Saturday 07/25/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bobby Maxwell

Hit my third straight FREE winner on Friday night when the Astros took care of the Mets in Houston. Today I'm loving the Tigers at home to blow out the White Sox.


Absolutely I'm going with the Tigers in this one and have no problem with the price as Detroit is going to easily take care of the White Sox, shutting them down much like they did in Friday night's 5-1 victory.


The Tigers are 15-4 in their last 19 at home and have young Edwin Jackson (7-5, 2.52 ERA) on the mound today. He's 4-1 in front of the home crowd and hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in any of his last 10 starts. He gave up two runs to the Yankees on Sunday and lost 2-1. His last home start was against the Indians on July 10 when he allowed one run on four hits in seven innings of a 5-1 victory.


Jackson faced these White Sox on June 11 and allowed just two runs on five hits in five innings.


Gavin Floyd (8-6, 4.40) is on the mound for Chicago and he's just 4-4 on the road with a 6.03 ERA. Last time he took to the highway was July 11 when he allowed five runs on eight hits in 7.2 innings of an 8-7 win as his offense bailed him out. In his last two roadies, he's allowed 10 runs in 13 innings. Last time he started in Detroit was April 13 and he gave up six runs in five innings.


Detroit is 21-8 in its last 29 as a home favorite and 5-0 when Jackson starts as the favorite at home. I love this guy's stuff, go ahead and play Detroit in this one.

4♦ DETROIT

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Carlo Campanella

Cleveland Indians vs. Seattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners -171

Seattle is listed as a -170 Favorite at most books (or around that price), but offers betting value as they should be listed above the -200 price as they host a Cleveland squad starting Sowers on the mound. Sowers is a horrible 2-17 during his last 19 road starts as a Dog of +100 or higher since last season! Seattle might have lost 0-9 last night to these Indians, however, these M's are one of the hottest teams in MLB, winning 7 of their last 10 games! Lay the lumber with this Seattle team starting Eric Bedard, who's won 3 straight starts against Cleveland and his teams are now 6-2 during his 8 trips to the mound against the Tribe. Only reason Seattle doesn't rate as a 10* Play is we don't like to lay big prices often.

7* Play On Seattle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brad Diamond Sports

Play on: St. Louis (953) over Philadelphia

After an outstanding win streak against bad teams the home standing Phillies have now lost two of three after crushed 8-1 last night. Here former Orioles RHP Rodrigo Lopez gets the call against a Cardinals lineup that has been up been recharged with Holiday coming over from Oakland. St. Louis catches a nice stat here too, as the Phillies are 2-8 in their next game after scoring 2 or less runs. Also, the Cards show at 9-3 versus winning teams.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Triple Threat Sports

Today's Bonus Play is Kansas City over Texas in MLB

Of course we realize that the Royals have lost ten in a row coming in, but in fact that actually helps their cause here since last year just three games happened when a home team came favored riding a ten game losing streak, and the teams went 2-1 in those games, winning by a combined score of 16-7 with the only loss coming by just a run. With that backdrop, prefer Hocevar to keep Mr. Holland from achieving his opus tonite.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sports Gambling Hotline

Another comp play winner last night on Atlanta, as we are now 8-1-1 the last 10 days for FREE.


Have to go right back to the well, and back the Braves once again tonight, as it is clear the Milwaukee Brewers just don't have whatever it takes this season at all.


Milwaukee has dropped 13 of their last 19 games, while Atlanta is coming on strong with wins in 7 of their last 9.


Tommy Hanson has yet to lose in his big league career, sporting a 5-0 mark, while Milwaukee hurler Yovani Gallardo is 0-2 his last 3 starts, allowing a massive 12 runs to score over his last 16 innings of work.


Everybody keeps waiting for this offensively-loaded Milwaukee team to make a charge, but if you ask us, it looks like it is not going to happen this season.

Play on Atlanta.

4♦ ATLANTA

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Benton

My sensational free-play run continued last night as the Rangers cashed us a nice 4♦ underdog ticket in Kansas City! That’s now four straight complimentary winners and 13 of 18 in July. Not bad, eh? For Saturday, I’ll look for another big pup to bark, this time taking the Marlins plus the big price at Dodger Stadium.


This play comes down to two simple beliefs: 1) I don’t think you can trust Dodgers starter Hiroki Kuroda to lay this kind of price right now; and 2) Florida right-hander Rick Vanden Hurk is a tall, hard-throwing right-hander with some filthy stuff – the kind of stuff none of the L.A. hitters have seen before.


Start with Kuroda. A lengthy stay on the disabled list after his start on Opening Day have limited the Japanese native to just 10 games this season, and only two of those were quality outings. Over his last four starts, Kuroda has given up 15 runs (14 earned) in just 21 innings, which works out to a 6.00 ERA, and he’s 0-3 with a 4.45 ERA at home. The Dodgers have split Kuroda’s 10 starts, and while they won his last one (Sunday’s 4-3 come-from-behind victory over Houston), they have yet to win back-to-back games with Kuroda starting.


