY returns quicker here and should be prominent near the pace throughout.

Race 11

(3) FOREVER JUST takes the plunge here and a drop-and-pop is likely. (2) THE REV has returned from a break in sharp condition and looks like the main foe to the choice. (4) TENDTOWIN gets Lasix off the Pereira claim and should challenge. (1) SOUTHWIND AMAZON raced tough from the 10-hole last week and could better this placing. (9) CAMS TUX is one that should be passing horses late and is a good one to use on the bottom of vertical wagers at a big price.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Meadowlands: Saturday 1/9 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF HARNESS

Race 3 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 5 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 9 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 58 - 187 / $310.50 BEST BETS: 7 - 14 / $21.50

Best Bet: DOCTOR BUTCH (2nd)

Spot Play: CAN HE GO (8th)


Race 1

(8) WEGOTTATRUCKYEA came up with broken equipment and made some mistakes last week against a field where he was over his head anyway. He’s back in against his peers now and has a big shot at rallying for the win. (2) GRAND THEFT comes off a good effort and keeps Brett Miller in the bike. (4) EASY LOVER HANOVER is capable of better than we saw last week. (3) MAJOR IN LIFE gets his nose on the gate this time around and could show some early speed.

Race 2

(6) DOCTOR BUTCH rallied nicely from a tough post in his first start October 3 and has a touch more class than most of these. This should be his week. (5) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE was used hard last time and paid the price. He is capable in this spot at a price. (2) SUNFIRE BLUE CHIP seems likely to be a threat at this level every week.

Race 3

In a race lacking any standouts, (5) WOODMERE ULTIMATE showed some pace closing from last a week ago and gets a nice post break this time around. I can see him flashing early speed and pulling off the upset. (4) SOME MAJOR BEACH could conceivably go off the favorite, which is scary considering he hasn’t won in years. (1) THAT’S MY OPINION has the most talent and perhaps the weakest mental game; risky play but dangerous.

Race 4

(5) MR CENSI finished willingly with no shot last Saturday. Four-year-old finds a field with plenty of early speed to benefit his tactics tonight. (8) THESPYWHOLOVEDME comes off a game try and figures prominently again. (9) TRUE BLUE HALL raced well when last seen; needs a trip.

Race 5

(3) HOPE FOR BADLANDS drops in against easier foes this week and should be able to take care of business. (9) GONE NUCLEAR gets his nose back on the gate and an aggressive pilot; expecting early speed. (1) HUNCHIE & (2) UP UP AND OUT each have some form and inside posts. (8) MUST BE THE BUNNY wouldn’t be a complete shock.

Race 6

(6) MAJOR WAR qualified reasonably well with the trainer in the bike. This is the gelding’s first start for Mark Capone and improvement is possible. (9) WHAT I BELIEVE had some traffic issues last time. He gets some needed class relief but remains handicapped with a tough post; price play? (5) CHARGER BLUE CHIP has been closing for small pieces of late and seems like a good fit underneath in exotics. (7) THAT’LL BE THE REI has a shot, but had some traffic issues and could be an underlay. (1) VICE CONSUL N is an unknown from Down Under coming off a decent qualifier. (8) DUNE DUDE has been racing well and adds Tetrick.

Race 7

(1) DAVID’S DREAM was flat trying to rally from last after drawing post 10 a week ago. That was his first start in three weeks and now he moves way inside; taking a shot. (3) ALL WEEK is a sharp horse changing barns that should be able to keep it going. (4) KNOCKING AROUND is also in fine form; using. (2) VILLAGE JACKSON rallied nicely to finish ahead of the top choice last time, so I have to consider him, no?

Race 8

(3) CAN HE GO finished okay from the back in his first start for this high percentage barn. Six-year-old drops this week and could be ready for a big effort. (14) GRATIAS DEO proved he has no trouble starting from the second tier; sharp. (7) SMILE A LITTLE seems to be in the right spot to fire off the wings of the gate and get the edge on this bulky field. (13) ESCAPE THE NEWS is more than capable of winning if Gingras can negotiate traffic from post 13.

Race 9

(7) ULTIMATE BEACHBOY takes a meaningful drop in class and gets back on the 7-day rotation after missing four weeks of action. (2) SECRETSOFTHEKNIGHT finished with good pace last Saturday and gets a better post this time around. (1) MR FRANKLIN N typically puts in a good effort; has a chance. (6) ROCKIN WIZARD was Callahan’s pick over the former.

