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Preview: Horned Frogs (10-2) at Ducks (9-3)

Date: January 02, 2016 6:45 PM EDT

Oregon and TCU came into the season with high expectations, with spots in the College Football Playoff seemingly realistic goals.

Key injuries - including ones to their star quarterbacks - and poor play at different points prevented that from becoming a reality, and the Ducks and Horned Frogs are left to wonder what might have been as they get set to meet in the Alamo Bowl on Saturday night.

If TCU loses, it will have even deeper such sentiments after quarterback Trevone Boykin, along with wide receiver Preston Miller, were suspended for the game after being arrested early Thursday.

Boykin was charged with felony assault of a police officer stemming from a bar fight. San Antonio Police spokesman Sgt. Jesse Salame said Boykin was being held on $5,000 bond. The Bexar County Magistrate's website showed Boykin was arrested at 1:45 a.m.

A police report said the 22-year-old Boykin was fighting with employees at a bar, but people he was with told officers they would take him back to his hotel.

Police said Boykin then charged at responding officers and swung at one before he was taken to the ground. The report also said Boykin resisted arrest until he was told they would use a stun gun on him.

Authorities say an officer allegedly punched by Boykin was treated for a swollen face and abrasions but is OK. San Antonio Police Chief William McManus said Thursday he didn't know whether Boykin was swinging at the officer or someone behind him. McManus said Boykin was being heckled about the game against Oregon.

The suspension by coach Gary Patterson ends Boykin's college career, since he is a senior. Miller, a junior, has played in one game this season.

'We are disappointed in their actions and apologize to the TCU Horned Frogs Nation, Valero Alamo Bowl and city of San Antonio,' the coach said.

Boykin looked like a favorite for the Heisman Trophy as No. 11 TCU (10-2) opened 8-0, passing for 2,928 yards with 28 TDs and five INTs while rushing for 524 yards and six scores. However, he threw four interceptions in a 57-35 loss at then-No. 12 Oklahoma State on Nov. 7, injured his ankle in a win over Kansas the next week and missed a 30-29 defeat to then-No. 7 Oklahoma.

He was back for the finale against then-seventh-ranked Baylor on Nov. 27 and went 18 for 33 for 148 yards, two touchdowns and one interception in a 28-21 double-overtime victory.

Patterson has not named a new starter. Backup Bram Kohlhausen, a senior, replaced redshirt freshman Foster Sawyer against the Sooners and nearly led them to a win, having his 2-point conversion pass batted away with less than a minute left.

The highly touted Sawyer started and threw three interceptions and a touchdown in 18 attempts, though he completed seven of his first eight passes for 103 yards and a touchdown before struggling and getting pulled in the third quarter. Kohlhausen had two TDs - both in the fourth - and no INTs.

The No. 15 Ducks (9-3) came into 2015 off a loss in the national title game to Ohio State last season. With Eastern Washington transfer Vernon Adams Jr. winning the job at quarterback to replace Marcus Mariota, Oregon hoped its high-scoring ways would again carry it into the CFP.

The Ducks, though, had those dreams dashed quickly as they split their first six games, including a blowout by then-No. 18 Utah and a home loss to Washington State. Adams suffered an injury to the index finger on his throwing hand in a win over the Eagles, his former team, on Sept. 5 and missed three of the first six contests, though Oregon won two of them.

Once he returned healthy Oct. 17, the Ducks showed that their preseason No. 7 ranking wasn't entirely undeserved. Adams helped Oregon top 40 points four times during its 6-0 close, winning at then-No. 7 Stanford and beating then-No. 22 Southern California at home in back-to-back weeks.

Adams threw for 1,865 yards, 21 touchdowns and four interceptions in that span, with an FBS-high 195.2 rating.

The Ducks capped their season-ending surge with a 52-42 home victory over Oregon State in the Civil War on Nov. 27. It was somewhat bittersweet given the heights of last season they were unable to match or surpass in this one.

"Well, I think this says a lot about our players and assistant coaches of keeping guys focused," coach Mark Helfrich said of bouncing back from the 3-3 start. "There are so many gurus and voices who have all the answers. To come in every single day and look at the film good or bad and own it and fix the bad stuff, continue to do good stuff and stay focused on the process.

"So I think it just, again, says a ton about their character. And the assistant coaches that kept them pointed in the right direction."

Adams and Royce Freeman (1,706 rushing yards, 16 total touchdowns) have helped Oregon average 548.2 yards, sixth in the country, but that represents the second-best offense in this game. Add TCU's third-ranked unit - and the artificial turf of the Alamodome - and the matchup could prove to be an offensive showcase, though Boykin's absence casts a pall over the game.

Like Oregon, TCU settled for the consolation prize of playing in a stadium that should ideally suit both teams' abundant offensive talent and wide-open styles after Oklahoma won the Big 12 and earned a spot in the CFP.

"The only negative of coming here is you play against a really, really good football team," Helfrich said. " ... I think we have very similar seasons this year in terms of some untimely injuries and that kind of thing. But two extremely talented teams that are very excited to be in San Antonio."

Patterson, whose squad was ranked No. 2 in the preseason Top 25, also saw the parallel in the season of his team's bowl opponent.

"So to play a team like coach Helfrich said, really probably come down the same path this year of injuries and then getting healthy, he's probably on the other end where they're getting a little healthier. We kind of got banged up at the end."

Patterson has his fingers crossed over the health of first-team All-America receiver Josh Doctson, who despite missing the final two games and parts of two others with a broken left wrist, set TCU records with 79 catches, 1,327 yards and 14 touchdowns. His 132.7 yards per game led the nation.

He's hoping to be on the field for his final college game.

'Just listening to my doctor and trying to get as healthy as possible in time for Oregon,' said Doctson, who underwent surgery. 'I want to be back more than anything, but I've just got to let time heal.'

TCU's defense was hardly a formidable unit, allowing 396.7 yards a contest, but it was certainly better than Oregon's. The Ducks are giving up 480.3 yards, toward the bottom of the FBS.

Oregon is making its 11th straight bowl appearance and had won four straight postseason games before the 42-20 loss to the Buckeyes on Jan. 12. This is the Ducks' second appearance in the Alamo Bowl, winning 30-7 over Texas on Dec. 30, 2013.

The Horned Frogs, heading to a bowl for the second straight season, have won seven of their last nine bowl appearances and are 3-1 against ranked teams in that span. They are making their first Alamo Bowl appearance.

Oregon and TCU are meeting for the third time and first since 1978. The teams have split the first two.
 
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Preview: Mountaineers (7-5) at Sun Devils (6-6)

Date: January 02, 2016 10:15 PM EDT

As bowl destinations go, Arizona State certainly could have done worse for what was largely considered an underachieving season.

The Sun Devils get to close out their disappointing 2015 campaign with a de facto home game in the Cactus Bowl opposite West Virginia on Saturday night.

Arizona State (6-6) had higher aspirations for a program coming off consecutive 10-win seasons and ranked 15th in the preseason AP Top 25. Early blowout losses to Texas A&M and Southern California and three straight midseason defeats shattered hopes for a major bowl, though the Sun Devils rebounded to win two of their last three and become postseason-eligible with a 52-37 win over rival Arizona on Nov. 21.

The silver lining is a 20-minute trip to downtown Phoenix's Chase Field to face a Power 5 opponent in front of an expected partisan crowd.

"I'm looking at the bright side," senior wide receiver D.J. Foster said. "To be able to play my last game in front of a lot of family and friends, to see a lot of the Sun Devil community that's been supporting us this year and throughout the last four years, for people that can't usually make that travel to be able to see us play."

West Virginia (7-5) also has motivation despite another mid-pack finish in the rugged Big 12 under coach Dana Holgorsen. The Mountaineers can still earn their most wins since joining the conference in 2012, as well as their first bowl victory since routing Clemson in the Orange a season earlier.

"We can finish with eight wins. No West Virginia University Big 12 team has done that," Holgorsen said. "We can win a bowl game, and that is something to be proud of. If you finish 8-5 and win a bowl game against a quality opponent, it puts a smile on your face. That gives you a big boost heading into the offseason."

The Mountaineers endured a roller-coaster season as well, starting 3-0 before losing four straight to the Big 12's upper tier. They followed with four consecutive wins prior to a 24-23 defeat at Kansas State in the finale.

Arizona State, making a fifth straight bowl appearance under one-time WVU assistant Todd Graham, also faced a daunting slate that contained 10 teams that reached the postseason.

The Sun Devils' next challenge may be restoring continuity to an offense that saw coordinator Mike Norvell depart to become Memphis' head coach. Offensive line coach Chris Thomsen will call plays for a unit that averaged 473.9 total yards and possesses impact players at every level.

Quarterback Mike Bercovici threw for 26 touchdowns - four in a 48-46 loss at California in the Nov. 28 regular-season finale. Foster, Devin Lucien and Tim White all had over 50 catches and Demario Richard (1,056 yards) had four 100-yard rushing efforts over the final five games.

"It will be a challenge for us defensively," Holgorsen said. "Clearly, in the Big 12 you are facing up-tempo offenses. You are facing balanced offenses with good wideouts, so our guys are used to that. They know that if they relax against an opponent like this they are going to blow right by us."

Lucien may be the greatest threat, as the UCLA transfer has 391 yards and four TDs on 17 catches in ASU's last two outings.

The Mountaineers can counter with a defense that's second in the FBS with 23 interceptions and has held teams to a 51.0 percent completion rate, even with star safety Karl Joseph suffering a season-ending knee injury after four games.

It'll also be strength against strength when the Mountaineers have the ball. Running back Wendell Smallwood (1,447 yards) heads a WVU ground attack averaging 235.2 yards, while the aggressive Sun Devils defense ranks second in the Pac-12 against the run and among the national leaders in sacks (44) and tackles for loss (101).

Quarterbacks have abused ASU's blitz-happy scheme, however. The Sun Devils have permitted 30 passing touchdowns and 321.3 yards per game through the air, with Cal's Jared Goff throwing for 542 yards and five TDs in the finale.

Whether the Mountaineers can take advantage remains to be seen. Quarterback Skyler Howard has completed 49.8 percent of his throws over the last seven games and WVU is 0-4 when he attempts 35 passes or more.

Each school is making a second appearance in this game, both when it was known as the Insight Bowl. Arizona State defeated Rutgers 45-40 in the 2005 edition and West Virginia lost 34-31 to Missouri in the 1998 game in Tucson.
 
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Saturday's Afternoon Bowls

PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS (7-5) vs. GEORGIA BULLDOGS (9-3)

TaxSlayer Bowl
Everbank Field - Jacksonville, FL
Kickoff: Saturday, 12:00 p.m. ET
Line: Georgia -6.5, Total: 42

Surging Georgia brings a four-game win streak (3-1 ATS) to Jacksonville for Saturday's Tax Slayer Bowl to face a slumping Penn State club with three straight defeats (SU and ATS).

The Bulldogs haven’t scored 30 points in a game since early October, but have held opponents to a mere 12.2 PPG over the past six contests. In this same time period, the once-fierce Nittany Lions defense has surrendered 29.0 PPG.

