NCAAF record is 18-13-1 (+$385)
MLB record is 0-3 (-$303)
NBA record is 0-1 (-$100)
NFL record is 0-1 (-$100)
Hoping to get back on track with NCAAF today.
VIRGINIA at MIAMI-FL
In this series, Miami is on a 1-4 SU (0-4-1 ATS) run and has being outgained in each of the last 4 matchups. Canes 2-4 ATS last six at Sun Life. UVA 11-3 ATS last 14 as dog. Dog also 9-1 ATS run in Virginia games and Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Miami. Following the trends.
Play: Virginia +6 (-108)
AUBURN at TEXAS A&M
The home team is 0-3 SU/ATS in SEC meetings between these two teams. While Auburn is on a bad ATS run, they have been competitive and scrappy the last 2 weeks. And, A&M is 3-7 as a home favorite and 5-15-1 ATS vs SEC teams. Finally, a QB making his 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] start with a defense yielding 5.4 ypc in SEC play is laying a TD to a superior coach. I’ll bite.
Play: Auburn +7 (-108)
UTAH at WASHINGTON
Talk about series domination, UW has never lost to Utah! Huskies are 8-0 SU in this series and with a healthy QB Jake Browning, Washington upset USC as 17-point dogs and blew out AZ. Going with the home team.
Play: Washington U -2 (-108)
SOUTH FLORIDA at EAST CAROLINA
Taggart is 15-4 ATS as visiting dog since 2011 at WKU & USF (career 24-6-1 ATS in away games). Pirates on 1-3 SU & ATS runs and are also playing their 10th straight week. ECU allowed UCONN’s sophomore RB to rush for 183 yards last week and now face USF’s RB Marlon Mack who is averaging over 100 yards per game (6.2 YPC ) on the year. Taking the points.
Play: SOUTH FLORIDA +4 (-108)
MLB record is 0-3 (-$303)
NBA record is 0-1 (-$100)
NFL record is 0-1 (-$100)
Hoping to get back on track with NCAAF today.
VIRGINIA at MIAMI-FL
In this series, Miami is on a 1-4 SU (0-4-1 ATS) run and has being outgained in each of the last 4 matchups. Canes 2-4 ATS last six at Sun Life. UVA 11-3 ATS last 14 as dog. Dog also 9-1 ATS run in Virginia games and Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Miami. Following the trends.
Play: Virginia +6 (-108)
AUBURN at TEXAS A&M
The home team is 0-3 SU/ATS in SEC meetings between these two teams. While Auburn is on a bad ATS run, they have been competitive and scrappy the last 2 weeks. And, A&M is 3-7 as a home favorite and 5-15-1 ATS vs SEC teams. Finally, a QB making his 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] start with a defense yielding 5.4 ypc in SEC play is laying a TD to a superior coach. I’ll bite.
Play: Auburn +7 (-108)
UTAH at WASHINGTON
Talk about series domination, UW has never lost to Utah! Huskies are 8-0 SU in this series and with a healthy QB Jake Browning, Washington upset USC as 17-point dogs and blew out AZ. Going with the home team.
Play: Washington U -2 (-108)
SOUTH FLORIDA at EAST CAROLINA
Taggart is 15-4 ATS as visiting dog since 2011 at WKU & USF (career 24-6-1 ATS in away games). Pirates on 1-3 SU & ATS runs and are also playing their 10th straight week. ECU allowed UCONN’s sophomore RB to rush for 183 yards last week and now face USF’s RB Marlon Mack who is averaging over 100 yards per game (6.2 YPC ) on the year. Taking the points.
Play: SOUTH FLORIDA +4 (-108)
Yesterday should have been a big day for me but I was busy with the Pitt game and other things and didn't get a chance to get on some of the other plays I thought stood out (Navy!).
The officiating in that Utah/Huskies game was sickening and it is mind boggling how these conferences allow this stuff to continue. At least I got going back in a positive direction.
