saratoga plays

[JBEX]

saratoga


R1 #3 electability (7-2) 4WP


R2 #7 steinbeck (8-1) 3WP

the loaded field of msw on travers undercard..probably at least 3 future stakes winners in here .. this one is a fts as is the other pletcher "#3 be better (3-1)"..going with the exp specs angles as always ..also out of an "unbridled's song" mare ..have mentioned before he's one of the best

 

[JBEX]

R5 #7 eridromos (20-1) 3WP

 

[JBEX]

R8 #6 chance it (20-1) 3WP


forego .. grade 1

I don't see the (20-1) here..he certainly doesn't have the class of the others but he is a lightly raced 4yo who is very game and hits the numbers (pace and final)..working very well ..trainer having an awful meet but you get excellent value with him over large samples including ones applying to today

 

[JBEX]

R9 allen jerkens g1 (4:12)

#4 following sea (5-1) 3WP


pace and final figs in the allowance race 2 back were stakes quality..cuts
back from 9f haskell where he had the lead at the pace call and was forced to check at the eighth pole to avoid a fallen horse..if favorite not up to it could see him picking up the pieces

 

[JBEX]

sword dancer


R11 #1 tribhuvan (2-1) 3WP

believe better speed than "#4 channel maker"and don't see a speed duel developing in a 12f race ..possibly if cm is aggressive prat will allow him by and situate just outside of him.. never gone this far but has a very stout european pedigree

 

[JBEX]

saratoga

personal ensign


R10 #8 harvey's lil going (8-1) 3WP

 

[JBEX]

travers

R12 #5 miles d (12-1) 3WP


expensive auction purchase makes 4th career start for chad..last out at 2 turns for the first time ran a decent 2nd in a restricted stakes and like that it was here..seems like a good time to take a shot ..quite possibly being by curlin out of a bernardini mare that he'll like the extra ground

 

[JBEX]

saratoga


state bred mcl 40k


R13 #8 spin for lu lu (20-1) 3WP

 

[JBEX]

8/25 weds (10:22)

R7 #1a manifest destiny (30-1) 3WP
R9 #5 conviction trade (12-1) 3WP
R10 #6 wicked amber (15-1) 3WP

out @ 22-1(6)
out @ 6-1 (6)
out @ 13-1 (6)


>> (3) 0/18


8/26 thu

R1#3 moam (5-1) 4WP
R3 #2 royne (8-1) 3WP
R5 #3 imminent storm (6-1) 4WP

WINNER $24.20/12.60 (73.60/8)
out @ 4-1 (6)
out @ 7-1 (8)

>> (3) 73.60/22



8/27 fri


R3 #2 umbria (6-1) 3WP
R5 #2 sinfully sweet (7-2) 3WP

2nd @ 8-1(neck) $7.10 (10.65/6)
out @ 7-2 (6)


>> (2) 10.65/12





8/28 sat


R1 #3 electability (7-2) 4WP
R2 #7 steinbeck (8-1) 3WP
R5 #7 eridromos (20-1) 3WP
R8 #6 chance it (20-1) 3WP
R9 #4 following sea (5-1) 3WP
R10 #8 harvey's lil going (8-1) 3WP
R11 #1 tribhuvan (2-1) 3WP
R12 #5 miles d (12-1) 3WP
R13 #8 spin for lu lu (20-1) 3WP


R1 out @ 7-1 (8)
R2 out @ 5-1 (6)
R5 out @ 26-1 (6)
R8 3rd @ 19-1 (6)
R9 3rd @ 6-1 (6)
R10 out @ 7-1 (6)
R11 out @ 5-2 (6)
R12 3rd @ 19-1 (6)
R13 3rd @ 29-1 (6)

>> (9) 0/56



(79) 433.10/637 [0.67]
(17) 84.25 /108

(96) 517.35/745 [0.69]

 

[JBEX]

R3 #1 static fire (5-1) 4WP

R10 #6 cinderella's cause (30-1) 3WP

 

[JBEX]

R1 #5 wild appeal (7-2) 4WP

speed pedigree
drop msw/mcl
trainer stats excellent
expensive/specs (moderate)


R2 #2 nay say (7-2) 3WP


R5 #1 triple americano (5-1) 3WP

trainer having a fantastic meet over a large sample and kills it with jockey..lightly raced and legit excuses for bad races..tons of speed to set up an off the pace run ..negative is extreme speed bias at 6f but hopefully the probable lively pace will help negate that

 

[JBEX]

R6 #2 howyoumakeurmoney (7-2) 4WP

 

[JBEX]

R10 #5 mayhap (20-1) 3WP


homebred and the bottom of this pedigree is very good..trainer has hit at least 1 bomb with debuters..competition very stiff but that's what's get you the odds here

 

[JBEX]

R1 #2 distractandattack (20-1) 3WP

his attempts on the turf are far from bad and jose ortiz not going to stay aboard for this trainer when he can ride one for ww


R2 #4 roaming union (6-1) 3WP

won on the front end of a very fast pace at two levels below..only two other races at this track were 2nds (not in his last 10 races) so obviously likes it up here ..had a month to rest and recover


