Running Dogs

exploited17 · Dec 21, 2020

stander said:
Wouldn't North Texas qualify today? 230 rush yards per game.

I have no clue how this is done.
Most people don't either
Someone who might know wanna jump in and post them?

exploited17 · Dec 21, 2020

stander said:
Wouldn't North Texas qualify today? 230 rush yards per game.

I doubt it
App St has more rushing yards a game. Higher net rushing yards a game and average net per carry

skins85 · Dec 21, 2020

stander said:
Wouldn't North Texas qualify today? 230 rush yards per game.

"Just to be clear - in this system, the better rushing team is (ypc - avg. ypca of defenses faced) + ( avg. ypc of offenses faced - ypca)"

this is from the link someone already posted but i dont think its just as simple as looking at the rushing yards per game. you gotta dig into it to see if it qualifies

lewis · Dec 21, 2020

stander said:
Wouldn't North Texas qualify today? 230 rush yards per game.

North Texas doesn't qualify

North Texas gives up more yards on the ground than APP St.

Liberty is the first that fits this system that I see........This system isn't nearly as good as it used to be due to teams throwing the ball a lot more than they used to. I do look at it each and every week to strengthen or weaken my take on a certain team.

Example of how I use it: Liberty will be a play for me because my numbers have them losing by 1 but with them having the rushing advantage, it strengthens this play for me

GL

stander · Dec 21, 2020

Been looking through some old Go Sooners threads:

Running dogs 2018-2019 (therxforum.com)

Here is an SDQL sports site that was posted: KillerSports.com

Here is some info I got from the htread:

rolltide said:
happy to automate this for you and create a query that would allow me to dig deeper and find some situations well above 60% but I must not be following because I don't come up with anything similar

running the same thing you posted (minus the FCS piece) and you get http://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...nd+game+type+=+BG+and+D+&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++

I'm running

(dog's offensive YPRA-fav's defensive YPRA) + (fav's offensive YPRA-dog's defensive YPRA)> 0

No Coke said:
If I’m following correctly I think your formula is a little off. The “opponent” part of the formula should be the average of the teams they’ve played thus far. So when calculating Oklahoma, you would need to take the average of FAU, UCLA, etc. offensive and defensive ypra. And then if the number greater than Alabama’s, OU a running dog.

So it should be:

(Oklahoma’s OYPRA - average of schools played’s DYPRA) + (average of schools played’s OYPRA - Oklahoma’s DYPRA).

And compare it to

(Alabama’s OYPRA - average of schools played’s DYPRA) + (average of schools played’s OYPRA - Alabama’s DYPRA).

Curious to see what you’d come back with if you could make that work.

No Coke: Should be (off ypc - opponents d ypc) + (opponents ypc - def ypc), adjusted for FCS games. If the dog has a higher # than the favorite, it’s a running dog.

I'm not having too much luck with this so far. I'm sure this kind of thing is easy-peasy to someone.

stander · Dec 21, 2020

Nevermind of someone already posted. A day late and a dollar short as usual. Good luck everyone!

NoCoke · Dec 21, 2020

The old GS Running Dogs system was correctly identified by skins and stander.

The site I pull my stats from hasn't been updated for Saturday's games. Looking at the numbers before Saturday's games, there likely won't be a play until Wednesday. Hopefully I will be able to update and share by then.

stander · Dec 21, 2020

Thanks No Coke! Merry Christmas and best of luck on the bowls!

NoCoke · Dec 22, 2020

Same to you Stander, good to see you still around.

I calculated 4 (will be 5 if Army opens up as an underdog) running dogs this year. There was some issues calculating this year because of all of the schedule changes, but I'm fairly confident these are correct. Significantly fewer RDs than in prior years. Not sure how big of an impact the shorter layoffs will have on RDs.

Seems like a big step-up for FAU and their dreadful offense. OU is interesting, going up against a team in a letdown spot with more opt-outs likely coming. Auburn would likely finish near the top in any other conference and they have a significant talent advantage, though that is the norm for NW. Small sample size for OSU and they're up against their kryptonite. Army would be a RD of 1.11.