NCAAF record is 20-14-2 (+$477)
MLB record is 0-3 (-$303)
NBA record is 0-1 (-$100)
NFL record is 0-1 (-$100)
Notes on today's games:
OAKLAND at PITTSBURGH
Oakland has covered 2 of 3 on the road this year. Carr has thrown for 7 TDs and 0 INTs in the last 2 games. But note the 1pm EST kick and “circadian advantage” for the home team - Raiders 1-15 SU, 6-10 ATS when playing in the Eastern Time Zone. And, Raiders are 2-8 SU and ATS away versus AFC North opponents.. Oakland 5-1 ATS vs Pitt and the Steelers 2-7 ATS vs the AFC West.
The Steelers have held the Bengals, Patriots, Cardinals and Rams to their lowest point totals of the season. Steelers playing team with a winning record during the second half of the season: Covered 7 straight ATS
JACKSONVILLE at NY JETS
Jags 13-22-1 as dog for Gus Bradley. Blake Bortles has been picked off eight times and sacked 19 times. Teams that won in London are 3-9 ATS in the next game.
Jets are on a solid 7-2-1 ATS run. Injury to Fitzpatrick’s thumb but he is cleared to play (C Mangold may be out) Jets on a 5-1 ATS run at home but a 1-4 ATS host in this series.
ST. LOUIS at MINNESOTA
The Vikings are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games. Vikes have won last five SU at home and are 6-1 last seven ATS at Gophers Stadium. Minny are 1-7 ATS as home favorites after defeating Chicago and just 1-3 ATS as a host in this series. Minny’s Zimmer is 6-1 ATS off a division game and St. Louis is on a 6-12 ATS run away from home. Rams Coach Jeff Fischer as an underdog throughout his career: 97-69 ATS
MIAMI at BUFFALO
Dolphins 0-3 SU and ATS the last 3 trips to Buffalo. Bills are on a 4-1 ATS run vs. Miami, but Bills no covers in their last four games.
Miami is 0-6 ATS in the second of back-to-back division games. Bills 6-1 ATS in games with rest when playing off back-to-back losses. Dog
is 8-1-1 ATS in Buffalo games and visitor is 4-1-1 ATS. Ryan is 0-7 off a SU chalk loss vs an opponent off a SU loss, but the Bills are 9-2 ATS as division chalks of 3+ pts
TENNESSEE at NEW ORLEANS
Titans playing for interim coach Mike Mularkey and their horrendous ATS streak continued last week (6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 games). TEN is now 6-15-2 ATS as a dog and have failed to cover in 14 of their past 17 following a SU loss. Tennessee is 1-9 ATS in the 2nd of 2 road games. Brees is 0-2 SU in games after scoring 50 or more points in his NFL career.
WASHINGTON at NEW ENGLAND
Skins 5-12 ATS last 17 as visitor and on a 9-19 ATS run as a dog. Pats on a 10-4-1 ATS run against non-division opponents. Patriots averaging 35.7 ppg in their last 10 games and have scored 30 or more points in six consecutive games. Patriots are 15-6-1 ATS last 22 home games. Caution: Pats are 4-16 ATS as -13 or more point chalk since 2007
GREEN BAY at CAROLINA
Rodgers comes in after throwing for a career low 77 yards against Denver. Pack just 14-13 SU on reg.-season road since 2012. But, Packers are 4-0-1 ATS following their past 5 SU losses. Pack 14-4-1 ATS run as a single digit favorite. Also, GB 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS off an AFC game when facing a non-division opponent.
Panthers 9-2 ATS off non-division vs a team off a double digit loss and 17-10 ATS as dog since 2012. Carolina has rushed for more than 100 yards in 20 straight games. Carolina has won 11 straight reg season games. Green Bay has defeated just one team this year with an above .500 record, the Rams.
ATLANTA at SAN FRANCISCO
Atlanta 0-4 ATS run but Falcons have gone 7-3 ATS prior to a bye. Falcons next game after a loss: 30-14 ATS
Niners QB change with Blaine Gabbert and just 3-5 ATS this year and only 4-8 vs. number in Santa Clara since last year. Niners rank last in the NFL on offense and they have been horrendous: 6 points, 11 first down’s and 189 total yards last week- 4th time held under 200 yds this season. The Niners haven’t scored a TD in their last 2 games. Gabbert 3-11 SU/ATS at home as a starter in the NFL with 7 SU/ATS losses in a row
NY GIANTS at TAMPA BAY
Lovie just 3-8 ATS at Raymond James since last year (have lost 11 of 12 SU at home) and Tampa has given up 112 points in three home games. Bucs are 1-10 ATS as home dogs off back-to-back away games. Bucs run in November games: 12-2 ATS Bucs as home underdog: 7-24 ATS
Giants are 1-9 ATS vs an opponent off SU division win. NFC East teams are 3-11 SU and 5-8-1 ATS away this season.
