Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

[ScottL]

I handicap people better than games and I 99% knew Vit you were taking DET. What gives man? Reason I ask? Yesterday you were on BAL who had lost 5 straight vs LAD who had won 10 straight at Home. Then you had Zona laying more than -140 with their 14-31 Home record. And today you fade CLE who has won 13 straight home games by a combined 90-24 score. Just want to ask what your method(s) are Vit. "I play hunches" is an acceptable answer. But please don't give me no, "I look at the lineups." If you are bucking these streaks there has to be a reason.

And please, I don't want to here anyone else's theories unless you're an active PLAYER in this thread. STFU in advance!!!

 

[vitterd]

I handicap people better than games and I 99% knew Vit you were taking DET. What gives man? Reason I ask? Yesterday you were on BAL who had lost 5 straight vs LAD who had won 10 straight at Home. Then you had Zona laying more than -140 with their 14-31 Home record. And today you fade CLE who has won 13 straight home games by a combined 90-24 score. Just want to ask what your method(s) are Vit. "I play hunches" is an acceptable answer. But please don't give me no, "I look at the lineups." If you are bucking these streaks there has to be a reason. And please, I don't want to here anyone else's theories unless you're an active PLAYER in this thread. STFU in advance!!!

I rarely play trends in baseball. Most times I look at games like a spin of roulette wheel. Each roll independent of the other. You feel it matters the combined score of the last 10 games....I don't. And of course I look at lineups, pitching matchups, along with other things.....such as look at clev....like you said, 13 in a row at home and crushing teams. Why is Detriot+110.....shouldn't it be more like +140? If that's called a hunch.....that's ok. Whatever gets me to the window. That's the short version.....we can always talk pm as well....even though you warned the usual nitwits.....you know everything I say here gets brought into other threads.

 

[ScottL]

Nah it's cool Vit. I just wanted to see how you work up a game. Reading the line is also a skill. I look at the CLE game differently though. Oddsmakers know the public overfocuses on the SP in MLB. I do consider the SP but Im more a team momentum type guy. CLE owns DET, owns their Home field and the Division right now. Back on track after a 2 day bump in TOR. The price is low because Fulmer is a phenom. Yet the organization has said they want his innings and length of time reduced in games regardless of score.

Now to BALT, a winner for you yesterday. Patchwork rotation, mass injuries, Showalter crying in the press, "please can we just make it to the ASB and still be in shouting distance." 3 run shot by Machado at the best time for you breaks LAD 10 game home streak.

Zona another team. Awful Home as I said, facing SD who is averaging 6RPG last 18 games and winning on the Road lately, with the exception of Series Finales where they are horrible this year. You say numbers don't matter. I disagree, even if sometimes past performance lets me down. I of course still hope you continue to feel your way to a winning season. Just wanted to see if there was any other variables you were using.

 

[vitterd]

Nah it's cool Vit. I just wanted to see how you work up a game. Reading the line is also a skill. I look at the CLE game differently though. Oddsmakers know the public overfocuses on the SP in MLB. I do consider the SP but Im more a team momentum type guy. CLE owns DET, owns their Home field and the Division right now. Back on track after a 2 day bump in TOR. The price is low because Fulmer is a phenom. Yet the organization has said they want his innings and length of time reduced in games regardless of score.

Now to BALT, a winner for you yesterday. Patchwork rotation, mass injuries, Showalter crying in the press, "please can we just make it to the ASB and still be in shouting distance." 3 run shot by Machado at the best time for you breaks LAD 10 game home streak.

Zona another team. Awful Home as I said, facing SD who is averaging 6RPG last 18 games and winning on the Road lately, with the exception of Series Finales where they are horrible this year. You say numbers don't matter. I disagree, even if sometimes past performance lets me down. I of course still hope you continue to feel your way to a winning season. Just wanted to see if there was any other variables you were using.

I hear ya, Fulmer is a beast but thought Clev would be higher price.....Tomlin is solid.

People have different methods and I'm not knocking anything you do with numbers......it's just not something I really consider. I think Maeda is often overpriced and thought he was last night. Also thought the right handed stacked Arizona lineup would handle Freidrich at home last night.

 

[ScottL]

Now I'm starting to think someone is whispering in your ear. Every game I lose you're on the other side.

 

[vitterd]

Now I'm starting to think someone is whispering in your ear. Every game I lose you're on the other side.

Well, I did play Mets and Cubs run line parlay( not posted)......if that helps.

 

[vitterd]

Wed plays

Detriot+110

Tbay -153
Seattle+136

 

[ScottL]

Wed Evening: PIT +145 / LAA +151 / TEX +170 / OVER 8.5 -120 sea-hou

 

[Michelangelo]

No problem, JOH. You have a lot to do, bud.

yest 4-6 +114
YTD 286-391 -3974

Wednesday:

Kansas City +165 (@ Tor) 3*
Texas +170 (@ Bos) 3*
LAA +146 (@ TBy) 3*
CWS +156 (vs NYY) 3*
Houston -1' +143 (vs Sea) 3*
Pittsburgh +141 (@ St L) 3*
San Diego +115 (@ Azo) 3*

Thanks​

 

[vitterd]

Mlb 108-98(+8390)

nba playoffs 32-23(+7800)

Mlb 109-100(+6960)

nba playoffs 32-23(+7800)

 

[vitterd]

Thurs play

Twins+110

 

[ScottL]

[+10.56 Units] Thursday: WAS -105 / PHI +160 / LAD -124 / DET +118 / TEX -117 / HOU -120

 

[Michelangelo]

yest 4-3 +774
YTD 290-394 -3200

Thursday:

Detroit +115 (@ Tor) 3*

 

[Michelangelo]

Add:

Houston -1' +173 (vs Oak) 3*
Atlanta +232 (@ Cub) 3*
Kansas City -1' +154 (vs Sea) 3*
San Diego +127 (@ LAD) 3*

Thanks

 

[vitterd]

Mlb 109-100(+6960)

nba playoffs 32-23(+7800)

Mlb 110-100(+8060)

nba playoffs 32-23(+7800)

 

[ScottL]

Yesterday's MLB results made no cents but they sure as hell siphoned a lot of handicapper dollars. I lost 6.66 Units, appropriately as a result of these Satanic outcomes.

[+3.9 Units] Friday: WAS +100 / MIL +120 / ARIZ +140 / BAL -105 / KC +101

 

[Michelangelo]

est 2-3 +177
YTD 292-397 -3023

Friday:

Nal -1' +174 3*
Cincy +241 3*

 

[Michelangelo]

Above should be Bal -1' +174 3*

Add:

Pit +183 3*
Det +178 3*
Bos -1' +165 3*
NYM -1' +210 3*

 

[Michelangelo]

Add:

Milwaukee +115 3*
Philly +141 3*
San Diego +176 3*

Thanks

 

[vitterd]

MLB Friday

Seattle -109