Saturday 06/06/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Milwaukee Brewers +145

Condensed writeups today. The Brewers took down the Braves 4-0 yesterday and I'll ride them again here. You have to like the chances of the Brewer bats against Vazquez, who is just 1-3 at home this season. The Brewers counter with Jeff Suppan, who is an impressive 3-1 on the road in the early going. The Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings in Atlanta, 5-1 in Suppan's last 6 starts as a road underdog, and 12-4 in their last 16 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Take the Brew Crew showing solid value today.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ALEX SMART

Washington Mystics @ Connecticut
PICK: Connecticut Sun -8

Many WNBA pundits including myself look at the Connecticut Sun as contenders for a league championship this season, behind super star Lindsay Whalen, and last years leading scorer Ashya Jones. Meanwhile, the Washington Mystics after two straight losing seasons, are still non contenders under the tout ledge of new head coach Julie Plank. The Wizards are a decent team with a couple of good draft picks in the lineup, notably Marrisa Coleman (No.2 Draft pick out of Maryland) , but their overall cohesiveness should be in doubt , because of a new system and some off season player plug ins. Playing in Connecticut in front of a very knowledgeable Sun fan base is never an easy task for any team, especially vs side that must be considered to still be in lower tier of this league. With that said, lay the points with the superior Sun. ....Projected score: Connecticut 81 Washington 69

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tom Freese

Baltimore Orioles at Oakland Athletics
Prediction: Under

Oakland starter Trevor Cahill has allowed 3 or less runs in 9 of 11 starts this year. The A's are 11-2 UNDER their last 13 games and they are 9-2 UNDER at home vs. losing teams. Oakland is 7-2 UNDER their last 9 games vs. righty starters. Baltimore starter Jason Berken has allowed 3 runs total in his 2 starts this year. The Orioles are 5-0 UNDER after allowing 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 7-3 UNDER on Saturday. Baltimore is 5-1 UNDER off a loss. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Cahill vs. Berken)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

OAK (-125) vs BAL

It took two months, but the Oakland Athletics are finally starting to hit and pitch well at the same time. The A?s look to extend their season-high winning streak to five games Saturday night while trying for a seventh consecutive victory over the visiting Baltimore Orioles. Trevor Cahill(notes) (2-5, 4.33 ERA) hopes to continue Oakland?s success. Though the 21-year-old rookie looks to avoid a fourth straight losing decision while making his first appearance versus the Orioles, Cahill hasn?t pitched poorly as he?s gone 0-2 with a 2.84 ERA in his last three starts. Look for OAKLAND to improve to 5-1 in June!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy The Moose

Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers
Prediction: Under

The under is 5-1-1 in the Angels last 7 games when the total has been set between 9-10.5. The under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. The under is 40-17-3 in their last 60 games vs. an AL Central opponent. Escobar's on the mound tonight and the under is 20-8-1 in his last 29 road starts. The Tigers have played under the total in 9 of their last 10 home games. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 overall. The under is 8-3 in their last 11 games as a favorite. The under is 4-1 in Jackson's last 5 starts. The under is 5-1-1 in the Angels last 7 trips to Detroit. Play the under.

 

[thinkmcflythink]

Anyone seen craig davis?

 

[cork999]

jake timlin

in early afternoon action i like the bluejays bury the royals once again.

Fresh off their 9-3 win last night against zack greinke i fully expect for another easy win for toronto this afternoon as kansas city continue to suck big time.

Paving the way for the bluejays today will be the poor play of kansas city who with last night’s lost have dropped their last 8 games overall and 7 of their last 10 against toronto. Also helping will be the awful pitching of hochevar who is winless in three starts this season as the righty carries a 10 plus era into the roger center today. Richman will counter with his 4-2 record on the year which includes a 8-1 win against the royals back in last april.

Staying true to what we know i say take the bluejays minus the run line as they blast the royals this afternoon.

3♦ toronto bluejays -1 ½

i thought timlin's pick was baltimore/oakland i did not see the blue jays on his sheet?

 

[cork999]

anyone seen craig davis?

whant to split it?

 

[thinkmcflythink]

i would cork but i dont have pay pal

 

[thinkmcflythink]

ps cork your awesome for all you do for this forum

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Alexander

MLB | Jun 06
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners:

Seattle Mariners +101

Bonus Play for June 6, 2009

1 Unit on Seattle Mariners +101
This is a strong home price for the M's with Washburn on the hill, who has been rock solid all season long with an ERA of just 3.22. He has always pitched well against the Twins with a 3.13 career ERA against them. He is 11-6 against the money line in his career starts versus Minnesota. Blackburn has been strong this season, but I don't see him getting the run support he needs here as his team is just 7-16 on the road and 9-25 in their last 34 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the M's.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

i thought timlin's pick was baltimore/oakland i did not see the blue jays on his sheet?

