***Rx Community Baseball System***

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Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
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I'm in and already working on something. Here's a little data to get the real conversation started.

<table style="width: 426pt; border-collapse: collapse;" x:str="" width="570" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><colgroup><col style="width: 48pt;" width="64"><col style="width: 95pt;" width="127"><col style="width: 47pt;" span="2" width="63"><col style="width: 95pt;" width="127"><col style="width: 47pt;" span="2" width="63"></colgroup><tbody><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); width: 48pt; height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" width="64" height="17">team</td><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); width: 95pt; background-color: transparent;" width="127">SU Record</td><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); width: 47pt; background-color: transparent;" width="63">$ On</td><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); width: 47pt; background-color: transparent;" width="63">$ Against</td><td class="xl24" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); width: 95pt; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);" width="127">RL Record</td><td class="xl24" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); width: 47pt; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);" width="63">$ On</td><td class="xl24" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); width: 47pt; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);" width="63">$ Against</td></tr><tr style="height: 13.5pt;" height="18"><td class="xl23" style="border-style: none none solid; border-color: rgb(236, 233, 216) rgb(236, 233, 216) windowtext; border-width: medium medium 1pt; height: 13.5pt; background-color: transparent;" height="18">
</td><td class="xl23" style="border-style: none none solid; border-color: rgb(236, 233, 216) rgb(236, 233, 216) windowtext; border-width: medium medium 1pt; background-color: transparent;">W-L (marg, % win)</td><td class="xl23" style="border-style: none none solid; border-color: rgb(236, 233, 216) rgb(236, 233, 216) windowtext; border-width: medium medium 1pt; background-color: transparent;">
</td><td class="xl23" style="border-style: none none solid; border-color: rgb(236, 233, 216) rgb(236, 233, 216) windowtext; border-width: medium medium 1pt; background-color: transparent;">
</td><td class="xl25" style="border-style: none none solid; border-color: rgb(236, 233, 216) rgb(236, 233, 216) windowtext; border-width: medium medium 1pt; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">W-L (marg, % win)</td><td class="xl25" style="border-style: none none solid; border-color: rgb(236, 233, 216) rgb(236, 233, 216) windowtext; border-width: medium medium 1pt; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">
</td><td class="xl25" style="border-style: none none solid; border-color: rgb(236, 233, 216) rgb(236, 233, 216) windowtext; border-width: medium medium 1pt; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">
</td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Dodgers</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">27-13 (1.77, 67.5%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">1235 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-1400 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">23-17 (1.32, 57.5%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">610 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-850 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Blue Jays</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">27-14 (1.46, 65.9%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">1210 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-1370 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">20-21 (1.13, 48.8%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-70 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-120 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Rangers</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">23-14 (0.81, 62.2%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">1070 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-1285 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">22-15 (1.01, 59.5%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">695 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-810 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Brewers</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">24-14 (0.97, 63.2%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">1035 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-1155 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">24-14 (0.89, 63.2%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">1250 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-1455 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Reds</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">20-17 (0.16, 54.1%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">460 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-690 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">22-15 (0.36, 59.5%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">710 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-825 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Tigers</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">20-16 (0.86, 55.6%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">350 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-495 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">20-16 (0.94, 55.6%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">360 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-560 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Angels</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">19-18 (-0.03, 51.4%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">270 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-470 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">18-19 (0.09, 48.6%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-295 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">125 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Royals</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">20-18 (0.47, 52.6%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">260 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-410 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">24-14 (0.55, 63.2%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">1130 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-1315 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Cubs</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">21-15 (0.42, 58.3%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">140 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-295 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">20-16 (-0.50, 55.6%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">735 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-920 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Giants</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">19-18 (-0.41, 51.4%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">115 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-265 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">19-18 (-0.20, 51.4%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">105 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-345 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Red Sox</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">22-16 (0.47, 57.9%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">85 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-300 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">19-18 (-0.45, 51.4%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">355 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-460 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Cardinals</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">21-17 (0.29, 55.3%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">75 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-285 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">19-19 (-0.34, 