Georgia lost top RB Nick Chubb (knee) midseason, head coach Mark Richt and offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer were fired in December, and defensive coordinator Jeremy Pruitt took the DC job with Alabama to replace Kirby Smart who is the new head coach in Athens. But Smart is staying on with the Tide through their hopeful two-game title run, which leaves WR coach Bryan McClendon as the interim head coach for Saturday. Penn State QB Christian Hackenberg has a weak 53% completion rate this year, but has pumped out 15 TD and only 3 INT over the past nine games.

Both schools have favorable betting trends, as the Bulldogs (5-7 ATS) are 27-12 ATS in non-conference away games since 1992 and its opponent is 0-6 ATS away from home after the first month of the season since 2014. But the Nittany Lions (4-8 ATS) are 12-8 ATS after an ATS loss and fall in the category of underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a win pct. of 51% to 60% going 37-13 ATS (74%) in the past 10 seasons after ATS defeats in three of the previous four games.

Penn State's offense has been subpar all season with only 23.7 PPG (101st in FBS) on 344 total YPG (106th in nation), and those numbers are much worse away from home (17.6 PPG on 328 total YPG) where the team is just 1-4 SU (0-5 ATS). The team is balanced offensively with 33 rushes per game and 30 pass attempts per contest, but gains only 135 YPG (4.1 YPC) on the ground and 209 YPG and 6.9 YPA through the air.

With the dismissal of offensive coordinator John Donovan, quarterbacks coach Ricky Rahne will run the offense, and will try to prevent QB Christian Hackenberg (53% completions, 2,386 pass yds, 6.9 YPA, 16 TD, 5 INT) from adding to the 38 sacks taken. The junior has topped 300 passing yards just once all season (315 at Maryland), but Hackenberg was phenomenal in his bowl appearance last year when he torched Boston College for 371 yards, 4 TD and 0 INT in an overtime victory. WR Chris Godwin had 140 receiving yards and touchdown in that win over B.C., and he is the midst of a great sophomore season with 968 receiving yards and five touchdowns. All four of Godwin's 100-yard efforts have come during the past six games, and he recorded a career-high 11 receptions in the regular-season finale at Michigan State.

The ground game is capably handled by freshman RB Saquon Barkley, who has 1,007 rushing yards (6.1 YPC) and 7 TD in only 10 games this season. In the past six contests, Barkley has amassed 760 total yards (127 YPG) and four touchdowns.

The Nittany Lions defense has been great this season with 21.7 PPG and 325 total YPG allowed, but it has been burned for 35.3 PPG and 392 total YPG in the past three games, and has surrendered 34.6 PPG and 409 total YPG away from home. The passing defense has been very effective with 174 YPG allowed (11th in FBS) on a mere 6.0 YPA, and the front seven has held opponents to 151 rushing YPG on a paltry 3.9 YPC. Penn State also has a hefty 44 sacks (T-2nd in nation) has also recorded 22 takeaways this season, but is playing a team that has not turned the ball over in either of its past two road games.

Georgia's offense averages 26.5 PPG and 381 total YPG this season, and these numbers are much lower in the past three games (18.7 PPG and 319 total YPG). The team chooses to run the football 60% of the time for 194 YPG on 5.2 YPC, while the passing offense is still respectable with 187 YPG on 7.4 YPA and 62% completions.

Junior QB Greyson Lambert (64% completions, 1,844 pass yds, 7.8 YPA, 11 TD, 2 INT) has been a bit inconsistent this year with a sub-50% completion rate in three of four games from Oct. 1 to Nov. 7, but he has been on the mark in the past three contests (46-of-67, 69%). Senior WR Malcolm Mitchell (751 rec yds, 4 TD) is the only standout receiver on this team, but he has failed to reach 75 yards during a six-game scoreless drought. The rushing attack continues to be handled nicely by sophomore RB Sony Michel (1,076 rush yds, 5.4 YPC, 7 TD) who has racked up four games of 130+ rushing yards in the past seven contests. Michel is also coming off a season-high 187 total yards (149 rush, 38 rec) at Georgia Tech.

The Bulldogs have an outstanding defense that holds teams to 16.9 PPG and 298 total YPG, and those numbers have improved to 12.3 PPG and 276 total YPG in the past three games. They have the nation's top passing defense (146 YPG allowed), as opposing quarterbacks gain just 5.8 YPA. The run-stop unit is also solid in giving up 152 YPG on 4.0 YPC. Turnovers have also been huge, as the Bulldogs have collected 21 takeaways this season, and Penn State has turned the football over a dozen times during the past five games.

KANSAS STATE WILDCATS (6-6) vs. ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS (7-5)

Liberty Bowl
Liberty Bowl - Memphis, TN
Kickoff: Saturday, 3:20 p.m. ET
Line: Arkansas -12.5, Total: 55.5

Two schools peaking at the right time will collide Saturday in the Liberty Bowl when Kansas State, winners of three straight, plays a heavily-favored Arkansas squad that is 5-1 in the past six contests.

While these are both traditionally run-heavy programs, both passing offenses have averaged more than 200 YPG in the past four contests. This trend could continue on Saturday, as both schools have horrible passing defenses this season allowing more than 280 YPG and 8 YPA.

The Wildcats (6-5-1 ATS) have scored 35.7 PPG during their win streak, but might not be able to stop the Razorbacks (7-5 ATS), who beat defenses both through the air with QB Brandon Allen (260 pass YPG, 29 TD) and on the ground with RB Alex Collins (116 rush YPG, 17 TD).

Positive and negative betting trends are prevalent for each team on Saturday, as Kansas State is 8-1 ATS after a week off in the past three seasons, but underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points with a winning percentage between 45% and 55% are just 4-28 ATS (13%) since 1992 when coming off an extremely close conference win (3 points or less).

Arkansas is 10-2 ATS in the past two seasons after forcing zero or one turnovers, but an average offensive team (+/- 0.6 yards per play) after allowing 225 or less total yards are only 29-65 ATS (31%) since 1992 when facing a poor offense (outgained by 0.6 to 1.2 YPP).

Kansas State's offense is starting to show some life with 35.7 PPG and 351 total YPG over the past three weeks, which brings its season numbers to 30.5 PPG and 341 total YPG. Running the football is what KSU prefers, as it rushes the football on 61% of its plays, leading to 163 YPG on 3.9 YPC. The passing game needs work though, as the team completes only 47% of its throws for 177 YPG and 6.6 YPA.

Junior QB Joe Hubener has really struggled this year with a 48% completion rate for 1,837 passing yards (6.7 YPA), 9 TD and 9 INT. Although his team beat West Virginia in the regular-season finale, Hubener finished that game 6-of-19 for 85 yards, 0 TD and 2 INT, while rushing for just 15 yards on 12 carries. But he has produced some nice rushing outputs this season, gaining at least 88 yards on four different occasions, and scoring at least twice on the ground in four different contests.

The team's No. 1 rusher is junior RB Charles Jones (656 rush yds, 4.8 YPC, 5 TD), who has had at least 13 carries in six straight games, which he has turned into 476 yards on 5.1 YPC and a pair of scores. No Wildcats player has reached 500 receiving yards this season, with junior WR Deante Burton leading the squad with 477 yards (14.0 avg) and 4 TD. Burton hadn't reached 70 yards in any game this season before exploding for 135 yards on five grabs (27.0 avg) and a touchdown on Dec. 5 versus West Virginia.

Despite being on the field for only 27:03 per game, the Wildcats defense has still been torched for 30.3 PPG and 443 total YPG this season with neither the front seven (159 rushing YPG on 4.3 YPC), nor the secondary (283 passing YPG on 8.0 YPA) consistently stopping anybody. Of the unit's mere seven forced turnovers over the past seven games, four of those came versus Iowa State. KSU should not expect many Razorbacks miscues, as they have committed only five turnovers in the past eight weeks combined.

Arkansas holds the football for 34:08 per game this year, leading to 35.2 PPG and 457 total YPG. The Hogs choose to run on 57% of their plays, but they also throw for 264 YPG on 9.1 YPA.

Senior QB Brandon Allen (65% completions, 3,125 pass yds, 9.1 YPA, 29 TD, 7 INT) has performed so well because he gets the ball out quickly, as evidenced by his mere 12 sacks taken in 344 dropbacks. He also has a great offensive line that has helped him throw for more than 400 yards on three different occasions. Since the start of November, Allen has tossed 14 touchdowns and only two picks. Junior WR Drew Morgan (751 rec yds, 10 TD) should be fully healed from his shoulder injury and looks for his fourth game of 110+ receiving yards this season.

Junior RB Alex Collins continues to propel the ground game with 1,392 yards (5.6 YPC) and 17 touchdowns this year. He has rushed for over 100 yards nine times this season with six of those coming versus SEC opponents.

Despite Collins' contributions to the gaudy time of possession for the offense, the Arkansas defense is still surrendering 27.7 PPG on 404 total YPG (6.1 yards per play). However, the unit stood tall in the regular-season finale versus Missouri with three points allowed on 88 rushing yards (3.5 YPC) and 83 passing yards (3.1 YPA). While the run-stop unit gives up only 120 YPG on 3.8 YPC this season, the passing defense has been much more generous with 284 passing YPG on 8.3 YPA. Although the unit has forced multiple turnovers six times this season, it has also failed to produce a single turnover in four separate contests.
 
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Saturday's Evening Bowls

TCU HORNED FROGS (10-2) vs. OREGON DUCKS (9-3)

Alamo Bowl
Alamodome - San Antonio, TX
Kickoff: Saturday, 6:45 p.m. ET
Line: Oregon -7, Total: 73.5

Two of the most potent offenses in the nation will try to outscore each other in the Alamo Bowl in San Antonio when No. 11 TCU takes on a No. 15 Oregon team with six straight wins (5-1 ATS). The Frogs will be severely short-handed, as they will not have the services of either star QB Trevone Boykin (suspension) or top WR Josh Doctson (wrist).

Despite Boykin missing nearly two games this season, the Horned Frogs still averaged 41.7 PPG (8th in FBS) for the season, while the Ducks scored 43.2 PPG (6th in nation) with QB Vernon Adams Jr. hobbled. With Boykin's suspension coming after his arrest early Thursday morning for felony assault on a police offer, either senior QB Bram Kohlhausen or freshman QB Foster Sawyer will start under center.

Both teams also have explosive rushers well over 1,000 yards in TCU RB Aaron Green (1,171 rush yds) and Oregon RB Royce Freeman (1,706 rush yds). There are more betting trends favoring the Ducks in this matchup, such as their perfect 7-0 ATS record after two straight double-digit Pac-12 wins in the past two seasons, and their 13-3 ATS mark versus winning teams in this same timeframe.

But the Horned Frogs are 14-5 ATS versus good passing teams (58%+ completion pct.) in the past three years, and a perfect 7-0 ATS after having at least one week off in this same timeframe.

In addition to Boykin and Doctson not playing, TCU will likely be missing WR Ty Slanina (collarbone), but both DT Aaron Curry and C Joey Hunt have been upgraded to probable from undisclosed injuries. Oregon's only significant injury is S Juwaan Williams (foot), who is questionable for Saturday.

TCU's offense has mustered only 26.7 PPG and 393 total YPG in the past three games, which is a far cry from the 41.7 PPG and 564 total YPG it has averaged this season, or even the 38.8 PPG on 569 total YPG it has produced on the road (4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS).

