It seems Hearts may be inclined to trying to get along even with alleged "trolls" in her threads. Otherwise there is a procedure in place that i presume would easily deal with the situation. I doubt mods read every discussion on the site, so may not be aware of numerous topics that could use a bit of "house cleaning".
Its all good. MCM is an old fart. He is almost twice my age. He knows where the line is and if crosses it, Ill fuck him up. I know that no matter who they are, even if I do not like them, old people have more wisdom than me and it pays to respect your elders regardless of any situation. That is like one of the very first things that we learn in life.
Dont let MCM bother you. He does not want me to lose. He wants me to change my ways.....and that is not going to happen. I listen to him though. Buried in all that caca that he spews, he does offer wisdom that is worth paying attention too when he is feeling good. He is usually not feeling well though. I hope I feel good all the time when I get that old.
Since you had a good week you must have went to the GUT system. I ran across this.
INTUITION IMPACTS ON OUR DECISIONS - EVERY SINGLE DAY. BUT WHAT IS IT? WHERE DOES IT COME FROM? AND SHOULD YOU TRUST YOUR GUTS AHEAD OF DATA-DRIVEN DECISION-MAKING?
Every decision we make - stay in or go out, shoot or pass, stick or twist - is an instantaneous cocktail of different motivations and information.
We make our choices with our heart, our head and our guts - but should we trust our emotional intuition, or is a reliance on cold, hard facts the safest way to go? Nothing beats the the thrill of a big decision, so we’ve put together an infographic that looks into how data-driven decision-making measures up against the gut-given power of intuition.
But what’s at the heart of this mysterious intuitive ‘gut feeling’? Is it possible to put a finger - metaphorical or otherwise - on what it is and where it comes from?
WHAT IS GUT FEELING?
Every decision we make, even the smallest binary choices, are defined and directed by an array of factors - they are even being made without our conscious intent. A study from Max Planck Institute for Human Cognitive and Brain Sciences in Leipzigfound that brain activity predicts the decision a person will make up to 7 seconds before it is made. Could this premonition, this unconscious awareness of the right decision to make, be the root of our gut feeling?
Whilst it may not have any independent thought-processing capacity, the gut is nevertheless a remarkable and unique part of our bodies. Home to over 100 million brain cells, with its own nervous system, it’s also the only organ ‘system’ that operates independently from the brain. Some believe that this distinction demonstrates the link between intuition and the gut itself.
But wherever our intuition is born from, our innate ability to make instinctive decisions is certainly one of our finer skills. Even when our bodies are resting, our minds are hard at work - research published in Current Biology explained how our brains can process data and plan decisions whilst asleep, setting out priorities for when we are awake.
This is an area of research that’s still expanding - but whether you believe in making decisions with data or trust your intuition first and foremost, this much is clear - there’s still much to learn about the choices we make and why we make them.
https://www.888casino.com/blog/intuition-vs-data-should-you-trust-your-gut/
INTUITION IMPACTS ON OUR DECISIONS - EVERY SINGLE DAY. BUT WHAT IS IT? WHERE DOES IT COME FROM? AND SHOULD YOU TRUST YOUR GUTS AHEAD OF DATA-DRIVEN DECISION-MAKING?
Every decision we make - stay in or go out, shoot or pass, stick or twist - is an instantaneous cocktail of different motivations and information.
We make our choices with our heart, our head and our guts - but should we trust our emotional intuition, or is a reliance on cold, hard facts the safest way to go? Nothing beats the the thrill of a big decision, so we’ve put together an infographic that looks into how data-driven decision-making measures up against the gut-given power of intuition.
But what’s at the heart of this mysterious intuitive ‘gut feeling’? Is it possible to put a finger - metaphorical or otherwise - on what it is and where it comes from?
WHAT IS GUT FEELING?
Every decision we make, even the smallest binary choices, are defined and directed by an array of factors - they are even being made without our conscious intent. A study from Max Planck Institute for Human Cognitive and Brain Sciences in Leipzigfound that brain activity predicts the decision a person will make up to 7 seconds before it is made. Could this premonition, this unconscious awareness of the right decision to make, be the root of our gut feeling?
Whilst it may not have any independent thought-processing capacity, the gut is nevertheless a remarkable and unique part of our bodies. Home to over 100 million brain cells, with its own nervous system, it’s also the only organ ‘system’ that operates independently from the brain. Some believe that this distinction demonstrates the link between intuition and the gut itself.
But wherever our intuition is born from, our innate ability to make instinctive decisions is certainly one of our finer skills. Even when our bodies are resting, our minds are hard at work - research published in Current Biology explained how our brains can process data and plan decisions whilst asleep, setting out priorities for when we are awake.
