He needed Dal and Min last 2 times when it was quite obvious all books needed Phi and Chi. His needs this year have been very off, perhaps he has some different sharper players this year.
I can't speak for every book, but Bob Scucci who runs the all the Orleans sports books (does an ESPN podcast) says the public money is all on ATL, but some large bets on TB.
Usually short road favs with great offenses are going to attract public money. It would be odd if the public wasn't on ATL.