PITBULLS 2015 NFL Thread

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Here this trend prop help; good luck

p:AF and p:ATSW and AF and season = 2015
last game away favor and ATS won; now away favor again
SU:2-2-0 (-1.25, 50.0%)
ATS:0-4-0 (-7.00, 0.0%)avg line: -5.8
O/U:3-1-0 (1.62, 75.0%)avg total: 46.1

DateDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteSUrATSrOUrot
Sep 20, 2015Sunday22015DolphinsJaguarsawayLLO0
Oct 18, 2015Sunday62015BroncosBrownsawayWLO1
Oct 18, 2015Sunday62015PatriotsColtsawayWLO0
Oct 18, 2015Sunday62015CardinalsSteelersawayLLU0
Nov 01, 2015Sunday82015SeahawksCowboysaway

 

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11/1 Official Plays - PITBULL Style - WOOF WOOF

65% winning % right now. I want this near 70% by the end of today.

Dallas +5 - 5**
Tampa Bay +9 (bought) 3*
Cleveland +8 3*
Denver +3.5 or +4 (will wait for this line to see if I can buy less)

Got a good feeling about today boys and girls.
 

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And just to clear things up, I don't use game statistics, ATS trends for picking sides, or what some normal cappers may use.
My system is based on 2 major factors. #1 - see who the public is betting. I look to see the most lopsided wager totals. For example, today Atlanta has roughly 14,000 wagers on them compared to only 4,400 on Tampa Bay. That is approximately 76% of the wagers on Atlanta. #2 - line movements. If Atlanta opened at -9 and dropped to -7.5 (this is only an example) - and all the money was on Atlanta, I would make this an official play on Tampa Bay. Now both don't need to happen in order for me to make it official. My #1 is the wager totals and %'s. The line movement is really a bonus and just helps confirm my decision.

I don't throw out "LOCKS", "GOY's", "This team will cover", etc etc. I only post what I am playing and the strength of what it is for me.

There are times when I will bet with the public % if its not overly high (for example 51%-%65% ish) and the over would have a higher %, like 75%. So in that case I would go with the favorite and the Under. Again, these are just examples.

I do not try to persuade anyone to follow me and bet big just because I decide to bet more on a game. I don't make promises that games will win. My goal is to simply help people win money from a different angle. I've been on both sides of this game. Since I was 16, I was on the other side, making the money and collecting it. About 7 years ago, I stopped and started playing games myself.

I wish everyone the best of luck today and the rest of the season. Lets kick some a$$!!!!
 

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good luck pitbull, i have a small group of people that play. I usually look at there plays and today all of them are on atlanta,new orleans,arizona, and st louis. best of luck should be a good day.
 

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Jr Boy - thank you!!! And if I win, looks like you are going to do just fine!!!!
thanks for that info!!!
 

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Tampa looks like a cover. Browns were winning the entire game now blew it. Need the backdoor cover.
 

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Dallas +5 - 5** - BIG WINNER!!!
Tampa Bay +9 (bought) 3* SU WINNER!!!!
Cleveland +8 3* LOSS, but they had that game in their hands. Still feel that was the right side..
Denver +3.5 or +4 (will wait for this line to see if I can buy less PENDING

ADDING:

DENVER 1st Half +1/2 4**

DENVER +3.5 2*


 

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To be clear, I am not adding another play on Denver. Just making those my 2 official plays for tonight.

2-1 today with 2 plays pending.

I said Dallas/Seattle would be a 1-2-3 point game. Hit that one right on the head.
 

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Please DISREGARD the Denver 1st HALF play. I misread the line, and it was for the quarter. I am NOT playing Denver 1st half.
 

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Thank you Action. Appreciate the kind words. Hopefully I was able to help some people out. As long as I do that, I'm doing my job here.
 

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ADDING

Denver +1/2 1st Half 4**
This line was accurate. I refreshed my page. Maybe my book messed it up. Sorry about that. Its official.
 

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Poised for another huge day. Let's go Denver!!!! Looking good boys!!!

First half easy winner!!!
 

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