ope:
Really nicely done. Hope to see you posting more of your analysis mate.
Thanks Guys but I didnt start this Thread just to post plays, more in an attempt to get everyone on the same page which in time will result hopefully in a natural selection. If I can get everything sorted by the end of the Season then We have a chance next year. As I said, I will do the prices and stats which leaves you Guys for the input. just to get you familiar to what I'm looking for I'll give some examples.
Todays Arsenal game had all the tangible things We need to see for the price detracting, while it was an easy thing to spot ( Arsenal in a must win situation, Liverpool in a careful approach situation) its a good example. Once we have understood why the price has moved, We can re-evaluate the game to see if there's any value. In this case the sheer fact that the Books were stalling on the draw price showed what they thought of the outcome and remember, these People are paid by top Books because their opinions are shit hot, so use them as much as possible.
When a price move cannot be reasoned then in My experience you jump on board because those same shit hot oddsmakers have spotted something. (intangible) So the difference in this Games move was We knew why the price moved, when we dont we get on. Hopefully by Season end We will all know what Were looking for and start next Season with Guns blazing, the target is to go into bets fully aware of the situation with The books on the back foot instead of Us.
Next week will be the first full starting Week, Tuesday I will have the true lines, opening Odds on the selected Games and We will have 4 days to sit back and make sure Were making a right move, if not We drop the Game. :drink:
Todays Arsenal game had all the tangible things We need to see for the price detracting, while it was an easy thing to spot ( Arsenal in a must win situation, Liverpool in a careful approach situation) its a good example. Once we have understood why the price has moved, We can re-evaluate the game to see if there's any value. In this case the sheer fact that the Books were stalling on the draw price showed what they thought of the outcome and remember, these People are paid by top Books because their opinions are shit hot, so use them as much as possible.
When a price move cannot be reasoned then in My experience you jump on board because those same shit hot oddsmakers have spotted something. (intangible) So the difference in this Games move was We knew why the price moved, when we dont we get on. Hopefully by Season end We will all know what Were looking for and start next Season with Guns blazing, the target is to go into bets fully aware of the situation with The books on the back foot instead of Us.
Next week will be the first full starting Week, Tuesday I will have the true lines, opening Odds on the selected Games and We will have 4 days to sit back and make sure Were making a right move, if not We drop the Game. :drink:
