Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

[ScottL]

269-228

West Regional Final the Favorite is 0-5 SU the last 5 years. Fav also 0-7 ATS last 7 years and 3-16 ATS last 19 years. Xavier playing better in this tournament than Gonzaga. Line is 8 or 8.5, that is lofty.
Gonzaga is a Bookie's dream! And I am in a SLUMP. Gonzaga ONLY COVERS when they are the WRONG SIDE. Slumpbuster Special = Gonzaga -8

 

[bodyforlife]

269-228

West Regional Final the Favorite is 0-5 SU the last 5 years. Fav also 0-7 ATS last 7 years and 3-16 ATS last 19 years. Xavier playing better in this tournament than Gonzaga. Line is 8 or 8.5, that is lofty.
Gonzaga is a Bookie's dream! And I am in a SLUMP. Gonzaga ONLY COVERS when they are the WRONG SIDE. Slumpbuster Special = Gonzaga -8

The only thing I know Scott is if South Carolina doesn't go all the way, I cash $1k. And if Gonzaga goes all the way, I cash another $350 in another pool. Come to Papa.

 

[ScottL]

LOL more research reveals Elite 8 teams off Win as Dog of 4 points or more (Syracuse last year, XAVIER this year) are 22-3 ATS in the Elite 8. Oh well. Hopefully the theory "When the Squares are on the Dog the Favorite will ROLL" overcomes that Angle today. All I know is I can't win right now and I have to change something!

 

[ScottL]

#6 Seed or lower in Elite 8 = 12-3 ATS since 2005 = Xavier and South Carol.

#1 Seed in Elite 8 = 16-28 ATS (1-3 SU last year)
#2 vs #1 Seed = 13-5 SU+ATS since 2003 = Kentucky

 

[ScottL]

More Elite 8....

Big 12 Team off win by 10+ = 1-11 ATS = Kansas

Lower Seeded team Saturday = 12-2 ATS last 7 years = Oregon and Xavier (lower seed 7-7 on Sunday)

Sat Favorites 0-6 last 3 years and 8-24 last 16 years

Sat O/U 1-5 last 3 years and 17-13 last 15 years

Sunday FAv 7-3 last 5 years and 15-14-1 last 15 years

Sunday O/U = 8-2 last 5 years

Elite 8 Team +1 to +3 (CLOSING line!) if record is worse than opponent = 11-0 ATS since 1996. South Carol if game closes +1 to +3

 

[Michelangelo]

NBA

57-51 +348 L1

Dull ass -1 -101 (vs Craptors)

GL guys

 

[ScottL]

269-228 West Regional Final the Favorite is 0-5 SU the last 5 years. Fav also 0-7 ATS last 7 years and 3-16 ATS last 19 years. Xavier playing better in this tournament than Gonzaga. Line is 8 or 8.5, that is lofty.
Gonzaga is a Bookie's dream! And I am in a SLUMP. Gonzaga ONLY COVERS when they are the WRONG SIDE. Slumpbuster Special = Gonzaga -8

LOL more research reveals Elite 8 teams off Win as Dog of 4 points or more (Syracuse last year, XAVIER this year) are 22-3 ATS in the Elite 8. Oh well. Hopefully the theory "When the Squares are on the Dog the Favorite will ROLL" overcomes that Angle today. All I know is I can't win right now and I have to change something!

The idiot logic I have to use just to arrive at one fucking Winner by taking a dead wrong side.
Maybe I'll start a tout service called, "Patrick Henry Sports." Tell people to call their bookies and say, "Give Me Liberty." Then give me the death of my business. Anyway......

Kentucky +2.5
SAC +13.5
BOS -5
Golden -10.5

 

[Michelangelo]

NBA

57-52 +247 L2

Bullies +6' -107 (@ Me walkie)

GL guys

 

[ScottL]

4-1 last 5 hallefuckingluja

And a STINKER LINE tonight!

ORL +7.5

Sometimes you have to let the oddsmaker give you the Winner. The correct line on this game is 12-13. I'll Play 'THESTINK'!

 

[Michelangelo]

"Hallefuckingluja" Thoiugt we were gonna talk you off the bridge.

NBA

58-52 +347 W1

New Yuck Knuckleheads +1 -104 (vs Detroit Flat Tires)

GL guys

 

[ScottL]

ISTINKS!

Moving on.....

Cal Fucking Bakersfield had been NOTHING BUT UNDERS all season long in the Wacketty WAC Conference. But in their Conf Tourn Semifinal they went into OT tied at 52. FOUR OTs later they broke their UNDER streak. And haven't gone UNDER since!

NIT last 17 years Semis and Finals = 11 OVER, 39 UNDER, 1 PUSH

NIT Semis Game #1 = 3-13-1 OV/UN /// NIT Semis Game #2 = 3-14 OV/UN

Going UNDER both games tonight. Hoping they get bumped up a bit more before I place the wagers.

 

[Michelangelo]

NBA

59-52 +447 W2

Me walkie +4 -105 (@ Harlot)

GL guys

 

[ScottL]

Got 125 and 133

For recording purposes we'll use 124.5 and 132.5

Also taking CHAR -4 and DEN +1

 

[Michelangelo]

NBA

60-52 +547 W3

Philly Cheese +2' -108 (no Millsap Lanta)

GL guys

 

[ScottL]

So the 'sharps' just faded Maryland Balt County Community College -- "a Disco with Books" as Chris Rock used to say -- for the 3rd straight, driving the Line from -2.5 to Pick, with another team they know nothiing about, Texas A&M Corpuscle. Let's see what happens???


1-3 last night and 274-233 Season. These two teams are upside down lately:
Jazz -7

 

[ScottL]

Nuttin Tanite

 

[Michelangelo]

NBA

60-53 +439 L1

Minny -10' -107 (vs Lakers)

 

[ScottL]

275-233

Friday:

OVER 219 den-char
GRIZZ -3

 

[Michelangelo]

NBA

61-53 +539 W1

Me Walky -7 -107 (vs Detroit Flat Tires)

GL guys

 

[Michelangelo]

NBA

61-54 +432 L1

Orlando +3 -105 (@ Brook a lean)

GL guys