Cajun-Sports CBB/NBA Executive Late Report- Saturday
Handicapper: Cajun Sports
Wisconsin vs. Northwestern (NCAAB) - 8:00 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -1.5/-105 Northwestern Play Title: Cajun Sports CBB 6-Star Big 10 Game of the Month
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Welsh Ryan Arena will be the site of tonight’s Big 10 clash between the host Northwestern Wildcats and the visiting Wisconsin Badgers. The Badgers are currently on a five game losing streak which includes a record of 0-4-1 ATS. The Wildcats have defeated Minnesota, Michigan State and Indiana winning three of their last four contests with their only loss coming at Michigan in a 68 to 59 road loss.
Wisconsin is 12-8 SU and 7-10 ATS overall this season. When the Badgers take to the road they have struggled posting a record of 4-5 SU and 4-4 ATS. The worst has been recently for Wisconsin with them going 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 against the spread averaging 63.0 points per game versus teams that allow 64.0 points per game and defensively they are allowing 68.9 points per game.
The Badgers just lost to Purdue in a revenge situation and they have another same-season revenge game on deck with Illinois. We see that the Badgers struggle in the game before facing the Illini going 1-8 against the spread in that situation.
Northwestern is 11-7 SU and 7-8 against the number so far in the 2008-09 campaign. The Cats have been strong when defending their home court posting a record of 9-2 SU and 5-3 against the spread averaging 69.4 points per game versus teams that only allow 64.6 points per game. Defensively the Wildcats are allowing 56.5 points per game against teams that are averaging 67.9 points per game.
The Wildcats 1-3-1 zone along with their trapping style of defensive play will be a problem for this Badgers team on Saturday night in Evanston. Wisconsin has been struggling on both ends of the floor recently and this game will be no exception as Northwestern’s ability to break the Badgers on the defensive end of the floor will lead to easy baskets in transition.
Wisconsin is 1-4-1 ATS their last 6 following a straight up loss in their last game. They are also 0-4-1 ATS their last five versus teams with a winning record on the year and 0-4-1 ATS their last five versus teams from the Big 10 Conference.
In the first meeting between these two teams back on January 7th the Badgers were installed as a seven point favorite and defeated the Wildcats 74 to 45. Today’s line has the Badgers only favored by one point with the linesmaker not showing any respect for that huge win in their last meeting. They realize like we do that the Badgers are certainly not that much better than this Wildcats team and in fact the Cats are the team playing with the most confidence and momentum at this time of the season.
Our Team Performance Ratings Index has Northwestern with a 3.5 point advantage in tonight’s contest. Our Math Model Ratings Index also signals a Cats win over the Badgers tonight by 5 points. We will back the host as the Wildcats avenge that earlier loss and roll past the Badgers in Evanston tonight.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: (6*) Northwestern 68 Wisconsin 60
Handicapper: Cajun Sports
New Jersey Nets vs. Philadelphia 76ers (NBA) - 7:05 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Total: 201/-107 Under Play Title: Cajun Sports NBA 4-Star Total GOW Winner
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New Jersey: The Nets off a SU loss and going ‘under’ in their last game and now installed as a road underdog they are 64-90-4 Under. If they are off an ATS loss and ‘under’ and now installed as a road underdog they are 57-83-5 Under. The Nets coming off a SU loss and going ‘under’ in their last game now on the division road are 18-34-2 Under, if they are an underdog the record is 1-7-1 Under and if they are a road underdog the record is 16-30-2 Under.
Philadelphia: The 76ers are 10-21 Under as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points the last 2 seasons, 26-41 Under as a favorite over the last 3 seasons, 13-26 Under as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons and 23-35 Under after one or more consecutive ‘overs’ the last 2 seasons. Series: Four of the last Five meeting in Philly have gone ‘under’ the posted total.
Systems: NBA teams off two SU losses and are now on the road are 84-120-2 Under. NBA teams coming in off a SU/ATS loss and going ‘under’ in their last game and are now installed as a division road underdog are 25-44-1 Under. Play Under NBA teams vs. division opponents when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, 29-41 Under.
Total Performance Ratings Index: 10.3 Under
GRADED PREDICTION: 4* New Jersey / Philadelphia UNDER 201