DENVER at INDIANAPOLIS
Manning 1-2 SU/0-3 ATS against Colts since leaving Indy. However, Broncos 3-ATS away this season and 11-6 ATS last 17 away games. Denver is 6-0 ATS off a SU dog Win. Denver’s secondary has allowed only 5 TD passes this year.
Luck is 2-0 vs. Manning. Dog is 7-0 ATS in Colt games this season. Luck is also 8-0 ATS as a home underdog in his career. Indy is 1-10 ATS at home vs a non-division team off a SU & ATS win. Colts are on an 11-4 ATS home dog run. Colts are 22-8-1 ATS during their last 31 games at Lucas Oil Stadium. Colts next game after a loss: 18-4 ATS
PHILADELPHIA at DALLAS - in this series the underdog is 26-8 ATS
The dog has covered the last 6 games between these two teams but the visitor has covered the last 3.
Eagles have won and covered 3 of last 4 in Arlington, but just 1-3 ATS away this year. Eagles are 4-1 ATS the last five games in this series. Eagles are 11-2 ATS as division road favorites off a non-division game, vs an opponent off a SU loss. Sam Bradford has more INT’s than TD’s this year.
Cowboys are now 0-5 SU (and 1-4 ATS) without Romo. Dallas on 1-7 ATS run in 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] of back-to-back home games.
OAKLAND at PITTSBURGH
Oakland has covered 2 of 3 on the road this year. Carr has thrown for 7 TDs and 0 INTs in the last 2 games. But note the 1pm EST kick and “circadian advantage” for the home team - Raiders 1-15 SU, 6-10 ATS when playing in the Eastern Time Zone. And, Raiders are 2-8 SU and ATS away versus AFC North opponents.. Oakland 5-1 ATS vs Pitt and the Steelers 2-7 ATS vs the AFC West.
The Steelers have held the Bengals, Patriots, Cardinals and Rams to their lowest point totals of the season. Steelers playing team with a winning record during the second half of the season: Covered 7 straight ATS
JACKSONVILLE at NY JETS
Jags 13-22-1 as dog for Gus Bradley. Blake Bortles has been picked off eight times and sacked 19 times. Teams that won in London are 3-9 ATS in the next game.
Jets are on a solid 7-2-1 ATS run. Injury to Fitzpatrick’s thumb but he is cleared to play (C Mangold may be out) Jets on a 5-1 ATS run at home but a 1-4 ATS host in this series.
ST. LOUIS at MINNESOTA
The Vikings are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games. Vikes have won last five SU at home and are 6-1 last seven ATS at Gophers Stadium. Minny are 1-7 ATS as home favorites after defeating Chicago and just 1-3 ATS as a host in this series. Minny’s Zimmer is 6-1 ATS off a division game and St. Louis is on a 6-12 ATS run away from home. Rams Coach Jeff Fischer as an underdog throughout his career: 97-69 ATS
MIAMI at BUFFALO
Dolphins 0-3 SU and ATS the last 3 trips to Buffalo. Bills are on a 4-1 ATS run vs. Miami, but Bills no covers in their last four games.
Miami is 0-6 ATS in the second of back-to-back division games. Bills 6-1 ATS in games with rest when playing off back-to-back losses. Dog
is 8-1-1 ATS in Buffalo games and visitor is 4-1-1 ATS. Ryan is 0-7 off a SU chalk loss vs an opponent off a SU loss, but the Bills are 9-2 ATS as division chalks of 3+ pts
TENNESSEE at NEW ORLEANS
Titans playing for interim coach Mike Mularkey and their horrendous ATS streak continued last week (6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 games). TEN is now 6-15-2 ATS as a dog and have failed to cover in 14 of their past 17 following a SU loss. Tennessee is 1-9 ATS in the 2nd of 2 road games. Brees is 0-2 SU in games after scoring 50 or more points in his NFL career.
