Reverse Line Moves ML RL & Totals.

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

D3 does that mean you would play CWS +1.5 -1.20 if you played it?

 

[d3nv3r]

D3 does that mean you would play CWS +1.5 -1.20 if you played it?

yes, but staying away from the ML/RL personally and just taking the over.

keep in mind only 74% of the public is on KC, so it doesn't fit the system.

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

So did Clev. fit the system?

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

D3 I found powerz his last post was on 5/18 do you know what his W/L is?

 

[d3nv3r]

Cleveland won, nice

 

[d3nv3r]

Anti Public System Play: Houston or +1.5

92% of Public on LAA

RLM in favor of Houston

LAA from -220 to -169 (current)

06:50 AM: Sharp line move detected against Los Angeles Angels
06:52 AM: The smart money is coming on Houston
08:25 AM: Sharp line move detected against Los Angeles Angels
05:13 PM: The smart money is coming on Houston (RL)
06:52 PM: Sharp line move detected against Los Angeles Angels

 

[d3nv3r]

06:52 AM: Sharp line move detected against Kansas City (RL)
10:48 AM: The smart money is coming on Chicago White Sox
06:51 PM: Sharp line move detected against Kansas City( RL)
09:40 PM: Sharp line move detected against Kansas City

RLM for KC from -140 to -115

KC ML public: 60%
KC Spread public: 49%

 

[pontguard3]

Powerz where you been????

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

Which time zone are you posting D3 Example 9:40 PM ?

 

[d3nv3r]

05:14 PM: Sharp line move detected in favor of Baltimore

08:07 AM: Sharp line move detected in favor of Los Angeles Dodgers (RL)

03:40 PM: Sharp line move detected in favor of Atlanta

10:36 AM: Sharp line move detected against Seattle

NYY RLM from -125 to +135 (current)

MIA RLM from -115 to +108 (won game anyway by 4-3 in the 9th)

 

[d3nv3r]

Which time zone are you posting D3 Example 9:40 PM ?

if you set the forum to your time zone you will see what time I post.

check the settings for time zone

 

[d3nv3r]

unless the Sharps start pounding the Mets and Dbacks late there is no "anti piblic" play so far today.

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

D3 in post #70 above it was posted at 4:58pm which is the correct time.
Your 1st line move says 5:14pm sometimes it is hours off?

 

[d3nv3r]

that is the actual time the line moved (ET)

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

TY I am Central so if the sharps start betting on the Mets R/L you would take the LAD -1.5 runs correct?
Right now on zcode it shows that Spread Public on LAD is 80% then they show the # of tickets sold.
A lot of times these #'s contradict each other for example right now they have 311 spread tickets sold for
the Lad and 81 tickets for the Mets then the Spread ticket difference is -230 sometimes in this same example
the -230 will be 230?

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

D3 I have been using oddsshark.com for my odds and consensus % the odds are very close
but the % are way off how do we know who is better. And how do we know how much
money was wagered on each of those tickets. I think the only thing that might be accurate
on zcode is there graphs. What do you think?

 

[d3nv3r]

I'm not 100% sure how they get the public numbers but what I do see is when ever a line spikes or has sharp movement the number does change in real time (most of the time) on most books. I like to compare public numbers with other sites and they do tend to be similar.

Sportsplays for example only has consensus for the cappers registered on the site and can sometime give you a better idea of what people are on.

I've also been told by people in the industry that public consensus sites like the one you pointed out are total bs and are a tool for Vegas to make more $$

ignore the public and spend time handicapping games that catch your eye when the lines come out, when you see the line going in your favor or a dog you liked become a fav by RLM, bet it.

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

TY you D3 Who do you use to get the opening lines that you like to use to compare line moves to?
So if I like the SDP at -165 and the line drops to -145 this would be in my favor because it only
cost me -45 right? RLM is when the public is betting on the fav and Vegas moves the line down
making it look like the public is betting on the dog now my dog becomes the fav that nobody
is betting on is this right?

 

[d3nv3r]

RLM can happen do to many things; sharp money, public money, last minute player changes etc. When the public pounds a line and it doesn't move or even moves against the public money, that's when the anti public system comes into play (any ML with at least 80% public).

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

​Ty you using zcode for the 80% or more info?