Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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NFL

Will be posting here and copying to the NFL board. Good luck with your NFL seasons, guys.

Week 1

Atlanta -2' -103 (vs TBy)
Last year, after a 5-0 start, the Falcons forgot how to fly and proceeded to lose 6 of their next 7 games inluding both to perennial Division cellar dweller, Tampa Bay. Methinks Atlanta will be looking to regain their pride here.

Tennessee +2' +104 (vs Minny)
The last three years this team has come out of the box like they were headed to the Super Bowl. Yea Tennessee. +3 @ TBy W 42-14; +3' @ KCy W 26-10; +6' @ Pit W 16-9. That's 3 SU wins as road dogs to open the last three seasons. They're getting points at home this year. All the better.

NY Jets +2 -111 (vs Cincy)
Jetskis are 4-0 SU; 3-1 ATS in their opening game over the last four years. Also 7-2 ATS as home dogs in the same timeframe. Did they get worse in the offseason?

Buffalo +3 +105 (@ Balty)
Sexy Rexy is 6-1 SU as a head coach in his first game of the season. The only loss was 9-10 vs Balty in 2010. He is also 5-1 ATS as a dog in his first road game of the season.

New England +7 -110 (@ Azo)
So lets go back to 2008, the year Brady went down for the year in the first series of the first game of the year. Matt Cassell took over and went 11-5 SU that year. You know the pedestrian Matt Cassell who has gone 25-39 with four teams since. But in that Patriot year the Pats were 6-2 SU and 6-2 ATS on the road, including 3-1 as dogs that year. 7 point dogs? Matt Cassell never saw a doggy number so high. I'll take it.

Monday:

Washington +2' +100 (vs Pitt)
After the first game last year the Redskins (I love saying that word. Hope I offended some pussy, somewhere) were 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS as a home dog. Someone isn't respecting this team.

Good luck, guys.

Good luck, guys.
 

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+45.

Like 1 Game in a tease so far. Jets at Home getting 2.5 which I bet earlier in an open tease, and then today BetPop's moved it to 3 points. Will probably close the 7 Pointer with Washington(+10), but waiting to see if the line will go higher, as Pitt getting much love.
1/2 U Open 6 Point Tease Jets(+8.5)
1/2 U Open 7 Point Tease Jets(+10)

Adding 1U TB +3. This line is inching downwards, so don't wanna lose the 3. TB is a darkhorse to win the Division if Carolina falters a bit. Love Winston, Love Martin. Love Evans. Julio is a bit dinged with an ankle. Think they can beat Atlanta in a shootout, or at least come within the number.

Closed up the 7 pointer with Wash +10 while the+3 still exists.

 
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Add:

Kansas City -6' -108 (vs SDo)
Chiefs finished last year with 11 straight wins before losing to New England in the Divisional game. During those 11 games their Defense allowed an NFL best 14 points per game. And yes, they bopped the Chargers twice, 33-3 and 10-3.

Dallas +1 -107 (vs NY Gints)
Anybody pay attention to the pre-season Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliot had? Dallas is 5-1 over the Lilliputians from NY over the past three years. And I love when the bookmaker opens a team at -3' but the bettors drive the line to +1. Why?
 

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MLB SUNDAY: UN 9 -105 nym-atl / COL -115 / UN 9 -105 bos-tor / OV 8.5 -105 bal-det / OV 8.5 -110 cle-min


NFL:

ATL -2.5

BAL -3

GB -3 (-120)

SEA -10.5

NE +9.5
 

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NCAAF 4-1 +3.4

NFL 2-1 +0.85

Pending - Niners +120

Add Steelers -1.5

You play totals at all? This wash/pitt game should soar over it no? Wash should be throwing all day( with little or no run game)and should be able to get big plays against this steeler defense. Pitt should also see little resistance from wash defense. Seems like a 31-28 type game. Just my opinion.
 
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You play totals at all? This wash/pitt game should soar over it no? Wash should be throwing all day( with little or no run game)and should be able to get big plays against this steeler defense. Pitt should also see little resistance from wash defense. Seems like a 31-28 type game. Just my opinion.

I'm probably more anti-Washington than most this year, but your logic makes sense.
 

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Negatives on all 4 teams tonight Boys:

PIT = 3-15 ATS laying points with Cincy up next.
PIT = 13-32 as Non-Div Rd Fav
WASH = 1-14 SU+ATS at Home on MNF (Visitor 19-2 ATS last 21 WASH MNF games)

Rams 5-22 SU games 1-3 last 9 years
SF last 6 Home average score SF 10.5, Opponent 14.5

Went 3-2 in NFL yesterday and now 12-12 in Football. Holding my nose and going with
STL -2.5

MLB still swinging and missing. Now down 19.77 Units and heading for my third losing year out of 4 after winning every year from 2004-2012, pretty much using same methods to cap. Like the Tigers tonight. Get 'em starting a new Series at Home after 2 Home Losses and they're 15-1 since 2011. Or the Mets, now 37-9 OVER as a Road Dog at Night after scoring 6+ Runs in their previous game. So....

Football: LA RAMS -2.5 (CRIS)
MLB: OV 9.5 -105 nym-was / MIA +106 / TOR -1.5 +130 / DET -135 / CWS +161
 
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last (Saturday) 1-6 -1371
YTD 460-667 -10953

Monday:

NYY +142 (vs LAD) 3*
Philly +124 (vs Pit) 3*
Tampa Bay +156 (@ Tor) 3*
Balty +179 (@ Bos) 3*
 

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NY Mets at Washington
Final123456789RHE
NYM 100000000150
WAS 24020000-8100
Unbelievable, these Crooked Fucking Scumbag Fixers. No Runs after the 4th Inning by either team. Yerah, purely coincidental that no one has the UN 9.5. Afterall, why would they? Cocksuckers! (end rant)
 

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106 out of Toronto's last 129 Wins have been by 2 or more. I swear I had them -1.5 in every stinking game they 'won' by one run.
 
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yest 3-4 +402
YTD 463-671 -10551

Tuesday:

NYY +110 (vs LAD) 3*
Philly +133 (vs Pit) 3*
Tampa Bay +166 (@ Tor) 3*
Balty +139 (@ Bos) 3*
Milwaukee +111 (@ Cincy) 3*
CWS -1' +176 (vs Clev) 3*
LAA +115 (vs Sea) 3*
San Fran -1' +153 (vs SDo) 3*

Thanks
 
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yest 4-4 +573
YTD 467-675 -9978

Wednesday afternoon:

San Fran -1' -115 (vs SDo) 3*
NYY +165 (vs LAD) 3*
 

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Gents 197-198 (lsu-miss-st) is 44 at Bookmaker. Will close at least 46 if you want to take a lead for a potential MIDDLE.
 

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