Sammy'Da Bulls upset special... Thursday night shocker ... You heard it here first

[packer2012]

I just cant see any real reason to pick the Browns in this game. History and trends basically mean nothing. I can definitely see them covering 11 but picking them to win just makes no sense. Short week, on the road, against an undefeated team and Johnny football starting. If you predict this came correctly then you obviously have some inside info that most people don't. If your wrong what will you use as an excuse? Injuries, penalties, and bad calls are not good reasons. If you are right, I will be the first one to praise you.

Sammy, Son of Russie........ Does not know ANYTHING that others don't know....... He is simply making wild-assed predictions and betting Monopoly money for attention. Just as TV added the Comedy Network...... maybe TheRx should add a Monopoly Forum for the clown show that grows larger by the week. Sammy is clearly a front-runner for "Clown of the Week" this week!

 

[JJphilly]

GL sammy..I like the Browns too but not straight up.I hope we both win..also nice to see another philly neighbor in here..BOL rest of the way

 

[Kaveman]

Sammy, Son of Russie........ Does not know ANYTHING that others don't know....... He is simply making wild-assed predictions and betting Monopoly money for attention. Just as TV added the Comedy Network...... maybe TheRx should add a Monopoly Forum for the clown show that grows larger by the week.

It's the influx of rejects from that other forum, where posting BOL a few thousand times passes for deep analysis.

 

[galaxyodds]

Isn't this an open forum for anyone to post what they like regardless how they want to do it? We are all entitled to our opinions. No one should tail/fade anyone without doing some homework. I've been to many other forums and like it here because there are as many good cappers as well as bs cappers. It's everyone's responsibility to research and tail the good one. For example, I've been on this forum for about 3 weeks and found Stewie21, Kojack, ActionMan, ShaneHmoney and others.

If you don't like what you see, then don't click to read!!!

 

[justanobserver]

Here we go:

