Prelimary Fade Plays

[BigPete]

Scratch Virginia

 

[huskie88]

Totals are a different animal from point spreads as the public does not play them as much and books move them much faster. Consequently, this system or same approach will likely not be as successful relative to totals. But you got a sense of that already.

 

[rscl31]

yeah why was that virginia game off the board. It came back up at like -5 i think. Was there an injury?

 

[BigPete]

Clemson has some skill player injuries, QB is 50%, best reciever out.

 

[rscl31]

here are the ones that make the cut barring any sudden changes tomorrow

Iowa St
Fresno St
Notre Dame
SMU
Nevada
Illinois
W. Mich
E. Carolina
Texas
Arizona
UTEP
Idaho??? (not sure yet)

 

[ppeter]

I'm confused, these are game you fade, or are these games you are playing?

 

[sammythesage]

couldn't find this thread earlier, but I like and duplicated under, games that smell. Also in the pro's. Was a little more selective, ie. wanted a 65% or more backing. keep up the good work.

 

[sammythesage]

This weeks games are as follows and am listing the public side.
b.green
mich.st.
n.car.
neb.
tex.t.
ucla
la.t.
n.tex.

Hey rscl, these are the games I see that should fit your criteria; ESPECIALLY msu and nc. How come their not listed on your list??

 

[rscl31]

i listed the opposite side sammy, they are on there

Illinois
East Carolina

 

[doggydog]

are you listing the sides we should play or the ones to fade just curious before i jump on board.???

 

[fivedoorsdown]

that sportsinsight.com site sucks.
they dont have many people hitting that place.
if your going to use fades and want to see what really is being bet than go to wagerline.
by far better than the site your using

 

[rscl31]

i did use wagerline, i just used sportsinsights to see if it would agree iwth them, these are the sides to play ont the sides to fade against.

 

[rscl31]

you can grab ND +10 at SIA although -120, already down to 8 at pinnacle.

 

[rscl31]

Nevada and ND line dropping, probably better to bet it now if u r going to

 

[rscl31]

Under 50 Miami (SIA)
Under 53 Nevada (SIA)

make the cut, keeping totals seperate from sides but i'm on the under Miami at 50 b/c SIA is just giving value there, about a 2 point difference from any other book

 

[rscl31]

added UL Monroe +3.5

 

[rscl31]

Eliminating Iowa st. that line jumped

I added UL Monroe +3.5, just got a chance to post it

 

[rscl31]

5-6 on the sides

Late td's by UNC, N. Texas cost me a winning day, not bad though, ended up 3-2 on the totals for the week.