Question about totals for NBA bettors

[HinesWard86]

I don't think middling totals is a good strategy. You only get once chance to hit your middle.....unlike a side middle where it can move back and forth. Also middles on large numbers seem less likely to hit...a 3-5 middle is more likely to hit than say 28-30 middle.

Absolutely.

This is the first time I've looked at middling totals, but I think four points is profitable long term if you can get it. I may very well be wrong though.

 

[NorthernStar]

I just quickly glanced at the last 42 nba games....if the line was 200 for example....I looked to see if the final was 198-202. There was one game. You need 1 in 20 to break even. That of course is a very small sample....but I still don't think you would make a profit.

 

[HinesWard86]

I just quickly glanced at the last 42 nba games....if the line was 200 for example....I looked to see if the final was 198-202. There was one game. You need 1 in 20 to break even. That of course is a very small sample....but I still don't think you would make a profit.

Thanks for the info. I appreciate it.

 

[HinesWard86]

Okay this might be profitable long-term

102 NBA games between March 1-March 14.

11 fell within +/- 2 points of the total per Covers.

Need 22-25 points in the last 4 mins of this Magic game to get it though. Not likely.

 

[Halifax]

I pretty much emptied out one of my accounts doing it.

It was the Utah/Orlando game. I have Over 202 and Under 205.

Do you know any numbers of how profitable it is ww?

What you have there is a 3 point middle, not a 4 point middle.

More precisely, you have full middles working on 2 numbers (203 and 204), and sides ("half-middles") working on 2 numbers (on 202 and 205).

Add it all up, and it's effectively a 3 point middle.


.

 

[HinesWard86]

What you have there is a 3 point middle, not a 4 point middle.

More precisely, you have full middles working on 2 numbers (203 and 204), and sides ("half-middles") working on 2 numbers (on 202 and 205).

Add it all up, and it's effectively a 3 point middle.


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I understand what you are saying, but I call it a four point middle because four numbers win.

 

[whalewager]

side or middle...both profit

 

[Halifax]

side or middle...both profit

I don't generally try to middle NBA totals, but I think a 3 point middle (which is basically what Hines' situation is) on a total is only marginally profitable in the NBA. I certainly don't think it's "print your own money" profitable, as you sort of suggested.

Now, if it were a 3 point middle on NBA sides (pointspreads), rather than totals, that would be a whole different ball game.

 

[Halifax]

I understand what you are saying, but I call it a four point middle because four numbers win.

I guess you can call it whatever you want to, but if you're asking for advice from experienced middlers like a Fishhead or a D2, and you want to obtain the correct answer, it's best to call it what it is, which is a 3-point middle.

Obviously, their answer would be much different depending on if you asked them how profitable a 3-point middle was vs. how profitable a 4-point middle was.

 

[HinesWard86]

I guess you can call it whatever you want to, but if you're asking for advice from experienced middlers like a Fishhead or a D2, and you want to obtain the correct answer, it's best to call it what it is, which is a 3-point middle.

Obviously, their answer would be much different depending on if you asked them how profitable a 3-point middle was vs. how profitable a 4-point middle was.

I gotcha, but I gave the example so they would know what I am talking about. I've heard so much different terminology for the same things in the gambling world that I just say what I see it as. I've heard other gamblers call an over 221 under 222 situation as a two point middle, while others would call it a side or not a middle, and others a one point middle.