Race 10

(6) JET AIRWAY was a winner when last seen at this level. He’s stuck in this class for now, so I would expect a proactive drive. (2) REAL NICE is one of a trio of class droppers that have decent form. (7) COOPERSTOWN completes the trifecta of those dropping down; obvious player. (5) COBALT MAN finished well last week at this level. (3) KINGS BARNS looks good if you ignore the break last time.

Race 11

(3) CAPOZZO continued his descent in class and actually showed some signs of life in his most recent race. He steps down the condition ladder again tonight and seems ready to turn things around. (4) GIANT SLAYER was a sharp winner in his last two starts. (5) VICTORY AHEAD made an impressive move and held gamely last Saturday; faces tougher now. (2) POINTSMAN would be my top choice with a catch-driver. (6) FRATERNITY has won two of three starts. (1) BETTORSLUCKYSTREAK won at this level two starts back.

Race 12

(2) LETS ROCK TOGETHER stepped up last time and couldn’t handle a trio of misfortune—bad trip; bad post; class jump. This looks like a better spot. (1) EASTEND EDDIE goes from back-to-back 10-holes to the rail; improvement expected. (4) JUNGLE OF TERROR double-jumped in class off the claim and finds a happy medium now.

Race 13

(3) GLASS PRINCE improved last time out, though that was four weeks ago. As long as he isn’t short, he has as good a shot as any in this weak field. (7) AMPED UP has a reasonable shot of getting an easier lead this week and could go a long way. (4) CITY PIE has proven he can rally given a decent trip and/or pace scenario.

Race 14

(2) AROCKIN HANOVER faces a blank field and should be able to take charge from the inside post. (1) EIGHT TEN EOM is another with inside speed. The only issue is the month layoff. (7) NF DRUM ROLL takes a sizable jump after beating bottom level foes at Freehold, but has won here in the past. (8) GALACTIC STAR can rally for a minor award.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Saturday 1/9 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF HARNESS

FINAL 2015 STATS: 401 - 1216 / $2,254.60

BEST BETS: 57 - 98 / $200.00

Best Bet: UF ROCKIN DRAGON (3rd)

Spot Play: STOLEN CAR (4th)


Race 1

Welcome back to Yonkers Raceway! These first few days seem tough, due to the fact that most of these horses have been off for close to a month. I'll be considering some horses who have raced more recently. (4) EMERITUS MAXIMUS aired it out on the front end last week at The Meadowlands and gave way in a needed tightener; he's lightly raced but has ability. (1) UPFRONT COUNTRYBOY was a winner two back from an inside post and should be close throughout. (2) ROCKSTAR STRIDE gets some class relief for a barn that had predictable success at the end of last season.

Race 2

(3) PANCHESTER UNITED raced last week and the others didn't; Burke trainee is the default selection based on that angle. (2) AMERICAN RAGE had been racing evenly for his new barn and he certainly draws well enough. (1) V I P BAYAMA gets needed class and post relief for the Lachance barn.

Race 3

(1) UF ROCKIN DRAGON raced evenly last week versus better at The Meadowlands and he was a big winner when last seen locally; Mark Ford trainee looks like solid selecting here. (3) ROCK TO GLORY exits claimers for the Godinez barn and he seems like a good fit. (5) ELRAMA N was one of many Bamond imports who performed well at Yonkers last year.

Race 4

(1) STOLEN CAR has never been the most prolific winner but he raced well in his last two and he lands the best post. (4) HI HO STEVERINO is always a serious contender when in at this NW12000 level. (2) MARTINI HANOVER returns locally from a failed stint in Delaware and picks up Sears.

Race 5

(2) MCARDLE ROYALE N makes his U.S. debut for DiDomenico off a willing qualifier at The Meadowlands and he draws well versus a suspect group. (4) ALLSTAR PARTNER gets some class relief and was a winner when last at this level. (6) SHADOW PLACE did have a needed start last week for Lachance.

Race 6

(4) CHEYENNE JEFFREY always seems capable given a good setup and he can be decent value from this midpack post. (1) KEYSTONE HONOR had a very nice season for Laterza after the private purchase from Burke. (6) TERROR TIME seems better than his last few would indicate.

Race 7

(2) ASLAN is a proven commodity with these and he comes in sharp off a needed tightening qualifier. (6) CAROL'S COMET finished up 2015 strong for Allard and he can be a closing threat with a trip. (1) CYCLONE KIWI N should always be close up from this spot.

Race 8

(3) RONNY BUGATTI had been racing much better when last seen locally; gelding fits well here class-wise and faces no standouts. (2) ROLAND N ROCK enters the aged overnight wars off a decent 3-year-old campaign. (5) SIR SAM'S Z TAM could be fit off last week's effort; he can save ground and rally late.