This was just a comp cork, don't pay to much attention to it.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vernon Croy

MLB | Jun 06
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners:

Minnesota Twins -105

Take the Minnesota Twins on the Moneyline, We are getting solid value here today with the Twins who have Nick Blackburn (5-2, 3.50 ERA) on the mound for them since he has been lights out with an ERA of just 1.35 over his last 3 starts. The Twins are 5-0 in Blackburn's last 5 starts as a favorite and Blackburn is 1-0 over 3 career starts against the Mariners with an ERA of 3.50 while the Twins are 2-1 over those starts. Blackburn dominated this Mariners line-up back on May.10 allowing just 5 hits and 0 earned runs over 7 innings while striking out 6 batters. The Mariners are just 2-9 in their last 11 games in game 2 of a series and they are just 5-16 in Jarrod Washburn's (3-4, 3.22) last 21 home starts. The Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 games against the Mariners and the Mariners are just 7-16 in their last 23 home games against a team like the Twins who have a road winning record below .400. Take the Minnesota Twins as my MLB Bonus Play for Saturday afternoon.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Ryan

MLB | Jun 06
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox:

Boston Red Sox -210

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Boston as the face Texas slated to start at 7:10 EST. This play can also be played on the run line as an alternative wager. AiS shows a 70% probability that Boston will win by a margin great than 2 runs. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 55-19 for 73% winners since 2003. Play on home teams with a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start and has poor defensive catchers allowing 0.85 + SB's/game on the season. Boston skipper Francona is a strong 101-35 (+42.4 Units) against the money line in home games versus a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse. Boston is 18-4 (+13.5 Units) against the money line versus AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game on the season this season; 21-3 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in home games versus poor fielding teams turning 0.8 or less DP's/game over the last 2 seasons. Take Boston

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Craig Davis Bonus Play

Tonight's complimentary play winner is on the Mariners/Twins to stay UNDER the total.

You've got two teams here that struggle putting runs on the board. Seattle's offense just isn't very dominating. The Mariners don't often score a lot of runs, especially at home in that pitcher's haven, but they do have a good enough staff and bullpen to keep them in games. Minnesota, on the other hand, is just 6-16 outside of the Metrodome, and the Twins score nearly 3 runs less per game on the road as opposed to home.

Minnesota sends Nick Blackburn to the hill tonight, having dominated his last three opponents, posting a 1.35 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Blackburn has beaten his last two opponents despite getting very little run support, besting Matt Garza and Jon Lester by scores of 3-2 and 5-2, respectively. As you can see, both of those totals were quite low.

Seattle counters with Jarrod Washburn, who enters this contest with a very respectable 3.22 ERA and has allowed just one earned run in his last 13 innings of work. In fact, he's yielded one run or less in four of his last six starts.

This game will end somewhere in the neighborhood of 3-2 or 4-2, easily staying UNDER the posted price.

3? UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pure Lock

MLB | Jun 06
Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays:

Toronto Blue Jays -167

Free MLB Play

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Carlo Campanella

NBA | Jun 07
Orlando Magic vs. Los Angeles:

Lakers Total 202 ov-110

Since the start of the NBA Playoffs the Orlando Magic has only lost 3 games by double digits. The third time this happened was in Game #1 against the Lakers, as the Magic lost in LA, 75-100. The other two times that this occurred, the Magic went "Over" the Total in their next game. Combine that with the fact that Orlando has also gone "Over" in 13 of 17 games this season after a combined scored 175 points or less in their previous game! Sunday's Game #2 flys "Over."

7* Play On OVER (Game #2)

 

[joe361]

I love it when this happens.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

OTM-OVER San Diego
Mountaineer-Baltimore
Kevin Kennedy-Houston

 

[focker]

MisterMJ Free Picks



Computer Baseball Sat June 6

Posted: 06 Jun 2009 01:25 AM PDT

One pick for Saturday.

Good luck!

Play listed pitchers only. J Sanchez / A Miller

The fictional wager amount is for record keeping purposes only.

Saturday, June 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount
San Francisco - 6:10 PM ET Florida -131 500
Florida -




16-8-0 66.67% +$4000