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Saturday 09/19/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
- Thread starter Can'tPickaWinner2
- Start date
Speculating Sports
Cincinnati at Oregon State 6:45pm EST
Selection: CINCINNATI -1
Profile: Cincinnati's offense proved just how explosive they can be in their dominant road win at Rutgers. The Bearcats return almost every starter back on offense this season. That offense improved throughout last season, and quarterback Tony Pike is in full control of the passing game. The Bearcats also have NFL caliber players throughout that group as well. It looked as though Cincinnati's weakness this year would be the defense, but head coach Brian Kelly is one of the most under-rated coaches in college football. He puts his defense in great situations to succeed, and he has recruited great talent on that side of the ball. Oregon State's offense isn't very good, as they struggled to move the ball in both games this season, despite playing weaker competition. The Beavers must be able to the run the ball in order to score points. However, Cincinnati has traditionally had a very good rush defense. Oregon State begins conference play next week at home against Arizona, so I don't look for them to be motivated at all to play this game. Look for an upstart Cincinnati team to come in and throttle Oregon State.
3 UNIT SELECTION
Cincinnati at Oregon State 6:45pm EST
Selection: CINCINNATI -1
Profile: Cincinnati's offense proved just how explosive they can be in their dominant road win at Rutgers. The Bearcats return almost every starter back on offense this season. That offense improved throughout last season, and quarterback Tony Pike is in full control of the passing game. The Bearcats also have NFL caliber players throughout that group as well. It looked as though Cincinnati's weakness this year would be the defense, but head coach Brian Kelly is one of the most under-rated coaches in college football. He puts his defense in great situations to succeed, and he has recruited great talent on that side of the ball. Oregon State's offense isn't very good, as they struggled to move the ball in both games this season, despite playing weaker competition. The Beavers must be able to the run the ball in order to score points. However, Cincinnati has traditionally had a very good rush defense. Oregon State begins conference play next week at home against Arizona, so I don't look for them to be motivated at all to play this game. Look for an upstart Cincinnati team to come in and throttle Oregon State.
3 UNIT SELECTION
Al DeMarco
Saturday's Play
10 Dime - Arkansas
Third straight tough game for Georgia as the Bulldogs opened with a loss at Oklahoma State and then hung on for a 41-37 triumph at home last Saturday against South Carolina. Conversely, Arkansas has been laying in wait since whacking Arkansas State 48-10 two Saturday's ago, a game which featured 591 total yards of offense, 309 from new quarterback - and Michigan transfer - Ryan Mallet, who completed 17-of-22 passes. More importantly, last year's 1000-yard rusher, Michael Smith, wasn't needed as he carried the ball just four times for 43 yards in the rout.
The 'Dawgs were unable to come up with key stops in the second half of their loss at Oklahoma State, and they struggled once more on D against Steve Spurrier's Gamecocks, yielding 427 yards. The pass rush was virtually non-existent as they sacked South Carolina quarterback Stephen Garcia (313 yards) only twice despite his 53 pass attempts. And the unit was on the field almost all night as SC ran 30 more plays than Georgia.
On offense, minus the since departed Knowshon Moreno, the Bulldogs have struggled running the ball, totaling 202 yards (3.4 ypc) in two games, putting more pressure on quarterback Joe Cox, who has passed for only 363 yards in two games with 3 TDs vs. 2 INTs.
This is a huge stepping stone game for Bobby Petrino's crew, who took the first step back to respectability with last year's late-season upset of LSU. The public has jumped on them mildly, elevating the price slightly, but they remain a solid investment opportunity against a Georgia squad with some holes defensively
Saturday's Play
10 Dime - Arkansas
Third straight tough game for Georgia as the Bulldogs opened with a loss at Oklahoma State and then hung on for a 41-37 triumph at home last Saturday against South Carolina. Conversely, Arkansas has been laying in wait since whacking Arkansas State 48-10 two Saturday's ago, a game which featured 591 total yards of offense, 309 from new quarterback - and Michigan transfer - Ryan Mallet, who completed 17-of-22 passes. More importantly, last year's 1000-yard rusher, Michael Smith, wasn't needed as he carried the ball just four times for 43 yards in the rout.
The 'Dawgs were unable to come up with key stops in the second half of their loss at Oklahoma State, and they struggled once more on D against Steve Spurrier's Gamecocks, yielding 427 yards. The pass rush was virtually non-existent as they sacked South Carolina quarterback Stephen Garcia (313 yards) only twice despite his 53 pass attempts. And the unit was on the field almost all night as SC ran 30 more plays than Georgia.
On offense, minus the since departed Knowshon Moreno, the Bulldogs have struggled running the ball, totaling 202 yards (3.4 ypc) in two games, putting more pressure on quarterback Joe Cox, who has passed for only 363 yards in two games with 3 TDs vs. 2 INTs.
This is a huge stepping stone game for Bobby Petrino's crew, who took the first step back to respectability with last year's late-season upset of LSU. The public has jumped on them mildly, elevating the price slightly, but they remain a solid investment opportunity against a Georgia squad with some holes defensively
Marc Lawrence
Michigan State vs. Notre Dame
Play: Michigan State +10
The Spartans, our No. 1 College Underdog play this week, is 6-0 SU and ATS in their last six visits to South Bend. In addition, MSU is 5-0 ATS on the road as a favorite or dog of 14 or less points under head coach Mark Dantonio versus a .500 or greater opponent. With the Irish 0-4 SU and ATS in Game Three of season under Charlie Weis, and 0-6 ATS as double-digit home favorites with a win percentage of less than .900 against an opponent off loss, we'll grab the points with the Spartans. Play On: Michigan State
False Favorite
Indiana
Power Play Wins
Today's Power Plays of The Day are
Our money management plan is very simple:
We play each Power Play at equal unit value.