Senior QB Bram Kohlhausen (27-of-43, 369 yds, 8.6 YPA, 3 TD, 1 INT) is the likely starter for Saturday ahead of freshman QB Foster Sawyer (10-of-26, 155 yds, 6.0 YPA, 2 TD, 3 INT). The 6-foot-2, 203-pound Kohlhausen played pretty well at Oklahoma in his last appearance, when he completed 5-of-11 throws for 122 yards (11.1 YPA), 2 TD and 0 INT with most of that coming on an 86-yard touchdown pass to WR KaVontae Turpin.

With WR Josh Doctson (1,327 rec yds, 14 TD) sidelined, the freshman Turpin will try to add to his 584 receiving yards and 8 TD this season. The other main pass catcher is 6-foot-1 senior WR Kolby Listenbee (598 rec yds, 20.6 avg, 5 TD), who gained 98 yards at Oklahoma and also had a pair of 100-yard efforts this year.

On the ground, senior RB Aaron Green (1,171 rush yds, 5.3 YPC, 10 TD) has racked up 120+ yards on five occasions, but after scoring eight times in his first six games, Jones has found the end zone only twice in his past six contests.

The Horned Frogs defense has given up 26.1 PPG on 397 total YPG this season, but those numbers are much worse away from home with 35.7 PPG on 464 YPG. Neither the run-stop unit (183 rush YPG and 4.3 YPC allowed) nor the secondary (214 pass YPG and 6.3 YPA allowed) has been consistently strong this year.

Before the unit produced five takeaways in the win over Baylor, it had forced only eight turnovers in the previous nine games combined. That's good news for a Ducks offense that has only six giveaways in its past six contests.

Like TCU, Oregon's potent offense (43.2 PPG on 548 total YPG) has not been nearly as fierce away from home (38.8 PPG on 470 YPG). Oregon runs the football 63% of the time for 288 rushing YPG on a whopping 6.1 YPC. But the team is more than capable of taking to the air with 260 passing YPG on 9.2 YPA and a 64% completion rate.

Senior QB Vernon Adams Jr. (65% completions, 2,446 pass yds, 10.2 YPA, 25 TD, 6 INT) has not lost a game since September, and has thrown for 21 TD and only 4 INT during his team's six-game win streak. In the past three contests, he has completed 83%, 80% and 74% of his throws.

Junior WR Bralon Addison (775 rec yds, 10 TD) is the No. 1 target and has caught 13 passes for 211 yards and 4 TD in the past two games. The rushing attack is in great shape with sophomore RB Royce Freeman (1,706 rush yds, 6.6 YPC, 14 TD), who has gained at least 100 yards on the ground for eight straight games, and has totaled a hefty 415 yards (314 rush, 101 rec) over the past two contests.

It's a good thing the offense has been so effective, because the Ducks defense has been torched for 36.7 PPG on 480 total YPG this season. Being on the field for an average of 33:44 in 2015 has contributed to the massive 179 rushing YPG (4.8 YPC) and 301 passing YPG (7.1 YPA) the unit has allowed.

Oregon has forced a solid 21 turnovers this year too, and hopes TCU continues its turnover ways with 11 giveaways in its past four games.

WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS (7-5) vs. ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS (6-6)

Cactus Bowl
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe, AZ
Kickoff: Saturday, 10:15 p.m. ET
Line: West Virginia -1.5, Total: 64

Arizona State will try to avoid a losing season on Saturday night when it hosts West Virginia in the Cactus Bowl at Chase Field, which is located just 11 miles from the Tempe campus.

The Sun Devils had preseason expectations to play in a greater January bowl, but have allowed 32.7 PPG this season, and a hefty 559 total YPG over the past three contests. The Mountaineers have surrendered 34.0 PPG and 452 total YPG away from home, where they are 1-4 (SU and ATS). But in the past three games, they have held opponents to 10.0 PPG and 270 total YPG. ASU prefers to throw the football (289 YPG), while WVU has great balance (235 rush YPG, 228 pass YPG).

There are plenty of reasons for bettors to choose either side on Saturday night, as the Sun Devils are 10-1 ATS since 1992 off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog, and their opponent falls under the category of teams coming off an ATS loss to an opponent with 3+ straight ATS wins going 19-50 ATS (28%) when the line is +3 to -3.

The Mountaineers are 8-4 ATS under head coach Dana Holgorsen versus poor passing defenses (250+ YPG allowed) and their Saturday opponent is 10-22 ATS on the road versus good rushing teams (4.75+ YPC) since 1992.

Both teams will be a tad short-handed for this matchup, as WVU will not have three players due to academics (WR Jovon Durante, DE Eric Kinsey and CB Daryl Worley), while DL Yodny Cajuste (foot) is questionable. ASU has two players out due to disciplinary reasons (DL Deonte Reynolds and DB Jayme Otomewo) while two others are questionable in TE Grant Martinez (knee) and LB Nick Ralston (undisclosed).

West Virginia's offense hasn't faltered much this season with 33.2 PPG on 463 total YPG. The club prefers to keep the ball on the ground, as 61% of their plays are hand-offs, and the ball usually goes to junior RB Wendell Smallwood (1,447 rush yds, 6.4 YPC, 9 TD). He has amassed eight 110-yard rushing efforts this season, with five of those games resulting in at least 140 yards.

The team is better off when junior QB Skyler Howard (55% completions, 2,613 pass yds, 7.4 YPA, 21 TD, 12 INT) doesn't drop back much, as the team is 0-4 when Howard attempts at least 35 passes and 6-0 when he throws less than 30 times. Howard is also a capable ball carrier with 479 rushing yards and six touchdowns, and junior RB Rushel Shell (677 rush yds, 4.5 YPC, 8 TD) provides some serious power with his 5-foot-10, 221-pound frame.

The Mountaineers defense has been up-and-down this season, surrendering 34.0 PPG on 452 total YPG on the road, but limiting its last three opponents to 10.0 PPG on 270 total YPG. The unit is giving up 164 rushing YPG on 4.0 YPC, while it allows 223 passing YPG on 6.8 YPA. However, the WVU defense ranks second in the nation with 23 interceptions and has limited opposing quarterbacks to a paltry 51% completion rate.

The unit has forced a total of 31 turnovers this season, including 14 in the past four games, but will be hard-pressed to force mistakes from the Sun Devils, who have committed only 10 turnovers in the past eight contests.

Arizona State's offense averaged a healthy 34.0 PPG and 474 total YPG this season, but offensive coordinator Mike Norvell departed to become the next Memphis head coach. That leaves offensive line coach Chris Thomsen as the play-caller for Saturday. On the year, the Sun Devils are greatly balanced with 42 rushes per game and 40 passes per contest. While they are much more effective through the air with 289 YPG on 7.2 YPA, the ground game chews up a solid 185 YPG on 4.4 YPC.

Top RB Demario Richard (1,050 rush yds, 5.3 YPC, 7 TD) is finishing strong with four 100-yard rushing games in the past five contests, while No. 1 WR Devin Lucien (57 rec, 930 yds, 7 TD) has racked up 17 catches for 391 yards and 4 TD in his past two games.

He and four others have caught at least three touchdown passes from QB Mike Bercovici (60% completions, 3,442 pass yds, 7.2 YPA, 26 TD, 9 INT), who has also run for six scores. The heady senior has thrown for at least 230 yards in 11 straight games and has 7 TD passes and only one interception in his past three contests.

The Sun Devils defense isn't very good, as evidenced by its 32.7 PPG on 446 total YPG, which includes 322 passing YPG on 8.3 YPA. However, the front seven thrives against the run (125 YPG on 3.6 YPC) and has also put major pressure on quarterbacks with 44 sacks and 101 Tackles For Loss.

But this heavy blitzing has also led to big games for opponents, such as California QB Jared Goff's 542 passing yards and five touchdown throws in the regular-season finale. Arizona State has forced eight turnovers in the past three games, but is playing an opponent with only nine giveaways during its past seven contests.
 
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Saturday's Early Bowl Tips
By Brian Edwards

**Penn State vs. Georgia**

-- The TaxSlayer Bowl in Jacksonville will pit Georgia from the SEC up against Penn State out of the Big Ten. As of New Year’s Day, most betting shops had Georgia (9-3 straight up, 5-7 against the spread) installed as a six-point favorite with a total of 42.5 points. The Nittany Lion were +200 on the money line (risk $100 to win $200).

-- Georgia finished the regular season with four consecutive wins, but it wasn’t enough to save Mark Richt’s job. One day after beating Ga. Tech 13-7 on The Flats in the regular-season finale, Richt was fired after 15 seasons and 145 victories. Richt initially agreed to coach in the bowl game but when he was hired by Miami less than a week later, those plans obviously changed.

-- Bryan McClendon will serve as UGA’s interim head coach. He was the team’s WR coach this year and served as the RBs coach from 2009-2014. McClendon will join Will Muschamp’s staff at South Carolina after coaching this game. Both of UGA’s coordinators are gone as well, in addition to LBs coach Mike Ekeler. DC Jeremy Pruitt has departed for the same position at Alabama, replacing Kirby Smart, UGA’s new head coach who is simultaneously tending to his new gig and staying with the Crimson Tide through next week’s game against Clemson. OC Brian Schottenheimer left the team to go try to find a new job.

-- Richt’s fate was sealed in a 27-3 loss to Florida on Oct. 31. The defeat eliminated the Bulldogs from the SEC East for a second straight season and they were the clear-cut favorites to win the division but were unable to do so.

-- Since losing star RB Nick Chubb to a season-ending injury in a 38-31 loss at Tennessee on Oct. 10, Georgia has been pedestrian on offense. The Bulldogs have averaged only 15.8 points per game, scoring 20 points or more in regulation just twice in six games.

-- Georgia QB Greyson Lambert completed 18-of-25 throws for 224 yards without committing a turnover in the win at Ga. Tech. Sony Michel rushed 24 times for 149 yards and one TD. For the season, Lambert has connected on 64.4 percent of his throws for 1,844 yards with an 11/2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Michel has run for 1,076 yards and seven TDs while averaging 5.4 yards per carry. Before Chubb went down in the sixth game of the season, the true sophomore had rushed for 747 yards and seven TDs while averaging 8.1 YPC.

-- Malcolm Mitchell is UGA’s top WR, hauling in 53 receptions for 751 yards and four TDs. Michel is a factor catching the ball out of backfield, making 25 catches for 270 yards and three TDs.

-- Georgia has been a single-digit favorite three times this year, posting a 1-2 record both SU and ATS.

-- Penn State (7-5 SU, 4-8 ATS) has dropped three in a row both SU and ATS, including a 55-16 loss at Michigan State as a 7.5-point underdog in the regular-season finale. The Nittany Lions generated 418 yards of total offense, but they committed four costly turnovers. QB Christian Hackenberg completed 22-of-39 passes for 257 yards and two TDs, but he was intercepted twice. True freshman RB Saquon Barkley rushed for 103 yards on 17 carries.

-- James Franklin’s team owns just a pair of wins over bowl-bound competition, beating San Diego State (37-21) and Indiana (29-7). We should note, however, that both wins came at home and that the Hoosiers were without their two best players, QB Nate Sudfeld and RB Jordan Howard.

-- Hackenberg has completed 53.3 percent of his passes for 2,386 yards with a 16/5 TD-INT ratio. The true junior had a six-game stretch in the middle of the season when he threw 12 TD passes without an interception. However, he’s been picked off three times in the last three games while throwing just three TD passes.

-- Barkley enjoyed a breakout campaign, rushing for a team-best 1,007 yards and seven TDs while averaging 6.1 YPC.

-- Hackenberg’s favorite target is Chris Godwin, a true sophomore who has 63 catches for 968 yards and five TDs. DaeSean Hamilton has 40 receptions for 509 yards and five TDs.

-- PSU has been an underdog three times this season, going 0-3 both SU and ATS.

-- Penn State is ranked 14th in the country in total defense and eighth against the pass. The Nittany Lions are No. 25 in scoring defense (21.7 PPG).

-- Georgia ranks sixth in the nation in total defense, No. 1 against the pass and eighth in scoring (16.9 PPG). This unit is led by LB Leonard Floyd, a second-team All-SEC selection. Floyd registered 68 tackles, 10.5 tackles for loss, 4.5 sacks, nine QB hurries, three passes broken up and one fumble recovery that he returned 96 yards for a TD. Sophomore safety Dominick Sanders also earned second-team All-SEC accolades. Sanders produced 45 tackles, four tackles for loss, one sack, five passes broken up and five interceptions for 205 return yards and one TD. Senior LB Jordan Jenkins is another big-time player. He has recorded 56 tackles, 10.5 tackles for loss, five QB hurries, four sacks and two forced fumbles.

-- The ‘over’ has hit in three straight and four of the last five for PSU. However, the ‘under’ is still 7-5 for the year. The Nittany Lions’ games have averaged combined scores of 45.3 points per game.

-- One other note on PSU totals: When the tallies have been 43.5 combined points or fewer (like this total for UGA), the ‘over’ has cashed at a 4-0 clip.

-- The ‘under’ is on fire in UGA games, cashing in six straight and eight of its last nine. The ‘under’ is 9-3 overall for the Bulldogs, who have seen their games average combined scores of 43.4 PPG. This is – by far – the lowest total they’ve seen this season. The previous low was 48.5 (three times). In UGA’s four games that had totals in the 40s, the ‘under’ went 4-0.

-- Kickoff is scheduled for noon Eastern on ESPN.

**Arkansas vs. Kansas State**

-- The AutoZone Liberty Bowl in Memphis will feature a Big 12-SEC showdown between Arkansas and Kansas State As of New Year’s Day, most spots had the Razorbacks favored by 12.5 points with a total of 56. The Wildcats were +400 on the money line (risk $100 to win $400).

-- Just like last season, Arkansas (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS) played its best football in November when it went 3-1 both SU and ATS with wins at Ole Miss (53-52 in double overtime) and at LSU (31-14). The loss in November came at home to Mississippi State when the Razorbacks’ defense gave up a late score in a 51-50 setback.

-- Bret Bielema’s squad close the regular season with a 28-3 home win over Missouri as a 15-point ‘chalk.’ Alex Collins led the way by rushing for 130 yards and three TDs on 30 workmanlike carries. Kody Walker added 77 rushing yards and one TD on 14 totes.

-- Arkansas senior QB Brandon Allen had a spectacular season, especially when you consider that the team’s three best WRs went out with injuries in mid-September. Keon Hatcher, who led the 2014 squad in receptions and receiving yards, was doing the same this year until an injury sidelined him for the season. Jared Cornelius and Cody Hollister both missed more than six weeks. Nevertheless, Allen connected on 65.1 percent of his passes for 3,125 yards with a 29/7 TD-INT ratio. In the last eight games, Allen has 22 TD passes compared to merely four interceptions.

-- Allen was sensational in the double-OT win at Ole Miss. He threw for 442 yards and six TDs without an interception. Most important, he scored the winning two-point conversion on a QB draw. Allen had three games with more than 400 yards passing, including a 406-yard effort vs. Mississippi State He had seven TD passes without a pick against the Bulldogs.

-- When Hatcher went down, junior WR Drew Morgan earned more snaps and subsequently produced a breakout season. Morgan hauled in a team-high 55 receptions for 751 yards and 10 TDs.

-- Allen has one of the nation’s top tight ends in junior Hunter Henry, who earned first-team All-SEC honors after catching 46 balls for 647 yards and three TDs. Juco transfer WR Dominique Reed didn’t do much early in the year (just two catches in September), but he has come on strong late. Reed has 27 receptions for 520 yards and six TDs. He has four TD grabs in the last four games.

-- Collins is poised to become the school’s second all-time leading rusher if he can gain 53 yards on the ground against the Wildcats. Collins rushed for more than 1,000 yards for a third straight season in 2015. The true junior ran for a career-best 1,392 yards and 17 TDs with a 5.6 YPC average. Collins is expected to turn pro following this game.

-- Arkansas has been a double-digit ‘chalk’ four times, going 2-2 ATS.

-- After going back-to-back seasons without going to a bowl, Arkansas was invited to last year’s Texas Bowl and proceeded to smash Texas by a 31-7 count as a seven-point favorite.

-- Kansas State (6-6 SU, 6-6 ATS) won three in a row to get bowl eligible at the close of the regular season. Bill Snyder’s team beat West Va. 24-23 as a 6.5-point home underdog in the regular-season finale. When the Mountaineers went ahead 23-17 with 13:07 remaining, K-State Morgan Burns answered with a 97-yard kickoff return for the game-winning points. Kody Cook, who normally plays WR, threw a 77-yard TD pass while filling in for the injured Joe Hubener.

-- Hubener is ‘probable’ vs. Arkansas, but Snyder has yet to announce a starter. Hubener became the starting QB when Alex Delton and Jesse Ertz went down with season-ending injuries in Spetember. Hubener has completed only 47.8 percent of his passes for 1,837 yards with a 9/9 TD-INT ratio. However, his strength is his ability to run the football. Hubener has rushed for 613 yards and 13 TDs.

-- K-State junior RB Charles Jones has run for a team-high 652 yards and five TDs while averaging 4.8 YPC. Meanwhile, Deante Burton has a team-best 34 receptions for 477 yards and four TDs.

-- K-State has been an underdog seven times, compiling a 4-3 spread record with one outright victory. The Wildcats have been double-digit ‘dogs just once, taking the cash easily in a 31-24 home loss to Baylor as 17-point puppies.

-- Cook has 27 receptions for 412 yards and three TDs. He’s completed 18-of-42 throws for 284 yards with a 3/3 TD-INT ratio. Cook has rushed for 139 yards and a pair of TDs.

-- K-State has just two wins (West Va. and La. Tech) over bowl-bound opponents, while Arkansas owns road scalps over LSU, Ole Miss and Tennessee, in addition to a home victory over Auburn.

-- The ‘over’ is 7-5 overall for the Wildcats, cashing in three of their last four outings.

-- The ‘under’ is 7-5 overall for the Hogs, cashing in two of their last three games.

-- These schools met in the 2011 Cotton Bowl, which turned out to be Bobby Petrino’s last game as head coach of the Hogs. They won a 29-16 decision as nine-point favorites. K-State leads the all-time series 3-2 but hasn’t beaten Arkansas since 1926.

-- ESPN will have the telecast at 3:20 p.m. Eastern.
 
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Saturday's Late Bowl Tips
By Joe Williams

**Oregon vs. Texas Christian**

-- The Valero Alamo Bowl should have a big-game feel when the Oregon Ducks (9-3, 7-5 ATS) square off against the Texas Christian Horned Frogs (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS) in San Antonio, Tex. These two teams entered the season with national championship aspirations and would like to finish up on a high note.

-- Oregon had their playoff hopes dashed in a 62-20 shellacking in Eugene back on Sept. 26, and then a double-overtime loss against Washington State Oct. 10 helped put the nail in their coffin for an appearance in the Pac-12 Championship Game. However, instead of roll over and die, the Ducks regrouped and rattled off six consecutive wins to end the regular season, going 5-1 ATS during the impressive stretch. That included a 38-36 win on The Farm against Stanford, as well as a 48-28 dismantling of a good Southern California team Nov. 21.

-- Texas Christian did not taste defeat until Nov. 7 when they paid a visit to Stillwater and promptly went on to get steamrolled 49-29 by Oklahoma State. They followed that up by looking listless in a 23-17 victory against winless Kansas before a heartbreaking 30-29 loss at Oklahoma Nov. 14. The Horned Frogs wonder what could have been if they won that Oklahoma game, as they topped Baylor in overtime in the rain by a 28-21 score.

-- The Ducks really impressed this season with a 5-0 ATS mark in games away from Autzen Stadium. They're also 5-1 ATS in their past six neutral-site games, and 21-5 ATS in their past 26 games played on a grass surface. In addition, Oregon is 5-2 ATS in their past seven bowl games and 34-16-1 ATS in their past 51 against a team with an overall winning record.

-- The Frogs are just 1-5 ATS in their past six bowl games, but figure to have the home-field feel with the short jaunt from Fort Worth to San Antonio. TCU is also 15-2 ATS in their past 17 games on grass, and 6-2 ATS in their past eight against non-conference foes. They're also 19-8 ATS in their past 27 games overall, and 11-4 ATS in their past 15 against teams with an overall winning record.

-- Oregon wasn't the same team when Vernon Adams was sidelined due to injury, but when he was 100 percent they were a juggernaut. Adams threw for 2,446 yards, 25 touchdowns and six interceptions while also rushing for a pair of scores. However, running is not his strong suit. Adams will leave that up to Royce Freeman, who rolled for 1,708 yards on 6.6 yards per carry while finding the end zone 14 times on the ground with 325 receiving yards and two more scores. WR Bralon Addison also proved to be a playmaker, jelling nicely with Adams for 775 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns. WR Darren Carrington averaged 20.1 yards per snag, totaling 502 yards and five touchdowns. WR Dwayne Stanford was also good for five touchdown grabs.

-- TCU was a different offense when WR Josh Doctson (wrist) went down with a wrist injury. He will miss the bowl game, too, joining WR Ty Slanina (collarbone) and WR Preston Miller (suspension) on the sidelines in street clothes. QB Trevone Boykin was the heart and soul of this offense, but he is suspended for the Alamo Bowl after being arrested outside of a San Antonio bar. He was charged with assault on a public servant and he might face charges for resisting arrest and public intoxication. Not good, and not what TCU needs in a game against a fellow high-octane offense.

-- The Horned Frogs will rely heavily on the run game led by RB Aaron Green, who posted 1,171 yards on 5.3 yards per tote while finding the end zone 10 times. They'll miss the dual-threat option of Boykin, though, who had 3,574 passing yards, 31 touchdowns and 10 interceptions while also running for 612 yards and nine scores, both of the latter were second on the team. QBs Bram Kohlkausen and Foster Sawyer are likely each going to get a look in this game, with perhaps the hot hand seeing more reps. with Doctson and his 1,326 yards and 14 touchdowns on the sidelines, WR Kolby Listenbee is the biggest playmaker. He had 598 yards and five touchdowns, while WR KaVontae Turpin checked in with 584 yards and eight scores. RB Shaun Dixon is also a threat in the pass game, posting 430 yards on 11.3 yards per reception.

-- Oregon entered last season's College Football National Championship Game against Ohio State on a four-game bowl win streak, including a 30-7 win over Texas Dec. 30, 2013, in their last appearances in the Alamo Bowl.

-- TCU enters their game as a touchdown underdog against Oregon, as Vegas and most experts expect a lost. If they do lose, it would be a rare setback in a bowl game, as the Horned Frogs are an impressive 7-2 SU over their past nine bowl games dating back to 2005. This will be just their second-ever bowl game against a Pac-12 foe, beating USC 28-19 in the 1998 Sun Bowl. This is also their first-ever appearance in the Alamo Bowl.

-- The under is 5-1 in Oregon's past six bowl games, but 4-1 in their final five regular season games. For TCU, the 'under' is 8-0-1 in their past nine bowl games while cashing in five of their final six regular season games. The 'under' is also 8-2-1 in their past 11 neutral-site appearances.

-- ESPN will have the telecast at 6:45 p.m. Eastern.

**West Virginia vs. Arizona State**

-- West Virginia (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS) will face off against Arizona State (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS) in the Motel 6 Cactus Bowl in the final bowl game before Alabama and Clemson do battle Monday, Jan. 11, for the whole ball of wax. Yep, the Cactus Bowl is the penultimate bowl game after a long postseason full of games.

-- The Mountaineers were up and down this season, but they basically beat the teams they were expected to beat and lost when they were supposed to lose. They had a four-game losing streak from Oct. 3-29, running the Big 12 gauntlet of Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Baylor and TCU, all playoff hopefuls until November. On Nov. 7 West Virginia kicked off a four-game winning streak, covering three in a row from Nov. 14-28 before a setback in the season finale at Kansas State by one point back on Dec. 5. The Mountaineers are just 1-4 ATS in their past five games away from Morgantown.

-- The Sun Devils were picked by many experts to not only make noise in the Pac-12, but also to compete for a spot in the four-team playoff. A 38-17 spanking in a neutral-site game against Texas A&M in the opener, as well as a 42-14 beatdown from USC on Sept. 26 put those aspirations to rest before the calendar even turned to October. Arizona State was rather erratic this season, posting an impressive 38-23 win at UCLA Oct. 3, but also suffering four of their six losses by more than two touchdowns. AZ State was able to wrap up the season with a three-game cover streak, including a 1-1 SU/2-0 ATS mark against bowl teams. Overall against bowl teams the Sun Devils were 3-6 SU and a dismal 2-7 ATS this season.

-- The Sun Devils received tremendous production from Mike Bercovici as an injury-replacement last season, but he was as erratic as the team was overall. He completed 60.3 percent of his pass attempts for 3,436 yards, 26 touchdowns and nine interceptions while also punching in six running scores, second on the team. RB Demario Richard rolled for 1,056 yards and seven touchdowns, while RB Kalen Ballage managed 627 yards, 5.5 yards per tote and four touchdowns. In the receiving game the danger player for WVU's defense is WR Devin Lucien. He erupted for 16.3 yards per catch with seven touchdowns and a team-high 930 yards. WR Tim White had six receiving scores, while former RB D.J. Foster moved to WR and managed 544 yards in 54 grabs with three touchdowns.

-- West Virginia is just 1-5 ATS in their past six bowl games, and they're 1-4 ATS in their past five neutral-site battles, too. However, they're 5-2 ATS in the past seven non-conference tilts. Arizona State has also struggled against the number, posting a 1-6 ATS mark in their past seven bowl games while posting a 0-4 ATS mark in their past four neutral-site games and 0-4 ATS in their past four non-conference tilts.

-- The Mountaineers rattled off bowl wins in four straight from Jan. 2006 to Dec. 2008, but they're just 1-4 SU over their past five postseason appearances. They're 1-2 all-time in three bowl games in the state of Arizona.

-- For AZ State, they also have struggled when they go bowling. While they won 36-31 in the Sun Bowl last season against Duke, they're just 4-7 in their past 11 bowl games dating back to 1997. The Sun Devils are an impressive 6-1 in bowl games in the state of Arizona.

-- The 'under' is an impressive 17-4 in the past 21 games for West Virginia, and 9-3 in their past 12 non-conference games. However, the 'over' has cashed in seven of their past 10 bowl games.

-- For AZ State, the 'over' is 4-1 in their past five bowl games. The over is also 5-2 in their past seven games overall, and 6-2 in their past eight neutral-site matchups, too. The over is 5-1 in the past six against a team with a winning record, too.

-- Kickoff is scheduled for 10:15 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.
 
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NCAAF

Tax Slayer Bowl, Jackaonville, Jan 2
Last six years, SEC teams are 13-7 vs Big 14 teams in bowls, 2-1 in this year's games. Georgia is 2-3 in last five bowls, with losses by 5 or less points; they were fsvored in all five games. Penn State is 2-3 in last five bowls; they were dog in all five- Franklin is 3-1 in bowls, 1-0 here. Penn State lost its last three games after 7-2 start; Lions are 2-5 vs bowl teams this year. Georgia fired its coach after a 9-3 season; they allowed 17 or less points in 8 of 9 wins, are 0-3 when they allow more than 20 points. Dawgs are 2-3 vs teams in bowls- they averaged only 15.8 ppg in their last six games. SEC bowl favorites are 6-1 vs spread this season.

Liberty Bowl, Memphis
Kansas State lost four of last five bowls; favorites covered last four. Wildcats get to bowl despite losing six games in row, giving up average of 42.7 ppg in mid-part of season, before winning last three games to get to 6-6- they're 2-5 vs bowl teams. Razorbacks won three of last four bowls; Bielema is 3-4 in his bowl games, 1-0 with Hogs. Arkansas won five of its last six games after a 2-4 start that included a home loss to Toledo. SEC teams are 5-2 in bowls this year, 3-2 in this bowl last six years; under is 3-2-1 in last six Liberty Bowls. Last seven years, SEC teams are 10-2 in bowls vs Big X teams.

Alamo Bowl, San Antonio
TCU QB Boykin was arrested/suspended two nights ago after bar fight so they're screwed as far as a QB goes here. Frogs won first eight games, scoring 40+ seven times; once WR Doctson got hurt, they went 2-2, scoring less than 30 all four games. TCU won three of last four bowls; they allowd 16 ppg in last five. Oregon had four-bowl win streak snapped by Ohio State in national title game LY; they beat Texas 30-7 in this game in 2013. Favorites are 5-1 SU/ATS in this bowl the last six years; three of last four went over the total. Last six years, Pac-12 teams are 18-15-1 as favorites in bowl games.

Cactus Bowl, Phoenix
Arizona State is first Pac-12 bowl underdog since 2012; they're the home team here too, playing in Diamondbacks' park in downtown Phoenix; ASU is 2-3 in last five bowls, with average total of 76.2. West Virginia lost four of last five bowls; one win was 70-33 over Clemson three years ago. Underdogs won/covered this bowl four of last six years, with last four staying under total. ASU lost four of last six games, allowing 34+ points in five of the six; they're 4-6 vs bowl teams this year. Last four years, Big X teams are 10-15 in bowl games, 1-2 this season.
 
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Bowl Tech Trends - Week 3
By Bruce Marshall

Saturday, January 2

PENN STATE vs. GEORGIA (Taxslayer Gator Bowl)
Penn State 0-5 vs. line away from home this season and just 1-9 last 10 in role, only cover narrowly in bowl vs. BC LY. James Franklin 0-4 as dog this season. Dawgs 2-1 SU and vs. line last three bowls though just 4-7 vs. spread in 2015.

Slight to Georgia, based on team trends.


KANSAS STATE vs. ARKANSAS (Liberty Bowl)
Bill Snyder 24-12 last 36 as dog. Though Cats just 1-4 SU and vs. spread in bowls since his return (including loss to Arkansas in Cotton Bowl after 2011), and K-State 1-8 vs. spread in last nine bowls. Bielema on 17-7 spread run since early in 2014 and covered last four away from home this season.

Slight to K-State, based on Snyder dog trends.


TCU vs. OREGON (Alamo Bowl)
Ducks had won and covered five straight down stretch this season before non-cover in Civil War vs. Beavers. Ducks had won and covered four bowls in a row prior to title loss to Buckeyes last January. Ducks 5-0 vs. points away from home this season, 11-1 last 12 in role. Frogs just 2-4 vs. spread away from Fort Worth this term and had failed to cover five straight bowls prior to LY’s 42-3 romp past Ole Miss in the Peach.

Oregon, based on team trends.


WEST VIRGINIA vs. ARIZONA STATE (Cactus Bowl)
Local edge for ASU in this game played a few miles from home. Sun Devils 1-5 vs. spread last six bowls but only 1-2 of that belongs to Todd Graham. ASU covered last three in 2015 but had dropped 9 of previous 11 vs. number. ASU just 2-8 last 10 vs. line against non-Pac 12 foes. WVU 0-3 SU and vs. line in bowls since 2010 team blew out Clemson in the Orange. Mounties just 3-7 vs. spread last 10 away from Morgantown.

Slight to ASU, based on team trends.
 
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NBA Odds: Saturday, January 2 2016 Opening Line Report and Handicapping
by Alan Matthews

So we have learned that the Golden State Warriors are quite vulnerable without MVP Steph Curry. They were blown out without Curry on Wednesday in Dallas and then opened as underdogs for the first time this season the next night in Houston. Golden State bounced back with a 114-110 win over the dysfunctional Rockets again without Curry. The team might get great news Saturday and not just on Curry possibly playing: the return of Coach Steve Kerr. He has missed the entire season, although he technically gets credit statistically for the 30-2 start, following back surgery. Kerr was with the team on its road trip to see how his body handled things. If all went well, Kerr could be on the bench Saturday. Interim coach Luke Walton has done such a good job that many expect he will be hired by some club as its head coach after this season.

Nets at Celtics (-9.5, 203.5)

A rare matinee at 3 p.m. for this one. These teams play again Monday in Brooklyn. The Nets lost 100-93 in Orlando on Wednesday, blowing a 10-point second-half lead. Brooklyn was just 3-for-20 from 3-point range. This concludes the Nets' three-game road trip. I have no explanation for Boston's 112-104 home loss to the Lakers on Wednesday, which ended a four-game winning streak. Coach Brad Stevens benched guard Marcus Smart for much of the first half after missing the team's shootaround. Interesting that these teams are playing a home-and-home again as they did in November and split, each winning by double digits at home.

Key trends: The underdog is 4-1 against the spread in the past five meetings. The "over/under" is 5-2 in the past seven.

Early lean: Celtics and under.

Suns at Kings (TBA)

This also has an unusual start time of 5 p.m. ET and will be televised by NBA TV. These are two franchises in need of a total overhaul right now. Phoenix is in a free-fall, having lost seven straight. It was beaten 110-106 in Oklahoma City on Thursday. Forward Jon Leuer, who averages 9.1 points and 6.0 rebounds per game, sat it out with an ankle injury. By the way, when the Suns fire Jeff Hornacek after this season, their rumored top choice to replace him? That would be the Warriors' Walton. The Kings lost embarrassingly at home to Philly on Wednesday, 110-105 for their third straight defeat. Sacramento coach George Karl remains one win shy of tying Phil Jackson for fifth place on the NBA's career coaching list with 1,155. Obviously Karl isn't in the same ballpark as Jackson overall. The Suns won first meeting with the Kings 118-97 on Nov. 4 in Phoenix.

Key trends: The Suns are 6-2 ATS in the past eight in Sacramento. The over has hit in eight of the past 12 meetings overall.

Early lean: This is TBA because Rudy Gay is questionable. Kings don't need him to beat Suns.

Thunder at Hornets (+5.5, 208.5)

Charlotte was in Toronto on Friday with Nicolas Batum a game-time call and Jeremy Lin out. Oklahoma City won a third straight Thursday, 110-106 over Phoenix. Russell Westbrook had 36 points, 12 assists and five steals. Oklahoma City shot 52.5 percent (42 for 80) from the field. This is the first meeting between these teams. The Thunder are 11-2 vs. the Hornets since moving to OKC, although both losses were in Charlotte. OKC swept last year, winning by seven at Charlotte.

Key trends: The Thunder have covered eight of the past nine meetings. The under is 8-3 in Charlotte's past 11 in the second of a back-to-back.

Early lean: Thunder and over.

Pistons at Pacers (-4, 201)

Detroit ended a three-game skid with a 115-90 rout of the Timberwolves on Thursday. Andre Drummond had 23 points and 18 rebounds. The Pistons outscored the Timberwolves 100-68 over the final three quarters. Indiana lost a second straight Thursday, 120-116 at home to Milwaukee. It was the second of a back-to-back for the Pacers and it showed. Paul George had 31 points, his first time scoring more than 18 since Indiana lost to Memphis on Dec. 19. Pacers starting center Ian Mahinmi missed the game with a sore left knee. Detroit and Indiana have split two meetings this season, both in Detroit.

Key trends: The Pistons are 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings. The over is 4-1 in the past five in Indiana.

Early lean: Pistons and over.

Magic at Cavaliers (-8.5, 195.5)

Orlando was in Washington on Friday and Elfrid Payton was expected to play through an ankle injury. Cleveland returns home from a four-game West Coast trip, and it closed it 2-2 thanks to a 93-87 win in Denver on Tuesday. LeBron James had 34 points in that one. Kyrie Irving didn't play vs. Denver as it was the second of a back-to-back. He'll be in there Friday. This is the third of four regular-season meetings between the Cavs and Magic. The Cavs won the first two matchups by an average of 25.0 points. Cleveland has won 12 straight in the series, the franchise's longest active winning streak over any club.

Key trends: The Magic are 0-5-1 ATS in the past six in Cleveland. The under is 4-1 in the past five there.

Early lean: Cavs and under.

Bucks at Timberwolves (-2.5, 200.5)

Milwaukee ended a three-game losing streak with a 120-116 win in Indiana on Thursday. Khris Middleton had 33 points as the Bucks shot 58 percent from the field and scored 35 points off Pacers turnovers. It was the first time this season the Bucks won when their opponent shot at least 50 percent from the field. Minnesota lost by 25 in Detroit on Thursday. Kevin Garnett sat out the second of a back-to-back. Milwaukee swept the season series with Minnesota last year. The teams made NBA history in the Nov. 26, 2014, matchup when four teenagers all were on the court at one time.

Key trends: The road team is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings. The under is 5-0 in the past five in Minnesota.

Early lean: Bucks and under.

Pelicans at Mavericks (-5, 206.5)

Dallas was in Miami on Friday with Deron Williams expected to return from injury. New Orleans lost a second straight Thursday, 95-89 at home to the Clippers. Anthony Davis had 14 points and 15 rebounds. There is some good news for the team in that the minutes restriction on point guard Jrue Holiday has been lifted. He will also be able to play in both sets of a back-to-back. The Mavs and Pelicans have split two meetings this year, each winning at home. New Orleans has lost six straight in Big D.

Key trends: The home team is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings. The over is 5-1 in Dallas' past six in the second of a back-to-back.

Early lean: New Orleans and over.

Rockets at Spurs (-12, 201)

The NBA TV nightcap. Houston lost a third straight on Thursday, 114-110 to the Warriors. That's a game Houston should win considering the Warriors were without Curry and in the second of a back-to-back. James Harden had 30 points for the Rockets, who have dropped seven straight regular-season games to the Warriors. San Antonio won a third in a row Wednesday, 112-79 over Phoenix to improve to 19-0 at home. LaMarcus Aldridge had 21 points and 12 rebounds. Tim Duncan missed his third straight game due to right knee soreness. Houston beat the visiting Spurs 88-84 on Christmas in the only meeting thus far.

Key trends: The home team is 7-0 ATS in the past seven meetings. The over is 4-1 in the past five in San Antonio.

Early lean: Rockets and over.

Grizzlies at Jazz (TBA)

Memphis beat Miami 99-90 in overtime on Tuesday. Marc Gasol scored seven of his 23 points in the extra session. That win enabled the Grizz to finish December at 8-8, their 12th consecutive non-losing month. Memphis played without starting forward Matt Barnes, who served the first game of a two-game suspension. Utah beat Portland 109-96 on Thursday. Trey Burke had a season-high 27 points as the Jazz hit at least half their shots for only the third time this season. Forward Derrick Favors missed a fourth straight game with a back issue. Utah won the first meeting over the visiting Grizzlies 87-79 on Nov. 7. Burke had 24 in that one.

Key trends: The Grizzlies are 1-6 ATS in the past seven meetings. The under is 8-3 in the past 11.

Early lean: Wait on Favors. Under no matter the total.

Nuggets at Warriors (TBA)

While Golden State looked lost on Wednesday without Curry, Klay Thompson stepped up Thursday with 38 points and Draymond Green had 10 points, 11 rebounds and a career-high 16 assists in the win in Houston. Center Festus Ezeli and guard Leandro Barbosa also missed the game. Curry seems likely to return here. Denver dropped a fourth straight Wednesday, 110-103 in Portland. Will Barton, traded by Portland to Denver last season, led the Nuggets with 31 points. Forward Danilo Gallinari (left ankle sprain) and center Jusuf Nurkic (left patellar tendon) both sat but could play here. Rookie guard Emmanuel Mudiay will sit yet again. Golden State is 2-0 vs. Denver this year, winning each by double digits.

Key trends: The road team is 7-2 in the past nine meetings. Denver is 4-0 ATS in the past four.

Early lean: Too many intangibles to hazard a guess here yet.

76ers at Clippers (-14, 207.5)

Philly played in the same building Friday vs. the Lakers looking for a second straight win. There's no question that Blake Griffin is one of the NBA's best players, but the Clippers haven't missed him since going out injured as they finished off a 5-0 road trip with a six-point win in New Orleans on Thursday. J.J. Redick had 26 points. It's the first time L.A. has swept a road trip at least that long. The Clippers routed the Sixers twice last year and have won seven straight in the series overall.

Key trends: The Sixers are 0-7 ATS in the past seven meetings. The under is 4-1 in L.A.'s past five at home.

Early lean: I like Sixers to cover here. Seems an easy letdown game for Clips off that successful trip.
 
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NCAA Basketball Betting 3-Point Play: Three Interesting Jan. 2 Opening Lines
by Alan Matthews

With the college football bowls largely in the rearview mirror, I certainly will shift more attention to NCAA basketball through the Final Four in Houston. And I will provide these Opening Line stories near daily -- Fridays are hit-and-miss with generally a weak schedule that night -- to give you a betting head start for the next day's games and any potential relevant injury news. This Saturday marks the first where all the major conferences are underway. And the No. 1 ranking in the polls is on the line for the likes of No. 2 Kansas and No. 3 Oklahoma, both of whom host ranked Big 12 foes on Saturday. Not a fan of either school, but I'm rooting for both to win because then we should see a No. 1 vs. No. 2 matchup between the Sooners and Jayhawks in Lawrence on Monday night.

No. 9 Butler at No. 6 Xavier (-6)

This Big East showdown tips at 1 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1. Xavier (12-1) is going to plummet in the polls after betting destroyed 95-64 at No. 16 Villanova on Thursday. And the news got worse from that game when Musketeers star freshman Edmond Sumner had to be carted off on a stretcher after a nasty fall just a few minutes in. It appears he will be OK as he was released from the hospital later Thursday and was able to travel home with the team. Presumably Sumner will miss some time, however. He's averaging 11.0 points, 3.2 rebounds and 3.1 assists. Xavier's biggest deficit this season prior to Villanova was 18 points, which came Dec. 22 at Wake Forest. Sumner was a big part in XU rallying to win that one. The 95 points allowed to Villanova were the most given up by Xavier this season, which also committed a season-high 19 turnovers. The players probably were a little shaken up after that injury.

Butler (11-2) also comes off a Thursday loss in the conference opener, 81-73 at home to No. 12 Providence. The Bulldogs led by 11 at halftime but allowed the Friars to score 56 second-half points. Butler was just 3-for-17 from long range. Senior guard Kellen Dunham, the team's leading scorer, had just eight points and was 3-for-14 shooting. He's in a major funk right now. In the first eight games, Dunham made 24-of-55 shots from 3-point range (43.6 percent). In the past five, he's a ghastly 2-for-32 (6.3 percent), missing the past 21. He has been held in single digits four straight games after averaging 20 in the first eight. Butler won two of three meetings last year in this series but lost by 12 at Xavier.

Key trends: Butler is 6-1 against the spread in its past seven road games. Xavier is 8-1 ATS in its past nine overall.

I'm leaning: Butler.

No. 1 Michigan State at Minnesota (+10)

The Big Ten matchup is at 3 p.m. ET on ESPN2. Sparty will drop in the new polls after losing its first game of the season Tuesday night in Iowa, but you really could see that one coming. After all, in MSU's first game without injured star Denzel Valentine, an early national player of the year candidate, it nearly lost to Oakland University. MSU (13-1) had to rally from 15 points down at one point before prevailing in overtime. Iowa's better than Oakland and the Hawkeyes won pretty easily, 83-70. The Hawkeyes never even trailed in ending a nine-game losing streak in the series. Valentine is out another week or so. He's averaging 18.5 points, 8.3 rebounds, 7.1 assists per game. The MSU basketball team was in attendance at the Cotton Bowl on Thursday night watching the football team get demolished. This is MSU's first trip to Minnesota since 2012.

Minnesota (6-7) has lost five of its past six games, including puzzlers to South Dakota, South Dakota State and Milwaukee. The Gophers opened Big Ten play Wednesday with a 78-63 defeat at Ohio State. The Buckeyes used a 21-5 run to blow open a close game. Minnesota has a good-looking freshman in Jordan Murphy, who is averaging 10.8 points and 8.5 rebounds. He had a string of three straight double-doubles end in the loss to OSU. He was the first Minnesota player with three straight double-doubles since current NBA player Kris Humphries in December 2003. The Gophers pulled off a 96-90 overtime upset in East Lansing last year. Sparty had won six of the previous seven meetings. All-time, the Gophers are 4-18 against the top-ranked team in the country. All four wins came at home.

Key trends: MSU is 11-5 ATS in its past 16 road games. Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its past six at home. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.

I'm leaning: Go Gophers, who might win this outright.

Gonzaga at San Francisco (+13)

This West Coast Conference game is at 11 p.m. ET on ESPN2. Gonzaga (11-3) was the heavy favorite to win the West Coast Conference title again this season and maybe the Zags will, but they got bad news this week when excellent center Przemek Karnowski was ruled out for the season. He has been out since late November with a bulging disc in his back. The original diagnosis was 4-6 weeks, but he has since had surgery. Karnowski averaged 8.8 points and 5.4 rebounds for the Zags, but the numbers don't tell the whole story and he's one of the best post defenders and rebounders in the country. It's not clear if he will seek a medical redshirt to play next season or turn pro. With a healthy Karnowski, Gonzaga might have had the best frontcourt in the nation along with All-American Kyle Wiltjer and Domantas Sabonis, who are both having huge seasons. The Zags have won five straight since a home loss to UCLA. They escaped at Santa Clara 79-77 on Thursday. Josh Perkins had a career-high 26 points. He secured the win by grabbing the rebound of his intentionally missed free throw with 2.5 seconds left.

San Francisco (8-5) beat Portland 107-95 on Thursday. USF was down 15 points midway through the second half but outscored Portland 41-14 the rest of the way. It was San Francisco's first 100-point game since 2011 and its highest-scoring overall since the 2009-10 season. Senior guard Tim Derksen led the way with a career-high 27 points on 10-for-12 shooting. The Dons shot 58.3 percent from the field and made 11-of-23 of their 3-point attempts. You may not know they are coached by former Kentucky star Rex Walters. The Dons were 0-3 vs. Gonzaga last year. The closest loss was by nine in the WCC Tournament.

Key trends: Zags are 2-8-1 ATS in their past 11 road games. USF is 11-4 ATS in past 15 meetings.

I'm leaning: USF to cover.
 
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Woodbine Harness: Saturday 1/2 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 2,3,5/3,4,6/5,6,10/6/2,4,6,7 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 6/2,4,6,7/5,7,9/3,4,5 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 4,5,8/1,3/2,6/2,5 = $24

MEET STATS: 173 - 519 / $944.50 BEST BETS: 26 - 47 / $91.80

SPOT PLAYS: 15 - 47 / $167.60

Best Bet: DILLY DALI (4th)

Spot Play: JORDIES HOPE (8th)


Race 1

(2) MACHET ROCKET qualified decently free-legged on a 'good' track now races without hopples for the first time. She looks as good as any in this weak conditioned field. (3) J HIGH raced out of her skin to take a new life’s mark two back then faltered against a tough class-dropper. She has a shot here. (5) MARY CELESTE raced well two back then was hung the mile vs. better. The main concern with her is the driver who hasn’t won a race since 2012.

Race 2

(3) RISE UP NOW went a huge trip on the lead to win his most recent then took a couple of weeks off. The break should help in this case; top call. (4) BILBO HANOVER went a big trip last week but was nailed late on a night where speed didn’t hold up very well. He will be tough here. (6) THUNDER STEELER has faced the best company lately and isn’t out of this.

Race 3

(5) MY MY HEY HEY is obviously the best horse in this race but has now missed a month since winning the Autumn Final; slight nod considering the break. (6) LUAU HANOVER closed decently first time over the track and moves to the middle of the gate which should mean a more aggressive steer. (10) ALL B OVER went a long trip to win in this class last time and has upset possibilities here.

Race 4

(6) DILLY DALI performed decently in the Niagara series and looks best of this group. (2) LITTLE MISS SPORTY raced okay over a snow covered track in London on Monday and fits here. (4) CHEEKIE also drops out of the Niagara series and should be passing many of these late.

Race 5

(2) BIG CITY JEWEL has closed strongly twice in a row and gets post relief and a positive pace scenario here; top call. (6) CROCADILE CANYON goes first off the claim for new trainer/driver Zeron who could get instant results at a price. (4) SIR MACHALOT beat a strong non-winners of four lifetime field and is another to consider at a price in a wide-open race.

Race 6

(7) DOMEDOMEDOME closed strongly over an off track and has cycled back to her best form. She should be tough in here. (5) GAME ON HANOVER didn’t handle the off track but should bounce back with a good showing here if the track is dry. (9) COLD CERTIFIED drops and could go a long way on the lead here.

Race 7

(4) NAT A VIRGIN parlayed a good trip into an easy win last week but the way she flew home makes her a top contender here. She should get plenty of pace to chase as should (3) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE, another sharp closer that must be considered. (5) MARQUISE DE SARAH is in good form and is capable of withstanding some tough trips.

Race 8

(4) JORDIES HOPE produced one of the better efforts of her life last week off a layoff but couldn’t hold off the pocket-sitter late. A similar effort can get the job done here. (5) SHEZ A GOLD MINE has converted two sweet trips in a row into wins and will be looking for a forward placing early here. (8) POP GOES THEWEASEL arrives with a lengthy winning streak on her card and certainly merits consideration for late Pick 4 tickets.

Race 9

(1) JULERICA went a monster first-over trip to win last week and should be a decent price here on the class rise. (3) C L ART MAGIC has been facing much better, is the one to beat and will likely be odds-on here. (6) ANDREIOS KARDIA will be passing most of these late for a share.

Race 10

(2) DIGGIN IN cut all the fractions last and finished fast but was caught by one who outsprinted him on a night where the front wasn’t holding up that great. He can make amends here. (6) TEAM CAPTAIN closed sharply for 5th in the same dash and has a much better post to work with here. He is the main threat. (10) SPORTS WARNING tried the Valedictory series with no luck. He could grab a share at a price here.

Race 11

(2) VICTOR BAYAMA drops and likely pops here starting from a good post for top connections. (5) HUNCH MAN also drops out of the same race as the choice and is worth including on late pick 4 tickets vs. this much weaker group. (4) VITAL SIGN has been in tremendous form for almost two months but will likely find the top two choices too tough here.

Race 12

(7) TOTAL LEE has endured two tough first-up trips in a row now takes a significant drop and picks up the leading driver; big shot. (3) LIGHTS GO OUT should get plenty of pace to chase here; using. (1) MAPPOS MEONHAY has been racing well but is more likely to nab a smaller share here.

Race 13

(4) BAD GAMER was a solid winner a class lower last time and this field isn’t much tougher; call to repeat. (7) BIEBER HANOVER was involved in some solid splits while losing to a rival that came back 5 days later to win a stakes series final; consider. (3) BIG BANG BOOM looks great on paper but has missed 43 days. I’ll play to beat him at a short price. (2) SABINE PASS is a good one for the bottom of exotic wagers as is (8) METTA WORLD PEACE.
 
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Meadowlands: Saturday 1/2 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF HARNESS

Race 3 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 5 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 9 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 57 - 172 / $305.90 BEST BETS: 7 - 13 / $21.50

Best Bet: ROCKIN WIZARD (11th)

Spot Play: MUST BE THE BUNNY (15th)


Race 1

(1) FRATERNITY was racing very well when last seen a few weeks ago. He is perfect drawn to track the leader and pounce. (2) WICKED BUSINESS gets a chance to stretch out on the big track and deserves some consideration at a price versus a somewhat sketchy group. (9) AMPED UP has big early speed and finds himself in a new barn that can get a lot out of them. (8) CITY PIE drops back down but needs some pace help.

Race 2

(7) MISSILE J has looked good in the morning and finished up his last start even better than the line looks. I’m not sure how aggressive he’ll be in his debut, but the price should be worth the risk. (5) THESPYWHOLOVEDME was used hard upon arrival and hung in there rather well; big threat. (1) BRED TO RACE gets big changes in the driver and trainer columns. I would caution that he’ll be overbet and hasn’t raced in more than four weeks. (11) MAJOR IN LIFE shows a string of performances that make him a contender in here.

Race 3

(7) GIACODELIGHT drops down off a solid effort and should bring a top performance. (10) MIGHTY PERUVIAN N also gets class relief but is stuck with post 10 and loses Callahan to the top pick. (2) UF FAST FEELIN raced evenly off the claim; better post now. (3) WEGOTTATRUCKYEA was flying home last time. I’m just not sure he is fast enough to win tonight.

Race 4

(2) KONA KID looks third best on paper which is why I’m in his corner. This looks like a good opportunity to play first-time Burke/Gingras at a decent price. (5) JACKSRLUCKYTOO & (6) MR CENSI finished one-two against each other last time and jump off the page as the ones to beat.

Race 5

(10) DAVID’S DREAM looks tough to recommend coming off a trio of last place finishes out of town. Against a field where I’m not enamored with anyone, I’ll take a shot that he moves up on the big track. He did set his career mark here in 2015. (9) LETS ROCK TOGETHER has won three straight and merits serious consideration despite the rise in claiming price. (1) ALL WEEK won at first asking for the new trainer. (5) MONTREAL PHIL is a veteran in fine form.

Race 6

(6) HOPE FOR BADLANDS drops a bit, as do a couple of others in here. He was used hard last time and may benefit from off the pace tactics this week. (2) ALLSTAR LEGEND came up a bit short after missing nearly three weeks. He has the class and speed to come up big. (11) BLATANTLY BEST is in better form than his tenth place finish would have you believe. (3) CASTLE FLIGHT is off a strong race.

Race 7

(3) SUNFIRE BLUE CHIP is back down in class after a decent third in the Open ranks and should be able to handle this bunch. (6) BETTOR THAN YOU has speed and enough form to get a big piece and maybe even pull off an upset. (4) DUEL IN THE SUN is another racing well now. Mark Ford trainee made over $135k last year; tops in the field by far.

Race 8

(9) RESTLESS NATIVE & (8) INTHEBLINKOFANEYE are the outside speed in a bulky field going an added eighth of a mile, so many may discount their chances somewhat. Let’s remember that the extra distance gives these horses on the outside more ground before the first turn. I’m expecting them to go a long way and one should win. (14) GONE NUCLEAR has plenty of form and the ability to kick home late. Avoiding traffic from the second tier is the main issue. (5) GODDYALLYOUGOT has proven more of a small track horse, but this barn did bring home a winner with its one starter.

Race 9

(1A) ONTARIO SUCCESS has proven to be a reliable horse that tends to bring his best game more often than not. As part of a strong Burke trained entry, they seem like a worthwhile pick. (9) DOCTOR BUTCH is the class of this race. If Campbell can work out a smooth trip from post 10, he is the one to beat. (8) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE couldn’t be any sharper; post hurts. (7) BUSHWACKER is in career form but now moves from Dover to Meadowlands.

Race 10

(4) ROAD UNTRAVELED comes off a sharp score at Philly and should be a fair price in this spot. (5) KINGS BARNS is another one in fine form. He just missed at this level last time. (6) OUR DRAGON KING hasn’t performed very well in this condition, but this really isn’t a bad spot for him.

Race 11

(2) ROCKIN WIZARD has been done in by outside posts and some tougher competition lately. This looks like the perfect spot. (1) COOPERSTOWN finished ahead of the top choice last time from a better post and could prove to be the speed of the race. (8) REAL NICE finished fast a week ago and does have a load of back class.

Race 12

This is a rather weak NW $11,000 field. (1) BUGGER BRUISER has the early speed to secure close position and the class to get the job done in the stretch. (2) HERE COMES SWIFTY only has one race since November 1. If ready he can win. (5) GARNET RIVER A has been trying to close at Yonkers; losing tactics. He did win here last year.

Race 13

(11) A REAL MIRACLE was speed-tightened last time in his second start off the layoff. The drop in class should make him tough this week. (9) SOMESIZESOMESTYLE returns from a three-month break off two good qualifiers for a barn that has done well this meet. (7) A STITCH IN TIME was second when last seen at this level. (3) HE ROCKS THE MOON is worth a look on the barn change.

Race 14

(1) TWIN B SPY seems to be coming into form and faces a field lacking that quality. (4) CELEBRITY SCANDAL wasn’t bad last time considering he had missed a few weeks due to sickness; maybe. (9) SOME MAJOR BEACH has the early zip to overcome the outside post.