Teams as a 10+ point favorite on Thursday since 2000

day = Thursday and line <= -10 and season >= 2000
SU: 15-2-0 (17.24, 88.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 12-5-0 (5.38, 70.6%) avg line: -11.9 +6: 14-3-0 (82.4%) -6: 9-7-1 (56.2%) +10: 15-2-0 (88.2%) -10: 7-9-1 (43.8%) O/U: 5-12-0 (-4.59, 29.4%) avg total: 43.0 +6: 3-14-0 (17.6%) -6: 9-8-0 (52.9%) +10: 2-15-0 (11.8%) -10: 12-4-1 (75.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.4 122.9 32.1 21.2 259.9 0.9 6.4 10.1 7.2 4.1 27.8 Opp 24.2 90.9 30.8 15.7 162.9 2.1 2.9 3.4 2.0 2.4 10.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 23, 2006 Thursday 12 2006 Cowboys Buccaneers home 7-7 14-3 14-0 3-0 38-10 -12.5 39.0 28 15.5 9.0 12.2 -3.2 W W O 0 Nov 22, 2007 Thursday 12 2007 Cowboys Jets home 7-0 14-3 3-0 10-0 34-3 -14.0 48.0 31 17.0 -11.0 3.0 -14.0 W W U 0 Nov 22, 2007 Thursday 12 2007 Colts Falcons away 0-10 21-3 10-0 0-0 31-13 -11.5 41.0 18 6.5 3.0 4.8 -1.8 W W O 0 Nov 20, 2008 Thursday 12 2008 Steelers Bengals home 0-7 10-0 10-0 7-3 27-10 -11.0 35.0 17 6.0 2.0 4.0 -2.0 W W O 0 Nov 27, 2008 Thursday 13 2008 Titans Lions away 21-3 14-7 6-0 6-0 47-10 -11.0 44.0 37 26.0 13.0 19.5 -6.5 W W O 0 Nov 27, 2008 Thursday 13 2008 Cowboys Seahawks home 14-3 10-3 7-3 3-0 34-9 -12.0 47.0 25 13.0 -4.0 4.5 -8.5 W W U 0 Nov 26, 2009 Thursday 12 2009 Packers Lions away 0-7 13-0 14-0 7-5 34-12 -11.0 48.0 22 11.0 -2.0 4.5 -6.5 W W U 0 Nov 26, 2009 Thursday 12 2009 Cowboys Raiders home 3-0 14-0 0-7 7-0 24-7 -13.5 40.0 17 3.5 -9.0 -2.8 -6.2 W W U 0 Dec 10, 2009 Thursday 14 2009 Steelers Browns away 0-3 3-10 3-0 0-0 6-13 -10.0 33.0 -7 -17.0 -14.0 -15.5 1.5 L L U 0 Dec 16, 2010 Thursday 15 2010 Chargers Fortyniners home 7-0 10-0 7-0 10-7 34-7 -10.0 44.5 27 17.0 -3.5 6.8 -10.2 W W U 0 Dec 23, 2010 Thursday 16 2010 Steelers Panthers home 3-0 17-0 7-0 0-3 27-3 -14.0 37.0 24 10.0 -7.0 1.5 -8.5 W W U 0 Dec 08, 2011 Thursday 14 2011 Steelers Browns home 7-3 0-0 0-0 7-0 14-3 -14.0 39.5 11 -3.0 -22.5 -12.8 -9.8 W L U 0 Dec 15, 2011 Thursday 15 2011 Falcons Jaguars home 10-0 17-0 14-7 0-7 41-14 -13.5 42.5 27 13.5 12.5 13.0 -0.5 W W O 0 Sep 27, 2012 Thursday 4 2012 Ravens Browns home 0-0 9-7 14-3 0-6 23-16 -12.0 44.0 7 -5.0 -5.0 -5.0 0.0 W L U 0 Dec 06, 2012 Thursday 14 2012 Broncos Raiders away 10-0 3-7 13-0 0-6 26-13 -10.5 49.0 13 2.5 -10 -3.8 -6.2 W W U 0 Sep 12, 2013 Thursday 2 2013 Patriots Jets home 10-3 3-0 0-7 0-0 13-10 -11.0 43.0 3 -8.0 -20.0 -14.0 -6.0 W L U 0 Dec 12, 2013 Thursday 15 2013 Broncos Chargers home 10-3 0-14 0-7 10-3 20-27 -10.0 56.5 -7 -17.0 -9.5 -13.2 3.8 L L U 0 Nov 05, 2015 view Thursday 9 2015 Bengals Browns home -11.0 45.5 Showing 1 to 18 of 18 entries

 

[ShaneMHyman]

Dalton 3 TD's no picks, bengals light it up at home on primetime. Dalton a different beast this year.

 

[justanobserver]

Here lets expand it some:

Faves of more than a TD on Thursday since 2000:

day = Thursday and line <= -7.5 and season >= 2000
SU: 33-5-0 (14.37, 86.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 24-14-0 (4.38, 63.2%) avg line: -10.0 +6: 31-7-0 (81.6%) -6: 18-19-1 (48.6%) +10: 33-5-0 (86.8%) -10: 13-23-2 (36.1%) O/U: 16-22-0 (-2.26, 42.1%) avg total: 44.5 +6: 6-30-2 (16.7%) -6: 23-14-1 (62.2%) +10: 4-34-0 (10.5%) -10: 30-7-1 (81.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 29.8 126.8 31.2 20.3 246.3 0.9 6.4 9.4 6.8 5.7 28.3 Opp 24.4 98.2 33.7 18.6 190.9 2.0 2.9 4.6 2.5 4.0 13.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 30, 2000 Thursday 14 2000 Vikings Lions home 7-0 10-3 0-0 7-14 24-17 -9.0 49.0 7 -2.0 -8.0 -5.0 -3.0 W L U 0 Oct 18, 2001 Thursday 7 2001 Jaguars Bills home 0-0 0-3 7-7 3-3 10-13 -8.5 39.0 -3 -11.5 -16 -13.8 -2.2 L L U 0 Nov 25, 2004 Thursday 12 2004 Colts Lions away 13-6 14-3 14-0 0-0 41-9 -9.5 54.0 32 22.5 -4.0 9.2 -13.2 W W U 0 Sep 08, 2005 Thursday 1 2005 Patriots Raiders home 10-7 7-7 6-0 7-6 30-20 -7.5 49.5 10 2.5 0.5 1.5 -1.0 W W O 0 Nov 23, 2006 Thursday 12 2006 Cowboys Buccaneers home 7-7 14-3 14-0 3-0 38-10 -12.5 39.0 28 15.5 9.0 12.2 -3.2 W W O 0 Dec 07, 2006 Thursday 14 2006 Steelers Browns home 7-0 3-0 14-0 3-7 27-7 -7.5 34.5 20 12.5 -0.5 6.0 -6.5 W W U 0 Dec 14, 2006 Thursday 15 2006 Seahawks Fortyniners home 7-0 0-3 0-0 7-21 14-24 -9.5 44.0 -10 -19.5 -6.0 -12.8 6.8 L L U 0 Nov 22, 2007 Thursday 12 2007 Cowboys Jets home 7-0 14-3 3-0 10-0 34-3 -14.0 48.0 31 17.0 -11.0 3.0 -14.0 W W U 0 Nov 22, 2007 Thursday 12 2007 Colts Falcons away 0-10 21-3 10-0 0-0 31-13 -11.5 41.0 18 6.5 3.0 4.8 -1.8 W W O 0 Dec 20, 2007 Thursday 16 2007 Steelers Rams away 7-7 17-10 7-7 10-0 41-24 -7.5 43.5 17 9.5 21.5 15.5 6.0 W W O 0 Nov 20, 2008 Thursday 12 2008 Steelers Bengals home 0-7 10-0 10-0 7-3 27-10 -11.0 35.0 17 6.0 2.0 4.0 -2.0 W W O 0 Nov 27, 2008 Thursday 13 2008 Titans Lions away 21-3 14-7 6-0 6-0 47-10 -11.0 44.0 37 26.0 13.0 19.5 -6.5 W W O 0 Nov 27, 2008 Thursday 13 2008 Cowboys Seahawks home 14-3 10-3 7-3 3-0 34-9 -12.0 47.0 25 13.0 -4.0 4.5 -8.5 W W U 0 Dec 04, 2008 Thursday 14 2008 Chargers Raiders home 10-0 17-7 0-0 7-0 34-7 -9.5 43.0 27 17.5 -2.0 7.8 -9.8 W W U 0 Nov 26, 2009 Thursday 12 2009 Packers Lions away 0-7 13-0 14-0 7-5 34-12 -11.0 48.0 22 11.0 -2.0 4.5 -6.5 W W U 0 Nov 26, 2009 Thursday 12 2009 Cowboys Raiders home 3-0 14-0 0-7 7-0 24-7 -13.5 40.0 17 3.5 -9.0 -2.8 -6.2 W W U 0 Dec 10, 2009 Thursday 14 2009 Steelers Browns away 0-3 3-10 3-0 0-0 6-13 -10.0 33.0 -7 -17.0 -14.0 -15.5 1.5 L L U 0 Nov 25, 2010 Thursday 12 2010 Jets Bengals home 0-0 3-7 14-0 9-3 26-10 -9.5 43.0 16 6.5 -7.0 -0.2 -6.8 W W U 0 Dec 02, 2010 Thursday 13 2010 Eagles Texans home 7-3 13-7 0-14 14-0 34-24 -8.0 52.0 10 2.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 W W O 0 Dec 16, 2010 Thursday 15 2010 Chargers Fortyniners home 7-0 10-0 7-0 10-7 34-7 -10.0 44.5 27 17.0 -3.5 6.8 -10.2 W W U 0 Dec 23, 2010 Thursday 16 2010 Steelers Panthers home 3-0 17-0 7-0 0-3 27-3 -14.0 37.0 24 10.0 -7.0 1.5 -8.5 W W U 0 Dec 08, 2011 Thursday 14 2011 Steelers Browns home 7-3 0-0 0-0 7-0 14-3 -14.0 39.5 11 -3.0 -22.5 -12.8 -9.8 W L U 0 Dec 15, 2011 Thursday 15 2011 Falcons Jaguars home 10-0 17-0 14-7 0-7 41-14 -13.5 42.5 27 13.5 12.5 13.0 -0.5 W W O 0 Sep 27, 2012 Thursday 4 2012 Ravens Browns home 0-0 9-7 14-3 0-6 23-16 -12.0 44.0 7 -5.0 -5.0 -5.0 0.0 W L U 0 Oct 18, 2012 Thursday 7 2012 Fortyniners Seahawks home 3-3 0-3 7-0 3-0 13-6 -8.0 37.5 7 -1 -18.5 -9.8 -8.8 W L U 0 Nov 01, 2012 Thursday 9 2012 Chargers Chiefs home 7-0 3-3 0-3 21-7 31-13 -8.0 42.5 18 10 1.5 5.8 -4.2 W W O 0 Dec 06, 2012 Thursday 14 2012 Broncos Raiders away 10-0 3-7 13-0 0-6 26-13 -10.5 49.0 13 2.5 -10 -3.8 -6.2 W W U 0 Sep 05, 2013 Thursday 1 2013 Broncos Ravens home 0-7 14-10 21-0 14-10 49-27 -8.0 49.0 22 14.0 27.0 20.5 6.5 W W O 0 Sep 12, 2013 Thursday 2 2013 Patriots Jets home 10-3 3-0 0-7 0-0 13-10 -11.0 43.0 3 -8.0 -20.0 -14.0 -6.0 W L U 0 Oct 10, 2013 Thursday 6 2013 Bears Giants home 7-7 17-7 3-7 0-0 27-21 -7.5 46.5 6 -1.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 W L O 0 Nov 21, 2013 Thursday 12 2013 Saints Falcons away 7-7 7-6 3-0 0-0 17-13 -8.5 53.0 4 -4.5 -23.0 -13.8 -9.2 W L U 0 Nov 28, 2013 Thursday 13 2013 Cowboys Raiders home 7-7 7-14 7-0 10-3 31-24 -8.5 49.0 7 -1.5 6 2.2 3.8 W L O 0 Dec 12, 2013 Thursday 15 2013 Broncos Chargers home 10-3 0-14 0-7 10-3 20-27 -10.0 56.5 -7 -17.0 -9.5 -13.2 3.8 L L U 0 Oct 02, 2014 view Thursday 5 2014 Packers Vikings home 14-0 14-0 14-0 0-10 42-10 -9.0 47.5 32 23.0 4.5 13.8 -9.2 W W O 0 Oct 16, 2014 view Thursday 7 2014 Patriots Jets home 7-6 10-6 3-7 7-6 27-25 -9.5 44.5 2 -7.5 7.5 0.0 7.5 W L O 0 Oct 23, 2014 view Thursday 8 2014 Broncos Chargers home 0-0 14-7 14-7 7-7 35-21 -9.0 51.5 14 5 4.5 4.8 -0.2 W W O 0 Oct 29, 2015 view Thursday 8 2015 Patriots Dolphins home 7-0 12-0 3-7 14-0 36-7 -8.0 50.5 29 21.0 -7.5 6.8 -14.2 W W U 0 Nov 05, 2015 view Thursday 9 2015 Bengals Browns home -11.0 45.5