Race 9

(3) TEXAS TERROR N paced a huge back half in that qualifier up at Monticello upon arrival from Down Under and he may be ready at first asking. (5) PASS THEM BY N has been facing better with some success recently; contender. (2) CASIMIR JITTERBUG qualified effectively and should be ready for action.

Race 10

(5) FIERY LUSTRE N was a winner at odds-on when last at this NW18000 level; I guess that's as good an angle as any in here. (3) GALACTIC GALLEON N has raced well for an extended period of time for the Vallee barn. (2) LORD OF MISRULE looks for two straight and lands a good post again.

Race 11

(6) FORTY FIVE RED showed a nice dimension by coming from off the pace in last week's solid win at The Meadowlands; he returns to Yonkers tonight and should be forwardly placed. (5) VILLAGE BEAT has been very sharp for the Mark Ford barn and let's see if that carries over to the new year. (1) HUGH HEFNER N looks to make it a perfect 2 for 2 since arriving from Australia.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (2nd) Apache Warrior, 5-1
(7th) Because I'm Happy, 6-1

Charles Town (3rd) I'm a Little Shy, 6-1
(4th) Poet Warrior, 3-1


Delta Downs (5th) Ella's Top Cat, 7-2
(7th) Madelyn's Mystique, 7-2


Fair Grounds (1st) River Road, 5-1
(5th) Full Heart, 9-2


Golden Gate Fields (8th) Hope's Love, 7-2
(9th) Planet Sunshine, 7-2


Gulfstream Park (3rd) Kitten's Star, 10-1
(8th) Majesto, 3-1


Laurel Park (1st) Rose Essence, 3-1
(3rd) Aridus, 6-1


Mahoning Valley (1st) Guyana Princess, 6-1
(3rd) Twilight Journey, 8-1


Penn National (3rd) Riq Fox, 5-1
(8th) Sterling Thunder, 10-1

Santa Anita (2nd) Courageous Dave, 3-1
(9th) Sir Barclay, 8-1


Sunland Park (7th) Weather Ranger, 7-2
(8th) Fort Phantom, 4-1


Tampa Bay Downs (4th) Willow Bob, 3-1
(10th) Moonlit Park, 9-2

Turf Paradise (7th) Matty O'Keefe, 9-2
(8th) Tom Kha, 5-1


Turfway Park (2nd) Swear, 4-1
(9th) Adamor, 6-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's six-pack

Six free agents who still haven't signed for 2016.......

-- Yoenis Cespedes OF (30)-- If no one wants him, send him to Oakland!!!

-- Justin Upton OF (28)-- Not a big fan, but he's a lot better than his brother.

-- Chris Davis 1B (30)-- Numbers will go down if he leaves Camden Yards.

-- Ian Desmond SS (30)-- Don't the Padres need a shortstop?

-- Dexter Fowler OF (30)-- If the Cubs don't want him, why should you?

-- Wei-Yin Chen, P (30)-- If I'm a NL GM, we're going all-in on this guy.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Saturday

613 PACIFIC @ 614 LOYOLA MARYMOUNT 6:00 PM

Take: PACIFIC +4.5

The non-conference portion of the season was not kind to Pacific. The Tigers were shorthanded and inexperienced and Ron Verlin’s Tigers ran into all kinds of trouble finishing games. So while that 3-11 ledger is pretty ugly, this team has actually been pretty competitive, and I’m expecting Pacific to hang tough tonight with Loyola Marymount.

These teams have some striking similarities in the side by side comparisons. The one big difference is the turnover category, where the Lions are vastly superior to the Tigers. LMU has done a great job of protecting the ball while also forcing plenty of turnovers. That’s a concern here to be sure. But aside from that, it’s actually Pacific with more edges in the four factor comparison.

The WCC has one team playing at an extremely high level, and that’s Saint Mary’s. Gonzaga is probably down a notch right now as they have struggled to get consistent play from the guards. BYU is typical BYU, very good with the ball, not so hot without it. You can pretty much throw a blanket over the rest of this league, and that means a conference where there figure to be loads of tight games that are decided by one or two possessions.