R3 #4 ubiquitous (6-1) 3WP

3rd career start and caught a very good field in his debut at gulfstream in january..respectable effort off layoff last out here and could see improvement 2nd out..be a nice tally for the trainer whose had an awful meet


R4 #2 fort drum (15-1) 2WP

broke her maiden 2nd start as a 2yo and this is her 3rd start..obviously something went wrong between then an now but on the other hand they did decide to run her here..tyler one of the better turf jocks


R6 #2 i'll figure it out (12-1) 3WP

cost a lot for the specs and a nice set up race for the stretchout..lemon drop kid stamina dam sire ..jose ortiz for rosario

 

[JBEX]

R7 #1 trafalgar (10-1) 3WP

a loaded field but will have to stick with exp/specs angle..there are some very impressive pedigrees amongst the debuters in this race..of those 4 (7-2) and 8 (4-1) are my favorites but they will be no secret


R9 #6 just ok is not ok (8-1) 3WP

within a few lengths of a scorching pace last out..two back effort would get it done..irad for luis

 

[JBEX]

R11 #1 la signare (5-1) 3WP

for the most part a middle distance turf horse although did run in this race last year when it was run at belmont (ran evenly) .. it's lengthened a furlong here and with her european pedigree she may like the added ground ..the even race last out in the diana last out may set her up nice for this

 

[JBEX]

saratoga


R1 #9 s oh s(15-1) 3WP

homebred by into mischief out of a speightstown mare.. doesn't get much better than that.. broke slow from the rail on a muddy track in her debut (here) last out.. trainer is excellent 2nd out and does well with 2yo's and maidens.. workouts very sluggish but that never scares me away when other things are right.. that being said like the fact they're going 7f vs 6


R1 #3 love to run (6-1) 2W

extremely tough choice who to make my #1 and have to weigh one heavier than the other.. this one extremely expensive for the specs.. has the perfect running line for a cutback to 7f in her 2nd start









R7 #2 classy edition (9-5) 6W

extremely expensive for pedigree..sire big with first timers early in his career..irad/todd..probably odds on


R8 #5 li li bear (5-1) 3WP

 

[JBEX]

R1 #6 big city momma (5-2) 4WP


R2 #4 belarus (5-2) 4WP

R5 #3 conglomerate (4-1) 4WP

R7 #10 pine valley (8-1) 3WP

very exp/specs and one of the best debut sires ..asmussen

R8 #6 old school (5-1) 3WP

homebred fts .. sire and dam sire combo (without regards to anything else about pedigree) is as good as it gets for going 2 turns on the turf

 

[JBEX]

23 races to grade and tally ..have it done by over the weekend

 

[JBEX]

9/1 weds

R3 #1 static fire (5-1) 4WP
R10 #6 cinderella's cause (30-1) 3WP

WINNER $6.10/4.40 (21/8)
out @ 71-1 (6)

[21/14]


9/3 friday

R1 #5 wild appeal (7-2) 4WP
R2 #2 nay say (7-2) 3WP
R5 #1 triple americano (5-1) 3WP
R6 #2 howyoumakeurmoney (7-2) 4WP
R10 #5 mayhap (20-1) 3WP

2nd @ 2-1 $3.30 (6.60/8)
3rd @ 6-1 (6)
out @ 5-2 (6)
WINNER $6.30/3.80 (20.20/8)
out @ 28-1 (6)

[26.80/34]


9/4 sat

R1 #2 distractandattack (20-1) 3WP
R2 #4 roaming union (6-1) 3WP
R3 #4 ubiquitous (6-1) 3WP
R4 #2 fort drum (15-1) 2WP
R6 #2 i'll figure it out (12-1) 3WP
R7 #1 trafalgar (10-1) 3WP
R9 #6 just ok is not ok (8-1) 3WP
R11 #1 la signare (5-1) 3WP

out @ 63-1 (6)
WINNER $11.80/5.00 (25.20/6)
out @ 9-1(6)
out @ 11-1 (4)
out @ 8-1 (6)
2nd @ 10-1 $10.40 (15.60/6)
2nd @ 5-1 $6.90 (10.35/6)
R11 out @ 6-1 (6)

[51.15/46]
[21/14]
[26.80/34]



9/5 sun


R1 #9 s oh s(15-1) 3WP
R1 #3 love to run (6-1) 2W
R7 #2 classy edition (9-5) 6W
R8 #5 li li bear (5-1) 3WP

#3 ran 2nd (8)
WINNER $3.30 (9.90/6)
out @ 6-1 (6)

[9.90/20]


9/6 mon

R1 #6 big city momma (5-2) 4WP
R2 #4 belarus (5-2) 4WP
R5 #3 conglomerate (4-1) 4WP
R7 #10 pine valley (8-1) 3WP
R8 #6 old school (5-1) 3WP


out @ 6-1 (8)
SLOPPY
2nd @ 6-1 $7.20 (14.40/8)
MUDDY
SCRATCHED

[21/14]
[26.80/34]
[51.15/46] 98.95
[14.40/16] 113.35
[9.90/20] 123.25

(23)123.25/130
(96) 517.35/745[0.69]

(119) 640.60/875 [0.73]