Saturday 05/09/09 service plays chatter /comps/ requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jake Timlin

Take the Nuggets plus the points as there is no reason why Denver is an underdog today. You see with the Nuggets fresh off a pair lopsided wins at home games in this series to improve to 7-0 ATS in the postseason it’s easy I think to take the points here in game three. I mean thanks to the Nuggets two home wins they have now 9 of the last 10 meetings both straight up and against the spread, including 4 straight cover wins at Dallas I just don’t good things for Dallas at home tonight. Not when the Mavericks have been totally outmatched on both ends of the floor in both games thus far. Flat out, with Denver having won 20 of their last 24 games as they are now playing their best ball of the season I don’t see the Nuggets losing a game in this series. With that take the Nuggets plus the points for added insurance, but look outright as Denver takes a 3-0 series lead.

PICK: Denver Nuggets

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Craig Davis

Today’s Bonus Play is on the NY Yankees. It’s amazing what one player can do for a team’s confidence. Alex Rodriguez plays his first game of the year, hits a three-run homer on the first pitch he sees, and CC Sabathia pitches his best game in a Yankees uniform. Yankees 4 Baltimore 0. Although I’m not expecting another shutout with Philip Hughes on the hill, I do expect the NY Yankees to score more than four runs today facing Adam Eaton. Have you watched this guy pitch? Seriously, he’ll be lucky to make it past the fourth inning the way he’s been throwing lately. New York hitters are waaaaay overdue for an offensive explosion, and today is just what the doctor ordered. I realize the Yankees haven’t been playing well recently, but neither has Baltimore despite their hot start to the season. The Yanks have won 8 of the last 10 H2H with Baltimore and I see nothing that tells me tonight will be any different. Play the Yankees against the run line vs. Baltimore as your Bonus Play winner.

3? NY YANKEES -1 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony Weston

Today's Selection:

Took a miss last night as the Lakers and Rockets go Over the Total and give us a loss in this spot.

That’s fine because we’re nailing our winner tonight as we’re taking the Under in the Cavaliers-Hawks Game 3 matchup.

The number for this one is set at around 180 points, depending on where you’re playing this and these two will keep it well under that.

Consider that coming into this game the Under has hit in 4 of the Cavaliers’ last 5 games overall, while the Under is 5-2 in the Hawks’ last 7 games.

Coming into this game the Under has come in 15 of the Cavs’ last 20 conference semifinal games and it has hit in 8 of Atlanta’s last 11 games overall. The Under is also 10-3 in the Hawks’ last 13 games when installed as an underdog of between 5 and 10 1/2 points.

The Under is also 5-1 in the Hawks’ last 6 playoff games when installed as a ’dog and it will come in again tonight. Take the Under in this matchup.

3♦ CAVALIERS-HAWKS UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LT Profits

Minnesota Twins -120

We have a lot of respect for Felix Hernandez, but his Seattle Mariners are playing terrible ball right now, so we will back the Minnesota Twins and Francisco Liriano at home here at a reasonable price.

The Mariners have lost five straight games, and they have scored a pathetic total of four runs in their last four games. Also, Hernandez was not sharp in his last start as he was roughed up for six earned runs and 10 hits in six innings at home vs. the Texas Rangers, and he is now facing a Twins lineup that is batting a nice .287 vs. right-handed pitching at home so far this season.

Liriano was off to a very slow start, but he is now rounding to form nicely as he has recorded back-to-back Quality Starts while allowing exactly two runs on each occasion. Remember that Liriano is one of the best pitchers in baseball when he is on top of his game, and his last two starts indicate that he is starting to round into his usual dominant form.

Liriano lost to the Mariners back on April 6 when he allowed four runs, but he only allowed four hits in seven innings and he was not nearly as sharp then as he is now, so look for him to get some revenge here.

Pick: Twins -120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Karl Garrett

Denver at DALLAS

Denver has been playing them LOW this postseason, as 4 of their last 5 in the playoffs have landed UNDER the posted price.

Dallas knows for them to have a shot at getting on board in this series they may have to force the tempo a little, and hit some open long-range shots.