As for Vanden Hurk, he was very impressive in his first big-league start of the season Monday in San Diego, giving up just two runs (both solo homers) on five hits in six innings, earning a 3-2 victory. Yes, it was just the Padres, who have a putrid offense. But I watched that entire game and Vanden Hurk was in a groove from the get go and needed just 88 pitches to get through his six frames. He was very sharp.


Meanwhile, behind Vanden Hurk is an underrated Marlins bullpen that entered Friday’s game against Los Angeles with a 2.09 ERA on the road and a 1.46 ERA in the previous 10 games. Finally, Florida has started its road trip with four straight wins (including last night’s 6-3 victory over Los Angeles); it has won five straight on the highway going back to its last trip; and it is now on a 7-2 roll at Dodger Stadium. In fact, the visitor is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in this rivalry and the ‘dog has won 10 of the last 17. Take the plus money with the Marlins.



(based on a 1♦ to a 10♦ Rating)

3♦ FLORIDA

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Karl Garrett

4 straight comp play winners, and a 10-2 comp play run from the G-Man the last 12 days!


No reason not to take the Yankees on the RUN LINE this Saturday afternoon in the Bronx, as the Yanks have now won ALL 8 games since the All-Star break, the last 4 coming by 2 runs or more.


New York has also won the last 8 series meetings against Oakland. All 4 meetings this year have been decided by 2 runs or more, and 6 of the 8 overall have come by at least 2 runs!


Andy Pettitte just worked into the 8th inning in his last start, fanning 8, while allowing just 1 run to score.


His counterpart Gio Gonzalez is 1-1 his last 3 starts with an ERA near 11.


G-Man sees another lopsided Yankees win over the Athletics today.


Take New York on the RUN LINE.

3♦ NY YANKEES -1 1/2 RUNS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dominic Fazzini

The Marlins have won four straight road games in their attempt to keep pace with the NL East-leading Phillies.

The Dodgers, however, have been extremely effective at home this season, going 33-16.

Los Angeles right-hander Hiroki Kuroda (3-5, 4.73 ERA) has struggled lately, going 1-1 with a 7.31 ERA in four outings this month.

I’ve still got more faith in Kuroda’s ability, though, than I do in Marlins starter Rick VandenHurk’s chances of beating the Dodgers.

VandenHurk (1-0, 3.00) allowed two runs and five hits in six innings Monday to beat the Padres, but San Diego has been one of the worst offensive teams in the majors this season, so I’m not too impressed by that.

I think Los Angeles’ offense will get to VandenHurk early and often today, and I expect Kuroda to bounce back with a quality effort tonight. Take the Dodgers to win on the run line tonight.


(Based on a 1♦ to 5♦ scale)

3♦ L.A. DODGERS -1 1/2 RUNS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony Weston

The Mariners can’t do anything against the Indians and they end up costing us. That’s fine because we’re getting back on the winning track tonight as we’re taking the Dodgers on the Run Line against the visiting Marlins.

Despite yesterday’s loss the Dodgers come into tonight’s game having won 5 of their last 6 games and have outscored their opponents, on average, 6.1-3.5.

Los Angeles comes into this game with Hiroki Kuroda taking the mound, which has been a good thing for the most part lately. The Dodgers are 4-2 his last 6 appearances and have beaten their opponents in those victories by an average of 2.5 runs per.

On the other side, the Dodgers face the Marlins’ Rick VandenHurk. Over his last 7 games the Marlins are just 3-4 and have been outscored in that stretch, on average, 5.5-3.4.

Things won’t get any better tonight as the Dodgers cruise to an easy win. Take the Run Line on the Dodgers easily in this one.

3♦ DODGERS (RL) (on a 1♦ - 5♦ Scale)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Chris Jordan

Couldn't get it done with the Phillies a second night in a row, but that's why it was just an opinion play. Tonight we get right back on this recreational hobby horse and take a valuable road underdog.

Love the Braves today against Milwaukee, and will list both Hanson and Gallardo.

Atlanta (+125) at MILWAUKEE


2♦ BRAVES (LIST Hanson and Gallardo)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jake Timlin

2♦ Atlanta Braves


(Based on a 1♦ to 5♦ scale)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Drew Gordon

Now on a 31-18 roll with the plays I'm giving away, including the Braves over the Brewers 9-4 Friday!

For today's complimentary play, we're looking at the Minnesota/LA Angels match up.


If it ain't broke then don't fix it, as the saying goes, and right now everything's rolling for the Halos. I know full well the pitching edge here goes to the Twins, who start righty Nick Blackburn... But when the opposing offense is averaging 7+ runs per game, you better be pitching well, and that simply has not been the case with Blackburn.


Twins righty started the second half with his worst effort in months, getting tagged for 7 runs on 13 hits over 5 innings at Oakland Monday. Needless to say, bouncing back against the red-hot Angels is a lot easier said than done. The fact he's 0-2 with a 4.00 ERA in 3 career starts against them doesn't exactly inspire confidence either! With Aybar and company crushing opposing pitchers right now, it's tough to side with Blackburn, especially since he's been much less effective on the road (3-4, 4.18 ERA away vs. 5-0, 2.67 ERA at home).


