Powerz Super Contest thread

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Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Well that sucked 1-3-1 -$690 in SC 1-2 -$130 in small plays = 1-5-1 -$820

To make matter worse I was on Cinncy unposted, bet my back to even live betting the under. But that means I am 1-6-1 to start the season.


Back in a bit with tidbits



Week 2 plays To win $250 each

JAQS +2 -118 ....SC line +2.5
Saints +6.5 -104 ....did not see the 1st MNF game
Ravens -8 +102
Broncos +2 +100
Philly +5.5 -110
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Some Tidbits;

They say week 2 is an over reaction week....well the last 6 years FAVS get less than 40% are 9-3.....Public cant pick a dog

This week thats is ATL, Car, Ram, Pitt, LAC, NYG.

Division Dogs roll this week 14-7 ....Jaqs, Browns, SF....probably 2-1 there

SC TOP 5 0-5....now i dont feel so bad.....Top 5 bounces back to at least .500 14-14 the 6 years

SC Bottom 5 3-1-1 last week is a bout right last year wk 2 they went 5-0 ..more proof of the over reaction in week 2....Players thinking oh I cant back that team....

Thats about it may be back with a few small plays and 10 team teaser....
 

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I have entered the SC since 2011 - so this is my 7th year, my career point total is 272 - 230 good for 54%
Last year I went 47.5 - 35 good for 58% - I use to believe that 51 points would be enough to get some cash, back but each year the competition gets a bit better.

The Westgate pays into the top 50 now
the 2016 winner had 55.5 points and the top 50 had 50.5 points
the 2015 winner had 60.5 points and the top 50 had 52
the 2014 winner had 64.5 points and the top 50 had 52....that was incredible year for the chicago ballers, they had the contest basically wrapped in week 17 .

My 3 goals every year - are 1. Win my entry fee back, 2. Finish in the top 50 - so we need at least 52 points this year 3. Win the whole ball of wax,

I always bet my 5 games with 5% of current BR and that has produced enough profit to get my $$ back, I have only had one losing year. On my trip to Vegas this year I won $2,500 shooting craps and $1,000 betting on sports by tailing some hot cappers. I have learned not to try and cap my own games when in Vegas for some reason my capping goes sideways when I am away from routine at home. Maybe it's because I am usually hung to the tits HAHA. But that means goal #1 accomplished, because I paid for my entry & proxy fee and then some!

So what has to change to get to from 54 - 58% to 62-65% ....That is 5-6 games better over the whole year. Well last year I tweaked my system a little bit and finished strong, starting in week 11 I rolled my 3 of my systems together instead of looking at the individual components and my avg'g jumped to 64% over the last 7 weeks. One of the components is comparing Open lines vs the PR Rating I use, so it could be a bit shaky in the first month while I get my PR's set, But I have been able to hold a .500 record through Sept in the past so a slight better performance there could get me on my way.

So to everyone who joined the contest best of luck !

Amazing Post. So many points, I wanna comment on but most of those comments boiled down would = 'I Agree. And Very Very Well Said."

'You're Already Playing with House Money' :):)"On my trip to Vegas this year I won $2,500 shooting craps and $1,000 betting on sports by tailing some hot cappers."

I mean: "Its One Way to look at it."


The Best to You This Season :toast: Thanks for the great post.
 

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Only on the Chiefs with you this week. I like it a little better when our plays align more.

Good luck and hope these Florida teams show up.
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Thanks T&J - ML DOG AND SS

Will have some Sunday morning chart plays to compliment this set of 5
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Top 5 SC plays

Tenn -2.5, Pitt -5.5, Gaby +3 , NE -6.5, Dal -2.5

Bottom 5 SC Plays

SF +14, NYJ +14, NYG -13.5, INDY +7 , Buff +7
 

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PWZ.........appreciate the SC info........BOL with all your action (wk 2).........indy
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Sunday Morning Chart plays

CHIC +7 $117

Washington +3 $105 & Ml +135 $50

Balt U39' $110

GL Guys
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Week 3

Super contest plays - certainly not setting the world on fire 2-3 in SC last week 2-1 on Sunday plays..so 4-4 week -$100 now 5-9 -$920

WEEK 3 SC total 3.5 points :pointer:

Browns -1 ....Played ML -115 $230....What a road fav? I read yesterday not one of Indy's Defensive starters started LY for the team, CLEV has the better D, & the better Q, they should be favored. Don't be fooled by Indy's near miss last week, Arizona is badddd

Bills +3....Played +3 -104 $208 and ML +141 $50.....Denver's 1st road game, after a big win last week

HOU +13.5....Played +14 -102 $204.....................Gronk and Burkehead getting injured last week limits two more of brady's weapons

DET +3 Played +3 -112 $224 and ML +137 $50......ATL had a hard time with Chic on the road what til they get this buzzsaw

Tampa -3 ....waiting on a line for bet......SC line was set with Bradford being out, if he does play that Buccs Defense will feast on him...... They will win the NFC south

TID BITS

Week 3 can be hard on popular FAVS...Favs getting over 70 % of the bets are 11-21.....NE, KC, BALT, ATL, GBAY, OAK & DAL, DEN all in Bad spots.....PITT MIA also fall into this category but their lines had not moved so I think those favs split.

TOP 5 SC L4.... YRS 13-16 <- further proof we don't have a clear handle on things yet
Btm 5 LY 4-1

Beware of the division dog in week 3 14-11 last 6 years .....already 1-0 ...JETS, SAINTS GIANTS & Chargers left....

Personally would really like to have a positive week maybe 4-5 wins in the Sc to get back in the mix.


Back Sunday am with Chart plays
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Thanks Indy - as always BOL to you...


SUNDAY PLAYS

PITT U44 -108 $108
BUFF U40 -120 $120
DET O50.5 +100 $100




UPPING DETROIT +3 -120 $240

Off to the golf course gl today .....AND as a Canadian Cousin

GOD BLESS AMERICA AND ALL THE CITIZENS




 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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10-14 -$1462
5.5 pts in the SC

Not the start I was hoping for

SC contest plays;

Rams +6.5
NO -3
Tenn -1.5
NYG +3
NE -9

In my book

NO -2 -130 $260
LA +6 -107 $214

NE -9 -106 $106
NYG +3 -115 $115
Tenn -2.5 -104 $104

NYJETS +3 +104 $104 & ML +149 $50
Seattle -13 +100 $100

$50 Plays

ATL -8
SF +6.5
Cinncy -3


Like alot this week confident in none LOL....hope i picked the right 5
 

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Sunday updates from the chart

Another
$100 in NY JETS +3...now risked 200 to win 207
$100 Oakland +3 +111
$50 Cinncy -3.....Now risked 115 to win 100
$50 SF +6.5.....Now risked 107 to win 100
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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For those of you backing the chargers they are sitting in a 0-4 position n the chart
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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7-3 yesterday +700 Shush()*

3-2 in the SC big hole I am in but will slowly climb to the top.

Tonight zigzag theory from

KC U48 -110 $110
Washington +3.5 +145 $100.

Gl fellows
 

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7-3.... all day, every day i will take that!! as long as the 3 loses are not in the super contest!!! nice day...good luck powerzzzzzz!
 

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7-5 LW +490 - I cant believe I lost both sides of the MNF game had it nailed ...but that is the way the season has gone
YTD 17-19 -972 - 3-2 LW in the SC now sitting at 8.5 points

Time to break out

Week 5 SC plays $To Win $250 on each

NYG -3.5....Chargers coming to early zone vs desparate Giants team who wins covers
BUFF +3....Wrong team favoured - Bills with the better defense and offense...CINNCY looked good beating up Clev, Bills have knocked of Denver, ATL, missed a FG to beat Carolina OTR - McDermott has this team rolling
PITT -8....The Steelers defense should blast Jacksonville....Pitt got caught napping in Chicago but returned to form LW - They beat up bad teams
ARIZONA +6.5....Arizona is BAD, but as long as Fitzgerald is playing they have a chance to cover - I smell a back door here as Palmer usually sleep walks the 1st half
PACKERS +2....Dallas Defense no good Rogers has a field day.

TIDBITS Last 6 years - Nothing to remarkable

Public back the dog this week 3-9
Early week 40%-59% FAVS week 5: 7-17 - OAK NYG, RAM PITT INDY
60 % public favs do well this week KC, PHILLY, DET

Up coming byes - CINNCY, Seattle, Dallas & Philly watch out for these teams in the 2nd half

Back in the AM with chart plays
 

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