50.0%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">380 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-560 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Mets</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">21-17 (0.63, 55.3%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-30 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-185 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">17-21 (0.00, 44.7%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-520 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">330 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Phillies</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">20-16 (0.33, 55.6%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-40 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-185 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">16-19 (-0.27, 45.7%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-165 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">50 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Astros</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">17-19 (-0.53, 47.2%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-65 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-100 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">16-20 (0.06, 44.4%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-865 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">650 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Marlins</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">18-20 (-0.50, 47.4%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-180 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">5 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">17-21 (-0.34, 44.7%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-785 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">565 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Pirates</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">17-21 (0.24, 44.7%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-205 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">0 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">21-17 (1.11, 55.3%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">155 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-380 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Rays</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">20-20 (0.62, 50.0%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-255 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">20 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">21-19 (0.17, 52.5%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">340 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-475 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Yankees</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">21-17 (-0.34, 55.3%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-285 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">80 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">16-22 (-1.21, 42.1%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-800 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">670 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Mariners</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">18-21 (-0.77, 46.2%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-300 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">125 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">20-19 (-0.19, 51.3%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-240 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">85 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Orioles</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">16-22 (-0.87, 42.1%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-385 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">185 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">17-20 (-0.20, 45.9%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-480 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">345 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Braves</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">18-19 (-0.35, 48.6%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-390 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">180 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">16-21 (-0.88, 43.2%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-510 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">360 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Twins</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">18-21 (-0.46, 46.2%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-410 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">260 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">18-19 (-0.28, 48.6%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-95 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-75 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Padres</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">16-22 (-1.24, 42.1%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-550 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">340 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">19-19 (-0.61, 50.0%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-260 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">70 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Rockies</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">15-22 (0.11, 40.5%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-700 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">490 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">18-19 (0.23, 48.6%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-280 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">150 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">White Sox</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">15-22 (-0.95, 40.5%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-775 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">615 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">17-20 (-0.82, 45.9%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-370 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">260 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Athletics</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">13-22 (-0.86, 37.1%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-910 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">760 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">17-18 (-0.30, 48.6%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-410 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">250 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Diamondbacks</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">14-23 (-0.76, 37.8%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-1165 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">920 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">15-22 (-0.88, 40.5%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-1035 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">880 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Indians</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">14-25 (-0.56, 35.9%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-1215 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">995 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">15-24 (-0.53, 38.5%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-1180 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">1020 </td></tr><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td class="xl22" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); height: 12.75pt; background-color: transparent;" height="17">Nationals</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">11-26 (-1.30, 29.7%)</td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">-1250 </td><td style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: transparent;">1110 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">16-20 (-0.11, 44.4%)</td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">-1010 </td><td class="xl26" style="border: medium none rgb(236, 233, 216); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">795 </td></tr></tbody></table>