I would think there’s a very good chance of just that taking place tonight. I don’t think there’s any question Loyola is going to want this one badly, as they’re 0-4 to start the conference season. But that also means a bit of pressure to get off the schneid, and you can make an argument that the underdog Tigers are in slightly better form right now. I’ll take the available number with Pacific this evening.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Bonus Play for Saturday, Jan. 9, 2016 7:05 PM EST

(505) WASHINGTON WIZARDS VS (506) ORLANDO MAGIC

Take: (506) ORLANDO MAGIC

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Saturday, January 9, 2016 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Washington Wizards and the Magic in Orlando. Washington has not played well on the road and this is the second of a back to back spot after hosting tough Toronto last night. They have been stumbling badly the last two weeks, too. The Wizards are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games playing on no days rest. Orlando is home and strong on defense, No. 9 in the NBA in points allowed. They are rested and the Magic are 9-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing straight up record. And when these teams clash the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play Orlando.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jack Jones

Chiefs vs Texans

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Kansas City Chiefs -3

The Kansas City Chiefs are the hottest team in the NFL entering the 2016 playoffs. They have gone 10-0 in their last 10 games overall while winning behind a dominant defense that has given up 22 or fewer points in 12 straight games, including 17 or less in nine of its last 11. This is certainly the team that nobody wants to play heading into the playoffs.

The Houston Texans had a fine season and also rebounded nicely from a slow start by winning seven of its final nine games this season, including three in a row. But the Texans have mostly feasted on a soft schedule as they play in the weakest division in football in the AFC South. The last three wins came against Matt Hasselbeck and the Colts, Zach Mettenberger and the Titans, and Blake Bortles and the Jaguars. The Texans are the best team in this division, but that’s not saying much.

In fact, eight of the Texans’ nine wins this season have come against non-playoff teams. Conversely, the Texans have gone 1-3 against playoff teams this season. That includes a 20-27 home loss to the Kansas City Chiefs back in Week 1 this season. The others were a 7-point loss at Carolina, a 21-point home loss to New England, and a 4-point road win at Cincinnati. You know they’ve played an easy schedule when they’ve only faced four playoff teams.

The Chiefs have played the much more difficult schedule this season. They have had to play seven games against playoff teams this season, yet they have managed to post two more wins than the Texans at 11-5 compared to 9-7. I think they’re certainly the more battle-tested team heading into the postseason, and they have a lot more playoff experience than these Texans.

That experience will shine through as the Chiefs will be highly motivated to capture their first playoff victory since 1994. Alex Smith has played a handful of playoff games dating back to his time with the 49ers, and he has other guys around him with playoff experience like receiver Jeremy Maclin. This will be the first playoff start for QB Brian Hoyer, and he has hardly any playoff experience around him. The one guy with the most experience is All-Pro tackle Duane Brown, but unfortunately he suffered a season-ending quad injury in the regular season finale and will miss the playoffs.

Brown’s replacement is going to have his hands full against two of the best pass rushers in the NFL. The Chiefs are expected to have a healthy Justin Houston back in the lineup. Houston led the league in sacks last year and is an absolute force. Tamba Hali is another edge rusher who has had a very nice season. These two will be in the backfield all game long, disrupting Brian Hoyer and forcing him into mistakes.

The Chiefs have actually played their best football on the road this season. They are scoring 29.0 points per game and giving up 18.9 points per game on the road, outscoring opponents by 10.1 points per game. That’s one of the best road differentials in the NFL, and it’s a big reason why I’m not afraid to lay a field goal with the Chiefs in this one.

Kansas City is 8-0 ATS off two or more consecutive unders over the last two seasons, winning by 16.4 points per game in this spot. The Chiefs are 14-5 ATS in road games against AFC opponents over the last three years. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Houston. Bet the Chiefs Saturday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer

Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame

Bonus Play Notre Dame

I'm recommending a play on Notre Dame minus the points on Saturday afternoon. The Pitt Panthers are off to a 13-1 SU start, and without taking too much credit away from Jamie Dixon's troops, the fact is, the schedule hasn't been overwhelming. Their biggest step-up game thus far ended in a 72-59 loss at home to Purdue. Pitt suffered a rough shooting night and couldn't overcome A.J. Hammons at the other end. And believe it or not, even though we're into the third month of the season and Pittsburgh's 15th game, this contest marks the Panthers first true road game. South Bend is not an easy place for visitors and we look for the Irish to pick up what would be their biggest win of the season. Notre Dame is an excellent shooting team, ranked 8th in accuracy in the nation in all games, including 52% at home. The Irish average nearly 11 more rebounds per game than they allow at Purcell Pavilion and own a 1.72 assist/turnover ratio at home, averaging 17 assists per game, while committing less than 10 turnovers per game. And again, while this is Pitt's first roadie of the season, they are just 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 road games. We'll recommend a play on Notre Dame minus the points as they look to extend their ACC run to 7-1 ATS. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.