The Mavericks have been OVER the posted total in 5 of their 7 playoff games, and when installed as the favorite, they are 17-8 OVER the posted price.

24 of Dallas' 43 home games this year have also landed HIGH, so I will stick with the trends, and look for a high-scoring game in Game 3 of this Denver-Dallas series.

Take the OVER.

2♦ OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sports Gambling Hotline

Cleveland at ATLANTA

A rare OVER for both the Cavaliers and the Hawks on Thursday.

We like this game to head back towards the UNDER trend.

Cleveland had been UNDER 4 in a row prior to Thursday's OVER, while Atlanta has played UNDER in 8 of their last 11 games overall.

With Williams, Horford, and Johnson ALL dealing with injuries, we just don't see the Atlanta offense being able to muster the offense needed to push this game OVER the posted price, and we know from watching Cleveland this season they will be content to "D" it up, and slow the pace down in this contest, making an OVER highly unlikely.

For the year, Cleveland has played LOW in 23 of 43 games on the highway, while Atlanta has gone UNDER in 25 of their 45 home games to date.

Take the UNDER in Game Three.

4♦ UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Michael Cannon

Kansas City -130 at LA ANGELS

I’m 18-8-1 with my last 27 overall Bonus Plays.

Let’s take the Royals for the road win over the Angels.

Zack Greinke has been all the rage this year in baseball and I see no reason to fade the kid now.

The right-hander is 6-0 with a 0.40 ERA in six starts this year, which includes three complete games and two shutouts. Greinke has a ridiculous WHIP of 0.84 and has posted 54 strikeouts against just eight walks in 45 innings.

Joe Saunders will get the start for the Angels and he’s having a solid season, but he’s going to have his work cut out for him tonight.

Let’s face it, if Saunders surrenders even a single run here he puts his team in serious jeopardy of losing. That’s how good Greinke is right now.

The Royals offense had been cruising along before being held to one run last night. I’m banking on their bats making enough noise for Greinke to get the easy win here.

Take the Royals as they grab the road win.

4? KANSAS CITY

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Drew Gordon

Seattle at MINNESOTA -125

While neither team is playing particularly well, the Mariners are tail-spinning right now, losers of 6 of their last 7, inlcuding 5 in a row. But its not just that they're losing, but how they're losing, being outscored 30 to 4 in their last 4 games! Even with Hernandez on the hill, he can't do it all on his own, and that's where Seattle gets into trouble tonight.

The Mariners Hernandez is a stud no doubt, but he'll be facing off against the resurgent Francisco Liriano, who's pitching a lot like the guy we remember in 2006. His last two starts have been rock-solid, allowing 4 runs over his last 14 innings, shutting down the Rays and Tigers in back-to-back starts. He's been especially good at the Metrodome, posting a 3.20 ERA in 19 2/3 innings there this season. He's also 2-2 with 2.32 ERA in 5 career starts against Seattle!

No surprise the Twins got back on track at home yesterday, as their 4-8 road record is no accident. Minnesota is 44-20 in their last 64 at the Metrodome, and after Friday's 11-0 shellacking of the Mariners, you can see why they're tough to beat at home. Not only that, but Minnesota has been swinging the bats particularly well over their last 10 games, batting .306 as a team and averaging 5.4 runs per game over that span!

Bottom line, may be tempting to jump on Hernandez here, but if you've seen Liriano pitch over his last 2 starts, you know this match up is a lot closer than their individual records indicate. With Seattle slumping at the plate big-time, look for the Twins to add to the Mariners misery here, as they notch another solid "W" in this one.

Take Minnesota behind Liriano over Seattle and Hernandez in this MLB match up.

3♦ MINNESOTA

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Totals4U
Saturday's free selection: Detroit/Cleveland under 10


Free Selection from Mike Wynn
Bonus Play: MLB St Louis w/Lohse +100 Over Cincinnati

 

[brady1983]

Cork,

wanna split budin?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bobby Maxwell

Seattle +110 at MINNESOTA

Four of the last five days we've delivered a FREE winner for you, including Friday night's winner on the Red Sox over Tampa Bay. Today we've got another one for you as we play the Mariners to get the job done in Minnesota against the Twins.