The Jackal...you have mail. :103631605
 

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Decided to go back through the season to see how the current top three run differential teams fared as favorites of -140 to -160 (home or away and I used opening lines). Obviously it's an enormously small (sorry for the oxymoron) sample size, but I just wanted to get an idea.

LAD 11-2 overall, 8-5 vs the RL
Toronto 7-2 overall, 5-4 vs the RL
Milwaukee 7-2, 5-4 vs the RL

This gives an overall total of 18-13 vs the RL


Middle of the pack teams (14,15,16):

NYY 3-4 overall, 2-5 vs the RL
Colorado 2-4 overall, 1-5 vs the RL
LAA 2-1 overall, 2-1 vs the RL

Overall total 5-11 vs the RL


Bottom three overall:

Washington 1-0 overall, 1-0 vs the RL (interesting the Nationals haven't at any time been an away favorite this year)
Baltimore 1-2 overall, 1-2 vs the RL
San Diego 2-1 overall, 2-1 vs the RL

Overall total: 4-3 vs the RL


Some more info: home favorites of -140 to -160 (again, opening line) are outscoring opponents 662 to 553 (an average of .88 runs per game). away favorites of the same range are outscoring opponents 188 to 166 (an average of .61 runs per game)

What else can I analyze..?
 

CTP

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Not sure where you are headed with this one. If you want to under take the task go to Pops thread on capping 101. His master of which he posts there has all the data you need. I copied a part of it that deals with M/L ranges of -141 to -160. Then I counted up all the 2 run covers for each of the teams. Did the same for opponents of those same teams. I have last years data and think I could include it if you wish.

<TABLE style="WIDTH: 231pt; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=308 border=0><COLGROUP><COL style="WIDTH: 82pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 3986" width=109><COL style="WIDTH: 84pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 4096" width=112><COL style="WIDTH: 65pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 3181" width=87><TBODY><TR style="HEIGHT: 21.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=29><TD class=xl4085 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; WIDTH: 82pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 21.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=109 height=29>(-141 TO-160)</TD><TD class=xl4085 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 84pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=112>(-141 TO-160)</TD><TD class=xl4085 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87></TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 24.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=33><TD class=xl4085 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; WIDTH: 82pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 24.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=109 height=33>2 RUN CVR HM</TD><TD class=xl4085 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 84pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=112>2 RUN CVR OPP</TD><TD class=xl4085 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87></TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 24pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=32><TD class=xl4086 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; WIDTH: 82pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 24pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=109 height=32>60</TD><TD class=xl4086 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 84pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=112>61</TD><TD class=xl4086 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>62</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>1-1</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">1-2</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>ARI</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>0-2</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">0-1</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>ATL</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>0-1</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">1-1</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>BAL</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>4-0</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">0-0</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>BOS</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>3-1</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">2-4</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>CIN</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>1-2</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">1-1</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>CLE</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>0-3</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">1-1</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>COL</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>4-0</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">1-0</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>CUB</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>2-2</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">2-2</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>CWS</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>1-0</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">3-0</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>DET</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>0-4</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">3-1</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>FLA</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>0-3</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">3-2</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>HOU</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>2-1</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">1-1</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>KAN</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>1-0</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">1-0</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>LAA</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>5-2</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">1-1</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>LOS</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>4-3</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">0-4</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>MIL</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>3-3</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">0-1</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>MIN</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>0-2</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">1-2</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>NYM</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>0-0</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">3-0</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>NYY</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>0-0</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">0-1</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>OAK</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>0-2</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">0-3</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>PHI</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>0-1</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">3-2</TD><TD class=xl4088 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; WIDTH: 65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=87>PIT</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>2-0</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">3-3</TD><TD class=xl4089 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">SDG</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>0-1</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">2-1</TD><TD class=xl4089 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">SEA</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>1-3</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">4-0</TD><TD class=xl4089 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">SFO</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>3-1</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">1-1</TD><TD class=xl4089 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">STL</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>0-2</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">1-0</TD><TD class=xl4089 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">TAM</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>1-1</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">0-3</TD><TD class=xl4089 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">TEX</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>2-2</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">2-4</TD><TD class=xl4089 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">TOR</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-height-source: userset" height=17><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>1-0</TD><TD class=xl4087 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">0-1</TD><TD class=xl4089 style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: windowtext; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent">WAS</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

I should have reversed the second col. As an example the NYY as a visitor against teams in the -141 to -160 M/L range have lost all 3 times they faced a home favorite in that range. It indicates wins but counted the 2 run cover for the home team.
 

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I'm In!

Sorry I'm a litle late to the thread, however anything I can do to contribute would be my delight.
Paps
 

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I saw on another forum a thread with people chasing the biggest FAV on the runline everyday, not the same team, just the fav whatever it is. so simple.
They make money too.
 