This is an area of research that’s still expanding - but whether you believe in making decisions with data or trust your intuition first and foremost, this much is clear - there’s still much to learn about the choices we make and why we make them.
https://www.888casino.com/blog/intuition-vs-data-should-you-trust-your-gut/
Bob my Philly connection!!
Where have you been stranger ? Its been what 2? 3 seasons now ?
Such a pleasant surprise to see you drop in. Im back to the basics and zeroing in on the NFC East like the good old days as you can see. I do like Philly tonight but 4' is such an ugly number. Im definitely rooting for them tonight and I have my $$ on them next week at -1' already. Much easier stepping stone for them next week.
Dont be a stranger Bob. Hey remember your old QB Kevin Kolb ? He got arrested here in Texas over the weekend for driving a boat while intoxicated. I think he was out there at like 1 oclock in the morning. I wonder what the Game Warden was doing out there in the middle of the night to arrest him on the water. crazy story.
Another article I feel strongly about.
[h=4]When was the last time you decided to bet on a team, but found new information and decided to back their opponent? If you don’t do this very often, it could be because you’ve become a victim of “confirmation bias”, a phenomenon that can harm your betting.[/h]The theory behind confirmation bias is a simple one: humans prefer to stick to what they know, rather than change their opinions based on new evidence. Instead of objectively analysing new information we discover, we instinctively pay attention to certain sources and disregard others that challenge our existing conceptions.
Obviously this is negative for bettors, as any increase in subjectivity can move people away from the most accurate prediction of outcomes. But how can we ignore our inherent confirmation bias?
[h=3]Information Overload[/h]Google has provided a wonderful opportunity to demonstrate the power of confirmation bias. Pick one of the following conspiracy theories that you disagree with:
The chances are that none of the webpages you’ve just looked at have changed your views, despite the vast number of them. Of course, in this case that could be considered sensible, but it shows that despite 32 million results (in the case of 9/11), pre-set opinions are difficult to change.
This was studied in a field similar to betting – online stock market investing. A study by Park et al., 2010 showed that investors gathered information about a prospective stock by looking for information that confirmed their existing opinions about a particular stock. The traders who experienced the strongest confirmation bias made the least money.
Bias also extends to tracking your own betting success. Because we all want to believe we’re doing well, we’re prone to bias our performance, and remember our wins much more strongly than our losses, even if this isn’t the case.
[h=3]How to stop confirmation bias[/h]To help alleviate the effect of confirmation bias, try to objectively and logically experience countering points of view. This sounds easy, but as we proved with the conspiracies, objectively investigating a countering argument is difficult.
Even if you can’t become 100% objective (and no-one can), becoming better at appreciating well-informed points of view that differ from your own beliefs will make you a savvier bettor.
[h=4]When was the last time you decided to bet on a team, but found new information and decided to back their opponent? If you don’t do this very often, it could be because you’ve become a victim of “confirmation bias”, a phenomenon that can harm your betting.[/h]The theory behind confirmation bias is a simple one: humans prefer to stick to what they know, rather than change their opinions based on new evidence. Instead of objectively analysing new information we discover, we instinctively pay attention to certain sources and disregard others that challenge our existing conceptions.
Obviously this is negative for bettors, as any increase in subjectivity can move people away from the most accurate prediction of outcomes. But how can we ignore our inherent confirmation bias?
[h=3]Information Overload[/h]Google has provided a wonderful opportunity to demonstrate the power of confirmation bias. Pick one of the following conspiracy theories that you disagree with:
- We never landed on the moon
- Aliens are kept in Area 51
- 9/11 was an inside job
The chances are that none of the webpages you’ve just looked at have changed your views, despite the vast number of them. Of course, in this case that could be considered sensible, but it shows that despite 32 million results (in the case of 9/11), pre-set opinions are difficult to change.
Humans prefer to stick to what they know, rather than change their opinions based on new evidence
The same occurrence happens when investigating teams for betting. A person’s current beliefs are reinforced by information they find, but when counteractive evidence is presented, it is ignored. For example, most people consider Brazil an excellent team, despite winning just 54.3% from 36 games prior to the 2013 Confederations Cup.
This was studied in a field similar to betting – online stock market investing. A study by Park et al., 2010 showed that investors gathered information about a prospective stock by looking for information that confirmed their existing opinions about a particular stock. The traders who experienced the strongest confirmation bias made the least money.
Bias also extends to tracking your own betting success. Because we all want to believe we’re doing well, we’re prone to bias our performance, and remember our wins much more strongly than our losses, even if this isn’t the case.
[h=3]How to stop confirmation bias[/h]To help alleviate the effect of confirmation bias, try to objectively and logically experience countering points of view. This sounds easy, but as we proved with the conspiracies, objectively investigating a countering argument is difficult.
Even if you can’t become 100% objective (and no-one can), becoming better at appreciating well-informed points of view that differ from your own beliefs will make you a savvier bettor.