The Mariners are definitely the right call in this matchup as they've got Felix Hernandez (4-1, 3.38 ERA) on the mound tonight and he's been as steady as they come this season.

Seattle is on runs of 4-0 when Hernandez faces A.L. Central teams, 5-1 in his last six starts overall, 8-2 when he starts as a road 'dog and 7-3 when he starts on Satruday. Throw in the fact they are 8-1 in their last nine games against Southpaws and you've got to love the Mariners in this one.

Minnesota has won just one of their last six games and they are just 1-4 with starter Francisco Liriano on the mound at home, 0-5 when he's a favorite and 2-5 in his last seven against A.L. West competition. Liriano is just 1-4 this season with a 5.30 ERA and he just doesn't look like the same pitcher that emerged about three seasons ago as a dominant force. That injury has really taken a toll on him.

The Mariners got off to the great start but they've slumped lately. But even through the slump they've been able to get consistency from Hernandez. Play Seattle in this one with the ace on the hill.

4♦ SEATTLE

 

[cheesesteak]

Raging Bull

Everton +115 (English Premier League)

Real Madrid/Valencia over 3 (Spain La Liga)

I'm a soccer pro now dude! I already played the o3 w/o this info!!

I also have o3.5 in Barca manana! Si senor!!

 

[cork999]

Cork,

wanna split budin?

sure,send me $22to my paypal cork999@sbcglobal.net and i will post the pick in a few. thanks brady

 

[brady1983]

Already bought. Demarco is hot, maybe him?

 

[cork999]

Already bought. Demarco is hot, maybe him?

ok i will pick up demarco.

 

[LocksRus]

Anyone with Tony Weston? I haven't ever bought the guy before but he happens to be on fire and today he has an NBA GOY.

He'd be great to see if anyone is thinking about making a purchase.

 

[brady1983]

Thanks Cork, love the Twins at home

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GREG SHAKER--NBA PLAY


NBA: Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks - Hawks +8.5 -110
Game Date: 5/9/2009
Note: Sometimes there is not much to say about a play except to say that we have an extreme over-adjustment to a betting line. In this case it is due to the whoopings that the Hawks have recieved in the first 2 games of this series. I stayed away from both of those games, at least picking the side, because that is what the Cavs do, and have done to a lot of teams traveling to The City of Rock and Roll. This is not there and the preferred style of music here is Urban Comtemporary, Rap, and the Blues. That is why I like this play. Ok, that is not why I like this play, but I do think that those that have driven this line upward are going to be singing the blues. In effect, with homecourt taken into light, this current line would make Cleveland at 16 to 17 point favorite if it were played back in Ohio. That gives us very good value indeed and Atlanta is not going to bow out that easily. While the Cavs are resting on their laurels, they have have just a 1 Point win here at this Arena and a 5 Point loss at this Arena. There is going to be somewhat of a letdown more than likely today as Cleveland clearly understands that they just need to win their home contests to get this series, and although, they would like to end it early, our minds work in mysterious ways sometimes, not allowing us to get what we want. Perhaps the next game they win. Perhaps they win a close one here today. They will be in for a different kind of Atlanta Squad who should be more focused than they are. Play the Hawks Moneyline? That might be a good idea, but I certainly will grab these unusually high points today.
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[LocksRus]

Howie Feiner has a "godfather" play today in the NBA on the Cleveland / Atlanta game.

Has anyone seen this play? He has not had a release of this magnitude since April 23. These are rare releases and he is 30-6 in 2009 on releases of 500 dimes or higher.

This is a play we must have. Let me know if anyone has it.

Thanks!

 

[cork999]

howie feiner has a "godfather" play today in the nba on the cleveland / atlanta game.

Has anyone seen this play? He has not had a release of this magnitude since april 23. These are rare releases and he is 30-6 in 2009 on releases of 500 dimes or higher.

This is a play we must have. Let me know if anyone has it.

Thanks!

you want to split????