Poly Forum Daily Picks Thread SUNDAY 6/14/2015

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Only thing that cures this is not playing. Go play craps, Pai Gow, whatever. Ultimate Hold Em is fun if you haven't tried it. But fuck blackjack. It's been a long time since I've had a good run at a BJ table...partly because I've hardly played it lately. But I feel like there's about a 99% chance I'm saving money every time I walk past a BJ table.
Yep....done at blackjack.

Weird thing is....if I lose 3 to 5k on a game....I move to the next one...I lose 1k at blackjack and I wanna strangle every dealer and pit boss in the place. No idea why it gets me so aggravated.
 

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As for plays, I won Colorado +110 for the first 5 innings and am about to lose Seattle +115 for the first 5...so I'll eek out a few pennies to start the day.

I like the Diamondbacks +135 from a pure numbers standpoint, but I already played them on Friday and Saturday. Don't like going back to the same well multiple times in one series.
 

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Churchill Downs Race 8 post time 4:18est

#5 Bird Sense(ML 6-1) WPS

makes 3rd lifetime start and gets Lasix for 1st time after 2 month layoff. Ran 3rd twice at Gulfstream in March. Last start was against older horses and top 2 finishers both came back to win next time out. Been training well at Churchill since May 10th with 6 steady works leading up to this race.
I'm with ya wabash....50 across the board on bird sense....exacta 5-all

i have no clue about horses...simply following. Post time in 2 min
 

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Wrong Side of the 'Bookie Game' today ..... TB 2, CWS 1

One bad pitch by Sale.
 
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Cavs +9.5? Giddy up.

0-1 -1.2

I'm buying the extra rest giving Cleveland their legs back. Hopefully that translates into a better than 4-27 from distance. Couple days to scheme the small lineup GS went with as well.
 

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Cavs +9.5? Giddy up.

0-1 -1.2

Yeah this is getting out of hand. I had GS 2-1 for series but I gotta hedge now.

I still think they will win but Cle is up to +360 to win the series. Cleveland has better than a 22% chance to win this series right now. It's just 3 games, they're gonna be well rested tonight and we've seen they have a legitimate pathway to victory if the roleplayers shoot it ok, they rebound, GS shoots cold and LeBron goes nuts. All of that is a dog to happen but it's just 3 games with the best player. The line is just too high.

LeBron could even have an efficient game one of these nights.
 
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Yeah this is getting out of hand. I had GS 2-1 for series but I gotta hedge now.

I still think they will win but Cle is up to +360 to win the series. Cleveland has better than a 22% chance to win this series right now. It's just 3 games, they're gonna be well rested tonight and we've seen they have a legitimate pathway to victory if the roleplayers shoot it ok, they rebound, GS shoots cold and LeBron goes nuts. All of that is a dog to happen but it's just 3 games with the best player. The line is just too high.

LeBron could even have an efficient game one of these nights.

Ya, it's going to be tough for Cleveland to win, but I'll gladly take 9.5. Cavs don't necessarily have to even shoot it incredibly well vs GS to keep it close. Fresh legs vs the small lineup should mean plenty of 2nd and 3rd chances. Maybe JR Smith even finds his stroke tonight... Probably reaching there.
 
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Churchill Downs Race 8 post time 4:18est

#5 Bird Sense(ML 6-1) WPS

makes 3rd lifetime start and gets Lasix for 1st time after 2 month layoff. Ran 3rd twice at Gulfstream in March. Last start was against older horses and top 2 finishers both came back to win next time out. Been training well at Churchill since May 10th with 6 steady works leading up to this race.
Ran second paying $4.80, $3.20. Small profit.
 

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Since my last post was deleted for some unknown reason, thought I'd share again.

Golden St -8.5

kkkpop-w300h200@2x.jpg
 

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Playing

twins +110


Good hit on the Twins.

I ended up playing Arizona-SF over 3.5 for the first five. The two fucking teams combined for four double plays in those first five innings. AZ had bases loaded with one out in the top of the 5th and couldn't score. SF had runners on the corners with one out in the bottom of the 5th and couldn't score (ending the inning, of course, with a GIDP). Final after five? Az 3, SF 0.

And to add insult to injury, the D-backs score a run right away in the top of the 6th to make it 4-0. Some plays, you're just destined to lose.

Feel like beating the shit out of someone. Hoping to get it back on the Cavs +9.5.
 

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Good hit on the Twins.

I ended up playing Arizona-SF over 3.5 for the first five. The two fucking teams combined for four double plays in those first five innings. AZ had bases loaded with one out in the top of the 5th and couldn't score. SF had runners on the corners with one out in the bottom of the 5th and couldn't score (ending the inning, of course, with a GIDP). Final after five? Az 3, SF 0.

And to add insult to injury, the D-backs score a run right away in the top of the 6th to make it 4-0. Some plays, you're just destined to lose.

Feel like beating the shit out of someone. Hoping to get it back on the Cavs +9.5.

had my eye on that game because I put a small wager on Arizona +125. They certainly had chances to get that over 3.5 for sure.

Still trying to to figure out this hoops game. I'm seeing 9.5/195
 

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Cavs +9

I can't, in good conscience, with his back against the wall, lay 9 to the greatest player on planet earth.
 

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Been looking at this nba game and I just can't make a case for the cavs tonight. Gold st looks like they have this thing figured out and I expect a great effort from them tonight. I'm seeing a 109-91 type win for the Warriors. But I'm just not prepared to lay 9.5 against King James. Therefore I'm going:

OVER 195 for the game

also, small play on golden state -5 in first half.
 

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Cavs +9

I can't, in good conscience, with his back against the wall, lay 9 to the greatest player on planet earth.


LBJ is the best in the game, but he's also human. He needs help.

When GS went small, the Cavs got whatever they wanted inside from Mozgov and Thompson. But nobody was hitting outside shots. If someone on the Cavs can step up and nail some open jumpers, the Warriors will have a real problem on their hands.

I'm not huge on the +9.5 play. Just think it is a little high. I took the Cavs ML in Games 2, 3 and 4. Not tonight, though. Think the Cavs keep it close.
 

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Wtf are these national anthems? I gotta watch some tatted up heavy metal dude play a guitar. Man oh man did that suck.

I think that's my second complaint about national anthems this week but I like good ones and these ones at golden state have not been good.
 

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