Sport: NCAAF
VIRGINIA TECH(-5) Over
NEBRASKA
Game time: 12:30:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
CINCINNATI(-1) Over
OREGON ST
Game time: 3:30:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
BYU(-8) Over
FLORIDA ST
Game time: 4:00:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
BOWLING GREEN(-3) Over
MARSHALL
Game time: 4:00:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
AUBURN(-7.5) Over
WEST VIRGINIA
Game time: 4:30:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
TEXAS(-18) Over
TEXAS TECH
Game time: 5:00:00 PM (PST)
Today's Power Plays of The Day are
Our money management plan is very simple:
We play each Power Play at equal unit value.
Sport: NCAAF
VIRGINIA TECH(-5) Over
NEBRASKA
Game time: 12:30:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
CINCINNATI(-1) Over
OREGON ST
Game time: 3:30:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
BYU(-8) Over
FLORIDA ST
Game time: 4:00:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
BOWLING GREEN(-3) Over
MARSHALL
Game time: 4:00:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
AUBURN(-7.5) Over
WEST VIRGINIA
Game time: 4:30:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
TEXAS(-18) Over
TEXAS TECH
Game time: 5:00:00 PM (PST)
4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 Florida Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds (Saturday @ 7:10pm est). Ricky Nolasco comes off a tough start against the Cardinals and I expect him to bounce-back today. Ricky gave up seven runs to the Cardinals on the road and the Marlins fell short 6-11 on the road. Nolasco had pitched three straight quality starts prior to his last start. Given the Marlins chase for the playoffs as they are inching closer to the wild card, I expect Nolasco to bounce-back well today. Speaking of pitchers who have bounced-back well, Bronson is having one hecukva second half of the season. He has put together more than 10 straight quality starts and has brought his era down to 4.07. Bronson looks like the pitcher of old and although many of us thought it was a fluke or a phase, Arroyo has continued to pitch well and stay focused. The Marlins come off winning 4-3 yesterday so I expect Bronson to have a decent start as he has done for the past two months and I expect Nolasco to bounce-back in the same token. The Under is 4-1 when the Marlins are Underdogs of late and the Under is 6-0-2 for Arroyo as favorites by this margin.
Good luck,
IC
Good luck,
IC
3 Unit Pick Take Over (9) Cleveland at Oakland (Sept. 19, 4:10)
This is the third game of this third game series with the first two staying under. The A’s send Gio Gonzalez to the hill, Gonzalez has struggled with a 1-4 record and a 7.55 era in his last six starts and while Jeremy Sowers who is pitching for a spot in the rotation in 2009 has been pitching good he faces a A’s lineup that is hot averaging 5.8 runs a game and batting .308 over their last 12 games. With this game in the daytime and the wind blowing with a over umpire with Mike Everitt who averages over ten runs game I think we will get there today.
2 Unit Pick #954 Take the New York Mets (-1.05) over Washington (Sept. 19, 1:05)
Washington starter John Lannan has pitched two complete games vs. the Mets at this season but has struggled in New York with a with 0-2 record and a 6.75 era in four road starts. Lannan has struggled over the last five starts winning for the first time in his last outing but still has given up 19 runs over his last 25 innings. The Mets send former National Tim Redding to try and snap the Mets six game losing streak. He had one start vs. his former this year going 6 innings giving up one run on 6 hits. I like the Mets small here today
Thanks and good luck- Dave Busk
This is the third game of this third game series with the first two staying under. The A’s send Gio Gonzalez to the hill, Gonzalez has struggled with a 1-4 record and a 7.55 era in his last six starts and while Jeremy Sowers who is pitching for a spot in the rotation in 2009 has been pitching good he faces a A’s lineup that is hot averaging 5.8 runs a game and batting .308 over their last 12 games. With this game in the daytime and the wind blowing with a over umpire with Mike Everitt who averages over ten runs game I think we will get there today.
2 Unit Pick #954 Take the New York Mets (-1.05) over Washington (Sept. 19, 1:05)
Washington starter John Lannan has pitched two complete games vs. the Mets at this season but has struggled in New York with a with 0-2 record and a 6.75 era in four road starts. Lannan has struggled over the last five starts winning for the first time in his last outing but still has given up 19 runs over his last 25 innings. The Mets send former National Tim Redding to try and snap the Mets six game losing streak. He had one start vs. his former this year going 6 innings giving up one run on 6 hits. I like the Mets small here today
Thanks and good luck- Dave Busk
2 Unit Play. #955 Take Under 7 ½ (+100) Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (Saturday 9/19 4:10 PM FOX)
If you are looking for offense then maybe switch over to a football game because Carpenter should limit the Cubs bats today. The last 4 starts for Carpenter against the Cubs all 4 games have gone under the total.
3 Unit Play. #977 Take Under 9 (-115) LA Angels at Texas (Saturday 9/19 8:05 PM)
Last nights game ended 2-0 so again we should see a low scoring game between these two teams. The last 5 meetings between these two teams 4 of them have gone under the total.
VSI
If you are looking for offense then maybe switch over to a football game because Carpenter should limit the Cubs bats today. The last 4 starts for Carpenter against the Cubs all 4 games have gone under the total.
3 Unit Play. #977 Take Under 9 (-115) LA Angels at Texas (Saturday 9/19 8:05 PM)
Last nights game ended 2-0 so again we should see a low scoring game between these two teams. The last 5 meetings between these two teams 4 of them have gone under the total.
VSI
