Randizzle's Week 5 NCAAF!! **(15-2-2 YTD)**

[Randizzle14]

Im Down....

Lets do it!!

 

[lumpy]

Ucf-4

Got to agree. Have seen all of the Miner games and the defense is just not there. QB is questionable with an ankle sprain from last game. Only danger is UCF coming in overconfident and complacent like USC last night.

 

[vinnyvegas]

GL ran...opposite tonight of you.

 

[Randizzle14]

Lets go Louisville....Hope we can cash tonight!!!

 

[Randizzle14]

That didnt go as planned..

Oh well, you win some, you lose some, not disappointed tho. Had a 4 point lead in 4th, and gave it up. That was anyones game.

We will get back on track this weekend for sure.

16-3-2 on season (+41.8 Units)

 

[Randizzle14]

One more game

Game 7
-------
NEVADA (1 - 2) at UNLV (3 - 1)
Week 5 Saturday, 9/27/2008 10:00 PM

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=copy noWrap width="5%">NEVADA (ATS)</TD><TD class=copy noWrap width="45%">

(23%)</TD><TD width="5%">OVER

</TD><TD class=copy noWrap width="45%">

(92%)</TD></TR><TR><TD class=copy noWrap>UNLV (ATS)</TD><TD class=copy noWrap>

(77%)</TD><TD class=copy noWrap>UNDER</TD><TD class=copy noWrap>

(8%)</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NEVADA) - with a poor scoring defense - allowing 31 or more points/game, after a loss by 35 or more points.
(27-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.8%)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (21-13 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.5
The average score in these games was: Team 29.9, Opponent 26.3 (Average point differential = +3.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 20 (58.8% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-3).

With a strong SOS, better Rush defense, and averaging 1.6 YPR more than UNLV, Im not sure why they are receiving points in this game.

If thats not enough, let's remember that UNLV won in overtime last week. Here is an interesting Trend:

Favorites of 3-21 pts after winning in OverTime as a Home Favorite the previous week (UNLV) are 3-27 ATS in last 30.

Plus, its always nice to be on the other side of public.

Im Taking Nevada +4

:cripwalk:

 

[Randizzle14]

Games I like, but not enough...

Close to making the cut:
____________________
SDST -11
Navy +17
BAMA +7.5
Indiana +8.5
Miami -7
Houston +10.5
California -26
Maryland +11
Florida St. -5
SJST +3
:think2:

Liked alot of these games, but can only play so many every week.

 

[thesandman1]

R14. One hell of a run. You have one thing in your favor that anyone can have and that is limiting the number of games you play. Stay disciplined and you should keep winning.

 

[Randizzle14]

sandman

R14. One hell of a run. You have one thing in your favor that anyone can have and that is limiting the number of games you play. Stay disciplined and you should keep winning.

Thanks bud, It is hard not too pull the trigger, but you are right, more profitable to limit my games so I do. That's what its all about anyway right?? :money8:

 

[gmoney72]

I've been watching you. Nice work. Impressive

 

[sportsmonitor]

Got my one good brown eye on you as well

Good job so far.....keep it upope:

on Ball St. and W. Mich as well

 

[Randizzle14]

Thanks

I've been watching you. Nice work. Impressive

Thanks Bud, Just trying to contribute.

 

[Randizzle14]

update

LSU -23.5 (3 Units)SMU +18 (3 Units) (WINNER)<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">Ball St.</st1:address></st1:Street> -17 (3 Units) (WINNER)<st1:City w:st="on">Louisville</st1:City> -2.5 (3 Units) (loss)UCF -4 (3 Units)<st1lace w:st="on">W. Michigan</st1lace> -3 (3 Units)<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
<st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Nevada</st1lace></st1:State> +4<o></o>
<o> </o>
Close to making the cut: Did not wager these, just tracking for when I look back and see how I capped and what I couldve done differently.
____________________
SDST -11Navy +17BAMA +7.5Indiana +8.5 (loss)Miami -7 (loss)Houston +10.5California -26Maryland +11 (WINNER)Florida St. -5SJST +3

So Far so good. Let's hope for some cash ins tonight.:toast:

 

[Randizzle14]

Update

Update:
FINAL PLAYS:
_____________
LSU -23.5 (3 Units) (Pending)
SMU +18 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Ball St. -17 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Louisville -2.5 (3 Units) (loss)
UCF -4 (3 Units) (Pending)
W. Michigan -3 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Nevada +4 (pending)

Having another solid day so Far Lets Keep rolling.

3-1-0 So Far

(18-3-2 +47 Units YTD) :toast:

 

[fearthis]

They all look good. If I have enough fund, I'll play them all. Thanks Randizzle

 

[DaiJoe]

great work so far randizzle..
i am assuming Nevada +4 is for 3 Units also?

 

[Randizzle14]

Yes

great work so far randizzle..
i am assuming Nevada +4 is for 3 Units also?

3 Units it is Sir. And Thankd for the kind words.:toast:

 

[CaptFlippy]

Great job; getting those early lines helps my guy went to 4- on W Mich and 21 on Ball St, Loss and push on this end! Keep up the good work!

 

[Randizzle14]

Thanks Captflippy

Great job; getting those early lines helps my guy went to 4- on W Mich and 21 on Ball St, Loss and push on this end! Keep up the good work!

Yeah, I usually have my plays Ready to go by Tuesday or wednesday (always an exception of course, if I think a line will move in my favor.)

That's a bummer about WM, but atleast you pushed on both of them and did not lose by a half point. GL the rest of the night.:toast:

 

[CaptFlippy]

I lost on W. Mich! Shit Happens, I was prepared to go at 5, Oh well, best of luck.