WASHINGTON at NEW ENGLAND
Skins 5-12 ATS last 17 as visitor and on a 9-19 ATS run as a dog. Pats on a 10-4-1 ATS run against non-division opponents. Patriots averaging 35.7 ppg in their last 10 games and have scored 30 or more points in six consecutive games. Patriots are 15-6-1 ATS last 22 home games. Caution: Pats are 4-16 ATS as -13 or more point chalk since 2007
GREEN BAY at CAROLINA
Rodgers comes in after throwing for a career low 77 yards against Denver. Pack just 14-13 SU on reg.-season road since 2012. But, Packers are 4-0-1 ATS following their past 5 SU losses. Pack 14-4-1 ATS run as a single digit favorite. Also, GB 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS off an AFC game when facing a non-division opponent.
Panthers 9-2 ATS off non-division vs a team off a double digit loss and 17-10 ATS as dog since 2012. Carolina has rushed for more than 100 yards in 20 straight games. Carolina has won 11 straight reg season games. Green Bay has defeated just one team this year with an above .500 record, the Rams.
ATLANTA at SAN FRANCISCO
Atlanta 0-4 ATS run but Falcons have gone 7-3 ATS prior to a bye. Falcons next game after a loss: 30-14 ATS
Niners QB change with Blaine Gabbert and just 3-5 ATS this year and only 4-8 vs. number in Santa Clara since last year. Niners rank last in the NFL on offense and they have been horrendous: 6 points, 11 first down’s and 189 total yards last week- 4th time held under 200 yds this season. The Niners haven’t scored a TD in their last 2 games. Gabbert 3-11 SU/ATS at home as a starter in the NFL with 7 SU/ATS losses in a row
NY GIANTS at TAMPA BAY
Lovie just 3-8 ATS at Raymond James since last year (have lost 11 of 12 SU at home) and Tampa has given up 112 points in three home games. Bucs are 1-10 ATS as home dogs off back-to-back away games. Bucs run in November games: 12-2 ATS Bucs as home underdog: 7-24 ATS
Giants are 1-9 ATS vs an opponent off SU division win. NFC East teams are 3-11 SU and 5-8-1 ATS away this season.
DENVER at INDIANAPOLIS
Manning 1-2 SU/0-3 ATS against Colts since leaving Indy. However, Broncos 3-ATS away this season and 11-6 ATS last 17 away games. Denver is 6-0 ATS off a SU dog Win. Denver’s secondary has allowed only 5 TD passes this year.
Luck is 2-0 vs. Manning. Dog is 7-0 ATS in Colt games this season. Luck is also 8-0 ATS as a home underdog in his career. Indy is 1-10 ATS at home vs a non-division team off a SU & ATS win. Colts are on an 11-4 ATS home dog run. Colts are 22-8-1 ATS during their last 31 games at Lucas Oil Stadium. Colts next game after a loss: 18-4 ATS
PHILADELPHIA at DALLAS - in this series the underdog is 26-8 ATS
The dog has covered the last 6 games between these two teams but the visitor has covered the last 3.
Eagles have won and covered 3 of last 4 in Arlington, but just 1-3 ATS away this year. Eagles are 4-1 ATS the last five games in this series. Eagles are 11-2 ATS as division road favorites off a non-division game, vs an opponent off a SU loss. Sam Bradford has more INT’s than TD’s this year.
Cowboys are now 0-5 SU (and 1-4 ATS) without Romo. Dallas on 1-7 ATS run in 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] of back-to-back home games.
Loser Thursday with Clev +12 -104
NFL YTD 38-31-1 +613
Sunday:
New England -14 +102 (vs Wash)
Between 2008 and 2014 the Pats were 1-7 ATS when lined as Double Digit Favorites at Home, vs a non Divisional foe. But in their 16-0 year of 2007 they were 3-1 ATS in such a role and are 1-0 in such a role this year. Looking for more of the same today.
NFL YTD 38-31-1 +613
Sunday:
New England -14 +102 (vs Wash)
Between 2008 and 2014 the Pats were 1-7 ATS when lined as Double Digit Favorites at Home, vs a non Divisional foe. But in their 16-0 year of 2007 they were 3-1 ATS in such a role and are 1-0 in such a role this year. Looking for more of the same today.