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Decided to go back through the season to see how the current top three run differential teams fared as favorites of -140 to -160 (home or away and I used opening lines). Obviously it's an enormously small (sorry for the oxymoron) sample size, but I just wanted to get an idea.

LAD 11-2 overall, 8-5 vs the RL
Toronto 7-2 overall, 5-4 vs the RL
Milwaukee 7-2, 5-4 vs the RL

This gives an overall total of 18-13 vs the RL


Middle of the pack teams (14,15,16):

NYY 3-4 overall, 2-5 vs the RL
Colorado 2-4 overall, 1-5 vs the RL
LAA 2-1 overall, 2-1 vs the RL

Overall total 5-11 vs the RL


Bottom three overall:

Washington 1-0 overall, 1-0 vs the RL (interesting the Nationals haven't at any time been an away favorite this year)
Baltimore 1-2 overall, 1-2 vs the RL
San Diego 2-1 overall, 2-1 vs the RL

Overall total: 4-3 vs the RL


Some more info: home favorites of -140 to -160 (again, opening line) are outscoring opponents 662 to 553 (an average of .88 runs per game). away favorites of the same range are outscoring opponents 188 to 166 (an average of .61 runs per game)

What else can I analyze..?

Shouldn't the run line records only include the games the teams actually won? For example, LA Dodgers 11-2 overall record and 8-5 vs the rl. The rl record should only include the 11 wins, cause the two games they lost as favourites they didn't cover the ml either, so the rl cover is moot.
 

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Not sure where you are headed with this one. If you want to under take the task go to Pops thread on capping 101. His master of which he posts there has all the data you need. I copied a part of it that deals with M/L ranges of -141 to -160. Then I counted up all the 2 run covers for each of the teams. Did the same for opponents of those same teams. I have last years data and think I could include it if you wish.


Yea, I used pops' sheet for this year's data on -140 to -160 runline covers that I posted above. Really is an awesome sheet he has. I'm just looking at the statistics MJ posted above where if a favorite of -140 to -160 wins the game outright, they win by 2 or more 74.8% of the time. I think that could be used to a great advantage, and that's where I'm headed. I'll work on some stuff and let you know if I get anywhere...
 

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Shouldn't the run line records only include the games the teams actually won? For example, LA Dodgers 11-2 overall record and 8-5 vs the rl. The rl record should only include the 11 wins, cause the two games they lost as favourites they didn't cover the ml either, so the rl cover is moot.

If I was just checking the percentages MJ posted above, then I would be using only the games they won. But I was looking at the overall RL record. If I bet them on the RL and they lose the game, I still lose my bet..
 

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If I was just checking the percentages MJ posted above, then I would be using only the games they won. But I was looking at the overall RL record. If I bet them on the RL and they lose the game, I still lose my bet..

Ah ok. I keep track of my own rl record bets and don't include the games that lost cause they're losers on the ml too. Cause I'm calculating the difference in profit myself, so if a team loses outright, there's no missed out profit cause I would have lost on the ml as well, so it's a moot point.
 

CTP

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Don't you need to make a comparison between favorites -141 to -160 win loss record as compared to the -1.5 run line. There are 12 games within this range where the favorite won by 1 run. I believe that is where you lose value. Granted you get a line that is affordable but can you afford to lose 12 wagers that could have been won?

I believe someone within MJ's thread posted taking those favorites at half a unit straight up and half a unit on the -1.5 run line. You reduce to vig substantially. At least that is what I do. Since I started that I have had one instance where the favorite won by 1 run. In that case I won the M/L wager and lost the run line so close to a break even.
 

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As I see it there has been 33 games where those big favorites have won by 1 run. Big favorites I used starting at -141. Does not seem trivial.
 