Matt Palmer gets the start for the Halos, and while I admit he's been the beneficiary of some impressive run support (as evidenced by his 7-1 record with a 4.75 ERA), that's hardly the only reason to side with him today. In fact, he's been rock-solid coming out of the bullpen this month, posting a 2.38 ERA in 8 appearances. Not only that, but he's proven far more effective at Angel Stadium, where he's 4-1 with a 4.14 ERA this season.


Bottom line, more of the same this afternoon, as the Halos and Palmer take care of business once again. Simply too much offense from the home side, as the Angels are crushing righties right now, and there isn't much Blackburn can do to stop them. In the end, the home team has won every meeting this year, and I expect that to continue today.


Take the LA Angels behind Palmer over Minnesota and Blackburn in this MLB match up.

2♦ LA ANGELS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Matt Rivers


For Saturday take the Braves at Miller Park.


Yovanni Gallardo is a stud and a guy who posesses amazing stuff. But in spots such as this he just seems to lose more than he seems to win and when I say spots like this I mean when laying money against other quality hurlers.


Tommy Hanson is a wonderkid that has been absolutely phenomenal in his short two or so month stint now in the majors. It's funny how everybody has forgotten about the way the Braves organization treated Tom Glavine when just letting him go because they were going to bring up Hanson instead. I was one of those to say it was disrespectful but in the end it wound up being the right move.


The Brewers and Braves are both quality squads that are right around 85 or so win teams. Bobby Cox' club struggled in the first half but has been a lot better recently and with their wealth of pitching should stick around in this Wild Card hunt. Meanwhile the Brew Crew has the more powerful offense with studs in Braun and Fielder along with other solid bats but the pitching is not on the level of today's opponents overall.


The bottom line today is that both pitchers can be great in the future and in the now. The offenses are probably going to struggle for the first half of this game and in the end this thing is fairly 50-50 and a must play on Hanson and the Bravos.

1♦ Braves (out of 5♦)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kosmo

ALL MLB PLAYS LISTED PITCHERS

7-25-09

White Sox +130 1 unit
Boston -1.5 -110 1 unit

 

[dfresh1239]

Jake Timlin big 400 play today.
al demarco has a release and craig davis 100 dime game of his career.

 

[backdoorcover1]

ANYONE HAVE THE CRAIG DAVIS PACKAGE?


2ND EVER

100 DIME

GAME OF MY CAREER



This Run Line Release will remain

available until 5 minutes before 1st pitch



1st Ever 100 Dime play was Detroit

on the Run Line over KC on July 7



This play is stronger than my 75

Dime Super Bowl winner on Arizona



This play is stronger than my 75

Dime Run Line winners on the

D'Backs on 7/23 and Giants 7/9



+279.75 Dimes overall L/16 Days!



I told my clients the other day

that I smelled two big plays

this week. Well, this one is

the biggest of them all! Grab

this play as I deliver with my

biggest winner EVER!


$39.95

It's time to step it up.

There is ONE game you can take to the bank today. ONE game you can play with 100 percent total confidence, and it's the BIGGEST play of my career!

That's right, my One and Only 100 Dime Run Line Mismatch Part 2 is primed and ready to deliver the cash for you! Part 1 was my winner on the Tigers over the Royals on March 7.

No other play tops this. It's my biggest release ever and it's the one that's going to make you a fortune today!

Don't waste your time sifting through all those other chump change plays these other handicappers have going today.

You want to make some REAL money? Then look no further than me!

Grab this monster as I rake in the big bucks today!

 

[brewerfan003]

chris jordan has another 600* too

 

[jorge8907]

Anyone have Craig Davis 100Dime release???

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vernon Croy

Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels

Minnesota Twins +110

Take the Minnesota Twins on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and we are getting solid value here this afternoon with the Twins who have Nick Blackburn (8-4, 3.44) on the mound. This is Matt Palmer's (7-1, 4.75 ERA) first start out of the bullpen for the Angels since June.28. Palmer has struggled over his last 3 starts with an ERA of 8.44 while also allowing 6 earned runs per game over his last 2 starts which were against Arizona and Colorado. The Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team that has a home winning record over .600 and they are a perfect 4-0 in Blackburn's last 4 starts in game 3 of a series. The Twins are also 11-5 in their last 16 games when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game and the Twins are 5-1 in Blackburn's last 6 starts after a team loss.

Take the Minnesota Twins as my MLB Bonus Play for Saturday afternoon.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tom Freese

Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals

Kansas City Royals -106

Kansas City starter Luke Hochevar has a better 5 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. Kansas City is 4-1 in the last 5 starts made by Hochevar. The Royals are 4-0 with Hochevar when the Total is 9.0 to 10.5 and they are 5-1 with Hochevar vs. winning teams. Texas is 1-6 their last 7 Saturday games and 2-5 their last 7 games vs. AL Central teams. Starting pitcher Derek Holland has allowed 14 runs in his last 15.2 innings of work. The Rangers are 2-5 in the last 7 starts made by Holland.

PLAY ON KANSAS CITY + (Hochevar vs. Holland)