Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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17-21 in Playoffs ..... and OF COURSE all 3 Homers Cover in 1H yesterday (groan)

OKC -2




Buried in Bases (-20.43)
ATL -103 / MIA -105 / TOR +135 / SEA +110
 
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Turn those bases around, Scott.

MLB

11-11 +422 L1

Saturday starter

Cincy +164 (vs Cubbies)

If I'm not mistaken the Cubs have won three of the last four with multiple run rallies in the ninth. Some teams won't do that once all year. But it's gonna stop today. I hope.

 

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This morning I went to pick up my NBA Playoff stat packet to recount something. My MLB stat book was laying on top of it. As I removed the NBA packet from underneath the MLB book the MLB book slid off my desk into my trashcan. After a long moment of consideration I unfortunately scooped up the MLB book and replaced it on my desk. Anyway the last 8 years the Playoffs have had 9 OVERS and 24 UNDERS on this day. UNDER all 4 NBA games (195) (210.5) (187) (217.5)
 

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18-24 in Playoffs. MLB a disaster. Hope someone is fading as I lose every game. I've had multiple systems blow up in April after many consecutive winning seasons.

NBA Systems mostly losing, especially the UNDER Plays.
Home Teams in 1H have quietly gone 15-10 ATS and if you compare 1H lines to game prices you become aware that the oddsmaker has factored this in. Today beting Home Teams in 1H you are being robbed of at least 1 point in all 4 games. I'm going back to this trend anyway as it should do well moving forward. EX: Round 3 Home Teams in 1H are on a 24-2 ATS tear.

IND +4 game, +1 1H, UN 213
OKC -1, -1 in 1H, UN 224
CHI +2, Pick in 1H, UN 204 ("#TNT BULLS")
UTAH -2 1H ONLY, UN 198.5

CIN +170 / COL +102 / CWS +190 / OAK -30 / KC +185
 
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Sure have noticed the proliferation of overs on the NBA. Think in recent years teams have focused their offenses on the three ball. My theory is that that kills the effectiveness of defense. Teams used to use the inside game to score and bang around in there making defense effective when the refs let them play as they often did. Big guys banged underneath. Now big guys play the perimiter. Now nobody wants to foul the three point shooter. So threes drop freely and effective defense takes a back seat to the new NBA. Just my theory.

Hang in there, Scott. Things will turn around for you.

MLB

Smushed yesterday
0-2 -200

11-13 +222 L3

Me walkie +104 (vs Slooey)

GL guys
 
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haha 3 Unders and an Over in the NBA yesterday. If we spent the same amount of time on the stock market we'd have a much better success rate.

MLB

11-14 +122 L4

Pitt +134 (vs Cubbies)

GL guys
 

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Thanks for the encouragement Jim. Won in both Sports yesterday....


Hoop: MIL +5.5 / WAS +2.5
(above are current #s but I actually did a little bett0r yesterday)
UNDER 192.5 .... UNDER 212 ... UNDER 220.5

MLB: SF +132 / KC -107 / MIN +130 / BAL +113

Angle of the Day: The Orioles are 11-1 since 9/2014 when Ubaldo starts a Home Division tilt
 

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Good day in MLB but more disaster in the NBA

Going back to 1H Home team bets tonight, and only 1H = / -6 / -4 / -1.5 /

MLB: MIA -108 / NYM -135 / CIN +115 / SD +130 / DET +120 / TEX +105
 

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25-34 in NBA Playyoffs / All Hoops 316-276


MINUS 22.07 Units in MLB


Afternoon: CLE -105 / KC +125


Putting a night game up now = DET +120 ...... (I wish I had a Stat like this for EVERY team) DET is now 81-28 with last night's win since 9-2-2010 after scoring 9+ Runs.
 

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