 

[justanobserver]

Later than week 7 and favorites of more than a TD since 2000:

week > 7 and line <= -7.5 and season >= 2000 and DIV
SU: 247-51-1 (10.89, 82.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 134-162-3 (0.76, 45.3%) avg line: -10.1 +6: 213-79-7 (72.9%) -6: 88-204-7 (30.1%) +10: 243-54-2 (81.8%) -10: 70-228-1 (23.5%) O/U: 134-160-5 (-0.70, 45.6%) avg total: 43.1 +6: 86-211-2 (29.0%) -6: 189-106-4 (64.1%) +10: 58-236-5 (19.7%) -10: 226-69-4 (76.6%)

 

[justanobserver]

Not saying the Browns don't have a chance but in a 300 game sample size thats a 17% winning %

 

[2DIMES]

I'm happy to see that the veterans of this forum can read through all this foolishness. The only danger to this idiot is the college kids and newbies coming for the first time in this forum for an extra couple bucks and fun. They would think that this clown is serious and start selling there books to make that big bet. This clown belongs with Donald Trump.

 

[Baronman]

Where do you get all this $$.One thread says you dont even Own pizza place. Now you say your in LA half the Time when your not in Philly selling your 300 Pizza Pies???

 

[Baronman]

Sammh. You started earlier if you keep losing you will reduce your Games to $500 a Play. Your down $18,000+ this week .Now you have Browns ML for $5,000 & Under for another $4,300. Now another $5,000 on ML first half. NO WAY . Quit Lying , you are FULL of it. Thats $14,300 on this Game. Your full of it Because your local Takes your action . No way you dont have the FUNDS.If There are any MODS out There, can you do some thing. Thank you the Real Baronman

 

[Mojogeo]

Hey observer, thanks for the chart//did u happen to see how the Browns have performed in that role......Covered all 3 since nov. 23rd 2006..hmmmmmmmm

 

[Sammy_Sunshine]

Agreed. My guess is he's either a huge browns fan/cinci hater or he has some inside information on the game. Otherwise this bet really doesn't make any sense - both from a stats perspective and a logical perspective. The play that makes the most sense is to just take the points and pray they cover. Don't really like doing that just because a team is a DD under-dog. I don't think betting on bad teams (who are wildly inconsistent) to consistently win you money is a good strategy, but that doesn't stop people from doing it so they can feel like a genius for picking the underdog. This is a situation where you either look like a genius or an idiot with the play (I'm sure you know that). I'm not saying you're right or wrong for making the play, but that it seems like it's pretty optimistic to bet Browns ML. Maybe you know something I don't.

Best of luck with your plays tonight and this weekend! This forum is a great place for information. There is a wealth of cappers here who are very knowledgeable about the game.

I live in philly suburbs. I'm an Eagles fan born and raised . This is a gift from the NFL, the Cleveland Browns & of course Sammy the freaking bull !!!

 

[Sammy_Sunshine]

Browns win this game 23-16

 

[justanobserver]

Hey observer, thanks for the chart//did u happen to see how the Browns have performed in that role......Covered all 3 since nov. 23rd 2006..hmmmmmmmm

I wasn't worried about covering at all, for the purpose of those stats it was the SU that i was worried about as mister Sammy has taken the ML.

This is a no bet for me (in all truthfullness i have a stupid 5 game parlay on tonight just so i have some action), i think there is a good chance that the Browns cover likely via backdoor shennanigans.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

We all know the Bengals will lose SU eventually.......I guess this is as good as any.

I have then going 9-0 & losing to the Cards in a few weeks.......but good luck, anything can happen!

 

[Sammy_Sunshine]

I just cant see any real reason to pick the Browns in this game. History and trends basically mean nothing. I can definitely see them covering 11 but picking them to win just makes no sense. Short week, on the road, against an undefeated team and Johnny football starting. If you predict this came correctly then you obviously have some inside info that most people don't. If your wrong what will you use as an excuse? Injuries, penalties, and bad calls are not good reasons. If you are right, I will be the first one to praise you.

I'll be waiting for your appearance around 11:59 ..

 

[RyanTRuchie]

Sammy Sunshine lets rock and roll!

 

[Sammy_Sunshine]

GL sammy..I like the Browns too but not straight up.I hope we both win..also nice to see another philly neighbor in here..BOL rest of the way

We love our Eagles! I'm Sammy & it's nice to meet you.