Updated records to come after today's games... got a lot of stuff on my plate today so I won't be around much.
PSV -1 +105
PSV have been known to fair better in this stage of the competition on the road then they do at home. Drawing last match day to AIK left them with a bad taste in their mouth and a dog fight for second place with Napoli. This is a must win game for them and we don't have to worry about their motivation for this one. These Dutch sides take the competition seriously, because it could mean a lot of money for their club. Last year at this stage in the competition PSV won 3-1, 1-0 and 3-0 on the road. Look for a repeat of that scoreline here today.
Newcastle/Brugge under 2.5 -105, Newcastle PK -115
Brugge are a mess. They are back to their losing ways in Belgium and in the Europa League and have just fired their coach. The team is in shambles and now face a Newcastle team that can secure their spot in the next round with a win here today. That would be big for Newcastle because it means they can rest key players for the remainder of the group stage. Newcastle have also been a tough squad to break down in the Europa League as they have brought their bruising, physical style of the premier league into this competition. They have yet to concede in their first three games, while Brugge have been held scoreless twice. I see a tight fought 1-0 victory for Newcastle here today. Play the under and Newcastle on the PK.
Marseille/Monchengladbach over 2.5 -110, Marseille -125
Still bitter about losing this over last time out where the game ended 2-0, but could just of easily finished 3-2. As a result though, we get a generous vig of only -110 on the game to go over a second time around. Marseille score plenty of goals at home in this competition and the French league. Monchengladbach has a leaky defense that Marseille will be sure to take advantage of. Marseille currently sits in third place so a win for them today is crucial. They should open up and play an exciting attack minded game that will see this one go over comfortably. Lock in the over and Marseille and celebrate a 3-1 victory for the French side.
Sparta Prague/HAPOEL Ironi over 2.5 -120
Hapoel has proven they can score goals at home, notching three against Lyon in matchday two, while Prague has scored seven in three matches thus far. These two teams met last match day where Sparta won 3-1. Expect a similar amount of goals here as Hapoel will be pressing, knowing this is a must win. Hapoel should be able to score a couple while Prague will do the same. I see a 2-2, at worst 2-1 scoreline here.
These are all my plays for today. Good Luck!