Race 15

(2) MUST BE THE BUNNY isn’t the best horse on the planet, but he finds himself in a great spot this week. Eleven-year-old should be able to find a way to win. (4) ASOKA N freaked with a huge mile after adding Lasix; again? (11) UP UP AND OUT comes off a decent try; factor. (5) LAUXMONT CAPRI only lost by a few lengths last time; driver change.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (5th) Cuadrante, 7-2
(6th) Hangry, 4-1

Delta Downs (1st) Delisa, 5-1
(4th) Holy Beau, 4-1

Fair Grounds (6th) Bayerd, 9-2
(9th) Grande Basin, 9-2


Golden Gate Fields (3rd) Shackleford Banks, 4-1
(5th) Mr. Ornery, 5-1


Gulfstream Park (7th) Mountain Music Man, 7-2
(8th) Megeve, 4-1


Hawthorne (4th) Angel Talk, 8-1
(5th) Atomic, 6-1


Laurel Park (2nd) Gator Gold, 6-1
(5th) D' Humerus, 5-1


Mahoning Valley (3rd) Echluath, 8-1
(4th) Pap Pap London, 8-1


Santa Anita (5th) Evo Campo, 7-2
(7th) Black Tie, 9-2


Sunland Park (5th) Mini Tower, 3-1
(7th) First Place, 7-2


Tampa Bay Downs (2nd) Bluegrass Demon, 7-2
(6th) R.D. Special, 6-1


Turf Paradise (2nd) Warren's Tyler S., 3-1
(5th) Capeaway, 3-1


Turfway Park (5th) Vandelita, 8-1
(7th) Three Loves and Me, 7-2
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Saturday

591 PORTLAND @ 592 SANTA CLARA 4:00 PM

Take: PORTLAND pk

2016’s Bonus Plays started with a bang as the Buckeyes rolled Notre Dame at the Fiesta Bowl. Unfortunately, 2015 ended with a familiar refrain as the Thursday comp on these Portland Pilots produced a head shaking loss.

Portland dominated San Francisco for the first 30 or so minutes two nights ago. The Pilots were able to force the tempo and they appeared to have things well in hand with a fat 81-66 lead.

And then the roof caved in with all the pieces falling on the Pilots. San Francisco obliterated that lead in the space of about four minutes and ended winning by double digits. The Dons ended the game on a ridiculous 41-14 rampage en route to the 107-95 final.

I think we’ll find out something about the fabric of this Portland team today. One would hope that they’re going to take the floor with a chip on their collective shoulders after choking away the conference opener.

Santa Clara is also off a very tough loss, but this one falls into a different category. The Broncos just missed the huge upset as they gave heavily favored Gonzaga a major scare on Thursday night. Santa Clara got its doors blown in early, but refused to quit and ended up taking Gonzaga right to the wire before falling by a deuce.

I think the mindset here should favor Portland. The Pilots blew a game they had virtually locked up. The Broncos have to gather themselves coming off what would have been one of their biggest wins in ages.

Of course, that’s all conjecture. What isn’t are the numbers in play here. It’s a game where Portland has statistical advantages in several categories I rate as important when breaking down any matchup. I won’t go into extensive detail on exactly what these are, but the bottom line is that the Pilots get a check mark in five of the six I always have on my pre-game checklist.

The spread on the game as I’m writing this is pick ’em. I suspect Portland ends up going off as a short favorite here, although that’s hardly something I’d chisel in granite. In any event, I think it’s a better spot for the Pilots and with the math edges in play, I’ll be looking to Portland this afternoon.
 
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Bonus Play for Saturday, Jan. 2, 2016 8:05 PM EST

(511) MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS (512) MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES.

Take: (512) MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Saturday, January 2, 2016 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Timberwolves in Minnesota. A tough spot for the visitors, playing their fourth straight road contests, as well as their 8th road game in the last 10 games. The Bucks are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Milwaukee is soft on defense, 22nd in the NBA in points allowed, 20th in field goal shooting defense and 26th at defending the three. The Bucks are also 2-7 ATS following a straight up win. Minnesota is home and in their last home contest they beat up Utah, 94-80. The Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on one days rest. Play Minnesota.
 
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Jack Jones

TCU vs Oregon

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: TCU PK

There will be plenty of offensive fireworks between the TCU Horned Frogs and the Oregon Ducks in the Alamo Bowl on Saturday. TCU is putting up 41.7 points and 564 yards per game, while Oregon is scoring 43.2 points and averaging 548.3 yards per game.

The difference in this game is which team is going to get more stops. There's no question that team is going to be TCU, and as a result, I'll side with the Horned Frogs to win the Alamo Bowl in a game that the oddsmakers are just asking you to pick the winner as the line as been set at a pick 'em.

TCU's defense has gotten better as the season has gone on, which has come thanks to the return to health of several key players. The Horned Frogs are holding opponents to 4.7 points and 24 yards per game below their season average. They are giving up 26.1 points and 397 yards per game against teams that average 30.8 points and 421 yards per game.

Oregon's defense has been awful all season. The Ducks are giving up 5.0 points and 44 yards per game more than their opponents average this season. They are allowing 36.7 points and 480 yards per game against teams that only average 31.7 points and 436 yards per game. While TCU gives up only 5.2 yards per play this season, Oregon gives up 6.1 per play on defense.

I believe the Horned Frogs have a huge coaching edge here, too. TCU's Gary Patterson is 8-4 in bowl games and led the Horned Frogs to a 42-3 win over Ole Miss last year. This will be just the third season that Mark Helfrich has coached in a bowl game.

TCU has lost just two games this season. One was a 1-point loss to road Oklahoma in which it missed a 2-point conversion that would have won the game. It was also playing without both Trevone Boykin and Josh Doctson in that game. Doctson also go hurt early in their road loss to Oklahoma State, but the Horned Frogs actually outgained the Cowboys by 207 yards in that game. They gave the game away by committing four turnovers, though.

Patterson is 24-11 ATS off a bye week as the coach of TCU. The Horned Frogs are 7-0 ATS off a bye week over the last three seasons. TCU is 6-0 ATS off a close win by 7 points or less over a conference opponent over the last two years. Bet TCU Saturday.
 
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Teddy Covers

TCU vs Oregon

Bonus Play Oregon (#278)

Oregon just lost offensive coordinator Scott Frost, who took the Central Florida coaching job. But the transition to new coordinator Matt Lubick should be relatively smooth. Frost was expected to get a head coaching gig; Lubick was the heir apparent, and he, too, has already attracted attention as a rising young assistant. Some pre-bowl assistant coaching changes are very meaningful, but this isn’t one of those situations.

The Ducks averaged 42 points per game when QB Vernon Adams was healthy; a completely different looking offense than when Adams was hurt and head coach Mike Helfrich was forced to rely on ineffective backup Jeff Lockie. Oregon’s offense came on like a freight train down the stretch, hanging 52, 48, 38 (on Stanford’s elite D), 44 and 61 points in their last five games. And the Ducks senior laden offensive line is poised to blow holes open for their backs against TCU’s injury depleted defensive line.

The bigger question for the Ducks comes on the defensive side of the football. They finished the regular season with the fifth worst scoring defense and total defense among the Power-5 conference teams. They allowed six yards per play against FBS foes, unable to consistently stop the run or the pass. Lowly Oregon State hung 42 on them in their regular season finale.

But Ducks defensive coordinator Don Pellum put together an impressive gameplan against Florida State with a month to prepare for their BCS Bowl last year. This is a game where Oregon should be able to run the football, and Mark Helfrich has gone 25-2 SU as Oregon’s head coach when his team runs for 200 or more yards. Meanwhile, TCU closed out the season with the #80 ranked rushing defense; #66 in yards per carry allowed.

TCU took money off the ‘pick ‘em’ opener after star senior dual threat QB Trevone Boykin returned to practice after missing time with an ankle injury. Boykin was a top Heisman contender for much of the season, finishing the campaign ranked second in the nation with more than 380 yards per game of total offense.

Horned Frogs head coach Gary Patterson: “He gets a chance to showcase one last game. I always tell them bowl games are résumé games for seniors. It’s a chance for people to watch them against, usually, a good competition player they are going to play against.”

But Boykin isn’t going to have his top weapon available here, with star WR Josh Doctson downgraded to ‘out’. Doctson is absolutely worth something to the pointspread, a playmaker with 14 TD’s and a 17.0 yard per catch average on his 78 receptions this year.

No other receiver on the team caught more than 40 balls or had more than 600 receiving yards on the campaign. In the three games that Doctson couldn’t play at the end of the regular season, an offense that had averaged more than 45 points per game was held to 23, 29 and 21 points ( 21 in regulation, they scored a TD in overtime to beat Baylor).

The late season injuries to Doctson and Boykin doomed TCU’s chances for an undefeated season and a trip to the College Football Playoffs. But those two injuries were just the tip of the iceberg for the Horned Frogs this year. They lost seven starters to season ending injuries and had more than 20 key contributors missed time due to injury.

As a result, despite coach Patterson’s desired reliance on seniors, TCU had to use 30 freshmen on the field this year, second most of any BCS program in the country! Given their defense weakness against the run and the loss of their top passcatcher, there’s only one way I can look here. Take Oregon.
 
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Scott Spreitzer

Penn State vs Georgia

Bonus Play Penn State

I'm recommending a play on Penn State plus the points. This is a tough one for Georgia. Not only is former HC Mark Richt out, but many of the assistants won't be back after this game, either. In fact, DC Jeremy Pruitt is already gone, taking the DC job at Alabama. And the UGA injury list reads like a Leo Tolstoy novel. Penn State, meanwhile, fired their OC and the offensive play-calling for the bowl game will be done by HC James Franklin and QB coach Ricky Rahne before newly hired OC Joe Moorhead takes over following the bowl game. Yes, there have been many changes for these two staffs, especially for Georgia and we have seen limited interest in this game from the Bulldog faithful. I won't be shocked if we see a somewhat flat effort from the Bulldog players with all of the turmoil. While Christian Hackenberg has underwhelmed at times, with a month off to prep up front, and WR Chris Goodwin leading a decent receiving corps, I expect PSU to be able to move the ball, especially with RB Saquon Barkley keeping the UGA defense honest. I am not a fan of Georgia QB Greyson Lambert and I do expect the signal caller to struggle against a PSU defense led by sack-master Carl Nassib (15.5 sacks this season). Nassib (probable) is the best pass rushing DE in the nation and Lambert is not exactly fleet-footed. The coaching and injury situation is much more conducive to a solid performance for the team from Happy Valley than it is for the team from Athens, Georgia. We'll recommend a play on Penn State plus the points in Saturday's bowl action in Jacksonville. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
 
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Doc's Sports

West Virginia vs Arizona State

Bonus Play from Doc’s Sports. #280 Take Arizona State Sun Devils over West Virginia Mountaineers (Cactus Bowl, Saturday 1/2 pm 10:15 pm ESPN)

The Cactus Bowl returns to Chase Field but it is still a local game for Arizona State and thus we will side with the Sun Devils. Arizona State won two of their last three games and took Cal down to the wire in Berkley. The Mountaineers had a very easy schedule down the stretch and lost to Kansas State and struggled at times against inferior competition. From top to bottom I believe that the PAC-12 was the best in the country and expect Arizona State to take care of business in Phoenix tonight as the second to last bowl game is completed. West Virginia is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.
 

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