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Jsut in case a few want to play with a little data I threw it quickly into an online spreadsheet:

http://www.editgrid.com/user/thejackal/RunLine

Thisi s not autoupdating at the moment but I can certainly make it that way after we make a little more progress. Just a few categories to filter on to see if anything jumps out. For example, filter on home and +1.5 and you will notice that it is up decent $$ so far this year. Any trend identified can certainly be backtested for prior years (back to 2004).
 

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I understand your argument, but I think this thread is about developing a system for when to bet the RL and when not to bet the RL for more profits.

For example, with the top 3 run differential teams I posted before, if I bet the ML on all games -140 to -160 (using a $100 wager), I would be up $1066.67. However, if on those same games I bet $100 on the RL, I would be up $1220. Nearly a two-unit difference and throughout the course of a season, that will turn out to be huge. This would have worked perfectly if we had a system that said bet so and so team that fits the Dodgers description when playing so and so team that fits the opponent's description. It's more complex than just betting a certain team against the RL, because that is guaranteed to be altered through the course of a season. However, if we can come up with a system that works for any certain team falling into a certain category against an opponent (say, a team with bigger run differential and lower bullpen ERA, etc - it will definitely need to be more complex and based on statistics, but I'm just using an example), I'm suggesting that we can have an even better percentage of RL wins and increased profits than the two units mentioned above.

This thread is trying to develop a system for when to bet the RL instead of the ML. From the numbers posted above by MJ on the % of winners that cover RL's, I simply suggested that we use favorites of -140 to -160 as the basis of our system and go from there. Definitely not the only answer and maybe not even the best, but I'm just looking at the percentages and basing my beginning criteria off of that. Seems to stand to reason that that would be the best range though - too difficult to pick winners on anything less and not enough value on anything more...

We would have to be able to back test statistics into previous games though, which would be very difficult to do. If we couldn't, and even if we just tested from here on out in the season, it still would probably not even be a big enough sample size.

Let me know if anyone is following this...
 

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It looks like having a community effort for system building is a little harder than planned.

Oh well we tried...I think the problem is too many cooks in the kitchen type of thing. There are many good ideas, but one good idea seldom fits with another idea...so each idea ends up being it's own system.

It's probably doomed from the start.

Having said all that...I'm getting very close to having a Run Line system.

This isn't just something I threw together...I've been researching and working on this for at least a year.

If nothing else, this thread has inspired me to get it done.
 

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MJ, Im still very interested in this system so anything you develope I would like to hear it. Also if you need input im open.
 

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MJ, Im still very interested in this system so anything you develope I would like to hear it. Also if you need input im open.

Yep, I think this is still a viable endeavor. I have also been working on a RL method for nearly a year......(on and off, but mostly off). I have corresponded via PM with another thread contributor and am getting close to a beta test.

MrJj, I'd certainly be interested in whatever you can come up with.

Thanks for your effort....
 

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What happened to this thread? As I mentioned previously, I have been working on a beta version of "1st inning score" management. For no apparent reason I started alphabetically, and it's not finished, but today we have a matchup that can be analyzed.

#979 CWS John Danks
#980 LAA Ervin Santana

These are stats from 2008 ONLY.

Danks on the Road: 15 starts opponents scored (1st Inn) 3 times
Santana at Home: 18 starts opponents scored (1st Inn) 3 times

With Danks pitching (15 road starts), White Sox were involved in only 5 games that included runs scored in the 1st inning. Of those 5, Danks opponents scored in 3 games.

With Santana pitching (18 home starts), Angels were involved in only 9 games that included runs scored in the 1st inning. Of those 9, Santana opponents scored in 3 games.

While the numbers are not refined, it appears the chances for a run in the 1st inning is going to be roughly 1 in 5, or 20%. At even money, one would only need to win this bet every 5 times to break even, but you can find this wager at +110.

PLAY: NO run scored 1st Inning +110
 

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1st inning bets

What site can you bet on with 1st inning only props?
Thanks!
 

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Got it! and have I've already bet it.

Although someone must have layed down some cake on this guy...already at -125????
 

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