KMan, I see your Miami play, what scares me is Teheran's all time 7-2 record against the fish. Granted Fernandez's record against the Braves excellent, shaping this game up for a better than average potential under, and I like that they hung 17 on the board last night. I'd hedge it to u7, maybe even u7+ if the line didn't break 160, which isn't that far off from the buck fifty we'd have to pay to play the fish. Giving you my thoughts here my friend.
~T~
~T~
Yeah, but his home number is the best, sub 3 if I recall correctly, although night number is nothing to bark home about. In those nine games though, was a gas can only once, the rest pretty damn good pitching. And Fernandez isn't gonna give up much. Might be a Fish FF play as well, we got plenty of time to mull this one over. That's what we need to do, dissect all the plays, I want to send out more money damn it.
~T~
Crown Royals first dart. I'd have no problem playing this game -1, but like I stated the other night, if we're playing 7-8 games, it's tough enough to win w/o hedging in our direction. Some money better than no money. TITS, Palehose not very good against KC (6-18 last 24) and Volquez 6-2 at home, 11 starts, 2.74 ERA. We gotta get some of that.
~T~
~T~
I did and always do, one of the first things I look at, how a pitcher has done vs. the opposition. There's the intangible feel part to this one as well... Royals got the redass after the way they lost yesterday. Looking at the WHOLE photograph, who has the better chance of winning this game? Believe it or not, the last thing I look at are the odds, because I want to be objective as possible capping the game. Odds are last to see line movement and decide if I want to bet RL or hedge. I'm sure there'll be disagreement out there with this approach, but I'm winning money and don't give a damn, we all have two given things...... opinions and an asshole. Let's get this tonight TITS!
~T~
Everyone wants to play the tough ones, LOL. Odorizzi pitching just plain stupid at home, deGrom pitching very well on the road. Personally, I like the under in this one, but if Guido put a Glock to my head, yeah, I could play it +1+ @ -160. I played Boston in my personal large par at +1+ last night and that paid off. I see a one run game here so a hook should be good. Both teams batting the same against righties, tough to shoot that down SR.
~T~
